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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-05-23 | Nuggets +4.5 v. Suns | 114-121 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
Denver Nuggets. Game 531. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. Sports fans, I expect this game to be the most competitive yet in this series. We all know Denver is up 2-0 in this round as they have taken both games so far with at home with authority. They took Game 1 by 18-points and Game 2 by 10-points. We are also all well aware of the fact that they are a much better home team than they are a road team. The same could be said for Phoenix. And normally being down 2-0 in a series and going home for your first contest played in front of your fans, I would look to play that team. However, the Nuggets did cover the last two games played at the Footprint Center. But that’s not all, folks. The Suns will be without Chris Paul. While he hasn’t put up monstrous numbers this round, the point guard is a true veteran that has a ton, and I mean a ton of postseason experience. He has averaged a lot of minutes both during the regular and the postseason. They lose a true seasoned veteran with him on the bench here tonight. I think that will be a major factor in this matchup. Please remember Denver has covered five straight meetings in this rivalry, their last five games played on three or more days rest, 20 of their last 28 games played versus teams with a winning record, five of their last six games played following a straight up win, and six of their last eight games played overall. Meanwhile Phoenix has only covered one of their last five games played on three or more days rest, three of their last 10 games played following a straight up loss, one of their last five games played versus teams with a winning record, none of their last four Conference Semifinal games played, and only one of their last five games played overall. I have to take the points with the Nuggets. Thank you. |
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05-01-23 | Suns v. Nuggets OVER 228.5 | 87-97 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Over in the Phoenix Suns/Denver Nuggets matchup. Games 513/514. 7:05 PM PST/10:05 PM EST. Game 1 of this series went over the total to now make it five overs in the last seven meetings between these two Western Conference rivals. The first game saw Denver absolutely embarrass Phoenix, 125-107. Kevin Durant committed an uncharacteristic seven turnovers. The Suns also shot just 7-23 from downtown. I expect Phoenix to come in here a little bit stronger and motivated. The way both offenses are lighting up the scoreboard, you can expect a very high-scoring affair. The over came in eight of Phoenix’s his last nine outings and seven of Denver’s last nine contests. These two teams do not match up well with one another defensively. You can expect another high-scoring game as I mentioned earlier. The over is 4-1 the last five meetings in Denver, 10 of the Suns last 12 games played on the road, and five of the Nuggets last six games played versus teams with a winning record. Take the over. Thank you. |
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04-28-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | Top | 85-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
Los Angeles Lakers. Game 550. 7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST Up 3-2, Los Angeles cannot afford to allow Memphis to tie this series up. Playing at the Crypto.com Arena certainly benefits the Lakers, as they have covered four consecutive meetings against the Grizzlies on their home court. What furthermore prompts me to side with them here in this game 6 matchup is the fact that they were absolutely humiliated in Game 5 on the road, 116-99. That was an embarrassing loss. And that’s something that does not sit well with King James and company. Whether you love him or love to hate him, LeBron James is one of the most successful postseason players in the history of the NBA. He wins when it counts. Memphis has won just one of their last six games played on the road, seven of their last 22 road games played versus teams with the winning home record, none of the last six games played following a straight up win, and just three of their last seven games played overall. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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04-26-23 | Heat +12 v. Bucks | 128-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Miami Heat. Game 527. 6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST. With another victory, Miami will send Milwaukee home for the season. Not many out there gave the Heat a chance in this series with the Bucks. After all, Milwaukee was the top seed. While the Heat are dealing with injuries, what has helped them is the way head coach Eric Spoelstra has rotated in players in their absence. It makes it very difficult for Milwaukee to prepare for any one starting lineup. You can expect the Greek Freak to come out here today and try to take this series on his shoulders. However, this will also benefit Miami, as Milwaukee’s offense will become more one-dimensional. No matter what, you can expect the Heat, which have covered seven of their last 10 overall meetings with the Bucks, to come out here and be extremely competitive. They do not want their opponent to gain any momentum. They have also covered five consecutive outings played on one days rest. Meanwhile, the Bucks have failed to cover five of their last six games played overall and four straight outings played on one days rest. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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04-26-23 | Knicks +6 v. Cavs | 106-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
New York Knicks. Game 529. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. A lot of people did not give the New York Knicks even a slim chance in this series with the Cleveland Cavaliers. Coming into the postseason, Cleveland possessed the NBA’s top-ranked scoring defense. However, the switch has been flipped in this match up with New York, as the Knicks have swarmed them with a stifling defense, allowing just 94.0-points per game. In the series opener, the New York proved that they can beat the Cleveland on their own court. My friends, New York has covered six of their last seven meetings with Cleveland going back to December. By the way, they’ve also won six of their last seven meetings straight up. They are a monster road team as far as us bettor‘s are concerned, going 37-16-1 ATS their last 54 games played on the road. They also seem to step up against good teams against the spread, covering 16 of their last 21 games played versus teams of the winning percentage above .600. Meanwhile, Cleveland has struggled, covering just one of their last five games played at home and one of their last six games played versus teams with a straight up winning record. Take the Knicks. Thank you. |
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04-23-23 | Nuggets -3.5 v. Wolves | 108-114 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Denver Nuggets. Game 507. 6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST. I feel the line is a little low here, because the odds makers are looking to throw a trap at you folks. Don’t fall for it. Denver has dominated Minnesota, winning and covering all three games of the series thus far, taking the first meeting by 29-points, the second by 9-points, and the third by 9-points as well. Yes, they can afford to ease back a bit. But my friends, why would they? They finish the series off today, and they will have a huge edge over their next opponent, resting, healing, and preparing. The Timberwolves have only covered two of their last 10 games played at home, one of their last seven games played on one days rest, and one of their last five games played following a straight up loss. They are deeply overmatched and they are going to end their season today and start making plans to play golf. Take the Nuggets. Thank you. |
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04-23-23 | Celtics -5.5 v. Hawks | 129-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics. Game 505. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Knowing that their next opponent, the Philadelphia 76ers are already resting and preparing for the upcoming series, the Boston Celtics can not take their foot off the gas here. It is obvious that they are a better team than their opponent in this series. After taking Games 1 and 2, they were beat in the first road game played on Friday, 130-122. They don’t want to let Atlanta back into series, nor do they want to give up any edge whatsoever. There is no way the Hawks, which are seriously overmatched, can contend with the Celtics. Understand that Boston has dominated Atlanta prior to Friday’s loss, taking seven in a row, both straight up and against the spread. They want to finish the series off so they can get a little time to rest against Philadelphia. By the way, they’ve also covered five of their last six games played following a straight up loss. Take the Celtics. Thank you. |
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04-23-23 | Kings +7.5 v. Warriors | 125-126 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
Sacramento Kings. Game 503. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Taking Games 1 and 2 at home was big for Sacramento. But Game 3, which obviously was the first game being played at Golden State, they were not just embarrassed, they were downright humiliated, being downed 114-97. Perhaps the Warriors have gotten back on track. However, giving a team like the Kings this many points is a huge mistake made by the odds makers. Don’t let them trap you here, my friends. Sacramento is not just a healthy squad they also possess the top-scoring offense in the NBA. This is a team that matches up very well with their opponent here. This is way too many points to give a team that has covered 15 of their last 21 overall meetings with Golden State, 11 of their last 14 meetings played at Golden State, and 11 of their last 14 overall road games. Take the Kings. Thank you. |
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04-22-23 | 76ers -128 v. Nets | 96-88 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers on the money line. Game 563. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The number is so low in this match up because Joel Embiid has been listed as out for Game 4. While he is one of the most dominant big men in the NBA, Philadelphia does not need him to beat Brooklyn. The Nets just don’t have the personnel to contend here. They have lost and failed to cover four consecutive outings, all against Philadelphia. They dropped the last game of the regular season back on April 9 at home, 134-105. And as you know, they’ve dropped all three matchups in this series. They are just not loaded up front to take advantage of Embiid’s absence here today. They will also get decimated once again trying to slow down the top-ranked three-point shooting offense in the NBA with their 21st ranked three-point “D”. Going back to November, the 76ers have taken seven consecutive meetings over the Nets, covering six of the seven. Take Philadelphia on the money line. Thank you. |
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04-21-23 | Celtics -5 v. Hawks | 122-130 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics. Vegas Insider Move. Game 555. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Obviously, up to two games to none in the series, Boston has had their way with Atlanta. But their domination in this rivalry goes much further back. The Celtics have now taken seven consecutive meetings over the Hawks, both straight up and against the spread. Two of those games were played at the State Farm arena. Speaking of Atlanta, and their home court “advantage,“ they used to be one of the most bankable teams in the NBA when hosting. That’s not the case anymore folks. They have failed to cover four of their last five games played at home. But overall, this team has been quite inconsistent of late, winning just one of their last five outings, both straight up and against the spread. Overall, their defense has been absolutely deplorable, ranking 26th in the league, allowing 118.1 points per game. They just cannot stop, let alone slow down the Boston offense. The Celtics enter this contest running red-hot, winning seven of their last eight games, straight up. And also covering seven of those last eight games as well. You can expect the same outcome here tonight as they will once again dominate Atlanta. And get another win and cover. Take the Celtics. Thank you. |
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04-20-23 | 76ers -4.5 v. Nets | 102-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers. VI MOVE. Game 547. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. There is no way around it. No matter how you cut it, the Brooklyn Nets just do not possess the personnel to compete with the Philadelphia 76ers. Not only do they not have the talent to run in this series, but they are being outcoached as well. Doc Rivers adjustments have been crucial to Philly’s success, taking an overwhelming lead two games to none. For our purposes, not only has the 76ers won four games in a row, they have also covered fourth straight overall outings. They have certainly had Brooklyn’s number. They have won all six meetings with them this season straight up, covering five of the six. It doesn’t matter if they are at home or on the road, they dominate Brooklyn. Oddsmakers continue to overvalue the Nets, particularly at home, where they have only covered three of their last seven games played. By the way, they’ve also failed to cover five straight Conference Quarterfinals games as well. The 76ers are just too strong, too deep, too well-coached, and have too much power in the paint. They will once again own the glass here and get another win and cover. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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04-18-23 | Knicks +6 v. Cavs | 90-107 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
New York Knicks. Above The Rim Play. Game 553. 4:30 PM PST for 7:30 PM EST. I know a lot of people subscribe to the zigzag method of betting when the NBA postseason comes around. However, I just don’t see the Cavaliers coming out here and dominating the Knicks. New York came out in the series opener with authority, winning and covering, 101-97. That win and cover gave them four consecutive wins and covers against their Eastern Conference rival. A few things did not go their way in the first meeting, and yet they still prevailed. The way the Cavaliers defense has been playing, I just don’t see them stopping the motivated New York offense right now. Just since the last few days of March, they have allowed 120, 130, 105, 113, 94, 106, and 101-points in consecutive contests. New York has covered six of the last eight meetings played in Cleveland, while the Cavaliers have failed to cover four consecutive outings played at the Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse. Take the Knicks. Thank you. |
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04-18-23 | Hawks v. Celtics UNDER 231 | 106-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Under in the Hawks/Celtics matchup. Vegas Insider Move. Games, 531/532. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Game 1 of this series resulted in an under. The way the Boston defense has been playing, they will once again come out and swarm the Atlanta offense. Now, I do feel the Hawks will have to make some sort of an adjustment here. But those adjustments will slow down the pace of this game, which once again, will aid in the results of this game going under the total. The under is 6-2 in Atlanta’s last eight versus teams with a winning record and 4-0 in Boston’s last four versus teams with a losing record. Take the under. Thank you. |
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04-17-23 | Warriors -115 v. Kings | Top | 106-114 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors on the money line. Fast Break Play. Game 523. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. A lot of things went wrong for Golden State in Game 1 of this series with Sacramento. And yet they still only lost by three points. The Warriors are one of the most experienced postseason teams in the NBA. They entered the playoffs winning five of their last six games straight up, and covering four of those games against the spread. They also know that if they go down two games to none, it will be very, very tough to dig themselves out of that hole. I look for this team to step up defensively and frustrate the Kings here tonight. I also look for Steph Curry to lead his team and take this game to on his shoulders. They are 4-1 ATS their last five games played following an ATS loss and 32-15 ATS their last 47 Conference Quarterfinals games played. Sacramento is just 1-4 ATS their last five games played after scoring 125 points in the previous game and 1-4 ATS their last five games played at home. Take the Warriors on the moneyline. Thank you. |
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04-17-23 | Nets v. 76ers OVER 212.5 | Top | 84-96 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Over in the Brooklyn Nets/Philadelphia 76ers matchup. Slam Dunk Play. Games 521/522. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Game 1 of this series saw a combined score of 222 points as the over came in once again. Four of the last five meetings in this Eastern Conference rivalry have gone over the total. This matchup, we see two explosive offenses. I think we could all agree that both defenses do not match up well against today’s opponents. Coming into today’s matchup, Brooklyn has played to three overs in the last four outings while Philadelphia has played to four consecutive overs. The stats don’t just stop there as the over is 6-0 on the Nets last six games played following a straight up loss, four of their last five games played versus teams with a winning record, and five of their last seven games played on the road. For the 76ers, the over has come in four of their last five games played following a straight up win, five of their last seven home games played against teams with a winning road record, and four straight games played following their defense yielding 100 or more points in the previous game. Take the over. Thank you. |
