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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-09-23 | Howard +11 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 85-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
Howard vs Georgia Tech Betting on dogs from 10 to 19.5 points in the first seven games of the season that are facing a non-tournament team form last season, who won four or more of their last games in the previous season, and who won between 45 and 55% of their games in the previous season have gone 38-13-1 ATS for 75% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. From the predictive model we learn that Howard is 11-4 ATS for 73% winning bets in games that they scored 75 or more points and had more rebounds than their foes. |
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11-08-23 | Warriors +3.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 105-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Betting on teams priced between a 3.5-point favorite and dog and facing a foe that has seen their last three games see 220 or more points scored and are outscoring their foes by at least 8 PPG on the season has earned a 21-9 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the past five seasons. If the total in these games is 225 or mor points, the record has been 12-5 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. This matchup could easily be a preview of a showdown in the playoffs and even the conference finals and has significant meaning despite being so early in the 82-game season schedule. Warriors are 12-2 ATS when facing a foe that has won at least 70% of their games in each of the past three seasons. |
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11-08-23 | Arizona State v. Mississippi State -3 | Top | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
Arizona State vs Mississippi State Betting on teams that are the favorite by 3 to 9.5 points, with 3 or more returning starters than their foe and in a game involving two teams that won 60 to 80% of their games in the previous season, and with the current game occurring within the first 10 games of the season has earned a solid 30-8-1 ATS record good for 80% winning bets over the past 20 seasons. |
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11-08-23 | Clippers v. Nets +5 | Top | 93-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
LA Clippers vs Brooklyn Nets Barclays Center Betting on teams that have posted three straight games with a solid assist-to-turnover ratio of 2.5 or higher and is facing a foe that has posted a season-to-date assist-to-turnover ratio of 2.0 or lower on the season, and with a total between 226 and 240 points has earned a solid 35-18-1 ATS record for 66% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The Nets are playing pretty darn good basketball to start their season and the fans will be welcoming back James Harden with their version of the Bronx cheer. The fan base will be into this game simply because they want to see their team defeat any team that harden will ever be a member of and for good reason. The Nets are sharing the ball and passing the ball with speed and accuracy in the half court sets. They rank 11th in the Association averaging 27 APG and third bets committing an average of 12 turnovers per game. The Clippers do not move the ball well in the half court and rank 28th committing 16.3 TPG. The Nets mistake-free play will go a long way to seeing them pull off the upset win. |
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11-08-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +2.5 | Top | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers It is early in the season yet these two divisional rivals are at the top of the Eastern Conference standings as expected both with 5-1 records. The Philadelphia fans will be loud and supportive for their franchise and their dislike of the foe and that will be a factor. 76ers are 19-1 SUATS with revenge and facing that foe, who is averaging 13.5 or more turnovers per game over the past two seasons. They are 10-1 SU and 11-0 ATS in home games playing with revenge and with a posted total of 227 or more points over the past five seasons. Betting on teams priced between a 3.5 point favorite and dog and facing a foe that has seen their last three games see 220 or more points scored and are outscoring their foes by at least 6 PPG on the season has earned a 54-20 ATS record for 73% winning bets over the past five seasons. Looking at the standard deviations of scoring by quarters so far this season, the Celtics have been one of the most inconsistent first quarter scoring teams in the league. In fact, they rank third with a STD of 7.34 points scored in the first quarter. The Philadelphia defense has been quite good so far and no reason to expect otherwise tonight, especially at the start of the game. |
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11-06-23 | Celtics v. Wolves +2.5 | Top | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
Celtics vs Timberwolves 8-Unit Best Bet on the Timberwolves Betting on home teams that allowed 105 or fewer points in each of their last two games and facing a foe that scored 120 or more points has gone 86-35 SU and 79-39-3 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
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11-06-23 | Georgia Southern +10.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 62-84 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 15 m | Show |
Georgia Southern vs Georgia Tech Betting on road underdogs of 10 or more points in the first seven games of the regular season and are facing a foe that was not in the NCAA tournament and had a win percentage between 45 and 55% last season has earned an outstanding 37-7 ATS mark good for 84% winning bets. |
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11-06-23 | Mavs +4.5 v. Magic | Top | 117-102 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
Mavericks vs Magic Betting on teams that are outscoring their foes by 6 or more PPG, priced between 3.5-point dog and favorite and facing a foe that saw their last three games go over 220 points has earned a highly profitable 51-20 ATS for 72% winning bets since 2018. |
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11-05-23 | Raptors -3.5 v. Spurs | Top | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
Toronto Raptors vs San Antonio Spurs |
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11-04-23 | Celtics -9 v. Nets | Top | 124-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets If our road team is playing this game with more rest than the host, their record has been 7-2 ATS for 78% winning bets. |
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11-01-23 | Kings +7 v. Warriors | Top | 101-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors 10 PM, Chase Center, San Francisco, CA 8-Unit Best bet on the Warriors -7 points. Betting on teams that have allowed 105 or fewer points in each of their last two games and now facing a foe that scored 120 or more points in their previous game have gone 132-103 SU (56%) and 134-97-4 ATS for 58% winning bets over the past five seasons. In the 2022 season this system went 29-14-1 ATS (67.4%), 2021 season it went 42-31-5 ATS (58%), 2020 it went 28-28-1 ATS (50%), 2019 it went 33-23 ATS (59%). So, only the shortened COVID-19 season did not make significant profits. Now, if our team is playing at home, then five-season record went 84-35 SU and 78-38-5 ATS (67.2%). If playing at home and favored by not more than 8 points has produced a 39-8 SU record and a 32-13-2 ATS mark for 71% winning bets. Live Betting StrategiesFor Live Betting consider betting 6-units preflop and then look for the Kings to get out in front early and add the remaining 2-units at -2.5 or fewer points. Noting that these teams are 39-8 SU, consider a money line bet for the remaining 2-Units if the line does get to -2.5 or lower during the first half of action. If the Kings score 10 or more unanswered points in the first half of action would also be an attractive point to add the 2-units. |
