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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-05-23 | Orioles v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 9-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
Baltimore vs Atlanta 8-Unit best bet on the Braves using the –1.5 Run line  |
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05-05-23 | Twins v. Guardians OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
Minnesota vs Cleveland |
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05-05-23 | Red Sox +139 v. Phillies | Top | 5-3 | Win | 139 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
Red Sox vs Phillies 8-UNIT best Bet on the Red Sox using the money line currently at +125 The 76ers will be hosting the Celtics a few hundred yards from Citizen’s Bank Park at the same time so the atmosphere will be more than just festive. However, the Phillies are not closing games well and the Red Sox offense has been steadily getting better and more consistent since the start of the season. Again, we are betting numbers and not mascots and not if the other’s city’s NBA franchise is playing at the same time. It is noteworthy however.  Boston is scoring 6.1 RPG and batting .286 against RH starters and over the past seven days has averaged 7 RPG and batted 0.350. So, Wheller will have his hands full even if he is in top form tonight |
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05-03-23 | 76ers +8 v. Celtics | Top | 87-121 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics     Player prop bets will range from 0.25% to 2% of your bankroll or $25.00 for the 2% bet if you are wagering $100 per 8-unit bet.     Pizza money bets mean that it is up to you to decide whether it is a plain pizza costing 0.25% or a full supreme double cheese, double pepperoni for $25.00 or 2% of the bankroll. (end of repeat intro) Let’s now get to the analytics, shall we?  For live in-game betting consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount on the 76ers at the line offered at your book. Then, bet 15% on the 76ers at 14.5 points and 15% more at 17.5 points during the first half of action only. You are betting the full game lines during the first half of action. The reason we are not betting these two 15% amounts in the second half is simply that there is too little time remaining in the game to be right. It’s like trading options in the market on the S&P 500 and having a month till the contracts expire or less than 2 weeks. The value of your options will decay (Theta) much faster with just two weeks left till expiration just as the value of a second-half LIVE bet will diminish the closer it gets to the final buzzer. Don’t be concerned with what Theta means and how it is calculated as I will present that in an upcoming university show. From the predictive models, we are looking for the 76ers to score 110 points and have a better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games in which the 76ers met these performance measures have led them to post a 57-7 SU record (89%) and 48-16 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets over the past three seasons. If the game occurs after the all-star break and playoffs, the 76ers are 24-1 SU and 19-6 ATS. The Celtics have posted a money-losing 25-31 SU and 20-36 ATS record (36%) when allowing 110 or more points and the lower assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past three seasons.  |
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05-02-23 | Lakers v. Warriors OVER 226.5 | Top | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
LA Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Teams in Game-1 of an NBA series that are coming off a road win in Game-7 are 12-6-1 Over for 67% winning bets. if they are the home team in Game-1, then the Over is a perfect 5-0.  Betting the Over when the total is between 220 and 229.5 points with a home team that lost the previous meeting to the current foe and is coming off a road win to a divisional foe has earned a 45-19-4 Over record good for 70% winning bets since 2017, which is the year scoring in the NBA began to increase significantly. |
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05-02-23 | Heat v. Knicks -6 | Top | 105-111 | Push | 0 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
Miami Heat vs NY Knicks Player prop bets will range from 0.25% to 2% of your bankroll or $25.00 for the 2% bet if you are wagering $100 per 8-unit bet. Pizza money bets mean that it is up to you to decide whether it is a plain pizza costing 0.25% or a full supreme double cheese, double pepperoni for $25.00 or 2% of the bankroll. Let’s now get to the analytics, shall we? In the second round of the NBA playoffs teams that lost Game-1 and are the lower seed (better regular season record) and are favored between 5 and 10 points in Game-2 have gone 16-2 SU and 14-4 ATS for 78% winning bets. This obviousy supports the bet on the Knicks. For live in-game betting consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount on the Knicks at the line offered at your book. Then, bet 15% on the Knicks at –2.5 points and 15% more at pick-em during the first half of action only. You are bettig the full game lines during the first half of action. The reason we are not betting these two 15% amounts in the second half is simply that there is too little time remaining in the game to be right. It Islike trading options in the market on the S&P 500 and having a month till the contracts expire or less than 2 weeks. The value of your options will decay (Theta) much faster with just two weeks left till expiration just as the value of a second half LIVE bet will diminish the closer it gets to the final buzzer. Don’t be concerned with what Theta means and how it is calculated as I will present that in an upcoming university show. From the predictive models, we are looking for the Knicks to score 114 or more points and shoot 49% or better from the field. In past games in which the Knicks met these performance measures has led them to post a 36-9 SU record (80%) and 33-11-1 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets over the past three seasons. If the game occurs after the all-star break and playoffs, the Kicks are 6-1 SU and 6-1 ATS. Miami has posted a money-losing 11-35 SU and 10-36 ATS record (22%) when allowing 115 or more points and allowing a shooting percentage 49% or higher in games played over the past three seasons. If after the break and including playoffs 1-3 SU and ATS. |
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04-29-23 | Devils v. Rangers OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 115 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
