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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-28-13 | Wisconsin +7 v. Ohio State | 24-31 | Push | 0 | 41 h 59 m | Show | |
On Saturday night the TV Power system winner is on Wisconsin. Game 191 at 8:00 eastern. Wisky has played tougher teams than Ohio. St and is taking a touchdown in this one. Wisconsin has home loss revenge for a 21-14 loss last year in a game where they out gained the Buckeyes by over 100+ yards. They have a better defense than Ohio. St and coach Andersen has covered 11 straight as a dog. Ohio. St has failed to cover 3 of the last 4 at home when the total is 52.5 to 56. Now for a solid power system we want to play on road dogs that had over 450 yards in their last game if they averaged more than 7 yards per play in their last game. These teams have covered 35 of 42 the last few seasons. The Badgers are 4-1 ats before games with Northwestern and 4-1 ats as a conference dog with revenge. Ohio. St is 1-6 ats in the 2nd of back to back home games. Ohio. St has taken care of the cup cakes, tonight is the first real deal test for them. Look for a close game that could go either way. Take the Points with Wisconsin.
On Saturday the MLB Play is on the NY. Yankees. Game 923 at 7:10 eastern. Talk about Motivation. Andy Pettite in his career start in his home state against an inept Houston team. The Yankees will want to send him out with a win. Pettite wants to pitch well as this Houston rocked him in an early start at the stadium where he allowed 7 runs in 4+ innings. He has won 20 of 25 after a start here he threw 100+ pitches and was throwing a no hitter in the 6th last out until he gave up a home run and in the end left on the short side of the game in his last home start. He has a 2.70 era in his last 3 starts. He will oppose P. Clemens who is 0-4 with a 5.28 era of late. Houston is 9-26 as a home dog in this range and 17-66 vs winning teams and are averaging 1.6 runs the past week. When Houston is home off a 1 run home loss they are 1-12. The Yankees are 6-1 as a road favorite off a 1 run road win. Look for the Yankees to win this one. On Saturday the Technical Power Play is on Arkansas. St. Game 135 at 7:30 eastern. Solid 96% system in this one that pertain to road dogs in non conference games that are off a road favored loss and scored less than 20 points, vs a winning team that won and covered last out like Missouri. The Tigers are not a good favorite in this situation as coach Pinkel has never done well in this spread range off a win and cover. Missouri has a home loss revenger on deck vs Vandy next week. Arkansas St laid an egg in Memphis last week and is getting solid line value because of it. Look for Arkansas St to stick around for the cover in a classic win and no cover game |
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09-28-13 | Ole Miss v. Alabama -13 | 0-25 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
On Saturday the SEC Power Play is on Alabama. Game 146 at 6:30 eastern. The line is dropping here as it now sits at -13 in some spots after going as high as 17 at the beginning of the week. Money is pouring in on OLE Miss and that's the best time to jump on a #1 ranked team, when the public comes in on the dog. Ole. Miss wont win here. They are 0-9 vs top ranked teams, 1-10 vs winning teams and have lost and failed to cover the only 2 times as a road dog in this range the last 2 seasons. ALL Time vs Defending National Champs they are 1-12. Alabama won but did not cover as a 31.5 point favorites here last season vs OLE. Miss. The Rebels are a nice team but they are not 17 points better than last season spread. Nor is Alabama much worse. The Crimson have won 42 straight when rushing for 140+ yards something they should do here. This game also has a Powerful system that plays against Ole Miss and all road dogs in this range that are off a road dog win in their last game and their opponent is off a home favored win and spread loss, which Alabama is against Colorado St.. Ole Miss looked good stomping Texas. However that win is not nearly as impressive as it would be in most years as Texas defense is mediocre at best. Alabama is off back to back spread losses. They are 5-0 ats in this role and winning by an average 30 points. Should Alabama feel the need to run this one up it could get ugly fast. Alabama has Georgia ST up next and will be favored by around 40 in that one so they wont be looking ahead. Look for Alabama to stay on the Publics mind with a solid performance here.
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09-28-13 | Temple v. Idaho +7.5 | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 18 h 28 m | Show | |
On Saturday the College Power system Play is on Idaho. Game 164 at 5:00 eastern. Idaho is taking points in this one in a battle between two winless teams. Temple has lost 20 of the last 23 with 2 weeks or more between games and they are 0-7 in domes. Idaho has played a much tougher schedule. Another negative indicator for Temple is that road favorites that are 0-3 have failed to cover EVERY Time the last several years. Temple lost at home to Fordham 2 weeks ago and they are 0-8 ats as favorites with rest. Idaho played very tough in a 10 point loss to a much better Northern Illinois team. Idaho winning this one would be no surprise. Take the points.
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09-28-13 | Iowa v. Minnesota +2 | 23-7 | Loss | -104 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
GUARANTEED Minnesota. Game 138 at 3:30 eastern. We are playing against Iowa here as they are in a terrible road favorite system that plays against road favorites of less than 12 off a home favored win and cover a prior road favorite win and cover, provided they scored 40 or more last out and have a win percentage of .375 or higher. Right here We have enough to warrant a play. But lets keep going. Minnesota is 4-1 if the line is +3 to -3 and 4-1 off back to back wins. They have covered 3 of the last 4 here in the series and we note that Game 5 home dogs that have not lost yet and are taking less than 4 have covered nine of the last 11 times. With Iowa going 0-9 to the spread in game 5 if off back to back wins and 3-8 vs winning teams while failing in 11 of 14 to the spread on Turf. We will Make it Minnesota.
BONUS LSU Game 141 at 3:30 eastern. The Tigers travel into Georgia today to take on the Bulldogs in a premier SEC matchup. Lsu Fits one of our solid systems here that plays on winning conference road dogs that played their last 2 at home with no spread wins if they played at least one road game and scored 28 or more at home last out vs an opponent off a win. Coach Miles is an incredible 22-1 if he is undefeated and is playing an opponent who has at least one loss. LSU is 12-0 in September and 21-1 with 6 or less days rest. Georgia is 1-8 to the spread in their 3rd straight home game if they won last out. Finally we note Game 4 road teams have won 13 of 14 if they are undefeated and are taking on an opponent off a double digit win. Take LSU. BONUS Oregon St. Game 172 at 3:00 eastern. The Beavers have started to pick it up with 3 straight wins after a hideous opening game loss to E. Washington. Today they take on Colorado who has not played in 3 weeks. Oregon St is 6-1 with 5 spread wins as a home favorite from -10.5 to -14. Colorado is 0-9 straight up and ats in weeks 5-9 and 5-17 ats on Saturdays. Finally road teams with rest have been big money burners in game 5 when both teams are off 2+ wins, these teams are failing to the spread over 93% of the time. Look for Oregon St to put it all together today. |
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09-28-13 | Akron v. Bowling Green -15.5 | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Early Blowout system side is on Bowling Green. Game 170 at 2:30 eastern. Bowling Green fits a solid blowout system that plays on home favorites from -10 to -30 that are off a win by 40 or more points, if they allowed 10 or less and are playing a conference opponent off a loss. Bowling Green is 5-1 straight up and ats vs losing teams. BGU averages over 500+ yards on offense and they face an Akron defense that allows 465+ yards. Akron is just 2-9 ats as a road dog from 10.5 to +15. They are also 2-12 ats in conference games as a road dog of 10 or more vs an opponent off a win. Bowling Green has covered the last 5 in the series and comes off a 48-7 Pasting of Murray St.. BGU is a legit MAC 10 Conference Championship caliber team. Look for them to coast in this one.
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09-27-13 | Middle Tennessee State v. BYU -23.5 | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 19 h 42 m | Show | |
On Friday the College Football Power Angle Play is on BYU. Game 108 at 9:00 eastern. BYU suffered a big let down at home vs Utah on Saturday night after hammering Texas here by 21 points. Now they lay 23 to a Middle Tennessee team that is off a road win and comes in at 3-1 despite not really playing well at the line of scrimmage. MTSU is not as good as Utah or Texas and will likely be happy just having survived on the road in their 42-35 overtime win at Florida Atlantis. The Blue Raiders are 0-12 ATS when they lose when coming off a straight up win, and they will lose here. BYU is 7-1 ats when they win when coming off a loss. With Middle Tenn. just 1-5 ats after scoring 35 or more we will BACK BYU tonight.
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09-26-13 | San Francisco 49ers -3 v. St. Louis Rams | 35-11 | Win | 100 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
In Thursday night NFL Action our Double system dominator Side is on the SF. 49ers. Game 101 at 8:25 eastern. Both teams are off blowout losses coming into this one. However its San Francisco that has really been a bust as they are off back to back 20+ point blowout losses to Seattle and Indianapolis on Sunday as a 10 point favorite. Road favorites off a home favored loss that scored less than 10 points have covered 96% vs an opponent like the Rams that are off a road dog loss that scored 14 or less points. San Francisco has won 7 of 9 vs losing teams. The Rams fit a 100% Play against system that goes against home dogs off a road dog loss by 7 or more points if they scored 10 or less points had 2 or less turnovers while rushing for less than 50 yards and allowing 150 or more rush yards. These home dogs have never covered and are losing by an average 18 points per game. The Rams are 2-11 off back to back losses and the Niners have covered 10 straight vs teams off 2+ losses if they are playing with revenge. Harbaugh is 5-0 ats as a favorite of less than 5. The Niners are 7-1 ats in September off a straight up favored loss and will look to get the offense back on track after managing just 10 points the last 2 games combined. With the Rams 1-29 straight up as a division home dog of 3 or more we will back the Niners tonight.
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09-26-13 | Iowa State +3 v. Tulsa | 38-21 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
On Thursday night the College Play is on Iowa. St. Game 105 at 7:35 eastern. The Cyclones have this one circled as they look to avenge last seasons Bowl loss to a Tulsa team that brings back just 10 starters. Iowa St is off a pair of home loss but one of those was to a tough Iowa team. The Cyclones also have 2 systems that are on their side tonight. First we want to play on road dogs at +3 or less that are off a home dog loss and are playing an opponent off a road dog loss. The other system plays against Tulsa and all home favorites of less than 5 that are off a straight up and ats road dog loss where they allowed 40 or more points and are playing an opponent off a home loss. That system ties in nicely with Tulsa and their 0-4 record at home after allowing 40 or more last out. The Golden Hurricane are a lousy 8-23 vs BIG 12 Teams long term ad have failed to cover 7 of 8 as a home favorite vs non conference teams that are off a loss. Look for Iowa St to to get the cash tonight.
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09-23-13 | Oakland Raiders v. Denver Broncos OVER 48 | 21-37 | Win | 100 | 24 h 14 m | Show | |
NFL System total
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09-22-13 | Chicago Bears v. Pittsburgh Steelers OVER 40 | 40-23 | Win | 100 | 54 h 15 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Evening totals Play is on the Over in the Chicago at Pittsburgh game. Rotation numbers 417/418 at 8:25 eastern. This game fits a tremendous totals system that pertain to home dogs that have scored less than their season average in the last 2 games, as long as they were not ahead at the end of the first quarter and did not have more than 10 penalties in the game. These games have Soared over the total 21 straight times and by 2+ touchdowns. The Bears are 9-0 over before playing Detroit and 11-0 Over on grass vs Non divisional teams with a division game up next week.They have played over in 7 of 9 after 2+ wins. The Steelers have played over in 11 straight at home off a road loss if they scored 16 or less points. Look for the Steelers to turn things around on offense here tonight in what should be a very entertaining game. Take Chicago and Pittsburgh to play over the total.
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09-22-13 | Buffalo Bills +126 v. NY Jets | 20-27 | Loss | -100 | 50 h 4 m | Show | |
On Sunday in afternoon action our dog play is on the Buffalo Bills game number 415 at 4:25 eastern. The Bills have covered 19 straight times if off a non division win by 3 or less points provided they scored in the last quarter. Even better though is a league wide system we have cleaned up with the past few seasons that plays against home teams that lost by 3 or less as a double digit dog. These home teams have bounced big after nearly scoring the big road upset, failing to cover in 30 of 36 applications. These home teams simply get flat after losing a game they were all out to win as a dog of 10 or more. The Jets were done in by 3 4th quarter interceptions by Rookie Qb Geno Smith despite holding the Patriots to just 13 points at home. The Jets are 0-10 ats off a spread win where they had 3 or more turnovers than their opponents and have failed to cover the last seven times as a favorite when they allowed 4 or more sacks. Look for the Bills to take this one.
Sunday Bonus Power Teaser 11-2 on these since last year and cashed one last week--- Here we go- 3 teams 10 points San Francisco Game 412 at 4:25 eastern to Even. They have covered 24 straight on a 10 point line move if they scored 10 or less points from their season average..Atlanta game 409 at 4:05 eastern. Atlanta to +12 as we play against a non division home team like Miami off back to back road dog wins Pitt Steelers game 418 at 8:25 eastern. In 49 games playing at home off a road loss where they scored 14 or less the Steelers have only lost by More than 12 points just 4 times in those 49 games. SF- Even Atlanta +12 Pitt +12.5 |
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09-22-13 | Jacksonville Jaguars +19 v. Seattle Seahawks | Top | 17-45 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 31 m | Show |
On Sunday the NFL Top play is on.....Hold your nose. Jacksonville. Game 413 at 4:25 eastern. By game time the Jaguars should be getting upwards of 20 points, which is perfect as teams laying 20 or more have NOT Covered the spread, not even once the last 34 years dating back through 1979. Another solid system, an exclusive one we use whenever it applies dates to 1977 and plays on week 3 road dogs getting more than 12 points if they are 0-2. These teams are 17-2 ats. These teams maybe ugly but they get the job done, most teams in this range sitting at 0-2 give it all they have desperately trying to avoid going 0-3. Most times they lost, but this situation have become a classic win and no cover for the home team. Seattle is off a Big emotional win over San Francisco and gave it their all. Its only natural that this be a flat spot. They could win 21-3 and not cover in this game. Seattle is also 0-9 ats after The Niners and 3-14 ats home off a win vs an opponent off a road game. Coach Carrroll has also shown he lets up as he is 2-8 ats off back to back wins vs losing teams Both teams have solid defenses and the Jags will stay in the game because they wont give up a ton of points. I expect they will play better on offense as they cant be happy with the Demonstrator pleading with management to sign Tebow. Henne will most likely be back their again for an injured B. Gabbert. Henne should benefit form playing last week and they should play more cohesively. Jacksonville is a perfect 9-0 ats as a dog of 7 or more if they allowed 4 or more sacks. We will hold our noses and take Jacksonville today.