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04-16-23 | Wolves +8 v. Nuggets | Top | 80-109 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
Minnesota Timberwolves. RD 1 GOY. Game 513. 7:30 PM PST. Coming into the postseason healthier than your first-round opponent means a lot. There is no question the Timberwolves enter today’s Game 1 matchup with the Nuggets with a bit of a healthier edge. Not only that, but something else I put a lot of stock in going into the playoffs, is momentum. Minnesota has won four of the last five games straight up, covering all five of those outings. They also come in here a little fresher. Denver has not taken the floor since the ninth of the month. And has only won two of the last seven outings straight up. The Timberwolves have covered six of the last seven meetings overall. And going back a bit 24, of the last 31 matchups played in Denver. They have also covered five of the last six games played on the road. This is way too many points to give a very game team that comes in here healthier and riding some momentum. Take the Timberwolves. Thank you. |
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04-15-23 | Warriors +1.5 v. Kings | 123-126 | Loss | -120 | 32 h 8 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors. Game 507. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. Guys, in my opinion this is one of the best matchups we will see in this round of the playoffs. Both teams are very talented. Both teams have some veteran leadership. Both teams have some solid youth. And both teams also go pretty deep bench wise. Unlike several of the other matchups in this round, these two teams aren’t listing a million players on the injury reports. straight up, Golden State got the better of Sacramento this season, taking three or four meetings. They also enter this contest a little bit hotter, both straight up and against the spread. Personally, as I mentioned, I think it’s going to be a very competitive contest. But it’s hard to go against the team that has without question one of the most successful postseason players of this or any generation. And yes, I’m talking about Steph Curry. I really do like Golden State in the first game. The Warriors are 12-4 ATS the last 16 games played on three or more days rest and 32-14 ATS the last 46 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Kings are 1-6 ATS the last seven games played on three or more days rest and 0-4 ATS the last four games played at home. The Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
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04-15-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 238.5 | Top | 123-126 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 3 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors/Sacramento Kings UNDER the total. RD 1 TOTALS GAME OF THE YEAR. Games 507/508. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. With two of the top scoring offenses in the NBA facing two of let’s just say “less than stellar defenses”, you can expect a lot of scoring. However, this is the highest total they have set in the four matchups between these two teams this season. As a matter of fact, this is one of the highest totals set in a playoff game, as far back as I can remember. If you do your math correctly, these two teams have to combine for approximately 60 points per quarter for this game to go over. That means everything must go right for this game to go over the total. As you know very rarely in the NBA does everything go right. And even more rarely, in a Game 1 of a playoff series does everything go right. The under is 7-2 overall the last nine meetings in the series and 4-0 the last four meetings in the series played in Sacramento. Take the under. Thank you. |
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04-15-23 | Knicks +5.5 v. Cavs | 101-97 | Win | 100 | 30 h 34 m | Show | |
New York Knicks. Game 505. 3:00 PMN PST/6:00 PM EST. Sports fans, it’s no secret that both of these squads have a laundry list of injuries. For New York, they have questionable‘s on Brunson and Keels. While, Randall and Washington are both out. For Cleveland, they have quite a few players questionable in Okoro, Windler, LeVert, Garland, and Mitchell. Now a couple of those names have no real significance. But several of those players certainly will have a bearing on the team having success in this series. Having said that, the Cavs come into this matchup possessing one of the best defenses in the NBA. However, the Knicks have won and covered both meetings in this rivalry this season. This does include a matchup just two weeks ago on the road at the Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse. As you know, Cleveland tends to get overvalued when hosting, covering just two of the last seven at home. Their ugly, against the spread trends don’t stop there either folks: they’ve also only covered one of the last five games played on three or more days rest, one of the last five games played versus teams with a winning record, one of the last seven Conference Quarterfinals games, and just one of the last five overall games. New York may not do it very pretty, but they do, do it. What I’m talking about is covering: they have covered 37 of the last 52 games played on the road, four the last five games played against teams with a winning percentage above .600, and four the last five games played on three or more days rest. Oh, by the way, they have also covered five of the last six games played on the road against teams with a winning home record. I do feel this is way too many points to give New York. Take the Knicks plus the points here in Game 1. Thank you. |
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04-14-23 | Bulls +6 v. Heat | 91-102 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Chicago Bulls. Las Vegas Strip Move Play. Game 569. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. It is impossible to overlook Chicago winning and covering all three meetings against Miami this season. They enter today’s match up winning and covering five of the last seven contests. For the most part, which is very rare for this season, particularly at this time of the campaign, they are relatively healthy. The Heat, on the other hand have lost and failed to cover two of the last three outings. And have several key players either banged up or out this evening. Momentum certainly plays a part in a matchup like this. And the Bulls certainly have momentum, winning 11 of the final 17 regular season games and continued to win to rally back from a 19-point third quarter deficit to beat the Raptors two days ago. They have covered eight of the last 11 meetings at the Kaseya Center, four all the last five games played on one days rest, and seven of the last nine games played on the road. Take the points with Chicago. Thank you. |
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04-12-23 | Bulls v. Raptors UNDER 213.5 | 109-105 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Under in the Bulls/Raptors matchup. Slam Dunk Play. Games, 565/566. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. The Eastern Conference’s ninth and 10th seeded teams go at each other here this evening. Granted, Toronto took two of the three matchups with Chicago this season. But, all three meetings went under the total. Going back to last season, four straight contests between these two teams have gone under the total. While both offenses possess some less than stellar numbers, both defenses rank in the NBA’s top-10. This is going to be a slow-moving, physical, defensive-minded game. Take the under. Thank you. |
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03-29-23 | Wolves +5.5 v. Suns | 100-107 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Minnesota Timberwolves. Fast Break Play. Game 547. 7:10 PM, PST/10:10 PM EST. With all the brouhaha surrounding the anticipation of Kevin Durant finally back in the lineup, don’t be fooled by the smoke and mirrors. Minnesota is surging, winning four in a row straight up, and going 3-1 ATS. By the way, they’ve covered all three road games during that span. The Suns are safely above the postseason cut line. The Timberwolves are just on the border and can better themselves significantly by winning here tonight, and then again through the next several games. Minnesota has been money, covering the last four games played versus teams with a winning record, seven of the last nine games played on the road, and five of the last seven games played following a straight up win. Meanwhile, Phoenix has failed to cover four of the last five games played versus teams was a winning record and seven of the last nine games played overall. Take the T-Wolves. Thank you. |
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03-28-23 | Wisconsin v. North Texas -115 | 54-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
North Texas Mean Green on the moneyline. No Limit Play. Game 662 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. The general public has certainly jumped on Wisconsin here. As of this morning, approximately 65% of all wagers are coming in on the Badgers. I understand why folks. Wisconsin plays and in the stronger conference in the Big Ten. I mean come on, North Texas plays in the lowly, Conference USA. However, the Mean Green were 16-4 in conference play, while the Badgers were the bottom of the barrel in their conference, going 9-11 in the Big Ten. Overall, these two teams have good records. But you cannot deny the fact UNT has amassed a record of 29-7 straight up, covering 20 of 34 lines games. You can ignore the fact this team possesses the No. 1 defense in the nation, allowing just 55.4-points per game and a mere, 40.1% shooting from the floor. You also further cannot ignore the fact they rank third in college basketball on the defensive glass. I doubt Wiscy, which already has a lackluster offense, averaging a mere, 65.2-points per game, is going to put up any points or get too many second-chance opportunities. Yes, I understand North Texas doesn’t score too much either. However, you don’t have to when you’re holding opponents under 60-points per game. Now as of this morning, forward Abou Ousmane is listed as doubtful tonight for the Mean Green. He is a heck of a player, folks. And Wisconsin does have a strong front court. But…and there is always a but…but North Texas, certainly has the depth to rotate in other big men. The Mean Green have also been money, covering 14 of the last 20 games played on neutral sites, 10 of the last 13 games played versus teams with a winning record, 10 of the last 12 games played following a straight up win, and 11 of the last 14 games played overall. Meanwhile, the Badgers have only covered one of the last 12 games played following a straight up win and seven of the last 24 games played overall. Take North Texas on the money line. Thank you. |
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03-27-23 | Bulls +5 v. Clippers | 112-124 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Chicago Bulls. Las Vegas Strip Move Play. Game 515. 7:40 PM PST/10:40 PM EST. Following a very embarrassing loss for a playoff-bound team, I would normally look to jump back on the Clippers in a situation like this. Los Angeles comes off at 131-110 defeat at home against New Orleans two nights ago. However, this team is banged up. And there are certain angles here that prompt me to side with Chicago. With only a handful of games left in the regular season, the Bulls are just north of the postseason cut line. They need every win they can get right now. They are starting to run hot, winning seven of the last nine ball straight up and against the spread. They come in here off of back-to-back road wins and covers. As a matter fact, they won and covered five consecutive outings as a visitor. Chicago is looking for a little payback, as they took a home loss the last day of January to the Clippers 108-103. It looks like Paul George (check status) will not be ready again this evening. Los Angeles has struggled, to say the least, in his absence. In the first meeting, the forward put up 16-points and 10-rebounds. As I mentioned, they are struggling without him on the floor. I just don’t see the Clippers and their lack luster offense putting too many points up on the very nasty, very frustrating, seventh ranked defense of the Bulls. Chicago has covered four of the last five meetings in Los Angeles and five of the last seven overall games played versus Los Angeles. Take the Bulls. Thank you. |
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03-26-23 | Miami-FL +4 v. Texas | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
Miami Florida Hurricanes. Tournament Top Rated Play. Game 655. 2:05 PM PST/5:05 PM EST. With all respect to the Longhorns, the Hurricanes match up well with them. They also come in here 100% healthy. Texas will not know until just prior to the game time if their top postseason scorer and rebounder, Dylan Disu (check status) will be playing here. Even if he plays, the forward will not be 100% as he is dealing with a foot injury. As I mentioned earlier, Miami matches a very well here. Offensively, they score a little more per game. They are also more accurate from downtown, the free throw line, and overall, on the floor. Let’s not forget that defensively, the Hurricanes are monsters on the boards. Arguably, one of the best backcourts in college basketball belongs to the Hurricanes with Wong and Miller. Throw into the mix that forward, Omier and guard, Pack have taken their games up a notch, and that spells doom for Texas. The Hurricanes have the speed, the height, the muscle, the intelligence, and the depth to not just contend here this matchup, but to win it. Giving this team four-points (at the time of posting this) is a huge mistake. They have covered six of the last seven games in NCAA Tournament, nine of the last 12 games played versus teams with a winning record, and four of the last five games played following an ATS win. Take the Hurricanes. Thank you. |
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03-25-23 | 76ers +1.5 v. Suns | 105-125 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers. Fast Break Play. Game 555. 7:10 PM, PST/10:10 PM EST. Both Philadelphia and Phoenix come off road losses last night. But there are a few differences coming into today’s match up. The 76ers are on a 9-2 straight up run, covering seven of those 11 outings. Meanwhile, Phoenix is on a 1-6 straight up slide, failing to cover all seven outings. With only a few weeks of games left in the regular season, Philly sits four-games back in the Eastern Conference, and can catch Boston, which is only 1.5-games ahead of them. And are certainly within reach of the four-game gap between the Conference’s top team, Milwaukee. Meanwhile, Phoenix is kind of clustered in the fifth seed in the West, tied with Golden State, just a half-game behind Los Angeles Clippers. And a few games separating Minnesota, Los Angeles, Lakers, New Orleans, Oklahoma City, and Dallas. James Harden missed last night’s contest. He is listed as questionable this evening (check status). However, Joel Embiid is putting up MVP-type numbers. Without Kevin Durant, who won’t be back until early April at least, and Deandre Ayton banged up (check status), I just don’t see the Suns competing here tonight. Philadelphia took the only meeting of the season back in early November at home, 100-88. There is no question that they are significantly stronger offensively. And defensively they have been frustrating opponents with a swarming stop-unit. Phoenix has already been struggling and I just don’t see them outscoring Embiid and the explosive 76ers lineup. Philadelphia has covered five of the last six games played on the road, nine of the last 12 games played on zero days rest, and five of the last seven games played overall. Phoenix has failed to cover five of the last six games played at home, four straight games played versus teams with a winning record, and five consecutive games played following a straight up loss. Take the 76ers. Thank you. |
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03-24-23 | Xavier v. Texas -4 | Top | 71-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
Texas Longhorns. Tournament Top Rated Play. Game 646. 6:45 PM PST/9:45 PM EST. This is the matchup that being depleted will prove to be fatal for Xavier. The Musketeers are without a couple of key cogs in the wheel. Yes, I know they can score points. But let’s face it, they are going up against a team that scores just about as much as them. And an opponent that defensively can frustrate here immensely. Texas has the size, the speed, and the depth to take this game on their shoulders, control the tempo, and send Xavier home packing. The Longhorns also had better success playing out of their conference this season. They had early season wins over Gonzaga, Stanford and yes, even Creighton. They enter this matchup running red-hot, winning and covering every single postseason game thus far. I think both teams have very strong backcourts. But the difference in this matchup will be the Longhorns having the height and the muscle in the paint to dominate. Take Texas. Thank you. |