New Jersey vs NY Rangers |
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04-23-23 | Nuggets v. Wolves OVER 224.5 | 108-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
Minnesota vs Denver From my predictive models, we learn that Denver is 74-9 SU and 59-22-2 for 73% winners when scoring 114 or more points and have the better assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past three seasons. The Wolves are just 14-62 SU and 18-58-2 ATS (22%) when allowing 114 or more points and having the weaker assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past three seasons. |
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04-23-23 | Celtics -5.5 v. Hawks | 129-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Boston vs Atlanta |
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04-23-23 | Cavs v. Knicks -2 | 93-102 | Win | 100 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Cleveland vs Knicks From my predictive models, we learn that the Cavs are just 1-20 SU and 3-17-1 ATS for 15% when allowing 111 or more points and getting outrebounded by 10 or more boards in games played over the past three seasons. The Knicks are 26-8 SU and 27-7 ATS for 79% winning bets when outrebounding their foes by 10 or more boards and scoring 111 or more points in games played over the past three seasons. |
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04-22-23 | Devils +130 v. Rangers | Top | 2-1 | Win | 130 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
NJ Devils vs NY Rangers Betting on road dogs between +100 and +180 on the money line and has sallowed four or ore goals in each fo their past two games and facing a foe that allowed just one goals has produced an exceptinoal 107-116 record, averaging a 142-dog bet, making the dime bettor a profit of $39,000 good for a 14% annual ROI since 2011. If this situation is in a playoff game, the record has been 9-3 on the money line averaging a 144 bet good for a 76% ROI. New Jersey, seeded second in the Metropolitan Division, dropped the first two games to the third-seeded Rangers by identical 5-1 scores on home ice. The Devils are a young team, who owned a 3-0-1 mark against the Rangers in the regular season. They are losing the special teams battle badly and still seeking their first five-on-five goal in this series.  In the playoffs, teams that lost their two previous games by 2 or more goals and are now on the road have gone an impressive 33-40 averaging a whopping +149 dog bet making the die bettor a 17,000 profit and a solid 16% ROI over the past 15 playoff seasons.  |
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04-18-23 | Cubs v. A's +170 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
Chicago Cubs vs Oakland A’s |
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04-18-23 | Twins v. Red Sox -105 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
Minnesota vs Boston  |
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04-18-23 | Phillies -117 v. White Sox | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs CWS Phillies skipper Thomson is 23-7 making 16 units on the money line when his team has lost four or five of their last 6 games. Phillies are 45-25 making 19 units following a game in which the bullpen did not allow an earned run in games played over the past two seasons. The CWS will have Lance Lynn on the hill and he is nowhere close to top form sporting a 7.31 ERA and 1.625 WHIP over his three starts and is now facing the strongest hitting team in the NL and perhaps all of baseball in the Phillies. |
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04-17-23 | Nets v. 76ers -10 | 84-96 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
Nets vs 76ers 8-Unit bets bet on the 76ers minus the points, currently priced at 10. The Nets had a game plan to double-team Joel Embiid and force the other 76ers on the floor to make perimeter shots and they sure came through with a franchise record 21 made 3-pointers. So, now that the Nets went all-in with that game plan and it failed, the alternative to not double-team Embiid could lead to an even worse outcome for the Nets.  Over the past five playoff seasons, teams that have won between 45 and 55% of their games during the regular season and are trailing in the series are just 7-30 ATS for 19%. Playing on the home teams in Game-2 of an NBA Round 1 playoff series regardless if they are priced as a dog or favorite has gone 16-6 ATS for 73% winners over the past five seasons. Double digit favorites in the playoffs are 23-4 SU and 18-7-2 ATS for 72% winning bets over the past five seasons. From my predictive models, we are expecting the 76ers to score 115 or more points and shoot 48% or better from the field. In past home games in which the 76ers met or exceeded those performance measures, has led them to a 45-1 SU record and 34-12 ATS for 74% winning bets over the past five seasons.  |
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04-15-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5.5 | Top | 101-97 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 44 m | Show |
New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers (April 15)Â The top-4 seeds in the first two games of a playoff round are favored by 6 to 10 points and have the higher effective field goal percentage is 38-17-1 ATS for 69% of winners since 2017. Drilling down a bit further, if the total is between 205 and 215, these home teams have gone a quite impressive 15-2 SU and 13-4 ATS for 77% winning bets since 2017. Â From the predictive models, we are expecting the Cavaliers to score 111 or more points and have a better assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games in which the Cavs have met or exceeded these measures in home games has led to a highly profitable 27-6-1 ATS for 82% winning bets over the past three seasons. The Knicks in road games are just 12-24-2 ATS for 33% in the same scenarios. Â |
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04-15-23 | Nets v. 76ers -8 | Top | 101-121 | Win | 100 | 23 h 32 m | Show |
Nets vs Sixers Game-1 Round 1 (April 15) Â |
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04-14-23 | Angels -110 v. Red Sox | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 41 m | Show |
LA Angels vs Boston Red Sox |
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04-14-23 | Guardians -151 v. Nationals | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
Cleveland vs Washington |
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04-14-23 | Bulls +5.5 v. Heat | Top | 91-102 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat |