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09-22-13 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. New England Patriots -7 | 3-23 | Win | 100 | 47 h 41 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Early Power System Play is on the New England Patriots. Game 396 at 1:00 eastern. The Patriots fit all the Parameters of Solid System that won just last week with Denver. We want to play on Teams who won on a Thursday night if they have a .700 or better win percentage and are taking on a team like Tampa Bay that lost on a Sunday, if that losing team has a win percentage of .350 or less. Tampa did a nice job coming back from a gut wrenching loss to the Jets, only to have their hearts ripped out by a late loss at home to New Orleans. Now they take to the road in a tough spot against a New England team who is getting healthier by the minute. Coach Bellichek is a tremendous 22-2 to the spread at -11.5 or less of back to back spread losses, including 9-0 ats off back to back ats losses vs an opponent off a loss. With Tampa having internal problems, like Revis going to the media with the. Coach Schiano is too strict and there's too much Discipline. The Tampa team may not have their heads screwd on right for this one. Take New England.
On Sunday the early bonus totals system pay is on the under in the San Diego at Tennessee game. Rotation numbers 391/392 at 1:00 eastern. This game fits a solid totals system that dates to 1984 and plays to the under for week 3 teams like the Chargers that have allowed 30+ points in each of the first 2 games, vs an opponent with at least one win and the line is less than 10. This one has cashed 19 of 23 times. San Diego figures to improve on defense against a Titans team that is not as good as what they have seen the first two weeks in Houston and Philly. The Chargers offense also should slow down a bit against a Titans team that pays tough at home. San Diego has stayed under 9 straight times after allowing over 370 yards passing provided they scored no more than 48 points in their last game. Look for this game to go under tonight. |
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09-21-13 | Utah v. BYU -6.5 | 20-13 | Loss | -114 | 24 h 31 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Non conference Play is on BYU. Game 346 at 10:15 eastern. BYU fits a solid system that pertains to teams like the Cougars that are off their first win of the season and are now taking on a team like Utah that plays on the road while playing off their first loss of the season. This system has cashed big the last 20+ seasons. BYU has the extra advantage of rest here and Coach Mendenhall has made the rest and extra prep time a tremendous weapon as BYU is 12-0 straight up and 11-1 to the spread when playing off a bye week. Utah has to be shaken after blowing a late lead to Oregon St 51-48. BYU has won 17 of 20 at home when the total is 56.5 to 63. Utah has the 114th ranked pass defense and while this has been a close game the past few seasons, the Utah state of mind comes into play off an over time loss. The Numbers on offense are around the same with both teams averaging over 500 yards. However BYU has played a tougher schedule and still has a defense that allows 60 fewer yards. Look for BYU to get the win and cover here tonight.
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09-21-13 | Texas San Antonio -2.5 v. UTEP | 32-13 | Win | 100 | 21 h 26 m | Show | |
NCAAF Offhore steam TEX-SANT
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09-21-13 | Missouri v. Indiana OVER 71 | 45-28 | Win | 100 | 21 h 26 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Simulator total is on the Over in the Missouri at Indiana game. Rotation numbers 387/388 at 8:00 eastern. This one fits a simulation model we use that has been perfect so far this season and Cashed big last week in our totals play with the over in the Alabama at Texas A@M Game an Easy winner. Both teams fit a system we use that pertains to overs for posted totals in this range when we have Both offenses that average over 400 yards and at least one defense that allows over 400 yards. These two average over 500 yards and the Indiana defense will have a tougher time here against Mizzou than they did at home vs Bowling Green. Indy will put up a plethora of points too. In fact the Hoosiers are 14 of 17 over as a dog, 11 of 14 at home, 3 of 4 vs SEC Teams and 15 of 21 with 6 or less days of rest. Look for this one to fly over the total.
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09-21-13 | Cincinnati v. Miami (OH) +23 | 14-0 | Win | 100 | 86 h 11 m | Show | |
On Saturday the NCAAF System Club is on Miami Ohio +23. Game 332 at 4:00 eastern. I expect the Red Hawks to play much better in this one.as they return home off a pari of road losses. Miami Ohio is one of the worst teams in the country on both sides of the ball. So why on earth would we back them? Simply because they are off a bye week and are getting an over adjusted line. They fit a solid week 3 system that plays on teams that lost back to back games by 10+ points if they have revenge and scored less than 9 points in their last game. These teams are nearly 90% if the lost that last game by 4+ touch downs. They also fit a home dog with rest and revenge system we use when opponent are off a win by 7 or more. Cincy has not really played that tough a schedule and will win here but this one is a classic win and no cover for the favorite. On Saturday we have a Tremendous card backed with the 6* Non Conference Game of the Year with a 100% Indicator and several solid angles. We also have the 5* 97% Dog of the month, the Total of the week which is on a 4-0 run and a Big Perfect system Blowout. MLB Power system play also on the card. College Football is 29 games over .500 the past 2 weeks and 29 games over .500 the last 3+ seasons. Jump on Now and put the Power of this Exclusive Data on your side. For the free NCAAF System Club Play Take Miami Ohio + 23 points. RV
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09-21-13 | Louisiana Monroe v. Baylor -29 | 7-70 | Win | 100 | 86 h 10 m | Show | |
On Saturday the NCAAF Perfect system Play is on Baylor. Game 342 at 4:00 eastern. Team like Baylor that scored 60+ points in their first 2 games have covered EVERY TIME since the inception of the point spread in College football. That's how RARE that feat is. This perhaps is why they are laying upwards of 30 points here. Baylor is averaging 736 yards and is 13-2 ats at home including 5-0 straight up and ats here when the total is 70 or higher. They are also 8-2 ats off back to back wins. LA. Monroe is 2-35 straight up and 11-25 to the spread as a dog more than 21 and 4-12 ats off back to back wins. In last years game Baylor came back for a 47-42 win after being down big in that game nearly covering the 8 point spread in that game. This should be a big time blowout. Were Banging Baylor.
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09-21-13 | Arkansas +2.5 v. Rutgers | 24-28 | Loss | -106 | 17 h 15 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Revenge Game is on the Arkansas Razorbacks. Game 365 at 3:30 eastern. Both starting Qb/s most likely wont play in this one. That wont be a problem though for either team as they both have capable backs ups. Arky has this one circled as they were knocked off last season at home 35-26 to a better Rutgers team that they will see here today. Arkansas fit a Rare 11-1 System that plays on dogs that are off a win scoring 24 or less points if they allowed 3 or less and were favored by 17 or more points. Arkansas won 24-3 last week as a 24 point favorite. They are 12-1 ats on the road when the posted total is 45 to 49 and 10-2 straight up vs Non conference teams and have a defense that is 100 yards better than Rutgers. Look for Arkansas to exact home loss revenge here today.
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09-21-13 | Tulane v. Syracuse -14.5 | 17-52 | Win | 100 | 83 h 40 m | Show | |
NCAAF Play on Syracuse
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09-19-13 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Philadelphia Eagles -3 | 26-16 | Loss | -120 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
On Thursday the guaranteed NFL Thursday night Power System play is on the Philadelphia Eagles. Game 302 at 8;25 eastern. This game is backed with 2 Tremendous systems that date back to 1989.. First we note that ALL Home teams in non divisional games that are off a home favored loss and scored 28 or more points while passing for 300+ yards, like the Eagles are a perfect 9-0 ats and win by an average 18 points per game. Second we have a Thursday specific system here that plays on home teams off a home favored loss at -3 or more. These teams have won and covered 90%. Finally a perfect plays against system that goes against the Chiefs as Thursday night road dogs have neither won nor covered since 1995 off a home favored win where they scored 21 or less points. Don't be fooled into thinking that all the useless trends you will se in this game matter. They wont. Both teams have new coaches and new philosophies. Road games for teams like KC are tough when coming off a hard fought victory and KC was all out in that Dallas game hanging on late. They have already matched last seasons win total and this is an extremely tough sot especially with Philly off a walk off loss to San Diego. Lay the points here . Take the Eagles.
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09-16-13 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Cincinnati Bengals UNDER 41 | Top | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show |
On Monday night the NFL Totals System Play is on the Under in the Pittsburgh at Cincinnati game. Rotation numbers 223/224 at 8:40 eastern. This game fits a solid week 2 totals system that is 15-1 to the under since 1992 when we have a team like the Bengals that lost game 1 by 1-3 points in a game where the line within 3 points of Pickem. Three of the last 4 between these two have stayed under and The Bengals have played under 10 straight times when Reciever A.J Green had more than 88 yards receiving and the total is higher than 36 points. The Bengals have also gone under 7 straight times off a non division loss by 3 or less points. The Steelers have played under the last 6 times as a dog if they allowed 4 or more sacks in their last game. Look for more of a defensive divisional grind in this one. Take the Under.
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09-15-13 | San Francisco 49ers v. Seattle Seahawks UNDER 44.5 | 3-29 | Win | 100 | 43 h 3 m | Show | |
On Sunday night our GUARANTEED Pure Power totals selection is on the Under in the San Francisco at Seattle game. Rotation numbers 221/222 at 8:35 eastern. This game is chocked with Huge systems and Perfect Indicators. Systems: Play the under in any week 2 game when we have a team playing off a win as a favorite at -5.5 or less if they were down at the half and the total in this game is higher than 38. This system has won 19 of 21 times, and we have a little subset that applies that gets it to a perfect 19-0. Right there we have a solid selection. However we can keep adding and note that the under comes in 38 of 52 times when the posted total is 42.5 to 49 when a team is coming off a home game, like the Niners and both teams had winning record last season. Now for some angles. Seattle has stayed under the last 11 times if the line is +3 to -3 and they are playing a division opponent in the first game of there 2 scheduled meetings. San Francisco has played under 9 straight in that exact same scenario. Look for this game to be lower scoring than expected as both these teams have tremendous defenses. Take the Under.
On Sunday night in MLB Action The BONUS Selection is on the NY. Yankees at +1.5 on the run line. The Yankees are a perfect 12-0 as a road dog off a road loss where they scored 2 or less runs on 4 or less hits. There is also a 75% plays against system that pertain to Boston and favorites this season that are off a home favored win and scored 5 or more runs on less than 10 hits vs an opponent off a road dog loss and scored 2 or less runs on 4 or less hits if both teams had no more than 1 error. The Yankees have I. Nova on the mound and he has won all 3 starts in Boston in his young career. T. Buccholz for Boston is 0-4 in home starts vs the Yankees. New York may win this on outright, but we will take the insurance on the run line at 1.5 as that stat is perfect when they are in this situation. |
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09-15-13 | Jacksonville Jaguars +6 v. Oakland Raiders | Top | 9-19 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 60 m | Show |
On Sunday the GUARANTEED NFL Top play is on Jacksonville. Game 217 at 4:05 eastern. The Jaguars have covered 13 of 16 after scoring 6 or less points. There are several solid systems and angles that also apply to this one. Here we go. Play on road dogs from +5 to +10 in non division games that lost to the spread and did no score offensively. These teams are 22-3 ats. The Jags manages just a safety in their 28-2 blowout loss to KC. Oakland is 0-11 ats as a favorite off a road loss if they scored 28 or less points and 0-9 ats at home if they and their opponent have the exact amount of wins, and that would be zero here today. The Raiders have failed to cover the last 5 in this series and are 2-13 ats as a favorite off a loss. Finally we note that road dogs getting 6.5 or less points have covered 17 of 18 times vs an opponent that had 1 or more turnovers but did not allow more than 280 yards. Most of these dogs win straight up. We, however will take the points in this one. Take Jacksonville.
On Sunday the BONUS 3 team Power teaser is on Arizona game 216 at 4:05 eastern. Atlanta game 206 at 1:00 eastern and Carolina game 203 at 1:00 eastern. Atlanta has won 15 straight at home with M. Ryan at the helm and they play of a loss they have also covered in 15 straight games moving the line 10 points at home between away games. Carolina has covered on a 10 point line move 26 of 27 times on the road if they were a home dog. Arizona is the beneficiary of Detroit's 1-22 teaser record after scoring 34+ points. Play Arizona, Atlanta and Carolina in a 3 team teaser. Atlanta + 4.5, Carolina +7 and Arizona +12 |
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09-15-13 | Detroit Lions v. Arizona Cardinals OVER 47.5 | 21-25 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 9 m | Show | |
Offshore steam totals Over Washington- Green Bay and Over Detroit at Arizona.
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09-15-13 | Washington Redskins v. Green Bay Packers OVER 49.5 | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 36 h 3 m | Show | |
Offshore steam totals Over Washington- Green Bay and Over Detroit at Arizona.
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09-15-13 | Minnesota Vikings +6 v. Chicago Bears | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 36 h 34 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Double system Early Pack is on the Minnesota Vikings. Game 211 at 1:00 eastern and the Over in the Miami at Indianapolis game. Rotation numbers 201/202 also a 1:00 eastern. Looking at the Vikings we note they fit an outstanding early system we use that plays on divisional dogs in the first 2 weeks vs an opponent that has revenge. The Bears have failed to cover 7 straight when playing off a non conference game. They have also failed to cover the last 8 times when any one of their wideouts had 100+ yards receiving. The Vikings and coach Frazier should rebound nicely here as they are 6-0 at as a dog vs an opponent off a win. Look for a close game here. In our second selection we have a solid totals system that has cashed 20 of 24 times to the over and plays to the over for game 2 teams in conference games that are playing an opponent off a 10+ point road win like Miami, in a conference game where the total is 35 or higher. A second system that applies here today is to take the over for road teams like Miami when the posted total is 35.5 to 42 after rushing for 50 or less yards in their last game. This one has gone over 80% of the time. Look for a high scoring game here today. Take Miami and Indy to go over.---- Play Minnesota and Over Miami- Indianapolis
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09-15-13 | Carolina Panthers -3 v. Buffalo Bills | 23-24 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
Top off shore steam buy order side on Carolina. Game 203 at 1:00 eastern. Offshore steam totals Over Washington- Green Bay. Rotation numbers 207/208 at 1:00 eastern and Over Detroit at Arizona.Rotation numbers 215/216 at 4:05 eastern. All 3 of these were hit hard with some of the sharpest off shore money.
