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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-23-16 | Eastern Michigan +6 v. Old Dominion | Top | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
7* Eastern Michigan/Old Dominion NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Eastern Michigan +6 |
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12-17-16 | Texas-San Antonio v. New Mexico -7.5 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
7* UTSA/New Mexico NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on New Mexico -7.5 |
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12-03-16 | Oklahoma State +11 v. Oklahoma | Top | 20-38 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 44 m | Show |
7* Okie State/Oklahoma Big 12 *HEAVY HITTER* on Oklahoma State +11 |
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11-26-16 | Michigan v. Ohio State -5 | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
7* Michigan/Ohio State Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Ohio State -5 |
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11-25-16 | Northern Illinois -5 v. Kent State | Top | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Friday *HEAVY HITTER* on Northern Illinois -5 |
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11-22-16 | Central Michigan v. Eastern Michigan +1.5 | Top | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
7* CMU/EMU MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Eastern Michigan +1.5 |
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11-19-16 | Stanford -10.5 v. California | Top | 45-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show |
7* Pac-12 Game of the Month on Stanford -10.5 |
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11-18-16 | UNLV +28.5 v. Boise State | Top | 25-42 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
7* UNLV/Boise NCAAF Friday Night Lights on UNLV +28.5 |
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11-15-16 | Ohio v. Central Michigan | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
7* Ohio/CMU MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Central Michigan PK |
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11-12-16 | Wyoming -7.5 v. UNLV | Top | 66-69 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
7* Mountain West Game of the Year on Wyoming -7.5 |
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11-11-16 | Boston College +20.5 v. Florida State | Top | 7-45 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
7* BC/FSU NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Boston College +20.5 |
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11-05-16 | Florida v. Arkansas +4 | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 3 m | Show |
7* SEC Game of the Year on Arkansas +4 |
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11-04-16 | San Jose State +30 v. Boise State | Top | 31-45 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
7* SJSU/Boise State NCAAF Friday Night Lights on San Jose State +30 |
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10-29-16 | Miami (Fla) v. Notre Dame +1.5 | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 23 h 32 m | Show |
7* Miami/ND Non-Conference Game of the Month on Notre Dame +1.5 |
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10-22-16 | TCU +6.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 10-34 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 46 m | Show |
7* Big 12 Game of the Year on TCU +6.5 |
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10-21-16 | San Jose State +23 v. San Diego State | Top | 3-42 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on San Jose State +23 |
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10-15-16 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia +4 | Top | 45-31 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Situational Game of the Year on Virginia +4 |
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10-14-16 | Mississippi State v. BYU UNDER 56.5 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
7* Miss State/BYU ESPN Friday Night Lights on UNDER 56.5 |
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10-12-16 | Appalachian State v. UL-Lafayette UNDER 48.5 | Top | 24-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
7* Appalachian State/LA-Lafayette ESPN 2 *TOTAL* Annihilator on UNDER 48.5 |
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10-08-16 | East Carolina +16 v. South Florida | Top | 22-38 | Push | 0 | 21 h 46 m | Show |
7* American Athletic GAME OF THE YEAR on East Carolina +16 |
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10-07-16 | Clemson v. Boston College +17 | Top | 56-10 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
7* Clemson/BC ESPN Friday Night Lights on Boston College +17 |
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10-05-16 | Georgia Southern v. Arkansas State OVER 54 | Top | 26-27 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
7* Sun Belt Total of the Week on Georgia Southern/Arkansas State OVER 54 |
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10-01-16 | Oregon v. Washington State +2.5 | Top | 33-51 | Win | 100 | 23 h 15 m | Show |
7* Pac-12 Game of the Year on Washington State +2.5 |
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09-30-16 | Stanford v. Washington -3 | Top | 6-44 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
7* Stanford/Washington ESPN Friday Night Lights on Washington -3 |
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09-24-16 | Oklahoma State v. Baylor -7.5 | Top | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
7* Big 12 Game of the Month on Baylor -7.5 |
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09-23-16 | USC v. Utah -2.5 | Top | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Utah -2.5 |
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09-17-16 | Alabama -11 v. Ole Miss | Top | 48-43 | Loss | -102 | 20 h 29 m | Show |
7* Alabama/Ole Miss SEC *HEAVY HITTER* on Alabama -11 |
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09-16-16 | Arkansas State v. Utah State -9 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Utah State -9 |
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09-10-16 | SMU +32.5 v. Baylor | Top | 13-40 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Non-Conference Game of the Week on SMU +32.5 |
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09-09-16 | Louisville v. Syracuse +15 | Top | 62-28 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
7* Louisville/Syracuse ESPN 2 Friday Night Lights on Syracuse +15 |
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09-05-16 | Ole Miss v. Florida State -6 | Top | 34-45 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
7* Ole Miss/FSU ESPN Monday *HEAVY HITTER* on Florida State -6 |
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09-03-16 | UCLA v. Texas A&M -3 | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Game of the Week on Texas A&M -3 |
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09-02-16 | Kansas State v. Stanford -12 | Top | 13-26 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