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04-11-23 | Hawks v. Heat -4.5 | Top | 116-105 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 4 m | Show |
Chicago Bulls vs Toronto Raptors The following betting system has produced exceptional and consistent results for many seasons sporting a 16-10 ATS record for 62% winning bets over the past five seasons Betting on any team that has held their last three opponents to more than 30 points below the opponents’ team total and has win percentage between 40 and 49% in games played in the last 20 games of the season and playoffs.  Toronto won their last game of the regular season 121-105 over the Milwaukee Bucks, who were resting starters and really had no interest in the game. However, this trend does get my attention knowing that Raptors Nick Nurse is just 19-36 ATS in home games following a double-digit win.  Player Prop Best Bet Tyler Hero Over 29.5 -112 at FanDuel Points, Assists, Rebounds |
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04-11-23 | Marlins v. Phillies -136 | Top | 8-4 | Loss | -136 | 4 h 36 m | Show |
Miami vs Philadelphia Situational Betting Angles Betting on home favorites up to and including –155 on the money line in a divisional matchup and not the first game of a series, that are coming off a game priced as a home dog in which they scored at least 5 runs in a single inning and won the game are 43-22 for 66.2% winning bets averaging a –127 wager, making the Dime bettor a profit of $16,125 for a robust 22% ROI. Aaron Nola led the league with a remarkable strikeout to walk ratio of 8.10 meaning he recorded more than 8 strikeouts for every free pass he issued on the season. His ERA was 3.25 over 32 starts, but had a 2.58 fielding independent pitching stat. The fact that the FIP is significantly lower than his true ERA reflects an above average of plays, like errors and dropped third strikes, that he had no control over while on the mound. So, he was even better than many of his metrics and I believe he will steadily pitch better over his remaining starts in Aril and start off May in Cy Young-contender form. Bet the Phillies. |
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04-06-23 | Hurricanes -175 v. Predators | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -175 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
Carolina Hurricanes vs Nashville Predators Betting on winning record road favorites facing a winning record opponent coming off a home win has earned an 84-43 record for 66% winning bets and averaging a –130 bet that has produced a 24% ROI in games played over the past five seasons. 8-UNIT NHL Best Bet Total |
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04-03-23 | San Diego State +7.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 59-76 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
NCAA 2023 Championship Best Bet The Aztecs are the best defensive team in the nation overall and have been incredibly consistent at negating the three-point shot from an opponents’ scoring arsenal. For the season they allowed 26.50% 3-point shooting and were suffocating the best in the nation during the tournament. The Aztecs allowed 41% shooting from beyond the arc in their buzzer-beating win over FDU, who is the only team to have had success from beyond the arc. Prior to that Creighton shot a horrid 11.8%, No.1 seed Alabama shot 11.11%, Furman shot 23%, and College of Charlestown shot 20.83% from beyond the arc. Including FAU, only six teams managed to shoot 35% or better from beyond the arc against the sensational Aztec perimeter defense this season. The Aztecs held 29 opponent s to 35% or lower 3-point shooting of their 38 games played. Tennessee also matched that defensive feat and both teams ranked number 1 in the nation in this category. UCONN ranked third with 28 opponents under 35% shooting from 3-point territory, but based on SOS rankings was against significantly easier foes.  Andre Jackson Under 7.5 points |
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04-03-23 | Twins -119 v. Marlins | Top | 11-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show |
MLBÂ |
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04-02-23 | 76ers +5.5 v. Bucks | Top | 104-117 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
76ers vs Bucks LIVE Betting Strategy The 76ers have won two straight games, covered the spread in three consecutive games. The Bucks are on a 4-game Over streak. Bucks are 13-25 when facing a team that has won 60 to 70% of their gamers on the season in games played over the past three seasons; 5-17 ATS when facing a team that has outscored their opponents by at least an average 3 PPG in games played in the second half of each of the past two seasons.  From the predictive model, the 765ers are 31-4 SU and 24-10-1 ATS for 71% winning bets in road games, scoring 117 or more points, and making 35% or more of their 3-point shots spanning the past three seasons.  |
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04-01-23 | Miami-FL +5.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 59-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
Miami (FLA) vs UCONN 10-Unit best bet on Miami plus the 5.5 points. Miami (29-7) will face UConn (29-8) in the second national semifinal on Saturday at NRG Stadium in Houston. It has been a banner season for the Hurricanes, who entered the Atlantic Coast Conference tournament as the top seed for the second time in program history. Miami has been led by senior guard Isaiah Wong, third-year sophomore forward NorchadOmier and fifth-year senior transfer guard Jordan Miller. Miller produced 27 points on perfect shooting to lead the Hurricanes to the 88-81 victory over the Longhorns on Sunday. The Miami/Ft. Lauderdale area has always been a perennial hot bed for football and baseball and may of their players had terrific careers in the pros. Both programs are making their first appearance in the Final Four, so add basketball as the third sport.  |
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04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic +2.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Florida Atlantic vs San Diego State To many, the Owls might seem to be a bunch of unknowns. However, FAU leads the nation in victories and is ranked 15th in efficiency ratings. The Owls are no Cinderella and from a SDST perspective more akin to that evil stepsister.   FAU has thrived via collective effort, and white-knuckle tournament victories over Memphis, Fairleigh Dickinson, Tennessee and Kansas State validated the Owls' egalitarian approach to success. FAU is 14-3 when facing defensive teams averaging 14 forced turnovers PPG this season and 25-11 ATS when facing teams that are called for 17 or more fouls per game in games played over the past two seasons. FAU is 23-9 after covering the spread in two of their last three games spanning the past three seasons.   |