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09-14-13 | Western Michigan v. Northwestern -28 | 17-38 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
NCAAF Offshore steam buy order side on OLE. Miss. Game 145 at 8:00 eastern. Game 2 on Northwestern. Rotation numbers 186 at 9:00 eastern. Both were hit hard by solid sharp money off shore.
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09-14-13 | Marshall v. Ohio +8 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 23 h 30 m | Show | |
The Double system dog with Bite is on Ohio. U. Game 120 at 8:00 eastern. The line keeps going up in this one and we will take the Bob cats here as they fit 2 solid systems here tonight. One is to play against game 3 teams like Marshall that are 2-0 and won 7 or less last year vs an opponent that won 4 or more last season and did not win or cover by 10 or more in their last game. That system has cashed 15 straight. Marshall is 2-12 ats as a favorite off anon conference game and just 1-5 ats with revenge after scoring 35 or more points which they did vs Gardner- Webb last week in a 55-0 win. Ohio U has covered the last 5 in the series here and has won 19 of the last 22 at home. They won last years game at Marshall 27-24. Take the points with this live dog in Ohio U.
On Saturday the College Football Triple Power system pack is on New Mexico St. Game 184 at 8:00 eastern. Purdue. Game 182 at 8:00 eastern and U.Conn. Game 128 at 7:30 eastern. New Mexico St and Purdue fit the same 16-1 system that plays on game 3 non conference home dogs with revenge, vs an opponent that allows 24 or more points per game, if that opponent is not off a spread loss by 25 or more points and lost to the spread in game one.. U.Conn fits a 15-0 system that plays against Maryland and all 2-0 game 3 teams that won 7 or less last season vs an apparent that won 4 or more last year and did not win or cover by 10 or more in their last game. New Mex St has covered 8 straight as a dog of 12 or less vs losing teams. Purdue is 5-1 ats as a non conference home dog of 7 or more, while the Irish are an 80% plays against as a road favorite of 14 or more. Maryland beat too lower echelon team in FIU and Old Dominion and are 0-5 ats as a road favorite of 3 or more with revenge which they have from last seasons 24-21 home loss to U.Conn.. Maryland is alos 2-9 ats off a non conference win. Take New Mexico St- Purdue and U.Conn tonight. |
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09-14-13 | Ole Miss +3 v. Texas | 44-23 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
NCAAF Offshore steam buy order side on OLE. Miss. Game 145 at 8:00 eastern. Game 2 on Northwestern. Rotation numbers 186 at 9:00 eastern. Both were hit hard by solid sharp money off shore.
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09-14-13 | Central Florida +6 v. Penn State | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 87 h 28 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Non Conference Power System Play is on Central Florida. Game 159 at 6:00 eastern. UCF fits a tremendous 26-4 Power system here today that plays on certain road teams that come in off a road favored shutout win and cover, vs an opponent off a win. UCF has been solid allowing just 7 points in the first 2 games. They are 10-1 ats as a road dog of 21 or less off a win and coach O'Leary has covered 6 of the last 7 when his teams have not lost. Penn St has failed to cover 7 of the last 8 at home if they were at home in their last game and today's opponent is undefeated. UCF had a solid 10 win season last year and should be able to stop an average Penn St offense in this game. According to the Simulations this game should be closer to a pick. UCF is a solid value play here with the points and would be no surprise if they won outright.
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09-14-13 | Northern Illinois -28.5 v. Idaho | 45-35 | Loss | -107 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Bib Blowout system plays is On Northern Illinois. Game 153 at 5;00 eastern. NIU is playing game 2 off a bye week and that sets them up in a tremendous system here that has won 26 of 30 times and plays teams that are off a bye week after game one and vs an opponent who has lost at least once. If the line is -18 or more and less than 30 these teams move to 20-2 ats,can ma these teams have been Tremendous Money makers. Northern Illinois can name the score against a dismal Idaho team that looks like they will be blowout victims week in and week out regardless of the venue. Another interesting nugget that fades Idaho here is new coaches in their 1st home game in game 3. These teams are 6-22 ats long term. Look for Northern Illinois to win big in this one.
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09-14-13 | Alabama v. Texas A&M OVER 60 | 49-42 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
On Saturday the NCAAF Total of the week is on the Over in the Alabama at Texas A@M Game. Rotation numbers. 151/152 at 3:30 eastern. Aggies coach Sumlin has played over 10 straight times at home off a home win by 17 or more points. Alabama has this one circled and will look to put J. Manziel early and often. However, while they may be effective in parts of the game, they will not be able to stop the Aggies offense all day and the total in this one is in the 60/s for a reason. On Offense Alabama will have a much easier time than they did last year when they put up 24 points at home. The Aggies defense is weak as we saw in game one when they allowed an average Rice team to put up over 30 points here and 28 to Sam Houston St last week. Imagine what Bama will put up. No doubt in the 40/s. The total has gone down as most of the public thinks that Bama will shut down A@M on offense. According to simulations this game should get into the high 70/s. The Aggies Are averaging over 600 yards and allowing over 440 yards. The Aggies have flown over every time as a home dog from +7.5 to +10 the past several season and Alabama has gone over 6 of 9 as a road favorite. Look for this one to go over the total.
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09-14-13 | Boston College v. USC -13.5 | 7-35 | Win | 100 | 25 h 47 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Blowout System Side is on the USC Trojans. Game 148 at 3;00 eastern. USC Was stunned last week by Washington St losing at home 10-7 after struggling in a road game at Hawaii. Now they take on a Boston College team with a new coach and a 2-0 record in their 1st road game which will spell trouble as these first year coached struggle in 1st road game especially when opposing teams off a straight up favored loss like USC. Lets not forget this BC Team won 2 games all of last season. The second system here today that applies to this game is to play against 2-0 teams that won 7 or less games last season, vs an opponent that won 4 or more games if that opponent did NOT win or cover their last game by 10 or more points, that beauty is now 15-0 after cashing on Thursday night. USC has covered 6 of the last 7 in the sandwich game of a 3 game home stand. Boston College is 0-5 ats in their first true road game and 0-4 in game threes, in games against PAC 12 Teams they have failed to cover the last 3. Look for USC to coast in this one.
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09-14-13 | Louisiana Monroe +3 v. Wake Forest | 21-19 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Members only LA. Monroe. Game 131 at 12:30 eastern.
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09-14-13 | Tulsa v. Oklahoma -24 | 20-51 | Win | 100 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
Early Blowout System Play on Oklahoma. Game 170 at 12 noon eastern. We will buy the half point in this one and make the line 24 for those that are sitting at 24.5. The Sooners are a perfect 15-0 ats if they are either home or away and are averaging 60 or less points if they are off a win where they scored 27 or less and won by less than 10 points. This game has Blowout Written all over it. Take Oklahoma.
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09-14-13 | Bowling Green +3 v. Indiana | Top | 10-42 | Loss | -115 | 33 h 27 m | Show |
On Saturday the Early 5* Power System Play is on Bowling Green. Game 123 at 12 noon eastern. The Falcons bring back 18 starters from a solid 8 win team last season and come in here off pair of Impressive Wins against Tulsa and Kent St. They have a Much better defense than Indiana. The Hoosiers fit a nasty play against system that pertains to teams in middle of a 3 game home stand that lost as a home favorite at -15 or less if there off 1 exact loss. They lost last week to an average Navy team and are 0-5 ats as favorites off a straight up favored loss, vs an opponent off a 10+ point win. Indiana has failed to cover 6 of 7 as a non conference favorite and 4 of 5 at home v MAC Teams. Bowling Green has covered all 4 times as a non conference road dog of 17 or less and 5 of 6 as a dog vs BIG 10 conference teams if they won their last game. Bowling Green also fits a secondary system that pertains to undefeated road dogs in game 3 vs an opponent playing their 3rd game and has at least one win. Take the Points with Bowling Green.
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09-12-13 | NY Jets v. New England Patriots OVER 43 | 10-13 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 49 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the Jets at Patriots game. Rotation numbers 101/102 at 8:25 eastern. This game fits a solid totals system that has flown over in 13 of 14 games since 1989. We want to play the Over for home favorites of 10 or more that are off a road favored win and had 150+ yards rushing, vs an opponent like the Jets that are off a home win. These games average over 50 points. The Jets will move the ball on New England as Geno Smith looked good in the Tampa game but also has the propensity for big blunders and costly turnovers which is a positive when playing the over. The Jets have flown over in 4 of 5 before Playing Buffalo. In the series 7 of the last 8 have played over. The Patriots may be getting Gronkowski back and even with the loss of running back Vereen still have Ridley to run it. Brady makes a star out of even average route runners so the Patriots will still be able to move the ball. The Defenses will struggle with the short rest. The Patriots have gone over in 18 of 25 with 6 or less days rest and ALL 5 On Thursday nights. In games after the Bills they have gone over in 5 of 6. When the total is 47 or less they are 13 of 16 to the over. There may be some rain on the way tonight but that will push the total down. Take the Over between the Jets and Patriots.
O/U: 13-1-0 (6.71, 92.9%) avg total: 44.6 +6: Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 30.2 136.9 35.0 22.9 283.3 1.1 7.0 10.7 5.4 10.4 33.5 Opp 24.1 99.1 33.4 18.6 212.1 2.6 2.4 5.9 4.1 5.6 17.9 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 04, 1992 Sunday 5 1992 Fortyniners Rams home 7-0 3-7 0-0 17-17 27-24 -16.5 41.5 3 -13.5 9.5 -2.0 11.5 W L O 0 Dec 04, 1994 Sunday 14 1994 Fortyniners Falcons home 3-7 24-7 7-0 16-0 50-14 -13.0 47.5 36 23.0 16.5 19.8 -3.2 W W O 0 Sep 10, 1995 Sunday 2 1995 Cowboys Broncos home 0-0 14-7 7-7 10-7 31-21 -10.0 44.0 10 0.0 8.0 4.0 4.0 W P O 0 Sep 10, 1995 Sunday 2 1995 Fortyniners Falcons home 17-0 7-3 7-7 10-0 41-10 -13.5 49.0 31 17.5 2.0 9.8 -7.8 W W O 0 Oct 08, 1995 Sunday 6 1995 Raiders Seahawks home 3-0 10-0 14-7 7-7 34-14 -10.0 39.5 20 10.0 8.5 9.2 -0.8 W W O 0 Nov 06, 1995 Monday 10 1995 Cowboys Eagles home 10-3 7-3 7-6 10-0 34-12 -14.0 43.5 22 8.0 2.5 5.2 -2.8 W W O 0 Dec 08, 1996 Sunday 15 1996 Fortyniners Panthers home 0-10 17-17 0-3 7-0 24-30 -10.0 37.5 -6 -16.0 16.5 0.2 16.2 L L O 0 Sep 27, 1998 Sunday 4 1998 Fortyniners Falcons home 14-7 17-0 0-0 0-13 31-20 -11.5 46.5 11 -0.5 4.5 2.0 2.5 W L O 0 Nov 22, 1998 Sunday 12 1998 Broncos Raiders home 3-0 14-7 0-7 23-0 40-14 -11.5 44.5 26 14.5 9.5 12.0 -2.5 W W O 0 Oct 07, 2007 view Sunday 5 2007 Patriots Browns home 10-0 10-0 0-3 14-14 34-17 -16.5 48.0 17 0.5 3.0 1.8 1.2 W W O 0 Sep 28, 2008 view Sunday 4 2008 Cowboys Redskins home 7-0 3-17 7-3 7-6 24-26 -11.0 46.0 -2 -13.0 4.0 -4.5 8.5 L L O 0 Nov 29, 2009 view Sunday 12 2009 Chargers Chiefs home 7-0 21-7 10-7 5-0 43-14 -13.5 45.0 29 15.5 12.0 13.8 -1.8 W W O 0 Sep 16, 2012 view Sunday 2 2012 Patriots Cardinals home 3-6 3-0 3-7 9-7 18-20 -13.5 48.0 -2 -15.5 -10.0 -12.8 2.8 L L U 0 Sep 30, 2012 view Sunday 4 2012 Texans Titans home 14-0 0-7 14-0 10-7 38-14 -13.0 44.5 24 11.0 7.5 9.2 -1.8 W W O 0 Sep 12, 2013 view Thursday 2 2013 Patriots Jets home -12.0 43.5 On Thursday night in College Football the Bonus play is on TCU. Game 103 at 7:30 eastern. Tcu will look for paybacks from last seasons 56-53 home over time loss at the hands of Texas Tech. Statistically the game was very close. However the Horned Frogs were done in by a -3 in the all important turnover category. TCU has covered 7 of the last 8 with conference revenge. Texas Tech will throw it most of the night and will most likely lose the rushing yards category to TCU. Unfortunately Tech may be unaware that TCU HAS WON 47 STRAIGHT When they out rush their opponents. With the spread at -3 we will keep that valuable nugget in mind. TCU was perhaps looking ahead to this one last week in a lethargic looking win over SE Louisiana. Prior to that gave LSU a tough game before falling short late. Tech has played a mediocre SMU Team and SF. Austin, so there gaudy offensive numbers be somewhat inflated. Look for TCU to take down Tech. Take TCU Tonight. |
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09-09-13 | Houston Texans v. San Diego Chargers +4.5 | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 22 h 35 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL Power System Play is on the San Diego Chargers. Game 482 at 10:20 eastern. The Chargers qualify in a solid system here that plays on certain week 1 Monday night NFL Home dogs and the system has been Rare and solid dating back to 19709. Another fine week 1 system Plays AGAINST non division game 1 teams like Houston that won 13 or more games last season and are playing an opponent that won less than 13 games. These teams have failed to cover 21 of 28 long tern. The Chargers are 20-3 ats vs AFC South teams and have covered 4 of 5 as a home dog on Monday night football. Houston is 0-4 vs San Diego. finally we note that non divisional teams that had a .750 or better win percentage that are dogs or favorites by less than a touchdown have failed to cover over 90% of the time vs an opponent that was .500 or less last season. Look for the Chargers to keep this one close.