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03-24-23 | Miami-FL +7.5 v. Houston | Top | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Miami Hurricanes No Limit Play. Game 643. 4:15 PM, PST/7:15 PM EST. My friends, Houston is a monster team. I’m not looking to take anything away from the Cougars. However, I think we can all agree, this team gets vastly overvalued by oddsmakers. Case in point, they have only covered five of the last 15 outings. This team possesses one of the best backwards in the nation. But for the first time in a long time, they do not have the best backcourt on the floor in a matchup. Wong and Miller are the driving force behind the Miami Hurricanes. Not only can the tandem score, they can rebound, they can steal, and let’s face it, they are amazingly unselfish, earning assists. I know Houston possesses one of the most frustrating defenses in college basketball. But Miami has a very complete offense and as I mentioned earlier, they are very unselfish. It is so hard to key on any one or two players on the floor. They are also vastly superior from the free throw line, which I believe will play a major factor in this game. One more thing folks. On a regular basis, playing in the ACC definitely benefits a team like Miami, which faces tougher opposition from day-to-day than does Houston in the AAC. By the way, the Cougars are just 1-6 ATS the last seven games played following an ATS win and 2-5 ATS the last seven games played versus teams with a winning record. The Hurricanes are 5-1 ATS the last six NCAA Tournament games played and 36-16-1 ATS the last 53 games played versus teams are the winning percentage of 1.600. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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03-23-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Tennessee -5.5 | 62-55 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
Tennessee Volunteers. Slam Dunk Play. Game 636 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. With all respect to the Owls, they just don’t face the same level of competition the Volunteers do on a regular basis. Yes, they have tallied a record of 33-3 this season. However, they just can’t contend with their opponent in this matchup. I understand they score 79.3-points per game. But they are going up against one of the toughest, stingiest, and most frustrating defenses in college basketball. Tennessee allows a mere 57.5-points per game, which ranks fourth in points allowed. They also rank first in the nation in field-goal percentage allowed and three-point percentage allowed. And the advantages don’t stop there either. They are excellent on the defensive boards as well. Not only that, but I offensively they will dominate inside and out in this matchup. They too can score points and rank 14th on the offensive glass. They will get a ton of second-chance opportunities. If you really wonder how good this team is defensively, just look at how they completely shut down the Duke, just five days ago. While both teams here possess solid back court talent. Upfront, there is no doubt that the Vols will dominate in the paint. They are bigger, stronger, and will be more physical here. Take Tennessee. Thank you. |
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03-23-23 | Arkansas v. Connecticut -4 | 65-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
U Conn Huskies. Tournament Top Rated Play. Game 640. 4:15 PM PST/7:15 PM EST. My friends, Arkansas is in way over their head here. With all due respect, this team played their best basketball of the season a few days ago when they took down top-seeded, Kansas. Not only are they going to be in letdown mode. They’re actually going to come back down to Earth, plummeting from the penthouse to the ground floor very quickly. We all know that the Big East conference teams play a very physical game. Well folks, the Razorbacks faced one Big East squad this season, back in November and fell to the Blue Jays. Meanwhile, the Huskies covered both meetings with that same Blue Jays team this season, winning the first match up 69-60 and then falling just a bit short in the second matchup, 56-53. Meanwhile, Connecticut has done extremely well against the South Eastern Conference once again this season. They won their only two meetings against SEC representatives this season, taking down Alabama, which happens to be the SEC‘s No. 1 team, 82-67. They also decimated Florida 75-54. Granted the Razorbacks had no problem with the Gators in their sole matchup. But did lose and failed to cover two meetings with the Crimson Tide. The Huskies possess an overwhelming defense that just smothers you. I mean they play in a very competitive conference, and yet they only allow 54.8-points per game, and also happened to be a top-10 squad on the defensive glass. I mentioned earlier how physical the Big East teams play. Well, that is going to be a big disadvantage for the Razorbacks, which only hit 69% from the free-throw line. If you’re worried about UConn’s scoring ability, don’t be. Since the season began, they’ve been one of the best in the nation in scoring, averaging over 79.0-points per game. Let’s not forget they are also monsters on the offensive glass as well. When it comes to NCAA Tournament matchups, they have been money to anybody who wagers on them, covering 18 of the last 24 in that situation. Take the Huskies. Thank you. |
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03-23-23 | Michigan State v. Kansas State +1.5 | 93-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Kansas State Wildcats. NO Limit Play. Game 638. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. After taking down the Big East champ and No. 2 seed Marquette, 69-60 on Sunday, I feel Michigan State is in a huge let down situation here. We all know Tom Izzo‘s squads fall a little short when it comes to the Big Dance. We don’t have to rehash that issue. I do think the Spartans are very lucky to be here at this point. This is a team that’s just 5-3 straight up the last eight outings, going 4-4 ATS. They really don’t have the most explosive offense. They’re only real asset offensively, is their accuracy from beyond the arc. However, the Wildcats counter with the 13th ranked three-point shooting defense in college basketball. As a matter fact, they’ve played very good defense for most of the season. This is a team that plays in arguably the toughest conference in college basketball today, and yet only allows 68.7-points per game. They’re hotter entering this matchup, winning and covering six of the last eight outings. Kansas State has scorers, height, strength, speed, and depth. They are also 5-1 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a winning percentage of .600, 4-1 ATS the last five games played following a straight up win, and 16-5 ATS the last 21 games played versus teams with a winning record. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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03-22-23 | UAB +1.5 v. Vanderbilt | 67-59 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
UAB Blazers. Slam Dunk Play. Game 625. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Most of the action as of this post is coming in on Vanderbilt. However, the sharp money is by far coming in on UAB. And that is for a good reason, my friends. This entire season the Blazers have played very well. But over the last two months, this team has taken it up a notch. They finished the regular season on a 10-1 straight up run, covering six of those 11 games. So far this postseason, they have won and covered four of five contests. Look for the top-10 ranked hellacious offenses of UAB, which by the way, accounts for over 82.2-points per game to be a little too much for Vanderbilt to compete with. The Blazers will get as many second-chance opportunities as they need with the nations No. 2 offensive rebounding core dominating the 313th ranked defensive rebounding squad of the Commodores. By the way folks, UAB won and covered both meetings against SEC opponents this season. Take the Blazers. Thank you. |
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03-21-23 | Thunder +6.5 v. Clippers | 101-100 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City Thunder. First Break Play. Game 581 7:40 PM PST/10:40 PM EST. With only a few weeks left in the regular season, wins are vital right now for the Thunder. They currently sit in the ninth seed in the Western Conference at 12.5-games back. However, they are tied with the Timberwolves and the Jazz. But only a few games, separate a cluster of teams in the Conference. As a matter of fact, they are just 2.5-games behind the Clippers. A win here and they can close that gap and possibly move up a seed. They have dominated the series, taking both meetings this season, straight up and against the spread. SGA, who leads the team in scoring at 31.4- points per game, returns to the court where his career started. And the team comes off a big win at home against Phoenix, which marked their seventh victory in the last nine outings, both straight up and against the spread. They happen to be the best team in the NBA on the road this season, covering 17 of 26 when they travel. They’ve also covered four of the last five games played on one day rest. Meanwhile, the Clippers have failed to cover four consecutive games played on one days rest and six of the last seven meetings in this rivalry. Take Oklahoma City. Thank you. |
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03-21-23 | Wisconsin v. Oregon -4.5 | 61-58 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
There is NO LIMIT to what you will profit off this big documented tournament winner. Oregon Ducks No Limit Play. Game 616. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Wisconsin has won back-to-back games for the first time in the New Year. But facing opponents like Bradley and Liberty are a far cry from facing Oregon. Let’s not forget the Badgers are point spread poison, only covering six of the last 23 games coming into today’s matchup. To make matters worse, as far as the point spread goes, when traveling, they have only covered two of the last 10 road games played. Meanwhile, the Ducks are running hot, winning six of the last seven games played straight up and three of the last four against the number. You know, Oregon has been dealing with injuries all season long and despite that, they have still played solid basketball. There is a huge mismatch here on the boards, where the Ducks will dominate at both ends of the court. They will have quite a few second-chance opportunities on offense, while taking away that same second-chance opportunities defensively on the Wiscy “O”. By the way, they have also covered four of the last five games played at the Matthew Knight Arena. Take Oregon. Thank you. |
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03-21-23 | Cavs -145 v. Nets | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Cleveland Cavaliers on the moneyline. Las Vegas Strip Move Play. Game 575 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. There really isn’t a lot of time left in the regular season. Currently, the Cavaliers own the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference, while the Nets sit behind them in the No. 6 spot. This is an ideal opportunity for Cleveland to further separate themselves from an Eastern Conference competitor. Now looking at the recent matchups, Brooklyn has dominated, winning seven of the last 10 straight up. They took the only meeting this season back at the end of December on the road, one 125-117. However, in that game, the Nets had Durant and Irving each contribute 32-points to lead the team in scoring. As you all know, they are no longer sporting Brooklyn uniforms. This is also a good spot for Cleveland to get a little payback for that home loss three months ago. They catch the Nets on a three-game slide, both straight up and against the spread. Brooklyn‘s offense is struggling to begin with, ranking 20th in the League in scoring and 29th on the offensive boards. Things will go from bad to worse here as they have to go up against the most frustrating defense in the NBA. Cleveland ranks No. 1 in points allowed and No. 2 in defensive rebounds. Take the Cavaliers. Thank you. |
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03-21-23 | North Texas +4.5 v. Oklahoma State | 65-59 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
North Texas Mean Green Slam Dunk Play Game 613. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. North Texas is straining winning 13 of the last 15 outings straight up, and covering 11 of those 15. This is a healthy team which very quietly happens to possess the top ranked defense in college basketball. That’s right, they are ranked No. 1 in points allowed, yielding just 55.4-points per game. Not only that but they also rank 18th in field-goal percentage and 39th in three-point percentage. Oh yeah, they also happen to be the third best team in the nation on the defensive glass. Let’s face it folks, Oklahoma State‘s offense leaves a lot to be desired. This is a team that averages just under 70-points per game as most of their offensive numbers are downright deplorable. I just don’t see the Cowboys “O”, which has really struggled all season, putting up any points here today. I know the Mean Green offense isn’t anything to write home about either. But they run with a four- guard set, which are all averaging double-digits in this postseason and will control the tempo of this game. They’ve also been money to us bettors, covering nine of the last 11 games played following a straight up win and 26 of the last 35 games played on the road. Meanwhile Oklahoma State has only covered one of the last six games played at home and two of the last 10 games played overall. Take North Texas. Thank you. |
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03-20-23 | Bulls v. 76ers -8 | 109-105 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers Slam Dunk Play. Game 560. 4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST. The red-hot 76ers are surging, winning eight straight contests, to bring the team within 2.5-games behind the Milwaukee Bucks in the Eastern Conference. They come into today’s game with confidence, having taken eight of the last nine meetings with the Chicago Bulls, both straight up and against the spread. The Bulls have covered just two of the last nine meetings in Philadelphia, only two of the last eight games played against teams with a winning record, and one of the last eight games played on the road. The 76ers have a covered 22 of the last 31 games played at home, four straight games played following a straight up win, and four of the last five games played on one days rest. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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03-19-23 | TCU v. Gonzaga -4 | Top | 81-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
Gonzaga Bulldogs. Second Round GOY. Game 852. 6:40 PM PST/9:40 PM EST With a victory today, it will mark Gonzaga‘s eighth consecutive NCAA Tournament reaching the Sweet 16. The first month of the season was a little shaky for the Bulldogs. They lost games against Texas, Purdue, and Baylor. Then something happened. They got back on track to turn the season around and between December 5 and March 17, only dropped two outings. I am well aware two of their losses came against Big 12 teams. But as I mentioned a moment ago, those took place in November and the first two days of December. They are playing on another level at this moment. They are playing like the Gonzaga team that we are used to seeing at this point. On the other hand, TCU has only won 5 of the last 12 outings straight up. And have only covered three of those 12 contests. Let’s face it, they eked by Arizona State in the last round with a 72-70 victory. It’s one thing to have a decent defense. And the Horned Frogs do have a decent defense. However, facing the number one scoring offense in the nation is a whole different monster. Even if they could slow down the Bulldogs, a bit, I just don’t see them competing offensively on the scoreboard here. They do not possess the personal upfront to even battle in the paint in this matchup. And if the game moves to the outside, well, we all know how good the Bulldogs are from downtown. The Horn Frogs have failed to cover six consecutive games played following a straight up win. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs have covered five consecutive outings following an ATS loss. Take Gonzaga. Thank you. |
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03-19-23 | Miami-FL +2 v. Indiana | 85-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Miami Hurricanes. No Limit Play. Game 839. 5:40 PM PST/8:40 PM EST Indiana played good in the last round against a formidable Kent State opponent. But I think we can all agree. They may come in here a bit overconfident as the Golden Flashes are not on the same level as the hurricanes. Miami is a team that is once again at full strength, 100% healthy. And enters today’s match up striding, winning 10 of the last 12 games straight up. The Hoosiers are banged up and depleted. Even if they were at full strength, I don’t think they have the personnel to run in this matchup. The back court of Wong and Miller are one of the best tandem of guards in the nation. I see them controlling the pace and the tempo in this contest. I honestly believe the Hurricanes current edition is even stronger than last season’s Elite Eight squad. Giving them points. Here is a mistake. They have covered four of the last five NCAA Tournament games and seven of the last 10 games played versus teams with a winning record. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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03-19-23 | St. Mary's v. Connecticut -4 | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
UConn Huskies. Slam Dunk Play. Game 838. 3:10 PM, PST/6:10 PM EST. It is impossible to ignore the statistic the Huskies have accumulated this season of being a perfect, 12-0 outside of conference play. By the way, they’ve covered 11 of those 12 nonconference contests. The Gaels are a good team. But this team lives and dies by their defense. Well folks, they go up against one of the most explosive and potent offenses in the nation. Connecticut averages over 79-points per game and ranks 12th in the nation on the offensive boards. That would be enough for me to put a lean on the Huskies here. However, defensively, they are one of the best in the nation in points allowed, field-goal percentage allowed, three-point percentage allowed and rank sixth in college basketball on the defensive boards. They will take away Saint Mary’s opportunities for any second-chance shots. The Gaels are good up front. However, they are no match for the frontcourt of Sanogo and Karaban. The tandem or forwards will dominate in the paint here and go uncontested. Saint Mary’s has failed to cover five of the last seven games played versus teams with a winning percentage above .600, five of the last six games played following a straight up win, and none of the last five games played following and ATS win. Connecticut has covered five of the last six games played versus teams are winning percentage above .600, 17 of the last 23 NCAA Tournament games, and six of the last seven games played overall. Take the Huskies. Thank you. |