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04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State OVER 131.5 | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Betting the Over in any Tournament semifinal game (NCAA, NIT, or CBI) with a total between 130 and 139.5 points and with one of the teams coming into the game on a 7 or more-game win streak has earned a 53-32-2 Over record over the past 25 years. |
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03-29-23 | Wolves v. Suns -4.5 | Top | 100-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
NBA 10-Unit 5% Max Bet of the Month Betting on favorites that are taking on a foe that is ocming off two road upset wins and has won 50 to 60% of their games on the season has gone 69-33-2 ATS for 68% winning bets since 1996. This system has had just one losing season, going 3-2 ATS in 1999. Betting the Over with a home team that has posted an excellent 2.5 or higher assists-to-turnover ratio in each of their last three games and facing a foe that has trouble moving the ball and taking care of it as reflected by an assist-to-turnover ratio under 2 for the season has earned a 28-13-1 Over record good for 68.3% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. If the home team is playing on one day of rest, the Over record has earned a 20-7-1 mark for 74% winning bets. If the road team is playing on one day of rest, the Over record soars to 20-6-1 record for 77% winning bets. |
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03-28-23 | Magic v. Grizzlies -7 | Top | 108-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
Magic vs Grizzlies From the predictive model, Memphis is 90-21-1 ATS when scoring at least 115 points and having the better assists-to-turnover ratio in games played since 2018. The Magic are 24-76 ATS for 24% when allowing 115 or more points and with the foe having the better assist-to-turnover ratio since 2018. |
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03-28-23 | Heat +3.5 v. Raptors | Top | 92-106 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
Heat vs Raptors From the predictive model, the Heat are 44-5 ATS for 90% winning bets when scoring 110 or more points and holding their opponent to 46% or lower shooting in games played over the past five seasons. |
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03-28-23 | Celtics -11.5 v. Wizards | Top | 111-130 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
Celtics vs Wizards From the predictive model the Celtics are 80-18-2 ATS for 82% winners when scoring 117 or more points and having the better assists-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past five seasons. |
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03-27-23 | Pelicans v. Blazers OVER 226.5 | Top | 124-90 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
New Orleans vs Portland 8-Unit Bet OVER the posted total currently at 226.5 points |
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03-27-23 | Rockets +14.5 v. Knicks | Top | 115-137 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Houston Rockets vs NY Knicks Betting on teams that have lost their last three games all on the road and playing on back-to-back nights has gone 52-22-1 ATS for 70.3% winners over the past 7 seasons. If our weary team is facing a team with a winning record, they soar to 24-8 ATS for 75% winning bets. |
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03-27-23 | Mavs +1.5 v. Pacers | Top | 127-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers |
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03-25-23 | Connecticut v. Gonzaga OVER 153 | Top | 82-54 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
UCONN vs Gonzaga Gonzaga is 7-1 over the posted total on facing elite offensive teams scoring 77 or more points per game in games played this season. UCONN is 12-3 over the total after allowing 65 or fewer points in three consecutive games in all games played over the last two seasons. The head coach Mark Few is 31-15 over the posted total when playing on a neutral court and priced as an underdog for his coaching career. Florida Atlantic vs Kansas State From the predictive model we are expecting both teams to shoot at least 44% from the field and make at least 78% of their free throw attempts. In past games in which Florida Atlantic met or exceeded these performance measures the over has gone 6-1 for 86% winning bets. In past games in which Kansas State met or exceeded these performance measures has seen the over go 7-2-1 for 78% winning bets. |
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03-25-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Kansas State OVER 143.5 | 79-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
Florida Atlantic vs Kansas State From the predictive model we are expecting both teams to shoot at least 44% from the field and make at least 78% of their free throw attempts. In past games in which Florida Atlantic met or exceeded these performance measures the over has gone 6-1 for 86% winning bets. In past games in which Kansas State met or exceeded these performance measures has seen the over go 7-2-1 for 78% winning bets. |
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03-24-23 | Bulls -2 v. Blazers | Top | 124-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
Chicago vs Portland |
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03-24-23 | Suns +3.5 v. Kings | Top | 127-135 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings |
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03-24-23 | Bucks -9 v. Jazz | Top | 144-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
Milwaukee Bucks vs Utah Jazz Betting on road favorites coming off a 20 or more-point win and facing a foe that has scored and allowed 100 or more points in each of their last three games has produced a 92-28 SU record and 76-42-2 ATS mark good for 64.4% winning bets since 2015. If the foe has scored and allowed 105 or more points in each of their last three games, the record improves to 37-18 ATS for 67% winning bets. If the total is priced at 230 or more points, our favorites have gone 16-6 ATS for 73% winning bets.  |
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03-24-23 | Miami-FL v. Houston UNDER 139 | Top | 89-75 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