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09-08-13 | NY Giants +3.5 v. Dallas Cowboys | 31-36 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the NFL Power System Play is on the NY. Giants. Game 477 at 8:35 eastern. The Giants fit a solid Divisional Dog system we have used with tremendous success if the home team has revenge. Dallas is 0-8 ats as a division home favorite and the Giants 9-0 to the spread here.. Dallas has been a horrendous favorite failing to cover in 22 of 28 instances. Coach Coughlin has covered to the tune of 8-0-1 ats as a dog. The Giants are fast starters every year. Look for them to play well here once again. Take the Points with the Boys in blue tonight.
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09-08-13 | Arizona Cardinals +4.5 v. St. Louis Rams | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
On Sunday in Afternoon Action we have a Power System Play on the Green Bay Packers. Game 475 at 4:25 eastern. The Packers have had all off season to think about this one and figure out how to score it and stop it against the Niners that shot right past them last season. The Big systems in this one are to play against teams in game one that are non division teams that won 13 or more last season vs an opponent like the Packers that won less than 13 last year. If the opponent was, like the Packers a Playoff team the system goes 1-9 ats against San Francisco. Another fine season is to play on Week one dogs of more than 3 that have playoff revenge. The Packers are still 4-1 ats in the series and 5-1 in game ones. They have relished the dog role cashing 19 of 26 including 8 straight as dog more than 3 on grass. The Niners are still 4-14 straight up in the series. Look for the Packers to at the very least get the cover. Green Bay today.
On Sunday the Divisional Power System Side is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 473 at 4;25 eastern. Arizona qualifies in a solid system that has cashed 24 of 27 times and plays on certain road teams vs an opponent that was under .500 in conference games last season. The Cardinals have put a big emphasis on defense and looked good in preseason. Now they open up in St. Louis. The Cardinals have cashed the last opening games. Arizona has a new coach, a new Qb in Carson Palmer and a new Running back in Rashard Mendenhall. St. Louis is 2-10 to the spread in game ones and 0-11 ats as a division favorite vs an opponent who has revenge. Arizona has been taking sharp money all week and Has been Bet down from +6 to +4.5. Look for them to get it done today. Take Arizona. |
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09-08-13 | Green Bay Packers +4.5 v. San Francisco 49ers | 28-34 | Loss | -104 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
On Sunday in Afternoon Action we have a Power System Play on the Green Bay Packers. Game 475 at 4:25 eastern. The Packers have had all off season to think about this one and figure out how to score it and stop it against the Niners that shot right past them last season. The Big systems in this one are to play against teams in game one that are non division teams that won 13 or more last season vs an opponent like the Packers that won less than 13 last year. If the opponent was, like the Packers a Playoff team the system goes 1-9 ats against San Francisco. Another fine season is to play on Week one dogs of more than 3 that have playoff revenge. The Packers are still 4-1 ats in the series and 5-1 in game ones. They have relished the dog role cashing 19 of 26 including 8 straight as dog more than 3 on grass. The Niners are still 4-14 straight up in the series. Look for the Packers to at the very least get the cover. Green Bay today.
On Sunday the Divisional Power System Side is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 473 at 4;25 eastern. Arizona qualifies in a solid system that has cashed 24 of 27 times and plays on certain road teams vs an opponent that was under .500 in conference games last season. The Cardinals have put a big emphasis on defense and looked good in preseason. Now they open up in St. Louis. The Cardinals have cashed the last opening games. Arizona has a new coach, a new Qb in Carson Palmer and a new Running back in Rashard Mendenhall. St. Louis is 2-10 to the spread in game ones and 0-11 ats as a division favorite vs an opponent who has revenge. Arizona has been taking sharp money all week and Has been Bet down from +6 to +4.5. Look for them to get it done today. Take Arizona. |
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09-08-13 | Seattle Seahawks v. Carolina Panthers UNDER 45 | 12-7 | Win | 100 | 23 h 49 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Perfect Totals System is on the Under in the Seattle At Carolina game. Rotation numbers 467/468 at 1:00 eastern. Totals a little high here with 2 Solid Defenses in what looks to be a close game. For our totals system we note that Non Division home dogs in week 1 with a total of 45 or higher have gone under 11 straight times. Seattle has played under in 5 straight as a favorite of less than 6 in the first month of the season. In the series here al 3 have played under Look for this one to follow suit. Take the under.
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09-08-13 | Minnesota Vikings +4.5 v. Detroit Lions | 24-34 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 60 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Power System Side is on the Minnesota Vikings. Game 469 at 1;00 eastern. The Vikings took both games last season and fit a SOLID Early System we use that plays against favorites like the Lions that have revenge. This system is 57-13 heading into this season. The Lions are 3-11 to the spread in the series and 0-9 ats if they are not +2 or more or favored when playing on Sunday. The Lions are also 0-10 ats in games where Star Wideout Calvin Johnson caught 7 or more ball vs this team in their last meeting. The Vikings could control the clock with a solid run game and take advantage of a Detroit team that played terrible in first half's last season only to have to make big comebacks late. Not what you want when you take a favorite. The Vikes are 13-7 as a dogs and did win 10 games compared to 4 last season for Detroit. Look for Minnesota to get the cash.
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09-07-13 | San Jose State v. Stanford -24 | 13-34 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Late College Football Power System Side is on Stanford. Game 380 at 11:00 PM eastern. The Cardinal apply to a solid system here tonight that plays on home teams that finished last season strong by winning 5 or more in a row, provided they were winning at an .800 or better clip. These teams have been money the last 20+ seasons. Stanford has Covered 17 of the last 21 playing on Saturday with Several Big Double digit wins. They have covered 3 of the last 4 vs Mountain West Conference teams and that's what they will see tonight in San Jose St. The Spartans were shutout winners last week over a weak Sacramento St team. This will be a much tougher task. Last year they hung tough here losing by just a field goal. However I think we can expect things to get back to normal as San Jose St was Shelled the prior year here 57-3 and is is 1-7 to the spread here at Stanford. The Spartans are also a terrible 1-9 to the spread as a road dog of 4 or more if they are in the first of back to back road games. Stanford is loaded again and has Army up next so they having nothing they will be looking ahead to and remembered what a tough games last season provided as they were out yarded 288-280 in that game. Look for the Cardinal to soar. Take Stanford.
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09-07-13 | Arizona v. UNLV OVER 61 | 58-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
College Football off shore steam Buy Order total on the Over in the Arizona at U.N.L.V Game. Rotation numbers 337/338 at 10:30 eastern. Some nice trends pointing to the Over here as well, but this one was hit with sharp money. Take the Over.
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09-07-13 | Buffalo v. Baylor -27 | 13-70 | Win | 100 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Blowout System side is on Baylor. Game 358 at 3:30 eastern. The Bears put up nearly 700 yards on Wofford last week winning by a 69-3 score. That win sets up this little 90% Nugget. We wan to play on home favorites off a win by 60 or more points vs an opponent off a loss and Ats win. Buffalo hang in for a cover against Ohio. St losing by 20 as a 30+ point dog. However road dogs off a road loss and spread win usually get blown out in this range the next time out. Buffalo is 1-6 ats after allowing 35 or more points and 0-3 with 2 spread losses vs BIG 12 Teams, they allowed 460 yards in the Ohio. St loss. Baylor has won all 3 with 2 covers vs MAC Teams and have covered 12 of the last 14 at home including the last 4 at home when the total is 63.5 to 70. Look for Baylor to coast in this one.
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09-07-13 | Western Kentucky v. Tennessee -13.5 | 20-52 | Win | 100 | 109 h 6 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Early Power System play is on the Tennessee Volunteers. Game 362 at 12:20 eastern. This game sets up big for the VOLS in 2 big ways. First we have another Big College system that plays on home favorites from -3 to -17 that are off a double digit win and are taking on a road team that won as a dog of +5 or more in their last game. This system is 59-9 ats ling term and we have been killing it every year when it applies as we have a sweet Perfect subset that applies. Western Kentucky was souped up to win for Petrino last week who really wanted that win over Kentucky after getting shunned for coaching job their. So we have every reason WKU was balls to the wall to get that one. Now comes the flat spot. The Hilltoppers would be hard pressed to come away with a 2nd straight Road SEC Win, and they wont. Tennessee is 6-0 and 5-1 to the spread va Sun Belt team and have won and covered the only meeting between the two teams. Look for the Tennessee Volunteers to emerge with a win and cover.
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09-05-13 | Baltimore Ravens v. Denver Broncos -7 | 27-49 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
On Thursday our Opening selection in the NFL is on The Denver Broncos. Game 452 at 8:35 eastern. If ever there was a game circled on a teams schedule its this one here tonight. Denver is chomping at the bit to get the sour taste of last seasons playoff loss to Baltimore out of their mouths. The Broncos epic defensive lapses single handedly lost them the game. They were 9 point favorites in that game and are once again laying a touchdown to Baltimore who wont have the leadership of Ray Lewis to propel them. While Baltimore did make some nice acquisitions on defense led by the E. Dumerville pick up. The feeling is that they wont be able to gel right away and this will be a tough team to stop tonight. Denver upgraded their run game with M. Ball and still have Moreno coming out of the back field. Baltimore has new faces on offense too as A. Boldin a big catch receiver is gone. We look for this game to be more similar to Denver's 34-17 win in the prior game they played last season. Denver has won 9 of the last 10 home openers will be tough once again on defense and has a solid system in their favor. Super Bowl Champions have failed to cover 80+% in opening games when going into revenge and that system goes perfect one more little nugget from the database With Baltimore 1-7 ats when they lose as a road dog, 1-4 ats on Thursday and 1-5 ats as a dog of 7 or more. We will back the Broncos in this one.
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08-31-13 | Northwestern v. California OVER 60 | 44-30 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
NCAAF MAJOR OFF SHORE STEAM BUY ORDER TOTALS PLAYS OVER NORTHWESTERN AT CALIFORNIA. ROTATION NUMBERS 213/214 AT 10:30 EASTERN OFF SHOIRE STEAM RELEASES ON AN 8-1 RUN.
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08-31-13 | Nevada v. UCLA Bruins OVER 67 | 20-58 | Win | 100 | 23 h 35 m | Show | |
NCAAF Triple system pack. Play on Texas. Game 188 at 8;00 eastern. Line looks high but Texas should win this one by more than 50 against a Terrible New Mexico St team that is 0-7 ats in game one, 0-5 to the spread va Big 12 teams and has failed to cover 10 of 13 as a dog of 28 or more. Texas has covered the last in August games and has covered 6 of the last in Non conference games. New Mexico St qualifies in a first road game with a new coach system that cashes over 80%. Look for New Mexico St to become Texas toast tonight. Take Texas
NCAAF Number one totals of the week is on the over in the Nevada at UCLA Game. Rotation numbers 211/212 at 10:00 eastern. Both teams will be able to move the ball and the simulations for this game went well into the 70/s look for a high scoring game with alot of action that will drive the defensive coordinators crazy. Take the Nevada and UCLA Over the total. |
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08-31-13 | LSU v. TCU +5 | 37-27 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
On Saturday night the TV Power System Play is on TCU. Game 208 at 9:00 eastern, TCU Fits a tremendous system here tonight that plays on dogs of more than 3 and less than 10.5 that were bowl teams last season and lost their last 2 or more in a row in the first 2 weeks of the season. There is a 100% kicker to this system that is 18-0. TCU is 47-0 in games where they have more rush yards than their opponent. They bring back their top running back in Catalon and 9 starters from a defense that ranked in the top 20 last season. TCU has won 3 of the last 4 vs SEC Teams and LSU has only 4 starters back from last seasons defense. Take the Points in this one as TCU Gives LSU all they can handle here tonight on ESPN.
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08-31-13 | New Mexico State v. Texas -42 | 7-56 | Win | 100 | 21 h 34 m | Show | |
NCAAF Triple system pack. Play on Texas. Game 188 at 8;00 eastern. Line looks high but Texas should win this one by more than 50 against a Terrible New Mexico St team that is 0-7 ats in game one, 0-5 to the spread va Big 12 teams and has failed to cover 10 of 13 as a dog of 28 or more. Texas has covered the last in August games and has covered 6 of the last in Non conference games. New Mexico St qualifies in a first road game with a new coach system that cashes over 80%. Look for New Mexico St to become Texas toast tonight. Take Texas
NCAAF Number one totals of the week is on the over in the Nevada at UCLA Game. Rotation numbers 211/212 at 10:00 eastern. Both teams will be able to move the ball and the simulations for this game went well into the 70/s look for a high scoring game with alot of action that will drive the defensive coordinators crazy. Take the Nevada and UCLA Over the total. |
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08-31-13 | Mississippi State v. Oklahoma State -11 | Top | 3-21 | Win | 100 | 17 h 22 m | Show |
On Saturday the Afternoon Blowout System is on Oklahoma St. Game 182 at 3;30 eastern. The Cowboys fit a Powerful Opening week system that plays on certain favorites that were outscoring their opponents by more than 7 points per game last season and are returning 8 or more defensive starters. Ok. St is 6-0 ats in the first of back to back road games and have covered 4 of the last 5 as a non conference favorite of more than 10 points. When they are favorites of -10.5 to -21 they have covered 7 of 8. Miss. St will likely get blown out in this one as they are 1-6 ats as a double digit dog. In games where they allow 28 or more points they have failed to cover 80% of the time And they are 0-6 ats in August lined games.. Coach Gundy will have absolutely no problem running this one up and with a defense that returns most of last seasons starters we look for Ok. St to win and cover.
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08-31-13 | Purdue v. Cincinnati -10.5 | 7-42 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Early College Football Power System Side is on Cincinnati. Game 176 at 12 noon eastern. The Bearcats have covered 6 of 7 as a favorite of 10 or more. Both teams have new coaches. However Purdue falls in to a negative system based on that premise. We want to play against teams who have a new coach in their first road game that were under .500 last season, vs an opponent that won 7 or more games. Purdue was crushed in their bowl game to finish off the year allowing 58 points to OK.ST. Now they must replace their Qb and best Running back and Wide receivers. Look for the Bearcats to win and cover.