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11-01-23 | Grizzlies +2.5 v. Jazz | Top | 109-133 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz Memphis is 9-0 ATS coming off a loss to a divisional foe over the past three seasons. Utah is on a 2-11 ATS losing streak as a home favorite of six or fewer points spanning the past two seasons. Memphis head coach Jenkins is 14-3-1 ATS in road games when coming off a loss of 15 or more points. Betting on a road team that has shot 43% from the field over its’ last three games and is on a two-game losing streak, has lost to the spread by 18 or more points in total over their last three games and with the game occurring in the first 41 games of the season has earned a 15-14 record and 20-9 ATS mark for 69% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
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11-01-23 | Cavs +6.5 v. Knicks | Top | 95-89 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Cleveland Cavaliers vs NY Knicks
Betting on teams in the second of back-to-back games against the same foe having lost at home by double digits has earned a solid 17-7 ATS record good for 71% winning bets. If the total is 220 or fewer points, the record has been 17-6 ATS for 74% winning bets. This algorithm has yet to have back-to-back ATS losses and is coming of an ATS loss. Bet on underdogs that are coming off a loss and have lost four or more of their last five games during the first six games of the season if they were a playoff team in the previous season has produced a 14-6 ATS record good for 70% winning bets since 2004 (20 seasons). |
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10-30-23 | Wolves -1.5 v. Hawks | Top | 113-127 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 38 m | Show |
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks State Farm Arena Atlanta, Georgia 8-Unit Best Bet on the Wolves -2 points or if you prefer the money line. This bet is good up to and including 3.5 points. This graded betting opportunity is reinforced by the following betting system that has earned an outstanding 42-12 SU record for 78% winners and 35-19 ATS for 65% winning bets since 1995. Bet on road favorites, who are facing an opponent that is allowing at least 105 PPG and are coming off a game in which they led by 20 or more points at the half. That’s all there is to it. If our road favorite is involved in a game with a posted total of 235 or fewer points, they have gone to a 40-8 SU record (83%) and 33-15 ASTS for 69% winning bets since 1996. |
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10-29-23 | Warriors v. Rockets +5.5 | Top | 106-95 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
Golden State vs Houston Betting on dogs priced between 2.5 and 6.5 points that had a losing record last season and facing a team off a road win in which they scored 125 or fewer points and had a winning record last season and the current game has a total of at least 224 points has earned a highly profitable 60-38-2 ATS for 62% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If in a non-divisional matchup and with our dog having one-day of rest improves their record to 38-19 ATS for 67% winning bets. |
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10-27-23 | Rockets +3.5 v. Spurs | Top | 122-126 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs 8:00 PM EST 8-Unit Best Bet on the Houston Rockets plus the points ü Bet on road teams (Rockets) ü Road team scored |
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10-26-23 | 76ers +6.5 v. Bucks | Top | 117-118 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
76ers vs Bucks 7:30 PM 8-Unit bet on the 76ers plus the 6.5 points I would not be making this bet regardless of the model grading if James Harden had joined the team in Milwaukee. The 76ers front office has done the right thing in preventing him from joining the team. The fact that the line has not moved since the news was released clearly shows he has made himself a meaningless piece of the 76ers squad and they are going to play far better without him on the court. From the predictive mode, the 76ers are 154-21 SU and 148-27 ATS for 85% winning bets when shooting at least 48 or better from the field, making at least 38% of their 3-pointers and having fewer turnovers than their foe. |
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10-25-23 | Cavs v. Nets +2.5 | Top | 114-113 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
Cleveland vs Brooklyn 7:30 EST  Opening Night in Brooklyn and with hopes and aspirations and expectations run high. The wild card this year is focused on Ben Simmons and if the practice sessions during this preseason will translate to the regular season games. Let’s not forget the fact that Simmons ranks 13th ion the all-time triple-double list with 33 such games. Granted, that is a million light years behind all-time leader Westbrook with 133 games or Oscar Robinson with 181 games, but he has always had the skillset to reach 100 career triple-doubles. Now, he is not the reason for this bet, but if his play is anywhere close to his peak performances with the 76ers (had game with 42 points), the Nets will have little difficulty winning this game. Cavaliers are just 33-65 ATS in games with a posted total between 220 and 229.5 points; 42-64 ATS in road games with a total of at least 220 points. Cavs head coach Bickerstaff is just 45-73 ATS in road games for his career. From the predictive mode, we are expecting the Nets to score at least 111 points and have the better assists-to-turnover ratio. In past games, the Nets are 95-18 SU and 81-32 ATS for 72% winning bets in home games and scoring >=111 points and having the better assist-to-turnover ratio since 2019. |
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05-19-23 | Heat +9 v. Celtics | Top | 111-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
Miami vs Boston  From the predictive model, we are expecting Miami to shoot better than Boston and to have a better assist-to-turnover ratio. In past road games in which Miami met these performance measures has earned them a 63-11 SU record, 64-10 ATS mark (87%) winning bets in road games played in the past five seasons. In road playoff games, the Heat have gone 20-0 SU and 18-2 ATS for 90%. In playoff games, the Celtics are 1-11 SUATS when not shooting better than their foe and having the worse assist-to-turnover ratio spanning the past five seasons.  |
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05-12-23 | Warriors +3 v. Lakers | Top | 101-122 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors vs LA Lakers Since 2013, the Warriors are 9-3 SU (75%) and 10-2 ATS for 83% winners when facing elimination.  |
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05-12-23 | Knicks v. Heat -6 | Top | 92-96 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
Knicks vs Heat |
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05-10-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -7.5 | Top | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
LA Lakers vs Golden State Warriors 8-Unit best bet on the Warriors minus the points. I like the strategy of betting 60% preflop at the current price and then looking to add 20% more at Warriors – 4.5 and Warriors –1.5 points. Betting on any team off a loss of three or fewer points to a divisional foe and with that foe having covered the spread in their last two games priced as a favorite has earned an outstanding 21-6 ATS for 78% winning bets over the past 27 seasons.  Betting on any playoff team trailing in the series 3 games to one, coming off a heart-breaking loss by three or fewer points and is now the favorite up to and including -9.5 points has earned a perfect 7-0 SUATS record.  |
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05-05-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +2.5 | Top | 114-102 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