Miami (Fla) vs Houston |
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03-24-23 | San Diego State v. Alabama OVER 137.5 | Top | 71-64 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
San Diego State vs Alabama Alabama is 8-2 Over following four consecutive games in which they forced four or fewer turnovers in games played this season. |
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03-22-23 | Blazers +4.5 v. Jazz | 127-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz Check out this amazing betting algorithm that has earned a highly profitable 33-6 ATS record for 85% winning bets over the past five seasons. This algorithm has gone 4-1 ATS this season, 17-2 ATS in 2021-22 season, 7-2 ATS in the 2020-21 season, 1-0 ATS in the 2019-20 season, and 4-1 ATS in the 2018-19 season. One of the main reasons this system has done so well relates directly to the steady increase in NBA scoring over the past five seasons.  |
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03-22-23 | 76ers -3.5 v. Bulls | 116-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Chicago Bulls |
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03-22-23 | Rockets +13 v. Grizzlies | 125-130 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies |
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03-22-23 | Spurs v. Bucks -17.5 | Top | 94-130 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks  |
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03-22-23 | Penguins v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
NHL: Pittsburgh vs Colorado |
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03-22-23 | Nuggets -6.5 v. Wizards | Top | 118-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards |
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03-21-23 | Pistons +14 v. Hawks | Top | 107-129 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
Tuesday March 21, 2023 Betting on road teams, who lost the previous meeting to the current opponent and are coming off a double-digit home loss have gone 73-101 SU (42%) and 108-64-2 ATS (63%) since 2018 (last five seasons). If the game is taking place after the all-star break, the record improves to 48-23-1 for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons. The P-Value for this set of parameters is outstanding at 0.000062. The closer the P-Value gets to absolute zero the stronger the correlation the listed parameters relate to ATS wins.  |
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03-21-23 | Cavs v. Nets OVER 218.5 | Top | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
Cleveland vs Brooklyn |
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03-21-23 | Maple Leafs v. Islanders +100 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Toronto Maple Leafs vs NY Islanders 8-Unit bet on the Islanders using the money line, currently priced at +115 |
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03-21-23 | Wizards -105 v. Magic | Top | 112-122 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Washington vs Orlando The Wizards are 33-14 ATS in road games following back-to-back games in which they trailed by double digits at the half. The Magic are just 5-14 ATS in home games when coming off a road game in which they shot 42% or worse from the field over the past five seasons. Wizards are 14-7 ATS in road games after covering the spread in three or fewer of their last 10 games and allowed 50% or higher shooting in their previous game spanning the past five seasons.  |
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03-21-23 | Lightning -1.5 v. Canadiens | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
Tuesday, March 21, 2023 Tampa Bay vs Montreal |
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03-21-23 | Hurricanes v. Rangers -115 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
Carolia vs NY Rangers |
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03-21-23 | North Texas v. Oklahoma State OVER 122.5 | Top | 65-59 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
North Texas vs Oklahoma State North Texas is 13-5 OVER when facing a team that is averaging at least 21 three-point shots per game. OKSTATE is 20-6 ATS when having won three of their last four games spanning the past three seasons and 8-1 ATS having won four of their last five games spanning the past three seasons.  |
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03-19-23 | TCU +4.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 81-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
TCU vs Gonzaga Here again, you can opt to bet 70% preflop plus the points and then look to add 30% money line at any price of +300 or better during the first half only.  TCU has shot poorly recently and have played Under their team total by more than 20 points over their last 5 games. They are facing a team in Gonzaga that has struggled defensively this season and has also played Over their team totals by 15 points over their last five games. In the NCAA Tournament, teams that have played Under their team total by 20 or more points over their last five games and facing a foe that has played Over their team total by 15 or more points has seen the team, in this case, TCU, go 29-12 SU and 27-13-1 ATS for 68% winning bets. If it is a Round of 32 matchup, our team has gone 10-4 ATS for 71% winners and 3-0 ATS if priced as the underdog. From the predictive model, TCU is 40-12 ATS for 77% winners when getting 10 or more offensive rebounds and shooting at least 48% from the field and 10-2 ATS for 83% winners if priced as a dog of 6.5 or fewer points.  |
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03-19-23 | Miami-FL v. Indiana -1.5 | Top | 85-69 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
Indiana vs Miami (FLA) 8-Unit bet on Indiana using the money line |
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03-19-23 | Fairleigh Dickinson v. Florida Atlantic -15.5 | Top | 70-78 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
Florida Atlantic vs FDUÂ In the NCAA Tournament, a matchup of teams that has have beaten the spread by 55 or more points over their last 10 games have gone 18-8 ATS for 69% winning bets and 16-8-2 Under for 67% winning bets. Â |
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03-19-23 | St. Mary's +4.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 55-70 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
St. Mary’s vs UCONN |
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03-19-23 | Pittsburgh v. Xavier OVER 147.5 | Top | 73-84 | Win | 100 | 1 h 44 m | Show |