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08-30-13 | Western Michigan v. Michigan State -28 | 13-26 | Loss | -101 | 17 h 13 m | Show | |
On Friday the College Football Dominator system Play is on Michigan St. Game 150 at 8:00 eastern. The Spartans will be a solid team once again this year led by a Staunch defense that may be the best in the Big 10. Tonight they will take on a Western Michigan team that has Struggled vs Big 10 teams historically and has failed to cover in 7 of the last against these BIG 10 Heavy weights. Western Michigan is in a tough spot tonight as they play their opener with a new coach. This sets up a solid opening game system we use that pertains to Coaches playing their season opener on the road if they were a losing team last season and are now taking on an opponent that won 7 or more games last season. These team usually take it on the chin. Michigan St was better than their record indicated last season as the had several close losses but were in the top half dozen in several categories. They have destroyed MAC Conference teams winning over 95% against them. In the series Michigan St has won all previous meetings covering in 3 of them. Look for Michigan St led by Coach D Antonio to pull away in route to a solid win an cover in this one.
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08-29-13 | Rutgers v. Fresno State -11 | 51-52 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 53 m | Show | |
On Thursday the College Football Power Side is on Fresno St. Game 146 at 10:30 eastern. Fresno fits a solid 26-3 Opening Game system that plays on favorites from -10.5 to -21 that out scored their opponents by 7 or more points last season and return 8 or more starters from last seasons team. The Bulldogs are 14-2 to the spread on Turf and have covered all 3 times vs teams who are what as now known as the American Athletic Conference. Fresno has also won and covered 5 of 6 as a favorite in this range. Rutgers usually wins when they are able to win the ground game. Some thing they will struggle to do against a staunch Fresno Defense. Rutgers will have many holes to fill as they try to replace several Position players that exited in the draft. This looks to be a tough spot cross country for them. Look for Fresno St to win and cover.
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02-03-13 | Baltimore Ravens v. San Francisco 49ers -3.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 23 m | Show |
OVER VIEW: Super Bowl XLV11 will be played indoors at The Louisiana Super Dome in New Orleans. Below we will bring you a series of Systems, angles, Situational indicators, as well as a Historical Perspective that will be perhaps the most Comprehensive analysis in the country. We will far exceed the game winning analysis we had last year with the Giants over the Patriots. Some of the information you will see here far exceeds the industy standard as we strive to bring you the most cutting edge material on a daily basis. Now on to the game.
THE LINE: San Francisco opened as a 5 point favorite soon after the Championship games concluded and were quickly bet down to a 3.5 point favorite, where the line has remained pretty steady with a few fours starting to pop up. The Recommendation is to buy down to -3 if you are getting 3.5. Cant recall too many instances where we have a team that is favored by such a small amount when having BOTH a top 10 offense and a top 10 Defense, vs an opponent who has neither. Offense: San Francisco is a top 10 offense and has a slightly better statistical advantage over the Ravens and have the all important better rushing statistics. Rushing the ball is Paramount in the Super Bowl as teams who win the rushing battle have gone on to win and cover 90% of the time. The Niners as a team have won 25 of the last 26 times when running the ball 25 or more times, which is a distinct possibility in this one, especially with Kappernick at the helm. With 3 solid options in Kappernick, Gore and Lamichael James the niners should have plenty of new looks the Ravens may not be able to handle. In the passing game we have seen Kappernick utilize weapons in V. Davis and M. Crabtree and occasionally go deep to Randy Moss who will be sprinting deep routes all day. We note that in Super bowl play favorites who score 28 or more are 12-1 to the spread and 1-16-1 ats when they don't. The Niners should be able to move the ball here against the Ravens as they average over 5 yards per carry. Baltimore on offense has been propelled by the hot play of Joe Flacco. In his games playoff games this year Flacco has hit another gear. The biggest factor is that he has not turned the ball over. Tonight however, should the running game get shut down, he will be forced to throw and that could lead to turnovers. The Ravens run the ball for a full yard less than the niners and this game will be much tougher to score for them than it was against a poor Patriots defense. Defense: All time in Super bowl history 39 of the 46 champions have had a top Defense. The 49ers come in with a Top 10 defense to go along with a top 10 offense. San Francisco has allowed 3.8 yards per rush. Should they get in the back field and pressure Flacco, something he has not had to deal with, that could lead to turnovers. Baltimore with Rice and Pearce have a nice tandem but with a vaunted Niners front may not be able to get going. The Niners are very aware of the Big Plays they have allowed in the passing game of late and will no doubt shore that up. While the Ravens have some nice receivers, led By Boldin and Smith, they are not as good as the Niners have faced in recent weeks in Atlanta and Green Bay. I look for a solid defensive effort here from San Francisco. Baltimore on defense is ranked 21st and played very well in their Win vs the Patriots. In that game they did not have to contend with Tight end Gronkowski and New England really had no real running threats like they have to contend with tonight. They made a Patriots offense look very average. In the Denver game they were aided big time when Denver lost their top running back due to injury. In both of those games they faced Pocket passers on grass and never had to deal with Option reads they will see here tonight on a fast surface. Denver really lost that game more than the Ravens won it. Teams like Baltimore who come in allowing more yards per rush are just 4-10 Ats in the Super Bowl of late. The Ravens will have their hands full tonight as they can take one thing away, but not everything. History: In this years look at the Hank Stram Super Bowl System, we note that the 49ers are the qualifying team. This system which was more effective in years past than it has been of late has the 49ers as the winning team. The system is 33-11-2 ats all time. Below is the set of parameters which awards points to the team that qualifies in the statistical sets displayed below. The Hank Stram System: 10 If team has won the Super Bowl in last 3 years 8 if an opponent is going to their first Super Bowl 8 to the team that allows fewer defensive rushes 7 give to team with most offensive rushes 7 award the team with best overall record (straight up) 5 to the team with the lowest def. rush average per carry 4 give 4 pts. to the team with the better ATS record 4 to the team that has the superior NET penalty yards 4 to the team with the best NET kick-punt TD returns 3.5 team with the best yds per pass attempt 3.5 to the team that gave up the fewest points 3.5 allowed the fewest rushing TD |
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01-20-13 | Baltimore Ravens +9.5 v. New England Patriots | 28-13 | Win | 100 | 164 h 51 m | Show | |
On Sunday the AFC Selection is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 303 at 6:30 eastern. The last 3 games between these two have been decided by 3 or less points. Had this been a regular season the line would be no more than 6 points. While there are some situations pertaining to New England and home teams of a win and cover. There some equally disturbing situations that plays against the Patriots. Like playing against teams that scored 40 or more last out. These teams have failed to cover 20 of 23 times in the next game. The Ravens have covered 7 of the last 8 on the road in Playoff games vs non division opponents. In computer Simulation the Ravens were the choice when getting 8 or more points. While the Patriots have 31-30 same season revenge the Ravens have Conference Championship revenge from last years heart breaking loss. In that game wide receiver Lee Evans dropped an easy touchdown and then Ravens Kicker Billy Cundiff missed an easy 32 yard game tying field goal. Baltimore did get luck last week winning the game despite maybe the poorest special teams performance in playoff history, allowing both a Punt and Lick off return for touchdowns. When allowing just one special teams score your chances greatly decrease, let alone two. Baltimore believes they are a team of destiny and when you play like they did last week and win, sometime you gather momentum and play much better. The Patriots will be without Gronkowski and may not get the same types of offensive production they had last week from some of their Unheralded players. We will back Balty in this one and take the Ravens and the points here tonight.
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01-20-13 | San Francisco 49ers v. Atlanta Falcons +5 | Top | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 43 h 53 m | Show |
On Sunday the NFC Championship Game system Selection is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 302 at 3:00 eastern. There are some solid statistical indicators and systems that apply to this Game here today. For Atlanta we note that they are 3-0 vs teams with winning records at game time this year. They are 7-0 vs NFC West teams and 30-7, including 10-1 of late when playing on 6 or less days of rest. Home dogs that have won at least 75% of their games are 8-2 straight up. Another solid system that has cashed 21 of the last 31 is to simply the dog with a higher win percentage. Teams Like Atlanta off back to back ats losses are 45-19 ats. In games between #1 VS #2 seeds in NFC Play the 1 seed has won 8 of 12 times. Atlanta and San Francisco have similar offensive number and the Niners have a better defense. However with Atlanta being home that evens out. The Falcons may not have as tough a time with Option reads and Kappernick like some seem to think. Having faced Russell Wilson last week should be a benefit to them in this game as opposed to having faced a conventional style Qb. Atlanta took the monkey off their back getting that first playoff win last week and should have plenty of confidence. The Niners may struggle on the road in a loud building and may not be able to duplicate the 500+ yard performance they had last week at home. As good as the Niners defense is, they have allowed an average of 28 points per game the last 4 road games and the last time they played in a loud venue in Seattle they struggled and were blown out by nearly 30 points. Add in the fact that teams who scored 40 or more have failed to cover 20 of 23 times and we look to have the making of an upset win. In that 3-20 system is an 18-0 Subset too. The 49ers are 0-11 to the spread since on the road when they are off a win in which they rushed the ball at least ten more times than their average, as long as they are a favorite of -7.5 more..Looking below we see how poorly Pacific team do in the eastern time zone.. At the very least we think Atlanta emerges with a Cover here in this one and With Matty Ice and his solid Home numbers, they may win outright. Fly with the Falcons today.
Since 2007, PST teams are 15 |
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01-13-13 | Houston Texans +10 v. New England Patriots | 28-41 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 45 m | Show | |
On Sunday the ACF Divisional Play is on Houston Game 115 at 4:35 eastern. Tom Brady is 19-26 ATS as a home favorite of -9 or more (9-19 ATS since November 2007). Houston is not playing the 3rd of 3 straight road games here and the Patriots needed the game much more in the first matchup than Houston did at the time. Houston has played much better on defense this season than the Patriots have and Revenging teams are 27-12 since 2002 in the Playoffs. The Patriots have struggled failing 7 of the last 8 times vs teams like Houston that win two thirds or more of their games if they are off a bye week and are favored by more than 3 points. The Simulations show the Patriots should win but not cover the spread which could get up to 10 by game time. The Patriots are 0-9 to the spread since 2005 at home when they are off a home game in which they prevented their opponent from getting into the end zone from first and goal. Another Solid system plays on playoff dogs with a better win percentage which Houston has at 13-4. Thus one has covered 21 of the last 30 times. Since 2001 home favorites from -5 to -10 that come in off a home favored win and prior road favored win are 0-4 ats. Houston is 10-2 ats with revenge and a perfect 3-0 in that role this season. Surprisingly the Patriots have failed to cover 23 of the last 32 times at home when the total is 45 to 49.5
Texans 5-0 ATS past 5 games in January Texans 6-1 ATS past 7 as underdog Texans 7-2 SU past 9 vs. AFC East teams Texans 3-0 ATS lifetime in playoffs Patriots 1-6 ATS in playoffs since 2008 |
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01-13-13 | Seattle Seahawks v. Atlanta Falcons OVER 46 | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 22 h 48 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the Seattle at Atlanta game. Rotation numbers 113/114 at 1:00 eastern. The Seahawks are 16-0 to the over since November 1997 as a road dog versus any team with more wins, when they themselves are off a win. Seattle has played over in 16 of 20 times vs winning teams and 6 of 7 times vs NFC South Teams. The Falcons have flown over in 3 of the last 4 off a bye week and 15 of 22 times vs NFC West teams. The last time they were a 1 seed off a bye in the playoffs 69 points were scored in the game. Look for a back and forth game with both teams moving the ball today. Take the over.
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01-12-13 | Green Bay Packers v. San Francisco 49ers -2.5 | Top | 31-45 | Win | 100 | 21 h 7 m | Show |
On Saturday the NFC Perfect system Power play is on the San Francisco 49ers. Game 112 at 8:00 eastern. The Niners fit a tremendous power system here tonight that is Perfect and has cashed 21 straight times going as far back as 1977. We want to play on certain teams if they lost their conference Championship game last season, vs an opponent like the Packers that won by more than a touchdown. There are other variations which criss cross into this system, Like the fact that the Packers are off 1 exact win and the Niners being off back to back spread losses. Historically teams like the Packers playing in their second game off a home win and cover have been dead in the water vs rested teams off a spread loss. So I wont bore you here with the parameters of 4-5 more systems that all point to the Niners. I will tell you that San Francisco looked solid and came back with excellent results in out Computer Simulations. Many will point to the Green Bay home loss revenge from week one. However, while the Packer shave been solid with revenge, this may be too tough a spot to exact it. The Packers will be lucky to get the 20+ points they scored in the first game. On Defense they allowed 30 at home and it figures to be tougher here vs a San Francisco defense that ranks right behind Denver and Seattle and will be tough to score on today. The Niners will want to get rid of last years loss here to the Giants which prevented them from a super bowl and set up the aforementioned system. Coach Harbaugh has won 10 of 11 times vs teams that have won more than 2/3 of their games and as an organization the Niners are 18-6 at home in the playoffs. Kappernick does not have the pedigree of an A. Rogers however he has a better chance of success as he and the Niners should be able to run on the Packers in this one. Another troubling sign for Green Bay is how lack luster they looked in the Second half against a Beaten Minnesota team. The Packers scored 24 points in a game where they should have been in the high 30/s. Those type of lapses here will have them in hot water, The Niners know the way to beat the Packers is to get pressure on Rogers, and when you can do that his accuracy on his throws gets affected. When you learn how to beat Green Bay is easier the second time around. Just ask the Giants. Green Bay had revenge at home last year, vs a Giants team that figured them out on offense. That revenge made no difference as the Giants disposed of the Packers with ease in the playoffs last season. We look for the Niners to do the same. Take San Francisco here tonight.