Boston vs Philadelphia Game-3 Philadelphia is 12-2 ATS revenging a road loss in games played this season, and 15-5 ATS when revenging a loss in which the foe scored 110 or more points this season. From the predictive models, we are looking for the 76ers to score 114 or more points and have a better assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games in which the 76ers met these performance measures have led them to post a 116-13 SU (90%) record and 97-31-1 ATS mark good for 76% winning bets over the past five seasons. If the game occurs after the all-star break and playoffs, the 76ers are 34-3 SU and 28-8-1 ATS. The Celtics have posted a money-losing 6-17 SU and 6-15-2 ATS record (29%) when allowing 114 or more points and the lower assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past five seasons.  |
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05-03-23 | 76ers +8 v. Celtics | Top | 87-121 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics     Player prop bets will range from 0.25% to 2% of your bankroll or $25.00 for the 2% bet if you are wagering $100 per 8-unit bet.     Pizza money bets mean that it is up to you to decide whether it is a plain pizza costing 0.25% or a full supreme double cheese, double pepperoni for $25.00 or 2% of the bankroll. (end of repeat intro) Let’s now get to the analytics, shall we?  For live in-game betting consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount on the 76ers at the line offered at your book. Then, bet 15% on the 76ers at 14.5 points and 15% more at 17.5 points during the first half of action only. You are betting the full game lines during the first half of action. The reason we are not betting these two 15% amounts in the second half is simply that there is too little time remaining in the game to be right. It’s like trading options in the market on the S&P 500 and having a month till the contracts expire or less than 2 weeks. The value of your options will decay (Theta) much faster with just two weeks left till expiration just as the value of a second-half LIVE bet will diminish the closer it gets to the final buzzer. Don’t be concerned with what Theta means and how it is calculated as I will present that in an upcoming university show. From the predictive models, we are looking for the 76ers to score 110 points and have a better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games in which the 76ers met these performance measures have led them to post a 57-7 SU record (89%) and 48-16 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets over the past three seasons. If the game occurs after the all-star break and playoffs, the 76ers are 24-1 SU and 19-6 ATS. The Celtics have posted a money-losing 25-31 SU and 20-36 ATS record (36%) when allowing 110 or more points and the lower assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past three seasons.  |
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05-02-23 | Heat v. Knicks -6 | Top | 105-111 | Push | 0 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
Miami Heat vs NY Knicks Player prop bets will range from 0.25% to 2% of your bankroll or $25.00 for the 2% bet if you are wagering $100 per 8-unit bet. Pizza money bets mean that it is up to you to decide whether it is a plain pizza costing 0.25% or a full supreme double cheese, double pepperoni for $25.00 or 2% of the bankroll. Let’s now get to the analytics, shall we? In the second round of the NBA playoffs teams that lost Game-1 and are the lower seed (better regular season record) and are favored between 5 and 10 points in Game-2 have gone 16-2 SU and 14-4 ATS for 78% winning bets. This obviousy supports the bet on the Knicks. For live in-game betting consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount on the Knicks at the line offered at your book. Then, bet 15% on the Knicks at –2.5 points and 15% more at pick-em during the first half of action only. You are bettig the full game lines during the first half of action. The reason we are not betting these two 15% amounts in the second half is simply that there is too little time remaining in the game to be right. It Islike trading options in the market on the S&P 500 and having a month till the contracts expire or less than 2 weeks. The value of your options will decay (Theta) much faster with just two weeks left till expiration just as the value of a second half LIVE bet will diminish the closer it gets to the final buzzer. Don’t be concerned with what Theta means and how it is calculated as I will present that in an upcoming university show. From the predictive models, we are looking for the Knicks to score 114 or more points and shoot 49% or better from the field. In past games in which the Knicks met these performance measures has led them to post a 36-9 SU record (80%) and 33-11-1 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets over the past three seasons. If the game occurs after the all-star break and playoffs, the Kicks are 6-1 SU and 6-1 ATS. Miami has posted a money-losing 11-35 SU and 10-36 ATS record (22%) when allowing 115 or more points and allowing a shooting percentage 49% or higher in games played over the past three seasons. If after the break and including playoffs 1-3 SU and ATS. |
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04-23-23 | Celtics -5.5 v. Hawks | 129-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Boston vs Atlanta |
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04-23-23 | Cavs v. Knicks -2 | 93-102 | Win | 100 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Cleveland vs Knicks From my predictive models, we learn that the Cavs are just 1-20 SU and 3-17-1 ATS for 15% when allowing 111 or more points and getting outrebounded by 10 or more boards in games played over the past three seasons. The Knicks are 26-8 SU and 27-7 ATS for 79% winning bets when outrebounding their foes by 10 or more boards and scoring 111 or more points in games played over the past three seasons. |
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04-17-23 | Nets v. 76ers -10 | 84-96 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
Nets vs 76ers 8-Unit bets bet on the 76ers minus the points, currently priced at 10. The Nets had a game plan to double-team Joel Embiid and force the other 76ers on the floor to make perimeter shots and they sure came through with a franchise record 21 made 3-pointers. So, now that the Nets went all-in with that game plan and it failed, the alternative to not double-team Embiid could lead to an even worse outcome for the Nets.  Over the past five playoff seasons, teams that have won between 45 and 55% of their games during the regular season and are trailing in the series are just 7-30 ATS for 19%. Playing on the home teams in Game-2 of an NBA Round 1 playoff series regardless if they are priced as a dog or favorite has gone 16-6 ATS for 73% winners over the past five seasons. Double digit favorites in the playoffs are 23-4 SU and 18-7-2 ATS for 72% winning bets over the past five seasons. From my predictive models, we are expecting the 76ers to score 115 or more points and shoot 48% or better from the field. In past home games in which the 76ers met or exceeded those performance measures, has led them to a 45-1 SU record and 34-12 ATS for 74% winning bets over the past five seasons.  |
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04-15-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5.5 | Top | 101-97 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 44 m | Show |
New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers (April 15)Â The top-4 seeds in the first two games of a playoff round are favored by 6 to 10 points and have the higher effective field goal percentage is 38-17-1 ATS for 69% of winners since 2017. Drilling down a bit further, if the total is between 205 and 215, these home teams have gone a quite impressive 15-2 SU and 13-4 ATS for 77% winning bets since 2017. Â From the predictive models, we are expecting the Cavaliers to score 111 or more points and have a better assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games in which the Cavs have met or exceeded these measures in home games has led to a highly profitable 27-6-1 ATS for 82% winning bets over the past three seasons. The Knicks in road games are just 12-24-2 ATS for 33% in the same scenarios. Â |
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04-15-23 | Nets v. 76ers -8 | Top | 101-121 | Win | 100 | 23 h 32 m | Show |