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03-19-23 | Michigan State v. Marquette -155 | 69-60 | Loss | -155 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
Marquette Golden Eagles on the money line. Wiseguy Move. Game 842. 2:15 PM, PST/5:15 PM EST. I know Michigan State plays in the Big Ten. But in my opinion, they don’t belong here on the same court with Marquette. So having said that the carriage will turn into a pumpkin here today. The Golden Eagles are red-hot, winning 10 consecutive games straight up, and covering six of those 10 outings. Meanwhile, the Spartans are just 8-7 straight up the last 15 outings. Furthermore, they’ve only covered seven of those 15 contests. Offensively, very few teams in college basketball today can compete with the explosive Marquette squad, which averages over 81-points per game. They are one of the best from the floor, hitting 49.5% of their shots. I just don’t see the lackluster Michigan State offense keeping pace on the scoreboard here. Yes, they’re pretty good from beyond the arc. But once this game comes in from the perimeter, they fall way short. Trust me when I tell you, the Golden Eagles are smart and well-coached. They will force an inside matchup here. Meanwhile, Michigan State has failed to cover four consecutive games following a straight up win. On the other hand, Marquette has covered 15 of the last 22 games played overall. Take the Golden Eagles. Thank you. |
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03-19-23 | Kentucky -150 v. Kansas State | 69-75 | Loss | -150 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
Kentucky Wildcats on the moneyline. Blue Chip Play. Game 847. 11:40 AM PST/2:40 PM EST. Kansas State certainly deserves to be here. However, I believe they are outgunned in today’s matchup. Kentucky enters this game winning six of the last eight games, both straight up and against the spread. They play a little bit more of a physical game. Although both teams match up well with one another, overall, the superstars on Kentucky, I feel can and will outperform the starters for Kansas State. Kentucky has covered five consecutive outings against teams winning percentage of .600. Take Kentucky on the money line. Thank you. |
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03-19-23 | Pittsburgh +5.5 v. Xavier | 73-84 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
Pitt Panthers. Early Wake Up Winner. Game 845. 9:10 AM, PST/12:10 PM EST To get this game up early I’m going to give you a condensed version of my analysis. Very simply, Pitt not only matches up well with Xavier here, but they enter today’s contest playing some great basketball. They have won each of the last two outings outright as an underdog against Mississippi State, and Iowa State. Meanwhile, the Musketeers have failed to cover four of the last five, which does include the last two outings. They are in a situation where the team will come in here overconfident following the five-point victory over Kennesaw State in the last round. Mind you, they were 12-point favorite in that matchup. As I mentioned, they will come in overconfident against a Panthers opponent, that scores just about as much as them and possesses a monster defense that will frustrate the Xavier offense. Pitt has covered 23 of the last 30 games played overall. The Musketeers have covered just two of the last seven games played following a straight up win. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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03-18-23 | Auburn v. Houston -5 | 64-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
Houston Cougars. No Limit Play. Game 808 4:10 PM, PST/7:10 PM EST. With No. 1 seeds, Alabama and Purdue already ousted from the Big Dance, Houston will take no chances in this matchup. They know obviously, that Auburn is a good adversary. So, they will keep their foot on the gas from the tip-off to the buzzer. Say what you want about the Tigers, but this is a team that dropped nine of the last 14 outings. They possess a lackluster offense, which accounts for just 72.7-points per game on a mere, 43.9% shooting from the floor, and only hit 31.4% from downtown. They must go up against one of the nastiest and most-frustrating defenses in the nation here today. The Cougars rank second in many defensive categories. Especially the ones that count most, points allowed, field-goal percentage, and three-point percentage. But it doesn’t just stop there. They are also a top-10 defensive rebounding squad as well. So, I don’t see Auburn getting too many second-chance opportunities at all. Offensively, the Cougars are a powerhouse. They are loaded with talent. They have speed, height, strength, and savvy. I look for them to light up the scoreboard here with a very talented offense, and a deep bench. Furthermore, they’re not just great on the defensive glass. They are awesome on the office boards as well, ranking 19th in the nation. By the way, the Tigers have only covered seven of the last 28 games played following a straight up win. They have been absolute pointspread poison. I don’t see them competing on the scoreboard at all in this matchup, and I certainly don’t see them covering this game. Take the Cougars. Thank you. |
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03-18-23 | Duke -3.5 v. Tennessee | 52-65 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
Duke Blue Devils. Top Play Game 803. 11:40 AM PST/2:40 PM EST This has been a strange tournament thus far. We have seen several No. 1 seeds go down. With Purdue out-of-the-way, Duke knows they have a very good shot of making it to the Final Four. They will take no chances in this matchup. Tennessee is a formidable opponent. However, this is a team that enters this matchup losing seven of the last 13 outings. Many thought they could be a No. 1 seed come the Tournament. However, as the season progressed, they started to show signs of fatigue and showed signs of cracking. The Blue Devils are surging. They enter today’s contest one of the hottest teams in college basketball, winning 10 consecutive outings straight up, covering seven of those 10, which includes five consecutive ATS covers. Duke, listing zero injuries are a healthy team and are significantly stronger on the boards in this game. They will get as many second-chance shots as they need, offensively. And defensively, they will take away the Volunteers opportunities for a second-chance shots. With a slew of players, 6’7” and taller, which does include four 7’-footers, Duke has too much height and physicality in the paint for Tennessee. The Volunteers have covered just one of the last eight NCAA Tournament games, one of the last six following a straight up win, and one of the last six against teams is a winning percentage above .600. On the other hand, the Blue Devils have covered four of the last five NCAA Tournament games, five consecutive neutral site games, and five consecutive games against teams are winning percentage above .600. Take Duke. Thank you. |
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03-17-23 | Kent State +4.5 v. Indiana | 60-71 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
Kent State Golden Flashes. Blue Chip Play. Game 771. 6:55 PM PST/9:55 PM EST. Kent state is red-hot, winning six consecutive outings, which does include a perfect 3-0 mark in the recent MAC Tournament. This is a team that when asked to step up this season in nonconference play, hung in very tight with Houston, covering a 19-point spread, 49-44, and Gonzaga, covering a 16-point spread, 73-66. They are not easily intimidated. They can score. And they have a monster defense. Two areas in which Indiana falls short. The Hoosiers enter today’s matchup, splitting out the last eight games, straight up, only covering two of those eight outings. One of the best players in college basketball certainly wears an Indiana uniform in Trayce Jackson-Davis. However, one player cannot carry the team. Especially come Tournament time. He faces a very aggressive defense of the Golden flashes. They are big, strong, quick, and they can frustrate opponents. I actually feel the wrong team is favored here. But I will take the points with the underdog, which has covered four consecutive games played on neutral sites, 15 of the last 20 games played versus teams with a winning percentage of .600, and 36 of the last 51 games played overall. Indiana has only covered two of the last eight games played versus teams with a winning record, two of the last seven games played versus teams are winning percentage of a .600, and two of the last eight games played overall. Take Kent state. Thank you. |
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03-17-23 | Arizona State +6 v. TCU | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
Arizona State Sun Devils. NO LIMIT. Game 797. 7:05 PM PST/10:05 PM EST. Personally, I think the wrong team is favored here. This game should be at the very least a pick ‘em. Having said that, we all know Arizona State is known for defense. However, the offense really heated up in the First Four game against Nevada on Wednesday, accounting for 98-points. They have won three of the last four straight up, and five of the last eight against the spread. They face, in my opinion, are very overrated, TCU opponent here. This is a team that faded down the stretch, dropping six of the last 10 straight up, and only covering three of those 10 outings. Please understand the Sun Devils come off recent contests against the Bruins, two against the trojans, and two against the Wildcats. In all sincerity, they are stepping down in class here today. Giving them points is a mistake. The Horned Frogs have covered just three of the last 10 games played versus teams with a winning record. The Sun Devils have covered five of the last seven games played against teams with a winning record. Take Arizona State. Thank you. |
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03-17-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Memphis -125 | Top | 66-65 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
Memphis Tigers on the money line Wiseguy move. Game 780. 6:20 PM PST/9:20 PM EST. Florida Atlantic possesses an outstanding record of 31-3 this season. They have a talented back court of Davis and Martin. They also can score. And own a very solid defense. But the best tandem on the floor are Memphis’ Kendrick Davis and DeAndre Williams. The guard/forward duo accounted for 28.5-points per game, 11.3-rebounds per game, 8.5-assists per game, and 3.6-steals per game during the regular season. In the postseason, they took it up a notch accounting for over 54-points per game. The Tigers are a stellar squad. They just took down three solid opponents in the AAC Tournament, including the Cougars in the final. If you think that was an anomaly, on the last day of the season they lost a heartbreaker to that you seem Houston team 67-65. And a few weeks before that, suffered an eight-point lost to the No. 1 team in the nation at that time. This team can play basketball and they play against a much tougher level of opponent. Personally, I made this line closer to seven-points. This team is 4-0 ATS the last four games played following a straight up win, 5-1 ATS the last six games played on a neutral site, 4-1 ATS the last five games played versus teams with a winning percentage of .600, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played overall. Take the Tigers to roar here on the money line. Thank you. |
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03-17-23 | Drake v. Miami-FL -130 | Top | 56-63 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
Miami Florida Hurricanes on the moneyline. Day 2 Round of 64 Top Play. Game 770. 4:25 PM, PST/7:25 PM EST. If you recall, last year’s NCAA Tournament saw the Miami Hurricanes, making it to the Elite Eight. This team is chock-full of talent, experience, and depth. Sports fans, this number is a little low here and that is because Miami’s forward, Norchad Omier is questionable. Reports are that his ankle is fine and he will suit up and be on the floor for this contest. Now always do your due diligence and check the status of a major player prior to game time. But I feel he’s going to play. Even if he does not, this team has way too much talent upfront, in the back court, and on the bench for Drake. The Bulldogs only stepped up in class a few times this season, getting smoked by the Spiders, 82-52 and the Billikens, 83-75. I know they ran through the Missouri Valley Tournament and took down the conference’s top-team, Bradley. I think we can all agree the Braves are a far cry away from the Hurricanes. Miami has faced and beaten much better opponents than their adversary here today. They also possess arguably one of the best back courts in the nation of Wong and Miller. I see the duo controlling the tempo and the pace of this game. The Hurricanes have covered 15 of the last 20 games played following an ATS loss, 11 of the last 15 games played following a straight up loss, and 35 of the last 51 games played against teams with the winning percentage above .600. Take Miami on the moneyline. Thank you. |
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03-16-23 | Penn State v. Texas A&M -155 | 76-59 | Loss | -155 | 25 h 26 m | Show | |
Texas A&M AGGIES on the moneyline. SLAM DUNK PLAY. Game 754. 6:55 PM PST/9:55 PM EST. I am well aware Penn State is running hot. I’m also well aware they have two potential draft picks on the roster. Yes, the Nittany Lions enter this matchup winning eight of the last 10 straight up and covering seven of those 10 against the spread. But Texas A&M is also running hot. They enter the Big Dance winning 19 of the last 23 contests. You may not realize this, but very quietly the Aggies finished just a game behind the Crimson Tide in the very competitive, SEC. Guard, Wade Taylor IV is one of the hottest scorers in college basketball right now. He has accounted for 21-points per game across his last 10 outings. The Aggies defense is relentless and on both sides of the court, they are monsters on the boards. And will dominate the glass. To be quite honest, I don’t know what the Selection Committee was thinking when they put this team at the number seven seed. Texas A&M has covered 20 of the last 28 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 and 10 of the last 12 games played overall. Take the Aggies. Thank you. |
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03-16-23 | Oral Roberts v. Duke -5.5 | Top | 51-74 | Win | 100 | 22 h 25 m | Show |
Duke Blue Devils. Round Of 64 Top Play. Game 782 4:10 PM, PST/7:10 PM With all respect to the Golden Eagles, they do not belong on the same court as the Blue Devils. I know this team had a nice Cinderella story a few years ago in the Tourney. I also know they were 18-0 in the Summit League and are riding a 17-game win streak. But folks, who did they beat? They started off the campaign with an eight-point loss to Saint Mary’s. A week later got devoured by Houston, 83-45. And another week after that, they took a 10-point defeat on the road at Utah State. So, my friends, they stepped up in class three times and got beat all three times this season. Duke is a monster team with a monster roster. They are no strangers to the NCAA Tournament. They have intelligence, height, muscle, speed, and depth. They enter this matchup winning nine consecutive games, straight up against a much higher level of opposition than their counterpart is accustomed to facing. It’s true, Oral Roberts does have a 7‘5“ player on their roster. And he’s a damn good player at that. However, Duke has four players on their roster 7 foot or taller. They also don’t choke. A couple of the big names on the Golden Eagles are known to have choked when it comes to bigger games. Facing the Blue Devils, in the first round of the Big Dance is the biggest game this team will ever see. You can expect Duke to dominated both ends of the court and particularly on both the offensive and defensive glass. Oral Roberts has failed to cover four consecutive games against teams with a winning record, 12 of the last 15 games played versus teams is a winning percentage above .600, and seven of the last nine games played overall. Take the Blue Devils. Thank you. |
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03-16-23 | Howard v. Kansas -21.5 | 68-96 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
Kansas Jayhawks. Wiseguy Move. Game 758. 11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST. My friends, I’m not a big fan of laying big wood in the first round of the Big Dance. But a win is a win is a win. Head coach Kenny Blakeney won a national championship with the last time Howard appeared in the NCAA tournament, 31 years ago. That was 1992 when Kansas hammered Howard in the first round, 100-67. The last time these two teams met was in December, 2011 when the Jayhawks shellacked the Bison, 89-34. Déjà vu all over again my friends. Howard was 11-3 in MEAC play and an overall 22-12 on the campaign. This is a very talented team. However, this is also a team that lost 95-63 in the first game of the season against Kentucky, 85-75 a few days later against George Washington, 95-69 even a few days after that against James Madison, and over the upcoming weeks, got downed by Wyoming 78-71, devoured by Bellarmine 96-73, shredded by Yale, 86-40, beaten by Hampton 74-65, and dismantled by VCU, 70-60. Every time they stepped up even a little bit in class, they were decimated. Kansas doesn’t have a problem, flexing their muscles, especially against lesser teams. Looking at their first few weeks of their nonconference schedule, they beat some opponents by over 30+ points my friends. And coming off an embarrassing loss in the Big 12 Championship against Texas, 76-56, you can expect Bill Self, who, by the way will be back on the sideline here, to have his team, primed, prepped, ready, and make a statement to the rest of the field. The Jayhawks need to get back in sync, following that dismantling at the hands of the Longhorns. They also need to get a big confidence-builder. And furthermore, they need to let the rest of the teams in the tournament. know that they are a team to be reckoned with. Howard had problems as I mentioned earlier coming out of the conference against teams are strong defenses. Not only can Kansas play defense, but they are one of the most complete teams in the nation. They have speed, strength, height, depth, and are well-coached. They are also 6-1 ATS the last seven games played following a double-digit loss played in Lawrence, Kansas. Take the Jayhawks. Thank you. |