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01-12-13 | Baltimore Ravens v. Denver Broncos -9 | 38-35 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
On Saturday the AFC Playoff payoff side is on Denver. Game 110 at 4:30 eastern. The Broncos were a big simulation winner cashing nearly 80% of the time. They are solid on both sides of the ball and have the Best defense outside of Seattle. The Broncos are 10-1 to the spread as a favorite and 20-6 ats off a bye week. In game against the AFC North they have coasted winning and cashing all 4. The Favorite in this series has cashed the last 4 times as well. The Ravens may have revenge on their minds. However they already lost 34-17 at home just a month ago to these Broncos. What stands out about that game is they they were down 17 at the half mainly due to turnovers but could only play even with Denver at home in the second half. Lat week the Ravens had their way on the ground and with short passes against a Colts defense ranked 29th against the run. No such luck here against a Broncos run defense that is ranked 3rd in the league. They no longer have the Lewis momentum, and their is a great deal of concern that with the wrinkles the Broncos have added Payton and Co, may make the Ravens defense look very old here today. This perhaps is why we don't hear a peep from Lewis and or any of the Baltimore players this week. On Offense we know that Denver can score 30 with their eyes closed here. The Ravens though have struggled and looked inept for most of the season on the road. The Ravens simply do not win when they are dogs of 9 or more losing 16 straight times in this role. We all know that if we can pick the winner of these games our chances of cashing are much greater at spread success. Now for a system we note that game 2 playoff teams off 1 home favored win and cover exact lose to the spread around 80% of the time. We have several Variations to this system that pertain to Denver's performance in their last game that will take the 80% to close to 100%. However I'm not looking to write a novel and I commend those of you who have read up to this point In the end the Ravens will have no answer to Denver and if they start turning it over it will get ugly fast. Lay the Points in this one.
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01-07-13 | Alabama v. Notre Dame +10 | 42-14 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 49 m | Show | |
On Monday in the National Championship game we will back the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Game 270 at 8:30 eastern. This just seems like too many points to give a team that appears to be evenly matched. Bama has a 18 yard offensive edge and 40 yard defensive edge. However Notre Dame has played a tougher schedule. The points more than make up for Notre Dame not having played in this big a game. We note that Bowl fogs of More than 7 that allow less than 15 points per game are 16-0 ats vs an opponent that allows more than 10 points, with several dog wins in that group the past 3-+ years. Dame has a 5-0 record vs top 30 teams while Bama is 3-1. Favorites in the same bowl as last season have failed to cover 80% of the time if they did not cover the spread by more than 14 points in their last game. The Dog between #1 and #2 teams is 20-8 ats, regardless of whether its regular season or a bowl game. Alabama has failed to cover 3 of 4 times as a neutral favorite from 7.5 to 10 and 3 of 4 times vs Non conference teams. Independent teams are 8-0 ats vs an opponent off a spread loss. Coach Saban has 3 wins over Dame but that stat in not of much relevance in this one. The Hardest thing to do is give a team their first loss, while I think Bama will win this one I cannot see it being by double digits. Look for a close game with a Notre Dame hanging around for the cover. Take Notre Dame.
BONUS PLAY on the Under 40.5 |
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01-06-13 | Arkansas State v. Kent State +3.5 | Top | 17-13 | Loss | -106 | 30 h 48 m | Show |
On Sunday the Big Bowl play is on Kent. St. Game 268 at 9:00 eastern. We want to Play Against favorites like Arkansas St. that are 3-0 su, ats Last 3 games, covered by 3 or more points last game, vs opponent off a Loss that allows 27 or less points per game. The dog 17-1
Kent will look to win this one for their coach in his last game with them here tonight. Ken is a live dog in this one, very similar to Ohio. U in their win vs LA. Monroe as a dog, in an earlier MAC vs Sun Belt conference game .Arkansas St fits a negative system that has cashed 98% of the time and plays against certain bowl favorites that come in off 3 or more straight up ats wins, vs an opponent off a big spread win. There are a few subsets to that base that put this system in high gear and Kent fits all the parameters. Kent has covered all 5 games vs winning teams this season and are 8-0 ats off a conference game. Sun Belt teams are 0-6 straight up vs teams that are .667 or better in bowl games. Arkansas St us 2-3 vs bowl teams and Kent is 4-1 vs fellow bowl teams. Kent is a veteran team that returns 17 starters from last years team. Another bowl angles that plays against Arkansas St is to play against favorites playing in the same bowl as last year if they are a favorite of more than 3 and are taking on a team that allows more than 2 touchdowns per game. These bowl favorites are 2-13 to the spread. With Kent 12-0 straight up on Turf. Kent also fits a solid system that plays in teams as a dog or favorite of less than 4 that are .700 or better and lost their conference Championship game and scored 7 or more points. Kent has better Sagarin Strength of schedule numbers and dogs in that situation have always been a solid play. In closing we will take the points with Kent St. |
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01-06-13 | Seattle Seahawks v. Washington Redskins +3 | 24-14 | Loss | -114 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFC Power System play is on Washington. Game 108 at 4:30 eastern. After 50,000 simulations of this game Seattle on average won by 1 point and 53% of the time.The fact remains though that certain NFL Wildcard home dogs in the wild card round are 14-4 since 1978 and there is a 100% Subset which remains for my eyes only. Washington is 10-1 at home in the playoffs and is on a major run winning 7 straight. Seattle has won 5 straight. However, The Sea hawks are 2-20 ats, when they are off a game as a favorite of more than four points in which they benefited from the turnover advantage. Washington will be loud, and Seattle has not been nearly as good on the road as they have been at home. The 12th man will be loud and Seattle will have the same problems their opponents have with noise. In the battle of the 2 rookie Qb/s we look for RG3 To get the cash here as a 3 points home dog. Seattle is 0-4 straight up as a road favorite of 3 or less. Look for a close game. Take the 3 points.
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01-06-13 | Indianapolis Colts v. Baltimore Ravens -6.5 | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 71 h 51 m | Show | |
On Sunday the AFC Power System Play is on Baltimore. Game 106 at 1:00 eastern. The Ravens fit a solid system here that plays on home teams that are off a conference championship game loss last year, vs an opponent off a win by 9 or more points. These teams are an incredible 18-1 straight up and to the spread. The Ravens will be fired up with Ray Lewis back in the defensive huddle. Baltimore averages over 31 points per game at home and the Colts are allowing 29 on the road. We also want to play against road teams like the Colts that are off a division win by 4 or more points, that scored 24 or more points. In general road teams off a dog win vs A division rival have been inept in the playoffs historically. The Colts are way ahead of the game with the progress that rookie Qb A. Luck has had. This game will serve as a big lesson in what looks to be a promising career. The Ravens will give him looks he has not seen and he will have to keep the ball away from Ed Reed. Any turnovers here and this could get ugly. The Ravens are 5-1 straight up and to the spread in the Wild card round. They are 5-1 with 4 spread wins as a home favorite from 3.5 to 7. The playoffs have not been kind to dome teams in the outdoor games and Baltimore has more big game poise and b Joe Flacco has made the playoffs in every year of his career and has 7 starts. Strong running game with Pearce and Rice will be too much here. Lay the points.
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01-05-13 | Minnesota Vikings v. Green Bay Packers -7.5 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 31 h 1 m | Show | |
On Saturday the NFC Power System Play is on Green Bay. Game 104 at 8:00 eastern. The Packers are in a right back rematch game here after losing last week at Minnesota in a game the Vikings needed to make this game possible. The Vikings led by Adrian Peterson were all out to win and were able to get in overtime while rushing for over 200 yards. What we want to do is play against road dogs off a home dog win while scoring 28 or more points and rushing for over 200 yards. These teams are 0-16 straight and 2-14 ats, including 0-7 ats if the opponent scored 21 or more last game losing by an average 20 points per game. The Vikings have lost and failed to cover in all 4 outdoor games this season and we all know how dome teams do on the road in the cold. These teams have failed to cover 24 of the last 33 times. Minnesota is 4-17 ats on the road off a win of 3 or less points and come in off 4 dog wins. The Packers lost last year and were the first team to win 15 games in the regular season without winning at least one playoff game. That loss sets them up in this little nugget. Play on teams at home in game one of the playoffs that lost as a favorite at home last season. These teams are 12-5 ats since 1976 and 9-0 ats with same season division revenge.. Wait there's more. Home teams that allowed 26 or more in their last game vs a division opponent are 7-3 ats. The Packers are 5-1 with 4 spread wins with revenge. The Packers are 24-0 ATS since, 2002 when they are off a game in which they trailed at the half and punted fewer than four times, as long as they were not a dog of more than a TD in that game.The Packers are 11-0 ATS since 2003 as a favorite when they are off a road game in which they scored 34-plus points. WERE PACKER BACKERS TONIGHT.
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01-05-13 | Pittsburgh +3.5 v. Ole Miss | 17-38 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Compass Bowl Selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers. Game 265 at 1:00 eastern. The Panthers were a huge Simulation side winning straight up in 17 of 20 Simulations. Ole Miss is 3-7 in games lined from -3 to +3. Ole Miss also fits a Solid system we use that plays against Bowl favorites that had 3 or less wins last season, vs an opponent that had 6 or more wins. The Panthers have played Solid on defense of late allowing less than 10 points combined in their last 2 games. Big East Teams have Owned the SEC of late now 9-1 straight up and ats in these games. SEC Teams are 2-5 ats after scoring 40 or more. The Panthers are 4-0 ats in Bowl games where they allow 21 or less points. Finally Bowl dogs are 12-3 ats in the same bowl they played in last season, vs an opponent off a win by double digits, The Rebels lost 6 of 7 vs fellow bowl teams. Look for Pitt to get the cash in this one.
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01-04-13 | Texas A&M v. Oklahoma +3.5 | 41-13 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 51 m | Show | |
On Friday the Cotton Bowl system selection is on Oklahoma. Game 264 at 8:05 eastern. Oklahoma is 10-2 vs Texas A@M and is probably sick of hearing about how good Heisman Johnny is for the Aggies. Segway right into a power system that dates to 1977 and we note the Teams with the Heisman Trophy winner are 4-18 ats vs teams that are .699 or better on the season and 0-14 ats in that role vs an opponent that allowed less than 150 yards rushing in their last game. The Simulations came back heavily slanted towards Oklahoma. Coach Stoops has covered 10 of the last 12 as a dog off back to back wins and has won 80% of the time vs fellow bowl teams long term. Oklahoma has also played a tougher schedule, 4th Toughest in the nation to be exact and these two teams are ranked 6th and 8th. Big 12 dogs are 7-1 ats as a dogs off a win and cover, vs an opponent off a win and cover. The Aggies have been terrible in Neutral field games losing 7 of the last 8. Oklahoma has won 11 of the last 12 non conference games and are 5-1 ats in neutral field games. Take Oklahoma in this one.
On Friday the NCAAB Dog with Bite is the Memphis Tigers. Game 829 at 8:00 eastern. Memphis is as live dog as we will see. They are a tremendous 46-8 vs teams who average 65 or less games and 13-3 ats off 3+ ats losses. Perhaps one of their finer indicators though is that they are 17-3 straight up when the total is posted at 120 to 130, including a Perfect 6-0 since 1992 in that role. They have won 3 of the last 4 vs SEC Teams and take on a Tennessee team that has failed to cover 6 of 8 times with 5 or 6 days rest and has lost the last 2 times to Memphis. Look for Memphis to get the cash and perhaps win outright. Make It Memphis tonight plus the points. |
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01-03-13 | Kansas State +9 v. Oregon | 17-35 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 17 m | Show | |
On Thursday the Fiesta Bowl selection is on Kansas St. Game 261 at 8;30 eastern. The dog in this bowl has covered 5 of the last 6. Tonight we note that Kansas St covered the spread in over 85% of the simulations at +9 or more, one of the highest rations this bowl season. Oregon does not have any top 10 wins this season, while the Wildcats have one and a Better Sagarin Strength of schedule number than Oregon. Coach Snyder is 8-1 vs Winning teams. Now for a high end system we play against bowl favorites of -6.5 or higher that won a bowl game last season that is NOT off 4 favored wins, vs an opponent that is not off a road favored win and ats loss. This system has been a solid producer for us year in and year out. Oregon will score in this one but Kansas St will have the ball on long drives most of the night and will be in it throughout. Kansas St has won 6 of 7 vs PAC 12 teams and 10 of 12 in non conference play. Kansas St has played against some of the top offenses in college football coming form the Big 12 so there defense while Similar to Oregon on paper is actually somewhat better. Look for Kansas St to get the cash here tonight.
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01-02-13 | Louisville +14 v. Florida | 33-23 | Win | 100 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
On Wednesday the Sugar Bowl Selection is on Louisville. Game 259 at 8:30 eastern. Big East offensive Player of the Year takes his Louisville Cardinals in to this sugar bowl clash with Florida knowing that SEC Teams are a surprising 1-8 straight up and ats vs Big East teams. Both teams are off big dog wins. Florida was handed the game vs Florida St in their last game as the Seminoles had it won and self destructed in the 4th Quarter. That Florida win sets them up in 3 negative systems. One is to play against favorites off back to back dog wins with the last one a revenge win. These teams off satisfying revenge wins fail to cover more often than not. A secondary system is to plays against favorites of more than 6 points that won their last bowl game and are not off 4 favored wins, vs an opponent that is Not off a road favored win and spread loss. This one hits at very high percentage. On the Louisville side we note that neutral favorites like Florida that are off a dog win by 10 or more points have failed to cover 18 of the last 26 times. Louisville has won 2 of the last 3 vs SEC Teams. The defensive edge that Florida has by 60+ yards is washed away by the 87 yard edge the Cardinals have on Offense. Florida should nit be favored by this many points here, mainly due to the fact that they have an average offense and Louisville has a solid defense as well. Both teams were 7-6 last season and improved this season. We will take the points and back Louisville tonight.
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01-01-13 | Northern Illinois v. Florida State OVER 58 | Top | 10-31 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 49 m | Show |
On New Years Night the Orange Bowl total is on the over in the Northern Illinois at Florida St game. Rotation numbers 257/258 at 8:30 eastern. This game should be a real barn burner here. Our Computer Simulations have this one posting solid Models for the over here. Florida St should have no problems scoring on a Northern Illinois team in this one that will have trouble stopping a potent Seminoles offense that has flown over in 3 of the last 4 games. Northern Illinois should be able to score On FSU here as they are averaging 40 points per game, the same as Florida St. Both teams average over 465 yards on offense. Look for a very entertaining game. While many feel NIU Should not be in a bowl game, they may be able to hang around with FSU in this one, just in part for the fact they can score. Take the Over in this one tonight.