Nets vs Sixers Game-1 Round 1 (April 15) Â |
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04-14-23 | Bulls +5.5 v. Heat | Top | 91-102 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat |
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04-11-23 | Hawks v. Heat -4.5 | Top | 116-105 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 4 m | Show |
Chicago Bulls vs Toronto Raptors The following betting system has produced exceptional and consistent results for many seasons sporting a 16-10 ATS record for 62% winning bets over the past five seasons Betting on any team that has held their last three opponents to more than 30 points below the opponents’ team total and has win percentage between 40 and 49% in games played in the last 20 games of the season and playoffs.  Toronto won their last game of the regular season 121-105 over the Milwaukee Bucks, who were resting starters and really had no interest in the game. However, this trend does get my attention knowing that Raptors Nick Nurse is just 19-36 ATS in home games following a double-digit win.  Player Prop Best Bet Tyler Hero Over 29.5 -112 at FanDuel Points, Assists, Rebounds |
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04-03-23 | San Diego State +7.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 59-76 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
NCAA 2023 Championship Best Bet The Aztecs are the best defensive team in the nation overall and have been incredibly consistent at negating the three-point shot from an opponents’ scoring arsenal. For the season they allowed 26.50% 3-point shooting and were suffocating the best in the nation during the tournament. The Aztecs allowed 41% shooting from beyond the arc in their buzzer-beating win over FDU, who is the only team to have had success from beyond the arc. Prior to that Creighton shot a horrid 11.8%, No.1 seed Alabama shot 11.11%, Furman shot 23%, and College of Charlestown shot 20.83% from beyond the arc. Including FAU, only six teams managed to shoot 35% or better from beyond the arc against the sensational Aztec perimeter defense this season. The Aztecs held 29 opponent s to 35% or lower 3-point shooting of their 38 games played. Tennessee also matched that defensive feat and both teams ranked number 1 in the nation in this category. UCONN ranked third with 28 opponents under 35% shooting from 3-point territory, but based on SOS rankings was against significantly easier foes.  Andre Jackson Under 7.5 points |
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04-02-23 | 76ers +5.5 v. Bucks | Top | 104-117 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
76ers vs Bucks LIVE Betting Strategy The 76ers have won two straight games, covered the spread in three consecutive games. The Bucks are on a 4-game Over streak. Bucks are 13-25 when facing a team that has won 60 to 70% of their gamers on the season in games played over the past three seasons; 5-17 ATS when facing a team that has outscored their opponents by at least an average 3 PPG in games played in the second half of each of the past two seasons.  From the predictive model, the 765ers are 31-4 SU and 24-10-1 ATS for 71% winning bets in road games, scoring 117 or more points, and making 35% or more of their 3-point shots spanning the past three seasons.  |
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04-01-23 | Miami-FL +5.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 59-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
Miami (FLA) vs UCONN 10-Unit best bet on Miami plus the 5.5 points. Miami (29-7) will face UConn (29-8) in the second national semifinal on Saturday at NRG Stadium in Houston. It has been a banner season for the Hurricanes, who entered the Atlantic Coast Conference tournament as the top seed for the second time in program history. Miami has been led by senior guard Isaiah Wong, third-year sophomore forward NorchadOmier and fifth-year senior transfer guard Jordan Miller. Miller produced 27 points on perfect shooting to lead the Hurricanes to the 88-81 victory over the Longhorns on Sunday. The Miami/Ft. Lauderdale area has always been a perennial hot bed for football and baseball and may of their players had terrific careers in the pros. Both programs are making their first appearance in the Final Four, so add basketball as the third sport.  |
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04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic +2.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Florida Atlantic vs San Diego State To many, the Owls might seem to be a bunch of unknowns. However, FAU leads the nation in victories and is ranked 15th in efficiency ratings. The Owls are no Cinderella and from a SDST perspective more akin to that evil stepsister.   FAU has thrived via collective effort, and white-knuckle tournament victories over Memphis, Fairleigh Dickinson, Tennessee and Kansas State validated the Owls' egalitarian approach to success. FAU is 14-3 when facing defensive teams averaging 14 forced turnovers PPG this season and 25-11 ATS when facing teams that are called for 17 or more fouls per game in games played over the past two seasons. FAU is 23-9 after covering the spread in two of their last three games spanning the past three seasons.   |
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03-29-23 | Wolves v. Suns -4.5 | Top | 100-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
NBA 10-Unit 5% Max Bet of the Month Betting on favorites that are taking on a foe that is ocming off two road upset wins and has won 50 to 60% of their games on the season has gone 69-33-2 ATS for 68% winning bets since 1996. This system has had just one losing season, going 3-2 ATS in 1999. Betting the Over with a home team that has posted an excellent 2.5 or higher assists-to-turnover ratio in each of their last three games and facing a foe that has trouble moving the ball and taking care of it as reflected by an assist-to-turnover ratio under 2 for the season has earned a 28-13-1 Over record good for 68.3% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. If the home team is playing on one day of rest, the Over record has earned a 20-7-1 mark for 74% winning bets. If the road team is playing on one day of rest, the Over record soars to 20-6-1 record for 77% winning bets. |
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03-28-23 | Magic v. Grizzlies -7 | Top | 108-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
Magic vs Grizzlies From the predictive model, Memphis is 90-21-1 ATS when scoring at least 115 points and having the better assists-to-turnover ratio in games played since 2018. The Magic are 24-76 ATS for 24% when allowing 115 or more points and with the foe having the better assist-to-turnover ratio since 2018. |
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03-28-23 | Heat +3.5 v. Raptors | Top | 92-106 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
Heat vs Raptors From the predictive model, the Heat are 44-5 ATS for 90% winning bets when scoring 110 or more points and holding their opponent to 46% or lower shooting in games played over the past five seasons. |
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03-28-23 | Celtics -11.5 v. Wizards | Top | 111-130 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
Celtics vs Wizards From the predictive model the Celtics are 80-18-2 ATS for 82% winners when scoring 117 or more points and having the better assists-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past five seasons. |
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03-27-23 | Rockets +14.5 v. Knicks | Top | 115-137 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Houston Rockets vs NY Knicks Betting on teams that have lost their last three games all on the road and playing on back-to-back nights has gone 52-22-1 ATS for 70.3% winners over the past 7 seasons. If our weary team is facing a team with a winning record, they soar to 24-8 ATS for 75% winning bets. |
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03-27-23 | Mavs +1.5 v. Pacers | Top | 127-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers |