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03-15-23 | Arizona State -135 v. Nevada | 98-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Arizona State Sun Devils on the moneyline. Game 703. 6:10 PM PST/9:10PM EST. There is no question Arizona State comes into this match up with more momentum. Nevada has lost and failed to cover the last three outings. These were against three opponents they should have beaten easily. This team is sliding. They go up against a Sun Devils squad that has suffered three losses in the last five outings coming into today’s contest. But those three defeats were against the likes of the Bruins, the Trojans, and the Wildcats. Nevada did not play well when leaving the conference. They had problems against several nonconference opponents this season. Meanwhile, following embarrassing first week of the season loss on the road at Texas Southern, Arizona State play pretty darn good out of conference, taking down such notables as Virginia Commonwealth, Michigan, SMU, and Creighton. The Wolfpack have failed to cover five of the last seven games played versus teams are winning percentage above .600. Take the Sun Devils. Thank you. |
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03-15-23 | Celtics -4.5 v. Wolves | 104-102 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics. Game 581. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. The Boston Celtics have relinquished the Eastern Conference’s top-spot to the Milwaukee Bucks. They now sit three-games behind them in second place in the Conference. Yes, even in the Atlantic Division, they have just a one-game lead over the Philadelphia 76ers. Teams are closing in on them. They have dropped five of the last seven games entering tonight’s matchup. They need to get back on track and they need to do it now. They face depleted Minnesota Timberwolves opponent here. Let’s face it, they’ve got a laundry list of players either banged up, questionable, or out. This is an ideal situation for the Celtics to earn a big victory and get back on the winning track. They took the only meeting with the Timberwolves this season back in December at home 121-109. I look for their explosive offense to absolutely dominate the lackluster Minnesota defense here. The Celtics have covered five of the last six games played at the Timberwolves and five of the last seven overall games played on the road. The Timberwolves have failed to cover six of the last eight games played following a straight up win and four consecutive games at home. Take Boston. Thank you. |
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03-14-23 | Mississippi State v. Pittsburgh +2.5 | Top | 59-60 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
Pitt Panthers. Game 702. 6:10 PM PST/9:10 PM EST. Many out there, including the Pitt Panthers themselves, didn’t think they would be playing in the First Four brackets. However, dropping four of the final seven games is the reason why. This is a very deep and talented squad with a very smart coach. Let’s not forget they play in a very good conference. As a matter fact, they finished tied for second place in conference play at 14-6, and with an overall record of 22-11. The first few weeks of the season were very difficult on the team as they were still trying to find their sea legs. Then they got into a groove and started winning. Moreover, they started taking down some very solid opposition. Please remember they play in one of the most competitive conferences in college basketball. And have they held their own. Offensively, they are a powerhouse. During the regular season, they were led by four double-digit scorers and a slew of solid rebounders. They have strength upfront, and quickness in the back court. Mississippi State is known for defense. They rank in the top-10 in the nation, in both points allowed and field-goal percentage allowed. However, (and there’s always a however), however, offensively, they are absolutely deplorable. There is no aspect of their offense that brings any hope to this team contending on the scoreboard with Pitt today. They have just one double-digit scorer in forward, Tolu Smith. He is only one of two solid, frontcourt, big men for this team. While they were loaded at the guard position, they just don’t have the talent up front to compete in this matchup. By the way, they have failed to cover four straight games. Not only that, but they have failed to cover five straight games played on neutral sites. Meanwhile, the Panthers have been money, covering 11 of the last 15 games played versus teams with a winning record and 21 of the last 28 games played overall. Take Pitt. Thank you. |
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03-14-23 | Villanova +3.5 v. Liberty | 57-62 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Villanova Wildcats. Game 677. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Despite a slew of injuries to major contributors, Villanova won seven of the final 10 games. They enter the NIT pissed off as they felt they earned a spot in the Big Dance. Liberty earned a share of the Atlantic Sun regular season title and enter today’s contest the No. 2 seed. Statistically, the Flames possess better numbers, both offensively and defensively than does the Wildcats. But it really isn’t about your record. It’s about the record you achieved by beating certain teams. Liberty stepped up early in the season and lost to Alabama. A few weeks later, took a beating at the hands of Northwestern. So, you could say when it counted, the team folded like a cheap suit. Villanova certainly was a “Jekyll and Hyde” team this season. At times showed signs of greatness. At times fell flat. However, you cannot dispute the disparity between the talent and depth on these two squads. The Wildcats play in a very physical conference. They have big, strong, physical players. While, the Flames are certainly talented, they just don’t have the height or the muscle to contend in the paint here. They have also covered just one of the last seven games played versus teams with a winning record. Meanwhile, Villanova has covered four in a row following a straight up loss. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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03-14-23 | Toledo +6.5 v. Michigan | 80-90 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Toledo Rockets. Game 685. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. The Michigan Wolverines are certainly a storied college basketball team. But if you really look back as many times as this team has been a top-tier team going into the Big Dance, they’ve only walked away with one national title. I’m not looking to take away anything from the Wolverines, folks. But let’s be honest, this teams falls way short when it comes to the postseason. Let’s fast forward to this campaign and their NIT chances. Michigan, which was ranked No. 22 in the preseason poll, and really had a disappointing campaign, finishing 17-15 overall and a dismal 11-9 in Big Ten play. They have lost three consecutive games, including their last as they were bounced out of the Big Ten tournament in the first game, falling to Rutgers, 62-50. You may think because they’re a Big Ten team, that they will roll over a MAC opponent. However, the Toledo Rockets finished the regular season, winning the MAC championship outright for the third year in a row. They possess a record of 27-7 overall, which includes a 16-2 mark in league play. They had a 17-game win streak going until the last outing, a tough loss to Kent. That defeat got them to where they are here in the NIT. This is a very good team that knows how to win. While they don’t step out of their conference often, when they do, they can compete. I really feel giving this team this many points is a huge mistake made by the odds makers. They have scorers and are loaded with rebounders. That will give them some second-chance opportunities offensively, and take away some of Michigan’s second-chance opportunities defensively. The Rockets have covered four in a row following a straight up loss, seven in a row following an ATS loss, four of the last five on the road versus teams with a winning home record, and six of the last seven overall. Take the Rockets. Thank you. |
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03-13-23 | Pacers -150 v. Pistons | 97-117 | Loss | -150 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Indiana Pacers on the moneyline. Game 545. 4:10 PM, PST/7:10 PM EST. Yes, it seems like every single day there are more and more injuries and players being sidelined for load management in the NBA. Both teams here have a laundry list of players that are either questionable or out this evening. But there is no question Indiana is deeper with talent and has something to play for. In a quick turnaround from Saturday’s, 121-115 on this very same court, Indiana should have no problem disposing of Detroit once again. The Pacers can continue their postseason push here playing for the Eastern Conference play-in tournament. The Pistons have not won a game since prior to Valentine’s Day. That’s right, they have lost 11 straight outings. Indiana has won and covered both meetings this season in this Eastern Conference rivalry. They have also covered four of the last five on the road and seven of the last nine overall. Take the Pacers. Thank you. |
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03-12-23 | Dayton v. VCU -145 | Top | 56-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
VCU Rams on the moneyline. Game 654. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. VCU dominated the Atlantic 10 conference with a 15-3 record. They enter today’s matchup on-fire, winning eight straight contests and covering six of the last seven. Winning the Conference Tournament at the Barclays Center here today will leave the Selection Committee no doubt for the team when seeding for the Big Dance. At full strength, the Rams can and will take advantage of a depleted Flyers roster. They have covered 10 of the last 12 games played versus teams with a winning record and seven of the last nine games played on neutral sites. Take VCU on the moneyline. Thank you. |
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03-12-23 | Texas A&M +4.5 v. Alabama | Top | 63-82 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
Texas A&M Aggies. Game 655. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Say what you want about the 4th ranked Alabama team, but when it comes to Texas A&M, the Aggies have had their number. The Crimson Tide has lost and failed to cover five consecutive meetings with the Aggies. This includes the only matchup this season, a little more than a week ago being defeated, 67-61. Texas A&M, since Christmas has been striding, going 19-3 straight up (this includes this post season). Their defense has stepped it up over recent months, and once again today will frustrate their opponent. They possess one of the only rebounding cores in this conference that could compete up front with Alabama. We can expect another physical matchup, which will certainly benefit Texas A&M, as they are significantly better from the free-throw line. The underdog has covered six of the last seven meetings in this rivalry. The Aggies have covered 20 of the last 27 games played versus teams with a winning percentage of .600, 26 of the last 35 games played following a straight up win, and 38 of the last 56 games played overall. Take Texas A&M. Thank you. |
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03-11-23 | Duke -145 v. Virginia | Top | 59-49 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
Duke Blue Devils on the moneyline. Game 631. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. It is no secret Virginia tends to be overvalued by the odds makers. I understand they are coming into this matchup a small underdog. But this team has been pointspread poison for anyone who follows them, covering just two of the last eight outings. Meanwhile, Duke certainly has momentum, running red-hot, winning eight consecutive outings straight up, and covering five of the last seven. I am well aware the Cavaliers took down the Blue Devils exactly one month ago at home in overtime, 69-62. That was the last defeat Duke suffered. They turned their entire outlook around and started playing with grit. Even in that matchup, Duke was much better from both the free throw line and beyond the arc. Not only that, but they absolutely dominated the glass. And that is where I believe this game will be won. The blue Devils rebounding prowess on both sides of the court will be a key factor in them winning this contest. By the way, they are 100% healthy. A rare occurrence for this time of the year. However, Virginia lost forward Vander Plas a few games ago. During the regular season, he was one of the better rebounders and a solid force upfront. He will be sorely missed in this matchup and they will pay for his absence. Duke has covered five of the last six games played versus teams with a winning record. Take the Blue Devils on the money line. Thank you. |
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03-11-23 | Texas v. Kansas -125 | Top | 76-56 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
Kansas Jayhawks on the money line Game 624 3:00 PM PST/6:00 PM EST. In my opinion, currently there is no team playing as goo as the Kansas Jayhawks. Yes, they are playing for the Big 12 Tournament title. But they are also playing for the number one overall seed in the upcoming NCAA Tournament. They are the favorite to grab the top overall seed, but a less than stellar performance today would also bring into consideration, Alabama or Houston. That does depend on their results today as well. Having said that, the Jayhawks must go all out here today against a very formidable opponent. The Longhorns finished the regular season in second place in the conference. They also enter this matchup winning the last three straight up and the last four ATS. It is quite fortuitous for Kansas to be facing Texas here in the championship game. Exactly one week ago today, on the road the Jayhawks took an embarrassing 75-59 defeat at the hands of the Longhorns. One thing that doesn’t go over well with Kansas, is an embarrassing defeat. Remember, they are also playing with extra motivation as their coach, Bill Self is recuperating from a medical procedure. In all honesty, Texas looks solid for the number two seed for the Big Dance. I’m not saying they are not going to go all out here. But they look to be locked into their position. Both teams have a major player listed as questionable here today. There is no doubt that the Jayhawks are deeper, which certainly benefits their starting-five as they will come in a little fresher here today. The Longhorns have only covered seven of the last 22 games played following an ATS win, six of the last 20 games played following a straight up win, and three of the last 10 games played on neutral sites. Meanwhile, Kansas is 5-1 ATS the last six games played following an ATS win, 5-1 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a winning percentage above .600, and 7-3 ATS the last 10 games played overall. Take the Jayhawks. Thank you. |
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03-11-23 | Cornell v. Yale -6 | 60-80 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
Yale Bulldogs Game 602. 8:00 AM PST/11:00 AM EST. Yale shared the top-spot the Ivy league during the regular season at 10-4 in conference play enroute to an overall record of 20-7. They face a Cornell team that went just 7-7 in Ivy League play this regular season. The Big Red kind of stumbled their way into the semifinals. Let’s face it, this team is just 3-6 straight up the last nine outings, in which they have only covered one of those contests. They are absolute point spread poison. And in all sincerity, do not belong on the same court as today’s opponent. The Bulldogs are a monster squad, winning nine of the last 10 straight up, and covering seven of the last eight coming into today’s game. Granted, Cornell scores a bit more, but Yale counters with a frustrating top-25 defense that allows just 62.7-points per game. On the flipside, the Bulldogs can score points as well. And they will light up the scoreboard here against the nations 329th rank defense of the Big Red, which has gotten plowed this season for 75.9-points per game, allowing 47.1% from the floor. Cornell has failed to cover seven consecutive outings against teams with a winning record. Yale has covered 20 of the last 27 games played at neutral sites. Take the Bulldogs. Thank you |