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01-01-13 | Wisconsin +6 v. Stanford | 14-20 | Push | 0 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
On New Years day our Rose Bowl selection is on Wisconsin. Game 255 at 5;00 eastern. Wisconsin is a computer simulation spread winner in our model and they qualify in some solid system here today. Bowl dogs off a win and allowed 35 or more points have been solid investments vs an opponent alsocoming in off a win. The Badgers also fit another system that play on teams off back to back bowl losses after that are playing on New Years Day or later, which has covered nearly 90% of the time Wisconsin has had some tough losses this season losing in overtime games. Stanford come in off a pair of wins vs UCLA and were the only team the beat Oregon. However they are 0-2 vs Wisconsin and are favored here despite the Badgers having edges on both sides of the ball. Wisconsin in a solid rushing dog and is 11-4 vs PAC 12 Teams and 4-1 with 2 weeks rest. Coach Alvarez rakes the helm for this one and he has won 8 of 11 in bowl action. Look for Wisconsin to get the cover here.
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01-01-13 | Nebraska +9 v. Georgia | 31-45 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
On Tuesday the Outback-Capital One Combo Pack is on Nebraska. Game 253 at 1:00 eastern and South Carolina. Game 252 at 1:000 eastern. Nebraska is our top play in this one. The Huskers should rebound nicely here after allowing a Bowl team high 70 points in their last game. Teams that allow more than 60 come come back to cover around 80%. Georgia has to be deflated in this one losing their chance to play in the Championship game due to some bad clock management in their late loss to Alabama in the SEC Championship game. The Bulldogs are now 1-11 straight up vs ranked teams. So we cant lay points with them. Nebraska was a huge qualifier in our Computer Simulations. Teams like Nebraska off a championship game loss by 7 or more have covered 14 of the last 18 as a dog or favorite of less than 4. The Huskers are 6-2 vs winning teams and 6-1 off a conference loss. They have also won 11 of the last 14 vs SEC Teams and have solid rushing advantages. With Georgia 1-4 ats with 2 weeks rest we will back Nebraska.
In The Cap one bowl we have South Carolina. The Gamecocks apply in our computer simulations and have held 9 of 12 opponents to 20 or less points and 7 of 10 to season lows in yardage. Coach Spurrier has covered 90% of the time off a win vs a non conference opponent that comes in off a straight up and ats loss.. Michigan has played and Lost to some tough teams this season. The Wolverines have failed to cover 10 of 11 times as a dog vs winning teams, and will find the going tough here against a vaunted Gamecock defense. South Carolina is 4-1 vs Big 10 teams. Michigan is 0-4 straight up and ats as a dog. Look for South Carolina to win and cover. |
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01-01-13 | Northwestern -123 v. Mississippi State | 34-20 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
On New years Day in the Gator Bowl our Selection is on North Western. Game 249 at 12 noon eastern. Northwestern has solid indicators and qualifies as a top tier play in our Computer Simulations. Northwestern is 9-3 with a .750 win percentage this season. Coach Mullen of Miss. St has lost 18 of 19 games to teams that are .750 or better. This could be the year Northwestern get their first bowl win in 63 years as a small favorite. Big East teams have won 8 of the last 9 teams vs the SEC. Northwestern has won all 6 times as a favorite and is 4-1 in games where the line is -3 to +3. They also have solid rushing numbers on both sides of the ball. Northwestern is one of the most underrated teams in the country. We will back them here today as we note that Gator bowl favorites are 12-3. Look for the streak to end today. Take Northwestern.
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12-31-12 | Clemson +6 v. LSU | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 52 m | Show | |
On Monday night in the Chick-Fila Bowl we have Clemson. Game 245 at 7:30 eastern. In this game we want to play on Bowl dogs getting more than 1 point that arrive off a straight up favored loss, vs an opponent with at least one loss and off 2+ wins, the last of which was by 6 or more points. These Bowl dogs are 28-4 ats, this system already cashed big for us with Washington earlier in bowl action. They system is 28-4 ats since 1981 and has a 22-0 subset. Favorites in the Chicken Bowl have gone 4-12 ats. ACC Bowl dogs off a loss have been money and the ACC has had a bit of a come back vs the SEC covering 5 of the last 6 the last 3+ years. Clemson is a better rushing dog and should be able to put up points against LSU. Look for Clemson to get the cover.
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12-31-12 | Iowa State v. Tulsa +2 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
On Monday in the Liberty bowl the Power system play is on Tulsa. Game 244 at 3:30 eastern. This one is a rematch from a 38-23 win for Iowa St at home earlier this season in a game where they were a 2 point home dog. Now they are a 2 point favorite in a neutral game. Liberty bowl favorites have failed to cover 5 straight. Teams like Tulsa that are off a conference Championship win have covered nearly 90% of the time if they have a winning record and their opponent is .500 or less. Tulsa is a dog with revenge with better rush numbers in this one. They are 9-2 on turf and 3-1 in games where the spread is +3 to -3. Iowa St is 1-5 vs teams with a winning record and 0-3 with 2 weeks rest. Tulsa out yarded fellow bowl teams by nearly 100 yards this season, while Iowa. St was out yarded by nearly 150 against these solid teams. Tulsa should be able to put up 24 points in this one. When Iowa. St allows 24 or more they are 3-25 straight up, including 0-6 this year. Seeing as how Tulsa score 23 earlier on the road, 24 points is definitely something that can be achieved. They have scored 24 or more in 10 of 13 this season. Tulsa was a solid play in computer simulations as well. Based on the systems, Angles and Indicators we will back Tulsa here.
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12-31-12 | Georgia Tech +7.5 v. USC | 21-7 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
On Monday the Music City Bowl selection is on Vanderbilt. Game 240 at 12 noon eastern. Bowl home teams like Vandy have been solid investments when coming off multiple wins. The Commodores took down an ACC Team here once before in their last bowl win Vs Boston College. They are riding a 6 game win streak and have poise and Qb with Rogers, we know he has the pedigree in big games. NC. St will be coached by their offensive coordinator in this one. Vandy has better rushing numbers and has won 6 of 7 with 5 spread wins as a favorite and will be tough for NC. St to stop in this one. Vanderbilt also qualifies as a spread winner in our computer simulations. Look for Vandy to get the win and cover in this one.
On Monday in the Sub bowl we have GA. Tech. Game 241 at 2;00 eastern. The Dog is always a good investment in this bowl as they have covered 15 of the last 17 years. This year should be no different as Tech is a rushing dog with bite that has been run numbers on both sides of the ball. Bowl dogs of more than 7 have been solid in games prior to New Years Day, vs an opponent off a loss. ACC Dogs in general have been golden when playing off a loss. USC will have Qb Wittek making just his 2nd start. PAC Bowlers are 1-12 ats at -4 or more vs and opponent off a loss. Teams in this bowl off a loss vs an opponent that wins less than three Quarters of their games this season have been awful in this game. Tech plus the points qualified in computer simulations as the right side. Look for The Yellow Jackets to stay in the game with a solid ground attack. Take the Points with Georgia Tech. |
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12-30-12 | Dallas Cowboys +3.5 v. Washington Redskins | 18-28 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the NFL Play is on Dallas. Game 315 at 8:30 eastern. Teams facing Washington the second time have done a better job defensively and that's what we will expect here tonight. On Thanksgiving Day Washington went in to Dallas and won 38-31 aided by +2 turnover margin and having held the Cowboys to just 35 yards rushing. Dallas has not closed out the season well under coach Garrett, however they will be tough to beat here and will look to end the Skins 6 game win steak knowing that The Redskins are 0-19 Ats when hosting a team with fewer wins on the season, as long as they are not on a two-plus game losing streak. They are also 1-7 ats as a favorites vs an opponent off a straight up favored loss. Dallas has won their last 2 revenge games and will be tough to down here tonight. Take Dallas.
In NCAAB Action the bonus Play is on the Dayton Flyers. Game 821 at 7:00 eastern. Dayton is 18-3 vs losing teams, 12-1 vs opponent that score 65 or less and 31-12 vs non conference teams. USC is not very good and the stats show that. Souther Cal is 2-6 vs winning teams and have lost 24 of 32 vs teams who allow 65 or less. The Trojans are 8-27 after a game where they allowed 60 or less. Take Dayton |
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12-30-12 | St. Louis Rams +11 v. Seattle Seahawks | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 21 h 53 m | Show | |
3 team 10 points teaser. St. Louis +21, Baltimore +12, San Francisco -7
The Rams want this game to finish .500 and will play hard the whole way through, taking them up to 21 in this one is a steal as they can handle the noise here in Seattle and may catch the Hawks a little flat off a big win vs the Niners. The Seahawks are 0-15 ATS when they are off a non-Monday 21-plus point win as a favorite. The Ravens are 16-2 ATS when they are off a game as a dog vs an NFC opponent. The Bengals never play well as a favorite after playing the Steelers as they have lost the last 8 times in that role. They too may be flat off a big road win in Pittsburgh. The Ravens have won their last game the last 6 years. We will tease the Ravens up to 12. The 49ers are 12-0 ATS the last 5 years when they are off a Sunday road game in which they allowed more than 21 points. They may really lay it on an Arizona team with no Quarterback in Lindley or Skelton. Getting the Niners at -6.5 looks like a solid investment in this teaser. Plus we know they will wan to bounce back from the Whipping they took in Seattle. |
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12-30-12 | Green Bay Packers v. Minnesota Vikings +3.5 | Top | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 22 h 41 m | Show |
On Sunday the Last Home Game Super System Game is on the Minnesota Vikings. Game 320 at 1:00 eastern. The Vikings are 6-1 at home this season and come in with revenge in this one. The Vikings fit several solid system here today. One of my favorite is the one that cashed just a few weeks back when Dallas took down the Steelers as a 3 point home dog. We want to play on home dogs that are winning teams at +7 or less that are off a road dog win vs an opponent off a win. These teams are 33-4 ats. Furthermore teams like the Vikes off 3 straight dog wins are undefeated vs a division opponent that is off an ats win by 10 or more points. Another system is the Artificial turf home dog off a road dog win system which has ben solid the last 30+ years. Moving forward Divisional home dog that scored 20 or more back to back vs an opponent off a win is solid as well. The Vikings are 5-0 off a non conference games vs a division teams that won their last game by 10 or more. With all the systems on the Vikings here today we will look their way and take the 3-4 points. Make it Minnesota.
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12-30-12 | Chicago Bears v. Detroit Lions +3 | 26-24 | Win | 100 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
On Sunday the AFC Power Play is on Baltimore. Game 305 at 1;00 eastern. Baltimore has covered 9 straight vs division opponents that have revenge against them and they have won their finale the last 6 seasons. The Bengals are 3-12 ats after playing the Steelers and have failed to cover in 4 of the last 5 as a favorite if they are off a dog win, they have also failed to cover the last 8 times as a favorite after playing the Steelers. Finally,The Ravens are 16-2 ATS when they are off a game as a dog vs an NFC opponent. Look for Baltimore to get the cash as a small dog.
On Sunday the Dog with bite is on Detroit. Game 318 at 1:00 eastern. The Lions have lost their last 4 home games and most of them outside of last week have been very close. The Bears fit a play against system that pertain to road teams off a 2nd half road win of 10 or more in games where the line is +3 to -3. The Lions have covered 4 of the last 5 in the series. These two played a tight game in Chicago in October and The Lions will want to get the their last home game here today. Take the 3-4 points in this one as the Lions cash against the Bears. |
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12-30-12 | Baltimore Ravens +3 v. Cincinnati Bengals | 17-23 | Loss | -125 | 19 h 55 m | Show | |
On Sunday the AFC Power Play is on Baltimore. Game 305 at 1;00 eastern. Baltimore has covered 9 straight vs division opponents that have revenge against them and they have won their finale the last 6 seasons. The Bengals are 3-12 ats after playing the Steelers and have failed to cover in 4 of the last 5 as a favorite if they are off a dog win, they have also failed to cover the last 8 times as a favorite after playing the Steelers. Finally,The Ravens are 16-2 ATS when they are off a game as a dog vs an NFC opponent. Look for Baltimore to get the cash as a small dog.
On Sunday the Dog with bite is on Detroit. Game 318 at 1:00 eastern. The Lions have lost their last 4 home games and most of them outside of last week have been very close. The Bears fit a play against system that pertain to road teams off a 2nd half road win of 10 or more in games where the line is +3 to -3. The Lions have covered 4 of the last 5 in the series. These two played a tight game in Chicago in October and The Lions will want to get the their last home game here today. Take the 3-4 points in this one as the Lions cash against the Bears. |
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12-29-12 | Oregon State v. Texas +4 | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 29 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Alamo Bowl Dog with Bite that can win outright is on Texas. Game 236 at 6:45 eastern. Texas was a huge clear cut Simulation Model winner. Oregon St fits a nasty Bowl favorite play against system. We want to play against favorites who won 4 or less games last season, vs an opponent who won 4 or more last season, and if the opponent, Texas in this case won 6 or more the system has cashed over 92%. Texas is 5-0 with 2 weeks rest, and 5-2 off back to back losses. They have won 10 of the last 11 in non conference Play and qualify in out rushing dog system. Big 12 Bowl dogs have cashed 10 of 14 vs PAC 12 Teams, See Baylor a Nice 5* winner for us on Friday. Texas coach Brown has won 7 of the last 8 vs an opponent that won 7 or less last season which times into the aforementioned system. Finally we note that Pac 12 Teams have failed to cover 11 of the last 14 times vs an opponent off back to back losses. Take Texas
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12-29-12 | Navy +13.5 v. Arizona State | 28-62 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
On Saturday in the Kraft Fight Hunger bowl we are on Navy. Game 231 at 4:00 eastern as we note that Military Bowlers off an ats loss have covered 17 of the last 19. Navy is a Computer Simulation winner in our models and has a huge ground edge here. There at least 6 different systems that I use pertaining to Arizona St and any team as this large of a favorite prior to New Years day. The Sun Devils have a first year head coach and these coaches just flat out struggle when asked to lay this many points losing the whole game outright at -10 or higher. Navy averages over 200 yards on the ground and should control the ground game and the clock. Arizona St is also in a good system that plays against favorites that are off back to back revenge wins. Navy may not win but we like them to cover this big Number. Take Navy
On Saturday in the Pinstripe Bowl the Selection is on West Virginia. Game 233 at 3:15 eastern. West Virginia projects as our Computer Simulation winner and they apply to a 19-0 straight up system that is 18-1 ats. We want to play on Certain Bowl favorites of 4 or less with less than 39 days rest off a win and scored 46 or more points in their last game. Where else would you even come close to seeing a system of that magnitude? This system cashed both times last year. West Virginia has better rushing numbers on both sides of the ball and the better overall offense. The Syracuse defense rates better on paper, but So did the UCLA Defense last night and Baylor rose up and played well. I expect the same from WVU here today. Look for West Virginia to win and cover. |
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12-29-12 | West Virginia -4 v. Syracuse | 14-38 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
On Saturday in the Kraft Fight Hunger bowl we are on Navy. Game 231 at 4:00 eastern as we note that Military Bowlers off an ats loss have covered 17 of the last 19. Navy is a Computer Simulation winner in our models and has a huge ground edge here. There at least 6 different systems that I use pertaining to Arizona St and any team as this large of a favorite prior to New Years day. The Sun Devils have a first year head coach and these coaches just flat out struggle when asked to lay this many points losing the whole game outright at -10 or higher. Navy averages over 200 yards on the ground and should control the ground game and the clock. Arizona St is also in a good system that plays against favorites that are off back to back revenge wins. Navy may not win but we like them to cover this big Number. Take Navy
On Saturday in the Pinstripe Bowl the Selection is on West Virginia. Game 233 at 3:15 eastern. West Virginia projects as our Computer Simulation winner and they apply to a 19-0 straight up system that is 18-1 ats. We want to play on Certain Bowl favorites of 4 or less with less than 39 days rest off a win and scored 46 or more points in their last game. Where else would you even come close to seeing a system of that magnitude? This system cashed both times last year. West Virginia has better rushing numbers on both sides of the ball and the better overall offense. The Syracuse defense rates better on paper, but So did the UCLA Defense last night and Baylor rose up and played well. I expect the same from WVU here today. Look for West Virginia to win and cover. |
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12-29-12 | Air Force -2 v. Rice | 14-33 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
On Saturday the Armed Forces Bowl Selection is on Air Force. Game 229 at 11:45 eastern. Air Force has the ground edge in this one and qualifies in our Computer Simulation model which was on a 20-4 run heading into Friday. The Falcons are 9-1 vs Conference USA Teams and have beat Rice all 4 times in their series. Rice is 0-8 in grass games. Military teams off a spread loss have covered over 90% the last 30+ years and Coach Calhoun is undefeated to the spread vs teams off an ats win and cover by double digits. Look for Air Force to win and cover.