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03-24-23 | Bulls -2 v. Blazers | Top | 124-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
Chicago vs Portland |
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03-24-23 | Suns +3.5 v. Kings | Top | 127-135 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings |
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03-24-23 | Bucks -9 v. Jazz | Top | 144-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
Milwaukee Bucks vs Utah Jazz Betting on road favorites coming off a 20 or more-point win and facing a foe that has scored and allowed 100 or more points in each of their last three games has produced a 92-28 SU record and 76-42-2 ATS mark good for 64.4% winning bets since 2015. If the foe has scored and allowed 105 or more points in each of their last three games, the record improves to 37-18 ATS for 67% winning bets. If the total is priced at 230 or more points, our favorites have gone 16-6 ATS for 73% winning bets.  |
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03-22-23 | Blazers +4.5 v. Jazz | 127-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz Check out this amazing betting algorithm that has earned a highly profitable 33-6 ATS record for 85% winning bets over the past five seasons. This algorithm has gone 4-1 ATS this season, 17-2 ATS in 2021-22 season, 7-2 ATS in the 2020-21 season, 1-0 ATS in the 2019-20 season, and 4-1 ATS in the 2018-19 season. One of the main reasons this system has done so well relates directly to the steady increase in NBA scoring over the past five seasons.  |
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03-22-23 | 76ers -3.5 v. Bulls | 116-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Chicago Bulls |
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03-22-23 | Rockets +13 v. Grizzlies | 125-130 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies |
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03-22-23 | Spurs v. Bucks -17.5 | Top | 94-130 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks  |
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03-22-23 | Nuggets -6.5 v. Wizards | Top | 118-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards |
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03-21-23 | Pistons +14 v. Hawks | Top | 107-129 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
Tuesday March 21, 2023 Betting on road teams, who lost the previous meeting to the current opponent and are coming off a double-digit home loss have gone 73-101 SU (42%) and 108-64-2 ATS (63%) since 2018 (last five seasons). If the game is taking place after the all-star break, the record improves to 48-23-1 for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons. The P-Value for this set of parameters is outstanding at 0.000062. The closer the P-Value gets to absolute zero the stronger the correlation the listed parameters relate to ATS wins.  |
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03-19-23 | TCU +4.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 81-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
TCU vs Gonzaga Here again, you can opt to bet 70% preflop plus the points and then look to add 30% money line at any price of +300 or better during the first half only.  TCU has shot poorly recently and have played Under their team total by more than 20 points over their last 5 games. They are facing a team in Gonzaga that has struggled defensively this season and has also played Over their team totals by 15 points over their last five games. In the NCAA Tournament, teams that have played Under their team total by 20 or more points over their last five games and facing a foe that has played Over their team total by 15 or more points has seen the team, in this case, TCU, go 29-12 SU and 27-13-1 ATS for 68% winning bets. If it is a Round of 32 matchup, our team has gone 10-4 ATS for 71% winners and 3-0 ATS if priced as the underdog. From the predictive model, TCU is 40-12 ATS for 77% winners when getting 10 or more offensive rebounds and shooting at least 48% from the field and 10-2 ATS for 83% winners if priced as a dog of 6.5 or fewer points.  |
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03-19-23 | Miami-FL v. Indiana -1.5 | Top | 85-69 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
Indiana vs Miami (FLA) 8-Unit bet on Indiana using the money line |
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03-19-23 | Fairleigh Dickinson v. Florida Atlantic -15.5 | Top | 70-78 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
Florida Atlantic vs FDUÂ In the NCAA Tournament, a matchup of teams that has have beaten the spread by 55 or more points over their last 10 games have gone 18-8 ATS for 69% winning bets and 16-8-2 Under for 67% winning bets. Â |
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03-19-23 | St. Mary's +4.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 55-70 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
St. Mary’s vs UCONN |
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03-18-23 | Maryland +9 v. Alabama | Top | 51-73 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
Maryland vs Alabama  |
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03-18-23 | Northwestern v. UCLA -7 | 63-68 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Auburn vs Houston 8-Unit Bet on Auburn plus 5.5 points and sprinkle the money line if at any point Auburn is trailing by double-digits during the first half of action. UCLA shot 54% from the field and allowed 37% shooting in their 86-53 win over UNC-Ashville. Teams that had a FG% differential of 15% or more in their last NCAA Tournament game have seen the OVER go 15-8-1 ATS for 65% winning bets.  From the predictive model, UCLA is 11-5 Over the total when getting 42 or more rebounds, shooting 47% or better form the field, and committing 11 or fewer turnovers.  |
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03-18-23 | Penn State +5.5 v. Texas | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
03-18-23 | Auburn +5.5 v. Houston | 64-81 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Auburn vs Houston |
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03-18-23 | Arkansas +4.5 v. Kansas | 72-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
Arkansas vs Kansas 8-Unit bet on Penn Arkansas plus the points, currently at 3.5 points. I suggest sprinkling the money line if Arkansas gets down double-digits in the first half of action.  From the predictive model, Arkansas is 17-4 ATS for 81% winning bets over the past five seasons when shooting 47% or better from the field and getting 34 to 39 rebounds.  |
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03-18-23 | Duke v. Tennessee +3.5 | 52-65 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
Duke vs Tennessee Betting on neutral dogs of 3.5 to 6. points in a matchup between Major Conference teams has earned a solid 36-24 ATS record good for 60% winning bets. If our dog has won just five or fewer games over their last 10 games, they have gone on to earn a 69% ATS record 22-10 ATS. From the predictive model, Duke is just 25-70-1 ATS for 26% when scoring 75 or fewer points and shooting no better than 45% from the field over the past 10 seasons. Plus, 6-18 ATS (33%) over the past three seasons priced as the favorite and scoring 75 or fewer points and shooting 45% or worse from the field.  |
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03-17-23 | Kent State v. Indiana -4.5 | Top | 60-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
Kent State vs Indiana Kent State is 6-16 ATS in NCAA Tournament games over the past 25 events.  |
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03-17-23 | Montana State v. Kansas State -7.5 | Top | 65-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
Kansas State vs Montana State  |
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03-17-23 | Florida Atlantic +2 v. Memphis | Top | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