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03-10-23 | Clemson +3.5 v. Virginia | 56-76 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Clemson tigers. Game 851 6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM Yeah, yeah, yeah, we all know Virginia has a defense. But their “D” just can’t compensate for the lack of offense, especially against solid opponents. I know they have a great record. But they are overvalued by the oddsmakers. Case in point, they’ve only covered once over the last seven outings. Meanwhile, Clemson, which has the experience and the talent to make this a very competitive contest, enters today’s matchup covering five straight outings. The Tigers have a very big, strong front court. And now that the Cavaliers, are without forward, Vander Plas, I looked for them to fall a little short in the paint. And once these teams go to the line, because this will be a physical matchup, Clemson gets a big edge because they hit nearly 80% from it. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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03-10-23 | Wichita State +2.5 v. Tulane | 76-82 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Wichita State. Game 827. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST Very simply, my friends, the wrong team is favored here. I know Tulane has a bit of a better overall record and a better mark in conference play than does Wichita State. But the Shockers play the Green Wave very tough. In the two meetings this season, the first went into overtime and saw Tulane winning, 95-90. The second was a Wichita win and cover, 83-76. Coming into this match up there is no question the Shockers are hotter, winning five of the last seven straight up and four straight against the spread. Meanwhile, the Green Wave, although have won their last two-games following a three-game slide, has failed to cover five consecutive outings. I know Tulane has an explosive offense. But I do like the way Wichita State counters with a very frustrating, swarming defense. No matter how good they are offensively, the Green Wave cannot compensate for their doormat of a defense, which is allowing over 76.6-points per game. If you look closely, you will see over the last month and a half they have gotten lit up. Take the Shockers. Thank you. |
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03-10-23 | Arkansas v. Texas A&M -110 | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
Texas A&M Aggies on the moneyline. Game 834. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Texas A&M comes into today’s conference matchup with momentum. The Aggies have won eight of the last nine, both straight up and against the spread. Offensively, they are getting it done with a very unselfish roster. Defensively, they are completely shutting down opponents. They have had a few extra days off to rest and prepare for this matchup. On the other hand, Arkansas had a barnburner yesterday eking out a victory over Auburn (They will have tired legs today). That was the first win over the last four outings, and the first cover over the last three. The Razorbacks do possess a starting-five all averaging double-digits during the regular season. But I do feel the Aggies match up well on both sides of the court here. Texas A&M has covered 24 of the last 33 games played following a straight up win and six of the last seven games played versus teams with a winning straight up record. Take the Aggies. Thank you. |
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03-10-23 | Iowa State v. Kansas -4.5 | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
Kansas Jayhawks Game 854 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Despite splitting out their two meetings, this season, Iowa State has covered both against Kansas. The last matchup, about five weeks ago, the Cyclones embarrassed, the Jayhawks, 68-53 on their home court. One thing Kansas doesn’t take lightly or sits well with, is losing, let alone losing badly. The Jayhawks are playing their best basketball of the season right now. There is also a big motivation factor here for the team as they are playing for their head coach, Bill Self, who is recuperating from a medical procedure. Emotions will run high in this matchup for the squad. I know how good the Iowa State defense can be. But the way the Kansas offense is playing right now and the fact that they’re looking to get a little revenge from that embarrassing loss last month, I just see them annihilating their conference rival here. Remember the Cyclones are just 4-9 ATS the last 13 games played versus teams with a winning record and 4-10 ATS the last 14 games played overall. By the way, the favorite has covered seven of the last nine meetings in the series. Take the Jayhawks. Thank you. |
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03-09-23 | New Mexico v. Utah State -3 | 76-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
Utah State. Game 780. 8:30 PM PST/11:30 PM EST If you recall, New Mexico was the last unbeaten team in the nation. But that was in 2022. Since the New Year began, this team has struggled. Since January 3, in regular season play, they went just 7-10. Not only that, but they’ve only covered six games during that span. Granted, they won yesterday’s match up with Wyoming. But in all sincerity, the Cowboys are the worst team in the Mountain West Conference. Tonight, they face one of the best teams in the MWC. The Aggies are a monster squad folks. They own a 24-7 overall record, which does include a 13-5 league mark. They enter today’s matchup red-hot, winning and covering five straight contests. They took the only meeting in this rivalry this season back on February 1, 84-73. That marked the fifth consecutive straight up win for Utah State over New Mexico, covering four of the five meetings. Most of New Mexico’s statistics are skewed because of their success through December. The Aggies were better on the boards and from downtown in the first meeting. Nothing changed since to make us think that this outcome will be any different. They are deeper, stronger, are better on the boards, and are striding. The favorite has covered four of the last five meetings. The Aggies have covered five of the last six games played at neutral states and four of the last five games played versus teams with the winning percentage above .600. Take Utah State. Thank you. |
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03-09-23 | TCU v. Kansas State +2.5 | Top | 80-67 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
Kansas State Wildcats. Game 756 6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST. Kansas State had the better record in Big 12 play. Kansas State had a better overall record. And Kansas State is higher-ranked. So, for the life of me, why are they an underdog here today? If I have ever seen a trap, this looks like it folks. The Wildcats finished the regular season campaign winning four the last five, both straight up and against the spread. They also took the most recent meeting with the Horned Frogs, approximately one month ago. Granted, both teams are 3-0 neutral sites this season. But TCU should not be favored here today my friends. They are just 3-6 straight up and 2-7 ATS the last nine outings. And I believe they are going to have a tough time today against the frustrating KSU defense. Kansas State is also money in the bank when playing solid opposition, covering eight of the last 11 versus teams with a winning percentage above .600. Meanwhile, Texas Christian has only covered one of the last six games played against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Make no mistake of it my friends, this is the game the Horned Frogs will severely miss the big man in the middle, Lampkin. The Wildcats are very strong upfront, will dominate the glass, and win this game. Take Kansas State. Thank you. |
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03-09-23 | North Carolina +3 v. Virginia | 59-68 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
North Carolina. Game 723. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST What can you say about Virginia? Yes, they won their last two games to salvage a share of the ACC regular season title. Yes, they own a 23-6 overall record. And yes, they rank 13th in the country. But when it comes to ACC tournament action, let’s face it, they fall short. Moreover, they are point spread poison, failing to cover the last six outings. Overall, on the campaign they are just 10-17-2 ATS. There is no question they get overvalued. But this will work to our advantage today. North Carolina enters this matchup striding, winning four of the last five straight up, and three of their last four against the spread. They took the most recent meeting in this conference rivalry a few weeks back at home, 71-63. Many out there also feel that if they didn’t lose Armando Bacot in the first matchup, they would have won that meeting as well. The Tar Heels cannot only put up a ton of points, they can rebound with the best in the nation. They are big and strong upfront. And have a talented back court. They also have a very smart coach who knows how to handle the Cavaliers. To be quite honest, Virginia has their Big Dance invitation locked up. I don’t see them going above and beyond here today. Take North Carolina. Thank you. |
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03-09-23 | Wake Forest v. Miami-FL -6 | 72-74 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
Miami Florida Hurricanes. Game 720. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Sports fans forgive me. I normally write a little more in-depth analysis on my games. Being that there are so many games today and many are going off early, I’m keeping my analysis brief. It was by no accident Miami was atop the ACC this regular season. They were 15-5 in conference play and an overall 24-6 on the campaign. They have had their way with Wake Forest in this rivalry, winning and covering the last three meetings. This includes a 96-87 win and cover in the only matchup this season, just three weeks ago. The Demon Deacons certainly struggled towards the end of the campaign, winning just two of the final five outings straight up, and failing to cover six of the last seven contests. I just don’t see them keeping pace on either end of the court with the superior Hurricanes squad. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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03-09-23 | Rutgers v. Michigan -3 | 62-50 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
Michigan Wolverines. Game 36. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Sports fans forgive me. I normally write a little more in-depth analysis on my games. Being that there are so many games today and many are going off early, I’m keeping my analysis brief. There’s a very good possibility whichever team loses today will be out of any possibility for a Big Dance appearance. Having said that, you must go with the more reliable, better coached team. And that is without a doubt, Michigan. Rutgers, which has only covered one of the last eight outings, finished the regular season struggling to win just two of the last eight games. Meanwhile, the Wolverines, in their final 10 outings covered eight of those 10 contests. And following a 6-2 straight up run, I think we could all forgive them for being tired in the last two outings, both road overtime, two-point losses at the hands of Illinois and Indiana. This did follow an overtime win at home against Wisconsin. However, this team did finish the regular season covering five consecutive matchups. They had no problem this season dispatching with Rutgers, taking the only meeting back at the end of February, 58-45 on the road. I know the Scarlet Knights possess a solid defense. But they did get plowed for 140 combined points in the last two games. I do feel coach Juwan Howard will have the Wolverines primed and ready here, as he knows a loss means no Big Dance for the storied Wolverines. By the way, Michigan is also 36-15-2 Ats the last 53 games played on neutral sites. Take the Wolverines. Thank you. |
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03-08-23 | Bulls v. Nuggets -9 | 117-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Denver Nuggets. Game 560. 6:10 PM, PST/9:10 PM EST These are two teams certainly trending in opposite directions. The Denver Nuggets, which are perched atop the Western Conference at 46-19, have won eight of the last nine games straight up and seven of those games against the spread. The Chicago Bulls are just outside the postseason cut line at 29-36. They have turned ice-cold folks, dropping nine of the last 12 straight up, and 10 of those 12 against the number. If you recall, the Nuggets dissected the Bulls one 126-103 in the only meeting this season back in mid-November on the road. On both sides of the court and on the boards, the Chicago is significantly outclassed here. They have gotten blown up in the last two outings (both losses) defensively, getting plowed for a combined 250-points. Now they face a top-five offense accounting for over 117.2-points per game. Not only that, but defensively Denver leads the NBA on the glass, which will take away any of Chicago’s second-chance opportunities. The Bulls have failed to cover six consecutive games on the road and six of the last seven versus teams with a winning record. Meanwhile, the Nuggets have covered 20 of the last 28 games played at home and have covered 10 of the last 11 games played following an ATS loss. Take Denver. Thank you. |
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03-08-23 | Minnesota v. Nebraska -5.5 | 78-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Nebraska Cornhuskers. Game 682. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. I know it’s not easy for a conference rival to sweep three games against one another. However, if anyone can do it this season, it is Nebraska over Minnesota. The Cornhuskers have taken four consecutive meetings over the Golden Gophers, straight up. And are just a half-point away from covering all four. They enter today’s matchup, one of the hottest teams in the league, winning six of the last eight, both straight up and against the spread. Meanwhile, their opponent today is colder than ice, dropping 13 of the last 14 straight up. They have covered six of those 14 outings. However, most of those were as double-digit underdogs. I feel this line is a little short. It should be a little higher folks. Offensively, Nebraska scores more points. Defensively they allow less points. They’re also healthier. Momentum is a big part of this first round in conference tournaments and the Cornhuskers certainly have momentum. By the way, they have also covered 20 of the last 27 games played versus teams with a winning percentage below .400. Take Nebraska. Thank you. |
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03-07-23 | 76ers +2.5 v. Wolves | 117-94 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers. Game 537. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST The Philadelphia 76ers are exactly where they want to be right now. They are currently in second place in the Atlantic Division, just two-games behind the Boston Celtics. Overall, in the Eastern Conference, they sit in third place four-games behind the Conferences top team, the Milwaukee Bucks. They are relatively healthy and are playing some excellent basketball. This is a team which happens to be equally impressive on the road as they are at home. While playing in Philadelphia, they possess a 24-10 record. When they travel, they are a stellar 18-12, one of the better away marks in the NBA. They face a Minnesota Timberwolves team riding a three-game win streak, both straight up and against the spread. However, those three victories were all on the road. Things happen to change for the team, when hosting, as they are being overvalued of late, losing and failing to cover their last two outings at the Target Center. They will once again be without two key cogs in the wheel, as both Karl-Anthony Towns and Jaylen Nowell continue to be sidelined tonight. I am well aware the 76ers played a barnburner at the Pacers last night, prevailing 147-143. Tonight’s contest will conclude a five-game road trip for the 76ers, which has won three of four already. Please understand they took control of last night’s matchup in the second half, riding the momentum coming into this outing. Granted, it’s always an issue if starters are going to play back-to-back games for any of the top teams in the NBA these days. But I do expect Joel Embiid and James Harden to be on the floor tonight (check status). There is even a good chance at least one, if not both, Tobias Harris, and P.J. Tucker will see some action as well (check status). This is a team that has covered seven of the last 10 outings played on zero days rest and seven of the last 10 as a visitor. They have also dominated this series, covering 13 of the last 16 meetings with Minnesota, which does include four straight on the road. In the only meeting this season, a mid-November matchup in Philadelphia, the T-Wolves prevailed 112-109. It was a cover for the 76ers, but the home loss left a bitter taste in their mouth. They want to sweeten that up with a big victory, and earn a little revenge and get payback here tonight. Take note, the home defeat, came without Harden, Harris, or Maxey playing. Minnesota is just 4-10 ATS the last 14 games played on two-days rest and 2-5 ATS the last seven games played following a straight up win. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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03-07-23 | Loyola-Chicago v. St. Joe's -125 | 67-72 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
Saint Joseph’s Hawks on the moneyline. Game 604. 11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST. You can expect a large Hawks fan base to travel the short distance to Brooklyn for the first round of the Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament. Saint Joseph’s took both meetings with Loyola-Chicago this season, by 31 and 12-points. I just don’t see the lackluster, Ramblers offense, which ranks 295th accounts for just 67.4-points per game, to keep pace on the scoreboard here. They are outclassed significantly folks. They have absolutely crushed bettors this season, going just 9-21 ATS. By the way, they only covered one of the last six games played on neutral sites. On the other hand, St. Joseph’s has made money for anyone who has wagered on them, going 4-0 ATS the last four games played versus teams with a winning percentage below .400, 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played following a straight up win, and 10-4 ATS the last 14 games played overall. Take the Hawks on the moneyline to soar. Thank you. |