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12-28-12 | Rutgers +3 v. Virginia Tech | 10-13 | Push | 0 | 41 h 33 m | Show | |
On Friday the Bowl Dog with Bite that Wins outright is on Rutgers. Game 225 at 5;30 eastern in the Russell Athletic Bowl. Rutgers is 49-3 straight up when they out rush their opponents. Rutgers is 5-1 in non home gamea allowing just 15 points and 87 rush yards. Va. Tech is 1-5 in non home games and allows 192 yards rushing in those games as well as 33 points. They have lost the last 2 times vs Big East schools and 3 of 4 vs winning teams. With 2 weeks off they have lost the last both times most recently and are 1-5 in their last 6 neutral field games. This is not the same Tech team we are used to. Rutgers is 5-1 straight up and ats in thoer last 6 bowls and Coach Flood has won all 3 times as a dog. Coach Beamer is 0-3 in bowl games vs a team off a loss. Rutgers is a dog with a Strenght of Schedule advantage which has been a solid indicator for Several years. Rutgers has won 7 of the last 8 on a neutral field and 4 of 5 with 2+ weeks of rest. Bowl dogs off certain straight up favored losses have been cash cows in bowl games. Look for Rutgers to grind out a win here as a small dog.
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12-28-12 | Ohio +7 v. Louisiana Monroe | 45-14 | Win | 100 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
On Friday the Independence bowl Simulation play is on Ohio. U. Game 223 at 7:00 eastern. We wont bore you with the variations of the play against a favorite of 7 or more pre New Years Day systems, every other capper and their grandmother is using. Instead we will inform you that Ohio. U was a solid selection in our Computer Simulation Models. Ohio. U applies to a solid bowl dog system that pertains to bowl dogs that won a bowl game last season vs an opponent that won 8 or less games last season. In fact staying on the Opponents win total theorem brings us this beauty. Play against bowl favorites with 4 or less wins last season vs an opponent that won 4 or more. The aforementioned bowl systems are enough to warrant a play. However as we dig deeper we see that Bowl dogs like Ohio U have cashed at a nice rate if getting more than 1 point and come in off 3+ losses. The Bobcats have balanced offense that averages over 200 yards both running and passing and are a qualifier in our rushing bowl dog system. Bowl teams like LA. Monroe have been money burners if they come in off 2+ wins the last of which coming in overtime. Take the Points with Ohio U.
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12-27-12 | Baylor +3 v. UCLA Bruins | 49-26 | Win | 110 | 21 h 46 m | Show | |
On Thursday in the Holiday Bowl our selection is on Baylor. Game 221 at 9:45 eastern. Baylor is battle tested and has covered 5 of 6 as a dog and 6 of the last 9 vs PAC 12 Teams. UCLA is off a pair of losses vs Stanford and May not be up to this one. The Bruins will have to be, as Baylor is the #1 ranked offense and can out up points all game and in a hurry. Baylor projects as the winner in the Computer simulations and can come back even if they get down. UCLA is 1-6 in games lined +3 to -3 Baylor has a Higher Sagarin strength of schedule and ill take a dog every time if they make sense when that happens. UCLA Has lost 15 of the last 20 in December and Pac 12 teams are much better as dogs than they are as favorites. BIG 12 bowl teams have also covered 6 of the last 7 off a win vs PAC 11 Teams. Finally Baylor fits a fine subset of my Bowl dogs that won a bowl games last season, vs an opponent that won 8 or less games last season system. Look for Baylor to get the cash tonight.
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12-27-12 | Bowling Green +7.5 v. San Jose State | 20-29 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
On Thursday the afternoon Bowl play in the Military bowl is on Bowling Green. Game 217 at 3;00 eastern The Falcons have a solid defense which allows less than 300 yards per game. They qualify in both subsets of our rushing dog system and project to at the very least cover in the computer Simulations. MAC Bowlers off a win vs teams who win 60% or more of their games on the season have covered 10 of the last 13. There is also a solid system that plays against San Jose St here that pertains to favorites off 2 or more wins and cover with the last win a revenge win. San Jose is 5-21 off a bye and 0-3 ats most recently in that role. Neutral Site WAC Favorites have historically been bad investments. Now for a super system to top it off. We want to play against favorites from -1.5 to -8.5 from 12-22 on with less than 43 days rest that are off 3+ wins and not off a spread loss of 8 or more, vs an opponent that is not off a shutout win. Look for Bowling Green To keep this one close. Take the 7.5 points.
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12-26-12 | Central Michigan v. Western Kentucky -6 | 24-21 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 18 m | Show | |
On Wednesday the Little Caesars Bowl selection is on the Western Kentucky Hiltoppers. Game 216 at 7:30 eastern. WKU is making their first bowl appearance and has a huge defensive edge by over 100 yards, which qualifies then in a dog system we use. They are also the spread choice when applies to the Bowl Simulation which has cashed 15 of the last 18 bowls. WKU Has the rushing edge too both on offense and defense. Central Michigan has been here for Little Caesars bowls before losing a couple of close ones. However they are 2-13 ats as a dog the last 2 years and 0-5 vs fellow Bowl teams this season. When playing a winning team that have lost 12 straight with just 2 spread wins. Teams that are 6-6 and off a spread win of 10 or more have failed to cover 11 of the last 15 times. MAC Teams that are marginal winng teams have lost 7 of the 8 to the spread in bowl games. WKU is 6-0 ats in non home games and should get the win and cover tonight.
On Wednesday the NBA Power System Play is on the Indiana Pacers. Game 704 at 7:05 eastern. The Pacers fit a solid system here tonight that plays on home favorites with 3 days of rest that scored 90 or less as a road favorite in their last game, vs an opponent that was a home favorite and the total is higher than 165 in the game. These short home favorites have won and covered every time since 1995. The Bulls just flat out didn't show up on Christmas getting shelled at home by the Rockets. That loss sets them up in this system. The Bulls are not good when they have revenge either losing 6 of 7 in that role. They lost earlier this season 80-72 vs the Pacers. Indiana does not disappoint as a favorite as they are 14-3 straight up with 13 spread wins. They are also 5-1 after scoring 85 or less points and have won both times when the total is 170 to 180. Look for the Pacers to take down the Bulls. |
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12-24-12 | SMU v. Fresno State OVER 59.5 | 43-10 | Loss | -101 | 23 h 37 m | Show | |
On Monday Christmas Eve in the Hawaii bowl system Play is to play over the total. Rotation numbers 213/214 at 8:00 eastern. This game fits a solid totals system that is 29-7 to the over and has a solid 18-2 subset. We want to play the over if the posted total is 56.5 to 63 and both teams average between 21-28 points after scoring 31 or more in 3 straight games. SMU has played over the last 2 times vs Mountan West Conference teams and 3 of 4 off a win. Fresno has played over 5 straight with rest, 9 of 13 in Bowl games and 7 of 9 off 2+ wins. Both teams should move the ball well in this one, especially Fresno St. Look for this one to go over. Fresno has covered in their last 12 wins and SMU is 0-15 ats when they lose. I cant see SMU winning this one so Fresno should get the wind and cover as they also project to cover in the computer simulations.
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12-23-12 | San Francisco 49ers +2 v. Seattle Seahawks | Top | 13-42 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 17 m | Show |
On Sunday the NFC West Sunday night Power Side is on San Francisco. Game 129 at 8:30 eastern. Seattle is the first team since 1950 to score 50 or more back to back. Now they have to face the Vaunted Niners defense which allowed over 30 points in a win in New England. Teams teams with the line being 3 points to pick either way that scored 50 or more last week have covered just once long term. San Francisco has covered 7 straight when they and their opponent are both off back to back wins and covers. Coach Carrol is 0-8 ats if favored vs winning teams off a win by 2 or more touchdowns, and 1-7 vs an opponent off 2 or more wins and covers. The Niners are 5-0 as dogs off a non conference dog win. So this tell me there is no bounce off the Patriots win. The 49ers are 14-0 ATS when they are off a Sunday road game in which they allowed more than 21 points. The Seahawks are 1-20 ATS when they are off a game as a favorite of more than four points in which they benefited from a positive takeaway margin. Look for San Francisco to win this one.
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12-23-12 | NY Giants v. Baltimore Ravens +3 | 14-33 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Late afternoon system Play is on Baltimore. Game 122 at 4:25 eastern Road teams like the Giants at +3 to -3 are winless up and to the spread since 1989 if they scored 9 or less on the road, vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as a home dog. Baltimore getting points at home looks solid as they will play much better than they did last week vs Denver when they were hurt badly by a late first half turnover td that made the score 17-0 as opposed to 10-3 or 10-7. They may have Ray Lewis back too. Computer simulations have them winning outright. Look for Baltimore +3 to bounce back and get the cash here today.
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12-23-12 | San Diego Chargers +127 v. NY Jets | 27-17 | Win | 127 | 35 h 45 m | Show | |
On Sunday the road warrior is on San Diego. Game 131 at 1:00 eastern. Many feel the Chargers have quit after they bounced last week at home vs Carolina, prior to a huge 7 point dog win in Pittsburgh. Their offense should bounce back here and the Jets have not been nearly as good on defense vs Seasoned quarterbacks as they have been against the Jx, Az, and Tennessees of the world. We also want to play on road dogs of 6 or less off a home favored loss and prior road dog win, if they lost to the spread by 15 or more last out. That's because the road warriors are a solid 22-3 ats since 1980, and 6-0 the last 9 years. The Jets are a mess, even with Mcelroy over Sanchez they may struggle. The Chargers are coming early into the eastern time zone where west coast teams have historically struggle. However this is the 3rd time for the Chargers and is much easier to handle the more seasonal occurrences. The Chargers are 15-1 ATS after week 13 when they allowed more than 20 points in their previous game.Take San Diego.
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12-23-12 | New Orleans Saints v. Dallas Cowboys -2 | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 52 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Multi System Super side is on Dallas. Game 116 at 1:00 eastern. We get one of the hottest teams in the league at under a field goal here and they apply to Multiple systems here today. Here we go. Most of these play against the Saints. Play against game 15 road teams that are home next week and played home last week, vs an opponent that won by 10 or less and is playing their last home. Play against non division road dogs of less than 5 off a home favored shutout covers as they are 0-11 straight up and 1-10 ats since 1980. The Saints actually fit a variety of systems that play against shutout winners in their last game. Their defense should not play nearly as well this week. The Saints are 0-13 ATS (when they are off a game in which they held their opponent to at least ten points fewer than their season average and had fewer than three sacks and allowed an average of ten yards per completion or less. Dallas wins and covers today.
On Sunday the Wonder dog system play is on Oakland. Game 105 at 1:00 eastern. The Raiders finally put together a nice win and played well on defense getting a shutout. There is a great 32-4 system they apply to here. We want to play on visitors getting 8 or more points off win if both teams are under.500. These teams are a solid 21-15 straight up as well as covering 32 of 36. Carolina may bounce after spring the upset dog win last week in San Diego. The Raiders are 15-0 ATS after a regulation game in which they had 34-plus minutes of possession time and least three sacks, as long as they did not rush for 250-plus yards. Carolina is 1-8 ats off a dog win vs non conference teams Oakland plus 8.5 here. On Sunday the road warrior is on San Diego. Game 131 at 1:00 eastern. Many feel the Chargers have quit after they bounced last week at home vs Carolina, prior to a huge 7 point dog win in Pittsburgh. Their offense should bounce back here and the Jets have not been nearly as good on defense vs Seasoned quarterbacks as they have been against the Jx, Az, and Tennessees of the world. We also want to play on road dogs of 6 or less off a home favored loss and prior road dog win, if they lost to the spread by 15 or more last out. That's because the road warriors are a solid 22-3 ats since 1980, and 6-0 the last 9 years. The Jets are a mess, even with Mcelroy over Sanchez they may struggle. The Chargers are coming early into the eastern time zone where west coast teams have historically struggle. However this is the 3rd time for the Chargers and is much easier to handle the more seasonal occurrences. The Chargers are 15-1 ATS after week 13 when they allowed more than 20 points in their previous game.Take San Diego. |
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