Florida Atlantic vs Memphis No matter what conference a team resides in, a season winning 30 or more games is always impressive and Florida Atlantic posted a 31-3 SU mark and 21-10-1 ATS mark with two games played having no posted betting lines. Over the past 10 NCAA Tournaments dogs that have won 30 or more games are 2-2 SU and 4-0 ATS so Memphis may be caught basking in their glory of upsetting No.1 ranked Houston in their previous game.     From the predictive model, we are looking for FAU to score 75 or more points and have 13 or fewer turnovers. In past games in which they have met these performance measures has led them to an amazing 15-7 SU and 17-4-1 ATS mark for 81% winning bets since the 2015 season.  |
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03-17-23 | Providence +4.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 53-61 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
Providence vs Kentucky From the predictive model, Providence is 11-2 SU and 10-3 ATS when scoring 82 or more points and having the same or fewer turnovers in games played over the past three seasons.  |
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03-17-23 | Iona v. Connecticut -9 | 63-87 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
Iona vs UCONNÂ The predictive analytics show us that UCONN is 20-5 ATS for 80% winners when scoring 75 or more points and out rebounding their foes by double digits over the past three seasons. Â |
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03-15-23 | Celtics -4.5 v. Wolves | Top | 104-102 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
Celtics vs Timberwolves 10-UNIT MAX Bet on the Celtics minus the points, currently at –5 points. Betting on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are outscoring their foes by at least 3 PPG and facing a host that was leading by 20 or more points at the half of their previous game has earned a highly profitable 45-15 ATS record for 75% winning bets since 2004. This betting system is one of the best ones you will ever find as the parameters have a very strong P-Value (JR-Value) of .000067 and the close a P-Value gets to absolute zero the stronger the correlation of the game-dependent parameters becomes. |
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03-12-23 | Texas A&M v. Alabama -4.5 | Top | 63-82 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show |
Texas A&M vs Alabama |
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03-12-23 | Princeton v. Yale -3 | Top | 74-65 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 25 m | Show |
Princeton vs Yale I suggest betting no more than a 2.5-unit amount on the parlay and would encourage you to wait till the game starts and look to get Yale at pick-em and the Under at 146.5 or more points during the first half of action. Perhaps 1.5 units parlay preflop and then 1 more unit in-game.  Dogs that are playing in their conference tournament and that lost two same season games to the current foe, with a total between 135 and 145 points and with that foe averaging a higher shooting percentage over their last three games than what they shot for the season have gone just 18-27 ATS for 40%. |
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03-11-23 | Xavier +2.5 v. Marquette | Top | 51-65 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Xavier vs Marquette 8-Unit best bet on Xavier plus the two points |
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03-11-23 | Texas +2.5 v. Kansas | Top | 76-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
Texas vs Kansas |
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03-11-23 | Fordham +6.5 v. Dayton | Top | 68-78 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 1 m | Show |
Fordham vs Dayton |
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03-10-23 | Penn State +2 v. Northwestern | Top | 67-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
Penn State vs Northwestern The following situational algorithm has earned a 15-8 SU record and 20-3 ATS record for 87% winning bets over the past 10 seasons and requires a bet on neutral court teams, PSU, that defeated the current opponent as an underdog and with that foe coming off a double digit road win. If our team is the dog, the record goes to an incredible 15-1 ATS for 94% winning bets.  |
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03-10-23 | UABÂ +1.5 v. North Texas | Top | 76-69 | Win | 100 | 2 h 11 m | Show |
North Texas vs UABÂ |
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03-10-23 | Ohio State v. Michigan State -4.5 | Top | 68-58 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 6 m | Show |
Ohio State vs Michigan State |
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03-09-23 | Villanova +5 v. Creighton | Top | 74-87 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
Villanova vs Creighton From the predictive model, Villanova is 7-1 SUATS as a dog, hitting 80% or more of their shots from the charity stripe, and having the better assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past 5 seasons. |
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03-09-23 | La Salle v. Fordham -6 | Top | 61-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
LaSalle vs Fordham From the predictive mode, we expect Fordham to score 75 or more points and have between 10 and 13 turnovers and when they have achieved this have gone to a 20-3 SU record and 18-4-1 ATS record for 82% winning bets. If they are facing a conference foe an even better 16-3 SU and 12-2-1 ATS record for 86% winning bets. |
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03-09-23 | Rockets +10 v. Pacers | Top | 125-134 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
Houston vs Indiana Betting on underdogs that lost the last time the two teams met and shot 40% or lower in that loss and is coming off a home loss by 20 or more points has earned a 24-23 record and 31-16 ATS for 66% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our team is a dog from pick to +10, the record improves to 20-7 ATS for 74% winning bets. From the predictive mode, we learn that the Rockets are 10-3 SU and 11-1-1 ATS in games in which they scored 111 or more points and got at least 50 rebounds in games played over the past three seasons. |
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03-09-23 | DePaul v. Xavier -12 | Top | 84-89 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
DePaul vs Xavier |
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03-09-23 | Colorado State +10 v. San Diego State | Top | 61-64 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show |
Colorado State vs San Diego State From the predictive model, CSU is 18-6 ATS for 75% winning bets when shooting 45% or better from the field, making 77% or better from the charity stripe and committing 12 or fewer turnovers. |
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03-08-23 | LSU v. Georgia +3 | Top | 72-67 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
LSU vs Georgia
from the predictive model we are expecting Georgia to allow 71 or fewer points and have the better assist the turnover ratio. In past games in which Georgia has met or exceeded these performance measures has led them to earn an outstanding 32-2 SU and 29-4-1 ARS mark good for 88% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
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03-08-23 | Boston College v. North Carolina -11 | Top | 61-85 | Win | 100 | 3 h 39 m | Show |
Boston College vs UNC 8-Unit bets bet on UNC minus 11.5 points North Carolina is 22-10 against the spread after two straight games forcing opponents to commit 11 or fewer turnovers in games played over the last two seasons. From the predictive model we are expecting North Carolina to allow no more than 70 points and get at least 43 rebounds. in past games in which North Carolina met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to earn a 51-4 SU record and 37-16 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
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03-07-23 | North Dakota State v. Oral Roberts -10 | Top | 58-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