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03-07-23 | Georgia Tech -133 v. Florida State | 61-60 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Georgia Tech on the moneyline. Game 607. 11:00 am pst/2:00 pm est. This is a perfect spot for the Yellow Jackets and all bet on them. Obviously, they are flying way under the radar in the ACC. And why not? They own a 6-14 record in conference play. But they are one of the hottest teams in the league right now, winning the last three in a row, straight up, and eight consecutive lined outings against the spread. Let’s face it, they are bankable right now. On the other hand, Florida State equally unimpressive in league play at 7-13 versus ACC opponents. But a much worse record overall, going 9-22 on the campaign. Not only do they not gain victories straight up, they have absolutely crushed anyone who follows them at the sportsbook covering just once over their last nine outings. Overall, the Seminoles statistics are some of the ugliest out there. Defensively, they rank 339th, allowing, or I should say, getting plowed four, 76.7-points per game. This leaves any chance they have in any contest, up to the offense. And they just do not possess the personnel to light up scoreboards. They are facing a very solid, very frustrating, Yellow Jackets defense that allows only 70.5-points per game. As a matter fact, Georgia Tech defense has really stepped up recently, which has accounted in a big way for their ATS hot streak. They have also covered eight of the last 11 games played versus teams with a losing record. Florida State has failed to cover the last six games played on neutral sites. Take Georgia Tech on he moneyline. Thank you. |
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03-06-23 | BYU +7.5 v. St. Mary's | 69-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
BYU Cougars. Game 881. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. This’ll be the Cougars final WCC tournament. As we all know they are moving to the Big 12 next season. The Cougars have certainly left their mark in the conference. However, the top-team in the West Coast Conference this season is Saint Mary’s. Although they are favored here today. I have a funny feeling that coming off their loss on the road to Gonzaga at the end of February, it’s going to be significant here. Along with the Bulldogs, the Gaels are the strongest teams in the WCC. I have a feeling they are going to get caught in look ahead mode, focusing on a conference show down with Gonzaga down the road. This way they can prove for once in all that they are the best team in the league However, don’t sell BYU short folks. This team enters this contest today heating up, winning her last three in a row straight up and covering eight of last 10. It’s true, Saint Mary’s has taken the last three meetings in this conference rivalry, including both regular season meetings this season. However, covering is a whole different story. The Cougars have covered six straight against the Gales. In the last three matchups, the games were settled by five, one, and six-points. BYU knows St. Mary’s very well and plays them extremely tough. The Gaels tend. to get overvalued. They have only covered three of the last nine overall outings coming into todays contest. I believe they’re being overvalued again here. Take BYU. Thank you |
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03-05-23 | Maryland +4 v. Penn State | Top | 64-65 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
Maryland Terrapins. Best Bet. Game 767. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. I am well aware of the fact the Terrapins are 10-0 at home in conference play but a dismal 1-8 on the road. They also know this stat as too. Coach, Kevin Willard also knows his team is one of seven Big Ten squads all tied for second place in the standings at 11-8. This game is a must win for Maryland. They took the first meeting in this matchup at home and come off a loss. They are an outstanding bounce-back team, not having suffered back-to-back defeats since early-January. They have also covered four of the last five following both, a SU and an ATS loss. For us bettors, they have turned it up recently, covering nine of the last 13 games played overall. Take the Terrapins. Thank you. |
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03-04-23 | Kansas +3.5 v. Texas | 59-75 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Kansas Jayhawks. Game 657. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. You would think that clinching another Big 12 regular season championship would allow Kansas to rest on their laurels here today. But that isn’t the case. If you recall, the Jayhawks began conference play in a mediocre fashion. However, they have won the last seven league contests to claim their 17th Big 12 title in coach Bill Self’s 20th season at the helm. They have won and covered the last two meetings with the Longhorns. This does include the only matchup this season back on February 6, at home, 88-80. Texas is looking fatigued. They have dropped the last two games straight up, and five of the last seven against the spread. Kansas doesn’t want to take any chances going into the conference tournament next week. They want to enter it making a statement and letting the rest of the Big 12 know they are the top-team in the league. In the earlier matchup, the Jayhawks had five players in double-digits and outrebounded the Longhorns, 36-29. Momentum is a big thing this time of year and coach Self wants to go into the tournament finishing the season continuing his teams win streak. Giving this team here points is a mistake. They have covered four of the last five on the road. Meanwhile Texas has only covered seven of the last 26 following an ATS win. Take Kansas. Thank you. |
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03-04-23 | TCU -135 v. Oklahoma | Top | 60-74 | Loss | -135 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
TCU Horned Frogs on the money line. Game 649. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. A victory here today would give TCU their first winning conference record since the 2000/2001 campaign. It is no secret that the Big 12 is arguably the toughest conference in college basketball today. This would be a big victory for the Horned Frogs to close out the regular season. Not only that, but it would give them some extra momentum going into the conference tournament. They took down the Sooners 79-52 at home in the only meeting against them this season, back on January 24. That win and cover gave TCU the third consecutive in this rivalry. And let’s face it, a loss here, no matter how good they play in the conference tournament, would definitely influence the Selection Committee for the Big Dance. Oklahoma is the league doormat, dwelling in the cellar at 4-13. At both ends of the court and on the boards, TCU is significantly stronger, and they know it. The backcourt tandem of Miles jr. and Baugh, which are combining for over 30.2-points per game, 7.2-rebounds per game, 8.8-assists per game, and-3.1 steals per game will control the pace and the tempo of this contest. One more item my friends, a victory here would give the Horned Frogs the No. 5 seed in next weeks Big 12 tournament. The Sooners have only covered two of the last eight at home. Take TCU on the moneyline. Thank you. |
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03-03-23 | Knicks -137 v. Heat | 122-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
New York Knicks on the moneyline. Game 5533 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST New York is running red-hot, winning seven consecutive outings. I don’t think it’s a coincidence that their hot streak began since acquiring the scrappy reserve, Josh Hart. He, as well as the rest of the roster have played with a higher intensity of late. There is certainly no love lost between these two Eastern Conference rivals. Let’s face it, the Knicks do not like the Heat. And they catch Miami at just the right time. The Heat have dropped five of the last six games, both straight up and against the spread. Kyle Lowry is out this evening. And Jimmy Butler is listed as questionable with a knee issue. Meanwhile, New York, at least as of post, has declared zero injuries on their roster. Offensively, they have stepped up, averaging 123.7-points per game during their current win streak, with an average margin of victory coming by 16.0-points per game. The defense has also tightened up quite a bit. And I just don’t see the struggling 30th ranked Miami offense contending in this one. As a matter of fact, in most offensive categories, the Heat rank towards the bottom of the barrel in the NBA. They have also covered just nine of the last 33 games played at home and only one of the last seven played on one days rest. On the other hand, the Knicks have covered 30 of the last 41 on the road and five straight playing on one days rest. Take New York. Thank you. |
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03-02-23 | 76ers +4 v. Mavs | 126-133 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers. Game 541. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Well, my friends, Philadelphia has won six of the last eight outings coming into tonight contest, both straight up and against the spread to bring them just 4.5-games back for the top-spot in the Eastern Conference. Overall they possess a very solid record of 40-21. They’ve been good to us sports bettors, D donning a 36-25 ATS mark this season. The Dallas Mavericks are struggling. They are just one-game over .500 overall, at 32-31, currently the seventh seed in the Western Conference and seven games behind the Memphis Grizzlies and the Southwest Division. They have lost and failed to cover five of the last six outings, including their last two. The recipe of Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving has been far from successful. As I mentioned this team is just 1-5, both SU and ATS the L6. The Mavericks certainly have issues on the defensive side of the court. They have been getting smoked, sports fans. Well, in comes a very well-rested Joel Embiid (check status). The 7,0”, 285 lb. center was rested last night so we can be in perfect form for this evening‘s match up. Overall, the Sixers have won four in a row straight up when playing the second of back-to-back games. And is 6-2 ATS this season when unrested. By the way, Embiid is just two-tenths of a point behind Doncic as the NBA’s leading scorers. I look for him to turn it up tonight. I doubt anybody on Dallas can slow him down, let alone stop him. Philly has won and covered three of the last four meetings in this series. They’ve also covered six of the last eight on the road and seven of the last nine playing on zero days rest. Dallas is just 2-6 ATS the last eight at home and has only covered two of the last eight meetings in Dallas against Philadelphia. Take the 76ers. Thank you. |
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03-02-23 | Wichita State +18 v. Houston | 66-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Wichita State Shockers. Game 735. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Without question, the Cougars deserve to be the No. 1 team in the country and all the accolades that go along with it. However, you cannot ignore the fact the Shockers give them a tough time. In the only meeting this season, Houston took down Wichita State, 70-61 is a 13-point favorite. That marked the fifth consecutive no cover in this rivalry for the team. They have the AAC locked up as they are 15-1 in conference play, with this game this evening and a game on the road at Memphis three days from now. As I said they have the conference locked up folks. They are also the No. 1 team in the country right now. Obviously, a loss to Wichita State would hurt them in the national rankings. But they don’t have to go all out here folks, they really don’t. Meanwhile the Shockers can finish the regular season with a decent record. They are currently 15-13 overall, which does include an 8-8 mark in league play. They have this game this evening than the regular season finale at home against South Florida. This is a team playing very good basketball right now, winning five of the last eight, both straight up and against the spread. I think we can all agree the Cougars tend to get over valued by oddsmakers. Especially lately as they have failed to cover five of the last eight. I know how good their defense is. But I just don’t see the team going all out this evening and jeopardizing any of their key players. The underdog has covered five straight meetings in this rivalry. The Shockers are 7-0 ATS the last seven games played versus teams with a winning home record, and 35-14-2 ATS the last 51 overall road games played. Take Wichita State. Thank you. |
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03-01-23 | Missouri -4 v. LSU | 81-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Missouri Tigers. Game 701. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Missouri is certainly looking to win this game tonight. They are trying to better their position for the SEC tournament and maybe even beyond that. They are 21-8 overall on the season, which does include a 9-7 mark in conference play. They finish up the regular season campaign at home against Mississippi on Saturday. They have a chance at earning a double bye, a single bye or no bye at all in the upcoming tournament depending on the next two games and the results of some other conference teams. On the other hand, LSU knows their future. They currently dwell in the SEC cellar at 2-14 in league play. Overall, they are 13-6. Since the New Year began, this team has only won one single game. If you’re keeping score, that’s a 1-15 straight up mark in 2023. They’ve only covered four games since January 1. Missouri took the first meeting exactly one month ago at home, 87-77. I just don’t see LSU and their lackluster offense, which account for a dismal, 67.2-points per game, keeping pace on the scoreboard with the explosive “O“ of Missouri, which posts 80.0-points per game on 47.5% shooting from the field. LSU is just 7-20 ATS the last 27 home games, 1-8 ATS the last nine games versus teams with a winning percentage of .600, and 3-12 ATS the last 15 overall games. Take Missouri. Thank you |
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03-01-23 | Pittsburgh -3.5 v. Notre Dame | 81-88 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh Panthers. Game 673. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Despite Notre Dame most-likely getting back a couple of players this evening, it’s a little too little and a little too late for the “not so” Fighting Irish. They have lost seven in a row and 11 of the last 12 straight up. They have sunk to 2-16 in conference play. They face the league’s top-team and top-25 ranked Pitt here today. A Panthers victory here tonight would clinch at least a share of the ACC regular season championship and a double bye in the upcoming conference tournament. They need a victory here because their next game is against the conferences second place team, the Hurricanes, which is the opponent in the regular season finale on March 4. This is a big game for the Panthers my friends. They come into it winning eight of the last line straight up, covering six of their last eight. This would also be a sweet revenge situation for them, as they have lost the last four meetings against the Fighting Irish going back three years. Pitt has covered 10 of the last 11 on the road and 20 of the last 26 overall. Meanwhile, Notre Dame has coverage just five of the last 20 at home and nine of the last 29 overall. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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03-01-23 | Fordham +3.5 v. George Mason | 58-64 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Fordham Rams. Game 675. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. My friends, I have this line much different than what the oddsmakers have put it out. I have Fordham actually a favorite of several baskets. This is a team sitting in third place in the Atlantic 10 at 11-5. Another victory here this evening would confirm a top-four finish in the conference and all that goes with it in the upcoming league tournament. Overall, the Rams own a very respectable 23-6 record on the campaign. They enter this matchup knowing that they have had their way with the Patriots, winning and covering both meetings a season ago. George Mason started to get a little hot, winning their last four straight up and going 3-1 ATS. However, I just don’t see them competing in this matchup. They have a couple of players that are out. And this will be a factor. That’s not the case for Fordham, which is 100% healthy. A rare benefit this time of the season. They’re also red-hot, winning 10 of the last 12 straight up and nine of those 12 against the spread. Without questions they possess a stronger backcourt that will control the tempo and the pace of this contest. They have also have covered five of the last seven as a visitor. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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02-28-23 | Texas A&M -5 v. Ole Miss | 69-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Texas A&M Aggies. Game 639. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Guys, there is no way this line should be this low. At 13-3 in conference play, Texas A&M sits two-games behind 1st-place, Alabama. They have this contest tonight against Mississippi then finish up their regular season schedule at home against the Crimson Tide. Alabama is 15-1 in SEC play. The Aggies have an opportunity to grab a share of the top-spot in the league. But they must win-out. Following a six-game win streak, both straight up and against the spread, Texas A&M took a tough loss three nights ago on the road at Mississippi State, 69-62. They must get back on the winning track here tonight and get in sync before their season finale against ‘Bama. They enter tonight‘s match up with confidence, as they swept Mississippi a season ago, taking both games straight up and against the spread by an average margin of victory of 13.0-points per game. I look for the Rebels to be in a huge letdown situation here. This is a team that struggled quite a bit this season. They were on a 2-15 SU run since just prior to Christmas, covering just five of those outings. That was before Saturday’s home win and cover over the LSU Tigers. On both sides of the court, Mississippi is outclassed here. They do not possess the personnel to keep pace on the scoreboard with Texas A&M‘s offense. And they are facing one of the better defenses in the conference to boot. The Aggies only allow 65.9-points per game on 40.4% shooting. The superior backcourt of Taylor IV and Radford, who combine for 29.1-points per game, 8.0-rebounds per game, and 6.4-assist per game, will control the pace and the tempo here. The Aggie’s are 7-3 ATS the last 10 road games played versus teams with a losing home record, 12-4 ATS the last 16 overall road games played, 4-0 ATS the last four games played versus teams with a losing straight up record, and 6-1 ATS the last seven games played overall. Take Texas A&M. Thank you. |