Pittsburgh vs Xavier The predictive model projects that both teams will score at least 80 points each making this a terrific betting opportunity. If the game starts out slowly and the total drops to a price level between 140 and 144 points during the first half add a bit more to your bet with a sprinkle. An alternative is to bet 75% preflop and then add 25% at 145 or better during the first half of action. Or wait for the first half to be completed and if the first half plays Under then add to the Over bet at that point. There is a significant trend of games that play Under in the first half then play Over full game based on the closing total in the NCAA Tournament.   |
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03-18-23 | Maryland +9 v. Alabama | Top | 51-73 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
Maryland vs Alabama  |
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03-18-23 | Northwestern v. UCLA -7 | 63-68 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
Auburn vs Houston 8-Unit Bet on Auburn plus 5.5 points and sprinkle the money line if at any point Auburn is trailing by double-digits during the first half of action. UCLA shot 54% from the field and allowed 37% shooting in their 86-53 win over UNC-Ashville. Teams that had a FG% differential of 15% or more in their last NCAA Tournament game have seen the OVER go 15-8-1 ATS for 65% winning bets.  From the predictive model, UCLA is 11-5 Over the total when getting 42 or more rebounds, shooting 47% or better form the field, and committing 11 or fewer turnovers.  |
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03-18-23 | Penn State +5.5 v. Texas | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
03-18-23 | Auburn +5.5 v. Houston | 64-81 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Auburn vs Houston |
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03-18-23 | Arkansas +4.5 v. Kansas | 72-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
Arkansas vs Kansas 8-Unit bet on Penn Arkansas plus the points, currently at 3.5 points. I suggest sprinkling the money line if Arkansas gets down double-digits in the first half of action.  From the predictive model, Arkansas is 17-4 ATS for 81% winning bets over the past five seasons when shooting 47% or better from the field and getting 34 to 39 rebounds.  |
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03-18-23 | Duke v. Tennessee +3.5 | 52-65 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
Duke vs Tennessee Betting on neutral dogs of 3.5 to 6. points in a matchup between Major Conference teams has earned a solid 36-24 ATS record good for 60% winning bets. If our dog has won just five or fewer games over their last 10 games, they have gone on to earn a 69% ATS record 22-10 ATS. From the predictive model, Duke is just 25-70-1 ATS for 26% when scoring 75 or fewer points and shooting no better than 45% from the field over the past 10 seasons. Plus, 6-18 ATS (33%) over the past three seasons priced as the favorite and scoring 75 or fewer points and shooting 45% or worse from the field.  |
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03-17-23 | Kent State v. Indiana -4.5 | Top | 60-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
Kent State vs Indiana Kent State is 6-16 ATS in NCAA Tournament games over the past 25 events.  |
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03-17-23 | Montana State v. Kansas State -7.5 | Top | 65-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
Kansas State vs Montana State  |
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03-17-23 | Florida Atlantic +2 v. Memphis | Top | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
Florida Atlantic vs Memphis No matter what conference a team resides in, a season winning 30 or more games is always impressive and Florida Atlantic posted a 31-3 SU mark and 21-10-1 ATS mark with two games played having no posted betting lines. Over the past 10 NCAA Tournaments dogs that have won 30 or more games are 2-2 SU and 4-0 ATS so Memphis may be caught basking in their glory of upsetting No.1 ranked Houston in their previous game.     From the predictive model, we are looking for FAU to score 75 or more points and have 13 or fewer turnovers. In past games in which they have met these performance measures has led them to an amazing 15-7 SU and 17-4-1 ATS mark for 81% winning bets since the 2015 season.  |
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03-17-23 | Providence +4.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 53-61 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
Providence vs Kentucky From the predictive model, Providence is 11-2 SU and 10-3 ATS when scoring 82 or more points and having the same or fewer turnovers in games played over the past three seasons.  |
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03-17-23 | Iona v. Connecticut -9 | 63-87 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
Iona vs UCONNÂ The predictive analytics show us that UCONN is 20-5 ATS for 80% winners when scoring 75 or more points and out rebounding their foes by double digits over the past three seasons. Â |
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03-15-23 | Celtics -4.5 v. Wolves | Top | 104-102 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
Celtics vs Timberwolves 10-UNIT MAX Bet on the Celtics minus the points, currently at –5 points. Betting on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are outscoring their foes by at least 3 PPG and facing a host that was leading by 20 or more points at the half of their previous game has earned a highly profitable 45-15 ATS record for 75% winning bets since 2004. This betting system is one of the best ones you will ever find as the parameters have a very strong P-Value (JR-Value) of .000067 and the close a P-Value gets to absolute zero the stronger the correlation of the game-dependent parameters becomes. |
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03-12-23 | Texas A&M v. Alabama -4.5 | Top | 63-82 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show |
Texas A&M vs Alabama |
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03-12-23 | Princeton v. Yale -3 | Top | 74-65 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 25 m | Show |
Princeton vs Yale I suggest betting no more than a 2.5-unit amount on the parlay and would encourage you to wait till the game starts and look to get Yale at pick-em and the Under at 146.5 or more points during the first half of action. Perhaps 1.5 units parlay preflop and then 1 more unit in-game.  Dogs that are playing in their conference tournament and that lost two same season games to the current foe, with a total between 135 and 145 points and with that foe averaging a higher shooting percentage over their last three games than what they shot for the season have gone just 18-27 ATS for 40%. |