North Dakota State versus Oral Roberts Summit tournament championship game at the Denny Sanford premier center in Sioux Falls. North Dakota State is coming off an 89-79 win over South Dakota state priced AS4.5 underdogs. North Dakota State is just 2-9 against the spread after scoring 85 or more points in games played over the last two seasons. World Roberts is 9-1 against the spread when playing only the third game in a week in games played over the last two seasons. North Dakota head coach Richman is 5-14 against the number when facing a team that is scoring 84 or more points per game for his career. From the predictive model we are looking for Oral Roberts university to score at least 80 points in this game and have no more than 10 turnovers. North Dakota State is 0-16 straight up and 1-15 against the spread when allowing 80 or more points and forcing 10 or fewer turnovers in games played over the last three seasons. |
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03-07-23 | St. Peter's +3 v. Fairfield | Top | 70-52 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
St. Peters vs Fairfield |
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03-07-23 | NC-Wilmington v. College of Charleston -10 | Top | 58-63 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
UNC-Wilmington vs College of Charleston The College of Charleston is 8-1 against the spread when playing on one or no days of rest this season. They are also 8-1 against the spread when playing only their third game of the past seven days this season. They are also 9-2 against the spread in road games after covering four or five of their last six against the spread in games played over the last two seasons.Head coach of College of Charleston Kelsey is 16-5 against the spread when playing on one or fewer days of rest over his coaching career. He is also 27-12 in road games after one or more consecutive games that played over the total for his career. Last, he is 35-19 against the spread in road games when playing against a team with a winning record for his career. From the predictive model we are expecting the College of Charleston to score 77 or more points and make 10 or more 3-point shots in this game. In past games in which they met or exceeded this pair of performance measures has seen them go 18-5 straight up and against the spread for 78% winning bets. |
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03-06-23 | 76ers -7 v. Pacers | Top | 147-143 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs Indiana The Pacers held off the Chicago Bulls to earn a 125-122 road win Sunday. Haliburton scored a game-high 29 points and 11assists for the Pacers, who have won four of their last six games, covering five of them against-the-spread (ATS). They defeated the Bulls despite allowing 60.8% shooting and now find themselves playing on back-to-back nights.  The 76ers were down 18 points in the second half and roared back with a dominant 48-41 edge in the fourth quarter to bring a halt to the Bucks 16-game win streak. Betting on road favorites of at least 3.5 points that allowed 50% opponent shooting in each of their least past two games and facing a foe coming off a win by three or fewer points has earned 6-1 SU and ATS record for 86% winning bets since 2017. 76ers allowed 57.7% shooting in a 133-126 loss at Dallas and then most recently allowed 50% shooting in their 133-130 win over the Bucks. The 76ers are 12-3 SU and 10-5 ATS (67%) winning bets when playing with more days of rest than the opponent, coming off a road win and now priced as a road favorite. Home dogs of at least 6 points, like the Pacers, that have lost four consecutive games against the current opponent, playing on back-to-back nights after the all-star break, with that foe winning at least 60% of their games in the current season have gone just 17-33-2 ATS for 33%. |
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03-06-23 | NC-Wilmington +7.5 v. Hofstra | Top | 79-73 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
UNC-Wilmington vs Hofstra The predictive metrics are looking for Hofstra to score 70 or fewer points and for UNCW to have the same or fewer turnovers. In past games, in which UNCW met these performance measures has earned a 17-1 SU record and a 14-4 ATS mark good for 78% winning bets over the past three seasons.  |
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03-05-23 | San Francisco v. Santa Clara -3 | Top | 93-87 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
San Francisco vs Santa Clara West Coast Tournament - Quarterfinals - Orleans Arena - Paradise, NV |
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03-04-23 | Alabama +1.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 61-67 | Loss | -104 | 2 h 13 m | Show |
Alabama vs Texas A&M The two best teams in the SEC Conference square off in this showdown, but there is nothing at stake. Alabama is the #1 seed with a 16-4 conference record and A&M is locked in the #2 seed heading into the SEC Tournament this week. Alabama has used only 3 different starting lineups this season and the quintet of Bediako, Bradley, Clowney, Miller, and Spears have amassed a 17-3 record. They will start today against A&M. Top-10 road teams in a matchup facing a foe that is ranked between 11 and 25, both teams have won 20 or more games, but the team ranked in the Top-10 has lost fewer games than the foe and are priced between the 3’s are 29-14-3 ATS for 67.4% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.  Betting on road teams priced between the 3’s, have allowed 80 or more points in each of their last two games, and facing a foe that has played four consecutive games in which they and their foes scored fewer than 70 points.  Alabama vs Texas A&M For the in-game betting parlay look to get ‘Bama at +6.5 and the total Under at 157.5 points. This pair of prices may not occur during the first half of the action and if it doesn’tthen so be it and resist the temptation to force the bet. |
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02-28-23 | Michigan State v. Nebraska +4.5 | Top | 80-67 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
Nebraska versus Michigan State 8 unit best bet on Nebraska plus the four points. Michigan State is 0-6 against the spread in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after the midway point of this season. Michigan State is also 15-31 against the spread in road games when playing against a team that has won 51 to 60% of their games after the 15th game of the season spanning the last 25 seasons. from the predictive model Nebraska is expected to shoot between 48 and 52% in this game. Michigan State is just 4-18 against the spread when their opponents make 48 to 52% of their shots in games played over the last three seasons. Over the past 25 seasons, Nebraska is 110-44 against the spread when they shoot 48 to 52% from the field. Â Â |
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02-28-23 | Bucks v. Nets +6.5 | Top | 118-104 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
Brooklyn Nets hosting the Milwaukee Bucks 8 unit best bet on the net plus the points. Since the trade that sent All Star Kevin Durant to the Phoenix Suns the Nets have had time to rebuild their lineup which has the potential to play much better down the stretch. The bucks have won fourteen consecutive games and are now at 43 wins and 17 losses for the season. He had come from behind to get the last win against the Phoenix Suns at home price says 2 1/2 point favorites in a game in which they shot just 43.7% from the field and were outrebounded 55-45 in the game. The predictive model sees Brooklyn having a great shot to win the game and end the 14 game win streak of the bucks tonight at the Barclay center. The Nets are expected to shoot better than 48% from the field tonight and that is certainly good news. Milwaukee over the last three seasons is just 20-45 against the spread when allowing 48% or higher shooting. The Nets are also 66-30 against the spread in games in which they score 115 or more points. Bet the Nets. |
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02-28-23 | Boston College v. Wake Forest -8 | Top | 71-69 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 30 m | Show |