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02-28-23 | Pacers +8.5 v. Mavs | 124-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
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02-28-23 | Clemson +6.5 v. Virginia | Top | 57-64 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
Clemson Tigers. Game 619. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Despite these two teams both tied for 3rd-place in the ACC at 13-5, only Clemson has a shot at least for a share of the conference’s top-spot. A couple of things have to go their way, but it is still mathematically possible. Both teams need this win as neither want to be in a situation falling out of the top-four in the standings for the upcoming ACC tournament. I am fully aware of the fact Virginia is 13-1 straight up at home this season, covering five of their last six as host. I really do feel that they may lose this game outright, let alone cover. This is a team struggling right now, losing their last two straight up and failing to cover the last four in a row. On the other hand, the Tigers have won and covered three of the last four and come off perhaps their best performance of the season. They stomped the Wolfpack on the road, 96-71 has a 5.5- point underdog a few nights ago. They come into this contest tonight with momentum. Granted the Cavaliers defense is very frustrating. But it just can’t compensate for their lack of office anymore. They face a Tigers “O” averaging over 75.7-points per game and just shy of 37% from beyond the arc and almost 80% from the line. Without question Clemson possesses the much stronger front court with Tyson, Hall, and Schieffelin. I look for the big men to dominate on the glass, allowing successful transition. The road team has covered six consecutive meetings in this rivalry. Clemson has covered 10 of the last 14 games played versus teams with the winning percentage above .600. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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02-27-23 | Nevada -5 v. Wyoming | Top | 71-80 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
Nevada Wolfpack. Game 865. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Although a few things have to happen, Nevada still has a chance for a share of the top-spot in the Mountain West Conference. In my opinion, they are also on the right side of the cut line for the Big Dance. However, a loss here to the leagues bottom-dwelling Wyoming squad, might just put some doubts in the minds of the Selection Committee. The Wolfpack seems to have gotten stronger as the season progressed. Just over the last month or so, they have won six of the last seven, both straight up and against the spread. Sorry to say things didn’t go too well for the Cowboys this campaign. And it seems things have gone from bad to worse for this team, dropping and failing to cover the last three. During their current slide, the average margin of defeat is a whopping 9.6- points per game. Offensively, defensively, and on the boards, this team is significantly outclassed in tonight‘s matchup. They just do not Possess the talent to run with Nevada here. Whether it be in the back court where they are thin because guard, Reynolds has been out, Or upfront in the absence of forward, Ike, this team just cannot contend with guards, Lucas, and Blackshear, or big men, Baker and Williams. As I said earlier, they are significantly outclassed. The road team has covered 11 of the last 16 meetings. The Wolfpack are 5-1 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a winning percentage below .400, 4-1 ATS the last five games played following a straight up win, and 22-8-2 ATS the last 32 games played overall. Take Nevada. Thank you. |
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02-25-23 | San Francisco +6.5 v. BYU | 61-87 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
San Francisco Dons. Game 783. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. In the final regular season contest for both San Francisco and Brigham Young, the Dons have an opportunity to finish .500 in WCC action. They can also solidify themselves for a nice spot in the upcoming conference tournament. They enter today’s matchup running hot, winning three in a row and six of the last nine, while covering five of those nine. Meanwhile, the Cougars are struggling. It seems as though as the season progressed things got tougher for this team. And currently they are riding a four-game straight up a losing streak. Granted, they played some good opponents. But they are struggling folks. Without question, the Don’s possess a better backcourt, consisting of three phenomenal guards. Just the tandem of Shabazz and Roberts are combining for 33.4-points per game at 8.8-rebounds per game. Upfront, they are talented and deep. They have the personnel to contend with BYU’s two star forwards. The road team has covered 17 of the last 22 meetings in this rivalry. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
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02-25-23 | Texas A&M +1.5 v. Mississippi State | 62-69 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
Texas A&M Aggies. Game 673. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Sitting in second place in the SEC at 13-2, Texas A&M has a chance to win the conference. They have this game today against Mississippi State. Then over the next week and change, they go on the road at Mississippi and finish the regular season off at home against Alabama. The Crimson Tide is the only team possessing a better record in the Southeastern Conference. As I mentioned, the Aggie‘s have a chance at taking the conference. But it all starts with a big win here. This is a team running red-hot, winning six in a row, both straight up and against the spread. They face a Bulldogs opponent that should come in here a little bit fatigued following an overtime loss on the road at the Missouri Tigers a few nights ago. While Mississippi State themselves have played good basketball recently, and have covered recently, I just think they’re in for a very tough contest here today. They have a lackluster offense, ranking 320th, and scoring an average of 65.8-points per game. This does not bode well as they face the very stingy, very frustrating defense of Texas A&M. Despite this team possessing a top-10 defense, it just can’t compensate for their lack of offense folks. The Aggies come in here with confidence, knowing they have taken three of the last four meetings with the Bulldogs straight up. And for our purposes, have covered three of those last four meetings as well. They are also a whopping 12-3 ATS the last 15 games played on the road, 23-9 ATS the last 32 games played versus teams with a winning percentage above .600, and 21-7 ATS the last 28 games played following and ATS win. FYI, Mississippi State has only covered four of the last 15 games played at home. Take Texas A&M. Thank you. |
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02-24-23 | Nevada -132 v. Fresno State | 60-56 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
Nevada Wolf Pack on the moneyline . Game 893. 8:00 PM PST/11:00 PM EST. With just three games remaining in the regular-season schedule and sitting in third place in the Mountain West Conference, Nevada has a chance to better their league situation. They seem to be playing their best basketball of the season presently, winning and covering five of the last six outings. They enter today’s match up with confidence, knowing they have dominated Fresno State, winning nine of the last 10 straight up and seven of those 10 against the spread. This does include a 77-66 home win and cover just 14 days ago. On the other hand, Fresno State is a sub .500 team, both in conference play and overall. The Bulldogs are just 6-10 against at the MWC this season, possessing an overall mark of 10-17. Things don’t get any better for them when playing at the Save Mart Center where they are just 6-6 straight up this season. Going back a bit, they have crushed bettors when hosting as well, covering of six of the last 19 at home. I just don’t see their lackluster 351st ranked offense, which accounts for just 61.7-points per game, competing at all with the explosive Wolf Pack scoring machine. I expect another physical contest here this evening. This significantly benefits Nevada, as in the earlier meeting they hit 23 of 26 from the free throw line, compared to Fresno State’s 8 of 11 from the line. Overall, from the floor, Nevada is significantly better. Upfront they certainly own the much bigger, much stronger front court as well. I look for them to outrebound their counterpart here this evening and dominate the floor. The favorite has covered the last five meetings in the series, while Nevada has covered 23 of the last 31 overall. Take the Wolfpack. Thank you. |
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02-23-23 | Thunder +2.5 v. Jazz | 119-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City Thunder. Game 513. 6:10 PM PST/9:10 PM EST. My friends, you may not realize this, what is Thunder/Jazz matchup tonight is significant. As we begin the second half of the NBA campaign, Oklahoma City sits in 10th in the Western Conference, a half-game ahead of Utah. Strangely enough, this is the first meeting between these two division rivals this season. It’s true, the Jazz have taken seven in a row straight up. However, they are just 3-4 ATS during that span. As a matter of fact, going back a bit further, the Thunder have covered 12 of the last 16 overall meetings in this rivalry. Both teams are very different currently than they were even a season ago. Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert are no longer sporting Utah uniforms. OKC isn’t the same team either as SGA, Giddey, and Williams are three of their four players all averaging double-digits. They also happen to be one of the most successful ATS road teams in the NBA, covering 44 of the last 66 as a visitor. On the other hand, despite a respectable straight up home record of 18-12 at the Vivint Arena, the Jazz are just are just 8-14 ATS as a home favorite the last 22. This does include losing and failing to cover the last three on their own court. The Thunder a little healthier, a little hungrier, and the stronger side here. Take Oklahoma City. Thank you. |
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02-23-23 | Michigan +6 v. Rutgers | 58-45 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Michigan Wolverines. Game 795. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST In all honesty, time is running out for Michigan to make a case for the NCAA Tournament at-large bid. There are only a few regular season games left before the conference tournaments begin. They really have to make a good showing and they must start now. What better team to face to get them a step closer to the goal, than Rutgers. The Wolverines own an all-time record of 15-1 against the Scarlet Knights. The two teams did split last season’s matchups, both winning and covering their home contests. Michigan has started to heat up a bit, winning four of the last six, both straight up and against the spread. Meanwhile, Rutgers has started to slide, going just 1-3 straight up the last four, failing to cover all four. The Scarlet Knights claim to fame this season is on the defensive side of the court. However, they are starting to show signs of fatigue and certainly cracking. This does not bode well as they face a Wolverines offense that is very capable of lighting them up. I don’t feel the Rutgers “O“ which is averaging a mere 62.0-points per game over the last five outings, can keep pace offensively in this matchup. This is way too many points to give a hungry Wolverines team that could certainly win this game outright. But I will take the points with them as a ‘dog and take my bookmaker‘s money. Take Michigan. Thank you. |
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02-22-23 | Providence +7.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 69-87 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
Providence Friars. Game 657. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. My friends, I’ve been doing this for over four decades, and I just can’t figure out why the Huskies are this much of a favorite over the Friars. I understand that Connecticut possesses a 13-2 record at home, while Providence owns a 4-5 away mark. However, that’s where the advantages for the home team here end. Providence has won and covered the last two meetings in this rivalry, which includes a 73-61 outright win and cover in the only meeting this season, at the beginning of January at home as a 5.5-point underdog. Since December, not only have the Friars won 15 of 19 contest straight up, they have also covered 15 of those 19 outings. They enter this matchup running hot, winning and covering the last several games. Granted, their overall road record isn’t the most impressive. But they have covered seven of the last nine as a visitor. There isn’t a lot of time left in the regular season, and the Friars, which are sitting in second place in the Big East, three-games behind the Golden Eagles, have a chance at taking the conference. To do so, they must continue to keep their foot on the gas. Since December 31, the Huskies are just 6-7 straight up. Going back a bit further, prior to Christmas, they have crushed bettors, going a mere 5-10 ATS. Granted UConn possesses a very good defense, but they just can’t compensate with their erratic offense. Particularly when facing solid adversaries. Both teams are excellent on the boards. Both team score about the same. But I do see a major advantage for the visitors here getting this many points. I think the odds makers are way off here, sports fans. By the way, Connecticut has covered just two of their last seven against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Take Providence. Thank you. |
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02-21-23 | Miami-FL +2.5 v. Virginia Tech | 76-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Miami Florida Hurricanes. Game 617. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. With the regular season soon coming to an end, Miami sits just a half-game behind Virginia in second place in the ACC. They are the hottest team however in the conference, winning six consecutive outings. Many people out there feel that this year’s edition of the hurricanes are even stronger than last year‘s “Elite 8“ version. They face a conference rival here that is not the team they once were. The Hokies are just 6-10 in league play this season. They do not possess the defense they once did. And their offense just isn’t strong enough to compensate for it. They took a 92-83 road loss at the hands of Miami three weeks ago. Trust me when I tell you the game was not as close as on the scoreboard. They were beat offensively, defensively, and on the boards. They are still thin in the backcourt as Maddox and Rice are both out. They do possess four double-digit scorers. However, they cannot contend with the outstanding backcourt of Wong and Miller, who are combining for 31.4 points per game and 10.3 rebounds per game. I see the tandem controlling the tempo and the pace and leading the team to an outright victory here. The underdog has covered six of the last seven meetings in this rivalry. The Hurricanes have covered 21 of the last 26 on the road. Take Miami. I like them outright. But I will take the points here anyway. Thank you. |
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02-20-23 | Kansas +2.5 v. TCU | 63-58 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Kansas Jayhawks. Game 869. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. As it is projected that Kansas will continue to be ranked a top-five in the nation when the new rankings come out this week, TCU is looking to better their situation and slide down the top-25. The Jayhawks are running hot, winning six of the last seven, both straight up and against the spread, which includes four straight in both. Just looking at the Horned Frogs recent outings, you’ll see that they have dropped four of the last five, straight up and against the number before Saturday’s decisive, 100-75 win and cover at home against Oklahoma State. They did see the return of Mike Miles Jr., who is their leading scorer. He did miss basically five of the six previous contests in which they went 1-5 both SU and ATS. Having him back on the floor is huge for this team. However, they are catching Kansas in full stride. Not only that, but the Jayhawks are pretty darn good in bounce-back mode. If you recall, back towards the end of January the Jayhawks got humiliated at home at the hands of the Horned Frogs, 83-60. As I mentioned, revenge is something that Kansas thrives on. Two of their losses came at the hands of Kansas State and Baylor, which they came back to avenge both of those losses. They had an early season loss against Tennessee, which they won’t see again on the schedule. And just lost to Iowa State at the beginning of the month. But they did meet the Cyclones mid-January and beat them then. So, this is the only team left that has beaten them that they have a shot at redemption. And I believe they’re going to take advantage of it. Understand that they still share at the top-spot in the Big 12 with Texas and need to pull away with only a few weeks left in the regular season. They are 10-4 in conference play, while TCU is just playing .500 ball against league opponents, going 7-7. The underdog has covered four of the last five meetings, while the road team has covered seven of the last nine matchups. I do believe revenge is a dish best served cold. And the Jayhawks will serve up a dish of revenge here tonight. Take Kansas. Thank you. |
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02-18-23 | Duquesne +6 v. St. Louis | 85-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
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