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03-12-23 | Princeton v. Yale UNDER 140.5 | Top | 74-65 | Win | 100 | 2 h 25 m | Show |
Princeton vs Yale I suggest betting no more than a 2.5-unit amount on the parlay and would encourage you to wait till the game starts and look to get Yale at pick-em and the Under at 146.5 or more points during the first half of action. Perhaps 1.5 units parlay preflop and then 1 more unit in-game.  Dogs that are playing in their conference tournament and that lost two same season games to the current foe, with a total between 135 and 145 points and with that foe averaging a higher shooting percentage over their last three games than what they shot for the season have gone just 18-27 ATS for 40%. |
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03-11-23 | Xavier +2.5 v. Marquette | Top | 51-65 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Xavier vs Marquette 8-Unit best bet on Xavier plus the two points |
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03-11-23 | Texas +2.5 v. Kansas | Top | 76-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
Texas vs Kansas |
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03-11-23 | Fordham +6.5 v. Dayton | Top | 68-78 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 1 m | Show |
Fordham vs Dayton |
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03-11-23 | Cornell v. Yale UNDER 149.5 | Top | 60-80 | Win | 100 | 2 h 53 m | Show |
Cornell vs Yale |
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03-10-23 | Penn State +2 v. Northwestern | Top | 67-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
Penn State vs Northwestern The following situational algorithm has earned a 15-8 SU record and 20-3 ATS record for 87% winning bets over the past 10 seasons and requires a bet on neutral court teams, PSU, that defeated the current opponent as an underdog and with that foe coming off a double digit road win. If our team is the dog, the record goes to an incredible 15-1 ATS for 94% winning bets.  |
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03-10-23 | UABÂ +1.5 v. North Texas | Top | 76-69 | Win | 100 | 2 h 11 m | Show |
North Texas vs UABÂ |
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03-10-23 | Ohio State v. Michigan State -4.5 | Top | 68-58 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 6 m | Show |
Ohio State vs Michigan State |
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03-09-23 | Villanova +5 v. Creighton | Top | 74-87 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
Villanova vs Creighton From the predictive model, Villanova is 7-1 SUATS as a dog, hitting 80% or more of their shots from the charity stripe, and having the better assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past 5 seasons. |
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03-09-23 | La Salle v. Fordham -6 | Top | 61-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
LaSalle vs Fordham From the predictive mode, we expect Fordham to score 75 or more points and have between 10 and 13 turnovers and when they have achieved this have gone to a 20-3 SU record and 18-4-1 ATS record for 82% winning bets. If they are facing a conference foe an even better 16-3 SU and 12-2-1 ATS record for 86% winning bets. |
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03-09-23 | Rockets +10 v. Pacers | Top | 125-134 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
Houston vs Indiana Betting on underdogs that lost the last time the two teams met and shot 40% or lower in that loss and is coming off a home loss by 20 or more points has earned a 24-23 record and 31-16 ATS for 66% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our team is a dog from pick to +10, the record improves to 20-7 ATS for 74% winning bets. From the predictive mode, we learn that the Rockets are 10-3 SU and 11-1-1 ATS in games in which they scored 111 or more points and got at least 50 rebounds in games played over the past three seasons. |
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03-09-23 | DePaul v. Xavier -12 | Top | 84-89 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
DePaul vs Xavier |
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03-09-23 | Colorado State +10 v. San Diego State | Top | 61-64 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show |
Colorado State vs San Diego State From the predictive model, CSU is 18-6 ATS for 75% winning bets when shooting 45% or better from the field, making 77% or better from the charity stripe and committing 12 or fewer turnovers. |
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03-09-23 | Ohio State v. Iowa UNDER 153.5 | Top | 73-69 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show |
Ohio State vs Iowa |
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03-08-23 | LSU v. Georgia +3 | Top | 72-67 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
LSU vs Georgia
from the predictive model we are expecting Georgia to allow 71 or fewer points and have the better assist the turnover ratio. In past games in which Georgia has met or exceeded these performance measures has led them to earn an outstanding 32-2 SU and 29-4-1 ARS mark good for 88% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
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03-08-23 | Boston College v. North Carolina -11 | Top | 61-85 | Win | 100 | 3 h 39 m | Show |
Boston College vs UNC 8-Unit bets bet on UNC minus 11.5 points North Carolina is 22-10 against the spread after two straight games forcing opponents to commit 11 or fewer turnovers in games played over the last two seasons. From the predictive model we are expecting North Carolina to allow no more than 70 points and get at least 43 rebounds. in past games in which North Carolina met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to earn a 51-4 SU record and 37-16 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
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03-07-23 | Blues -132 v. Coyotes | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -132 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
St. Louis Blues vs Arizona Coyotes Betting on road favorites of between -110 and -150 on the money line that allowed four or more goals in their previous game and is a slow starting team getting outscored by 0.2 or more goals in the first period of their games on the season has earned a 66-38 SU record (64%) for a 23% ROI since 2015. If the game is taking place in the second half of the season has earned an incredible 21-8 SU record good for 72.4% winning bets and producing a 44% ROI since 2015. |