Wake Forest vs BC 8-Unit bet on Wake Forest minus 8 points Wake Forest is one of the better teams in the Atlantic Coast Conference this season averaging 77.5 points per game which also ranks 32nd best nationally. They have outscored their opponents by 3.6 points per game as compared to Boston College getting outscored by 3.6 points per game. Boston College has a .992 assist to turnover ratio ranking 199th in the nation. Wake Forest has a tremendous advantage in ball handling even though they rank 117th in assist the turnover ratio at 1.101. Week four is ranked 25th in effective field goal percentage as compared to beat Boston colleges 226th ranking an opponent effective field goal percentage. Wake Forest has a tremendous advantage on the offensive end and I think they win this game comfortably by 10 or more points. Wake Forest is 10-1 against the spread in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last two seasons. They are also 20-8-1 against the spread when facing teams that are attempting 18 or fewer free throws per game in all games played over the last two seasons. Boston College is a miserable 8-20 against the spread after covering the spread in two of their last three games in games played over the last three seasons. |
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02-26-23 | Rutgers v. Penn State -2.5 | Top | 59-56 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
Rutgers vs Penn State 8-Unit best bet on Penn State minus the 3 points.  The following betting algorithm has earned a 45-28-3 ASTS record for 62% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are: The game is lined between the 3’s The team we are betting on is coming off two road wins The opponent is coming off a home loss to a conference foe If our team is favored by 4.5 or fewer points including pick-em, they are 45-25-3 ATS for 65% wins and if a conference matchup, our team is 44-23-3 ATS for 67% wins. Penn State has the third most efficient offense in the nation. For instance, they rank 3rd with a 1.671 assist-to-turnover ratio and 5th best with a 56.3% effective field goal percentage. They will be facing one of the best defenses in the Big Tenand nationally.Rutgers ranks 7th nationally in scoring defense allowing 59.8 points per game and7th best allowing a 45.2% effective field goal percentage. Penn State's perimeter game that ranks 7th best nationally making 39.2% of their shots from beyond the arc and even higher in their home games they'll stretch the Rutgers defense out far too much from the paint area. This will open up cutters down the baseline for easy layups and dunks. |
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02-26-23 | Suns +4 v. Bucks | Top | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 2 h 53 m | Show |
Suns vs Bucks 5-Unit Over the total (optional) Suns are 5-1 ATS in road games with a total of 230 or more points this season. 16-3 Over in this situation since 2020. From the predictive model, we are looking for the Suns to score at least 115 points and have a better assist-to-turnover ratio. They currently have the fourth best in the NBA for the 2022 season, a 1.92. In past road games in which the Suns met or exceeded these performance measures have seen them go 35-5 SU and 29-10-1 ATS for 74% winning bets over the past three seasons. Milwaukee ranks a distant 25th with a 1.656 assist-to-turnover ratio. So, we re going with the much better ball-handling team in a short-lined game – meaning priced between the 3’s. Over the last two seasons, the Phoenix Suns are 35-20 against the spread when facing a strong passing team that averages 23 or more assists per game and games played in the second half of the season spanning the last two seasons. |
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02-19-23 | Iowa -1.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 60-80 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
Iowa vs Northwestern 8-Unit Best bet on Iowa using the spread or money line. Bettor’s choice NW is 5-21 ATS in home games coming off a home win over a conference rival. NW has won four straight and covered the spread in each one and most recently defeated Indiana 64-62 as a 2.5-point home underdog. Somehow, they shot just 37% from the field and had 12 more shot attempts than Indiana in that win. That won’t be the case here against Iowa, who likes to get the pace up ranking 80-th nationally of the 363 D-1 teams, while NW ranks 261st in pace of play. Further, NW is 2-10 ATS in home games coming off a home win of three or fewer points. |
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02-19-23 | Tulsa +14 v. Temple | Top | 53-76 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 8 m | Show |
Tulsa vs Temple 8-Unit bet on Tulsa University plus the 14 points Betting on road underdogs between 10 and 19.5 points that the total has played Under by 30 or more points over their past five games, and going up against a favorite that is coming off a humbly type of game losing to the spread by 18 or more points has earned a 30-10-1 ATS record good for 75% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
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02-19-23 | Ohio State +12.5 v. Purdue | Top | 55-82 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 8 m | Show |
Ohio State vs Purdue 8-Unit Bet on Ohio State plus the double-digits and you know, why not sprinkle the money line just a bit.  Yes, it is a reach to expect OSU to pull off a shocking road win after the stretch of 12 games they have endured. Still, they are outscoring their opponents too, which is mind-blowing. They average 74 PPG and surrender 67.3 PPG for the season. They shoot 36% from beyond the arc, which is 3% better than Purdue and average the same number of made 3’s as Purdue at 7 per game. So, I can’t pass up, this opportunity to take on a pure bread program that is vastly underrated now by the markets.  My predictive models have sounded off all the alarms and sometimes a bet that looks like an ugly dog with fleas oftentimes does turn out to be the real deal and can play with a sense of pride and ‘moxy’. Bet on road teams that are coming off two consecutive losses by 15 or more points and in a matchup of even offenses averaging 67 to 75 PPG on the season has earned a 65-36-2 ATS for 65% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. |
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02-18-23 | North Dakota State +14 v. Oral Roberts | Top | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
North Dakota State vs Oral Roberts (8 ET) 8-Unit bet on North Dakota State plus the 14 points Betting on double-digit road underdogs that have allowed 33% shooting to their previous opponent and now facing a hot shooting team making at least 47% of their shots in each of their past three games has earned an incredible 37-16 ASTS record good for 70% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.  |
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02-18-23 | Gonzaga v. Pepperdine +16.5 | Top | 97-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
Gonzaga vs Pepperdine (7 ET) 8-Unit best bet on Pepperdine plus the 16 points Road teams that have scored 85 or more points in three consecutive games are favored by 15 or more points and facing a host that is playing on at least 3 days of rest are an imperfect 0-8 ATS since 2013. Gonzaga is 1-8 ATS following a game in which they covered the spread this season and 1-7 ATS following a game in which they led by 15 or more points at the half.  |
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02-18-23 | Hofstra v. Stony Brook +12.5 | Top | 68-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
Gonzaga vs Pepperdine (7 ET) 8-Unit best bet on Pepperdine plus the 16 points Road teams that have scored 85 or more points in three consecutive games are favored by 15 or more points and facing a host that is playing on at least 3 days of rest are an imperfect 0-8 ATS since 2013. Gonzaga is 1-8 ATS following a game in which they covered the spread this season and 1-7 ATS following a game in which they led by 15 or more points at the half.  |
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