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03-07-23 | North Dakota State v. Oral Roberts -10 | Top | 58-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
North Dakota State versus Oral Roberts Summit tournament championship game at the Denny Sanford premier center in Sioux Falls. North Dakota State is coming off an 89-79 win over South Dakota state priced AS4.5 underdogs. North Dakota State is just 2-9 against the spread after scoring 85 or more points in games played over the last two seasons. World Roberts is 9-1 against the spread when playing only the third game in a week in games played over the last two seasons. North Dakota head coach Richman is 5-14 against the number when facing a team that is scoring 84 or more points per game for his career. From the predictive model we are looking for Oral Roberts university to score at least 80 points in this game and have no more than 10 turnovers. North Dakota State is 0-16 straight up and 1-15 against the spread when allowing 80 or more points and forcing 10 or fewer turnovers in games played over the last three seasons. |
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03-07-23 | St. Peter's +3 v. Fairfield | Top | 70-52 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
St. Peters vs Fairfield |
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03-07-23 | NC-Wilmington v. College of Charleston -10 | Top | 58-63 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
UNC-Wilmington vs College of Charleston The College of Charleston is 8-1 against the spread when playing on one or no days of rest this season. They are also 8-1 against the spread when playing only their third game of the past seven days this season. They are also 9-2 against the spread in road games after covering four or five of their last six against the spread in games played over the last two seasons.Head coach of College of Charleston Kelsey is 16-5 against the spread when playing on one or fewer days of rest over his coaching career. He is also 27-12 in road games after one or more consecutive games that played over the total for his career. Last, he is 35-19 against the spread in road games when playing against a team with a winning record for his career. From the predictive model we are expecting the College of Charleston to score 77 or more points and make 10 or more 3-point shots in this game. In past games in which they met or exceeded this pair of performance measures has seen them go 18-5 straight up and against the spread for 78% winning bets. |
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03-06-23 | Sharks v. Jets UNDER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 108 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
Sharks vs Jets |
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03-06-23 | 76ers -7 v. Pacers | Top | 147-143 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs Indiana The Pacers held off the Chicago Bulls to earn a 125-122 road win Sunday. Haliburton scored a game-high 29 points and 11assists for the Pacers, who have won four of their last six games, covering five of them against-the-spread (ATS). They defeated the Bulls despite allowing 60.8% shooting and now find themselves playing on back-to-back nights.  The 76ers were down 18 points in the second half and roared back with a dominant 48-41 edge in the fourth quarter to bring a halt to the Bucks 16-game win streak. Betting on road favorites of at least 3.5 points that allowed 50% opponent shooting in each of their least past two games and facing a foe coming off a win by three or fewer points has earned 6-1 SU and ATS record for 86% winning bets since 2017. 76ers allowed 57.7% shooting in a 133-126 loss at Dallas and then most recently allowed 50% shooting in their 133-130 win over the Bucks. The 76ers are 12-3 SU and 10-5 ATS (67%) winning bets when playing with more days of rest than the opponent, coming off a road win and now priced as a road favorite. Home dogs of at least 6 points, like the Pacers, that have lost four consecutive games against the current opponent, playing on back-to-back nights after the all-star break, with that foe winning at least 60% of their games in the current season have gone just 17-33-2 ATS for 33%. |
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03-06-23 | NC-Wilmington +7.5 v. Hofstra | Top | 79-73 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
UNC-Wilmington vs Hofstra The predictive metrics are looking for Hofstra to score 70 or fewer points and for UNCW to have the same or fewer turnovers. In past games, in which UNCW met these performance measures has earned a 17-1 SU record and a 14-4 ATS mark good for 78% winning bets over the past three seasons.  |
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03-05-23 | San Francisco v. Santa Clara -3 | Top | 93-87 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
San Francisco vs Santa Clara West Coast Tournament - Quarterfinals - Orleans Arena - Paradise, NV |
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03-04-23 | Alabama +1.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 61-67 | Loss | -104 | 2 h 13 m | Show |
Alabama vs Texas A&M The two best teams in the SEC Conference square off in this showdown, but there is nothing at stake. Alabama is the #1 seed with a 16-4 conference record and A&M is locked in the #2 seed heading into the SEC Tournament this week. Alabama has used only 3 different starting lineups this season and the quintet of Bediako, Bradley, Clowney, Miller, and Spears have amassed a 17-3 record. They will start today against A&M. Top-10 road teams in a matchup facing a foe that is ranked between 11 and 25, both teams have won 20 or more games, but the team ranked in the Top-10 has lost fewer games than the foe and are priced between the 3’s are 29-14-3 ATS for 67.4% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.  Betting on road teams priced between the 3’s, have allowed 80 or more points in each of their last two games, and facing a foe that has played four consecutive games in which they and their foes scored fewer than 70 points.  Alabama vs Texas A&M For the in-game betting parlay look to get ‘Bama at +6.5 and the total Under at 157.5 points. This pair of prices may not occur during the first half of the action and if it doesn’tthen so be it and resist the temptation to force the bet. |
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