7* Kansas State/Stanford NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Stanford -12 |
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09-01-16 | South Carolina v. Vanderbilt -4 | Top | 13-10 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
7* South Carolina/Vanderbilt SEC *HEAVY HITTER* on Vanderbilt -4 |
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08-26-16 | California v. Hawaii OVER 64 | Top | 51-31 | Win | 100 | 22 h 41 m | Show |
7* Cal/Hawaii NCAAF *TOTAL* Annihilator on OVER 64 |
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01-11-16 | Alabama v. Clemson +7 | Top | 45-40 | Win | 100 | 65 h 1 m | Show |
7* Alabama/Clemson NCAAF Championship *HEAVY HITTER* on Clemson +7 |
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01-02-16 | Penn State +6.5 v. Georgia | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -106 | 84 h 44 m | Show |
7* Penn State/Georgia TaxSlayer Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Penn State +6.5 |
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01-01-16 | Iowa +6 v. Stanford | Top | 16-45 | Loss | -107 | 65 h 60 m | Show |
7* Bowl GAME OF THE YEAR on Iowa +6 |
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12-31-15 | Oklahoma -3.5 v. Clemson | Top | 17-37 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 0 m | Show |
7* Oklahoma/Clemson Orange Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Oklahoma -3.5 |
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12-30-15 | Wisconsin v. USC -3.5 | Top | 23-21 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 35 m | Show |
7* Wisconsin/USC Holiday Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on USC -3.5 |
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12-29-15 | Baylor v. North Carolina -2 | Top | 49-38 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
7* Baylor/UNC Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on North Carolina -2 |
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12-23-15 | Georgia Southern v. Bowling Green OVER 63.5 | Top | 58-27 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
7* Georgia Southern/Bowling Green *TOTAL* Annihilator on OVER 63.5 |
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12-22-15 | Toledo v. Temple -2.5 | Top | 32-17 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
7* Toledo/Temple Bowl Game of the Week on Temple -2.5 |
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12-12-15 | Army +22 v. Navy | Top | 17-21 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
7* Army/Navy NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Army +22 |
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12-05-15 | USC +4.5 v. Stanford | Top | 22-41 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 49 m | Show |
7* Pac-12 GAME OF THE YEAR on USC +4.5 |
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11-28-15 | Clemson v. South Carolina +19 | Top | 37-32 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Rivalry GAME OF THE YEAR on South Carolina +19 |
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11-27-15 | Western Michigan v. Toledo -8 | Top | 35-30 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 44 m | Show |
7* Western Michigan/Toledo MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Toledo -8 |
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11-24-15 | Bowling Green v. Ball State +23.5 | Top | 48-10 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
7* Bowling Green/Ball State MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Ball State +23.5 |
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11-21-15 | Louisville v. Pittsburgh -2 | Top | 34-45 | Win | 100 | 40 h 31 m | Show |
7* ACC GAME OF THE MONTH on Pittsburgh -2 |
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11-20-15 | Cincinnati v. South Florida +2 | Top | 27-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
7* Cincinnati/USF NCAAF Friday Night Lights on South Florida +2 |
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11-17-15 | Toledo +8 v. Bowling Green | Top | 44-28 | Win | 100 | 5 h 60 m | Show |
7* Toledo/Bowling Green MAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Toledo +8 |
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11-14-15 | Temple v. South Florida +3 | Top | 23-44 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show |
7* American Athletic GAME OF THE YEAR on South Florida +3 |
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11-10-15 | Toledo v. Central Michigan +4.5 | Top | 28-23 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
7* Toledo/CMU NCAAF Tuesday *HEAVY HITTER* on Central Michigan +4.5 |
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11-07-15 | LSU v. Alabama -7 | Top | 16-30 | Win | 100 | 18 h 24 m | Show |
7* LSU/Alabama NCAAF Rivalry GAME OF THE YEAR on Alabama -7 |
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11-06-15 | BYU v. San Jose State +13 | Top | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
7* BYU/San Jose State NCAAF Friday Night Lights on San Jose State +13 |
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11-04-15 | Ohio +20 v. Bowling Green | Top | 24-62 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
7* Ohio/BG MAC Game of the Week on Ohio +20 |
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11-03-15 | Northern Illinois +7.5 v. Toledo | Top | 32-27 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
7* Northern Illinois/Toledo MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Northern Illinois +7.5 |
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10-31-15 | Illinois v. Penn State -4.5 | Top | 0-39 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
7* Big Ten GAME OF THE YEAR on Penn State -4.5 |
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10-30-15 | Wyoming v. Utah State UNDER 49 | Top | 27-58 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
7* Wyoming/Utah State ESPN 2 Friday Night Lights on UNDER 49 |
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10-24-15 | Wyoming +35 v. Boise State | Top | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 30 h 16 m | Show |
7* Mountain West GAME OF THE YEAR on Wyoming +35 |
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10-23-15 | Memphis v. Tulsa +10.5 | Top | 66-42 | Loss | -106 | 42 h 31 m | Show |
7* Memphis/Tulsa ESPN Friday Night Lights on Tulsa +10.5 |
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10-22-15 | Georgia Southern v. Appalachian State UNDER 62 | Top | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 17 h 53 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Thursday Night *TOTAL* Annihilator on Georgia Southern/Appalachian State UNDER 62 |
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10-17-15 | Louisville +7 v. Florida State | Top | 21-41 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
7* ACC GAME OF THE YEAR on Louisville +7 |
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10-16-15 | Cincinnati +7 v. BYU | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
7* Cincinnati/BYU Non-Conference Game of the Week on Cincinnati +7 |
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10-13-15 | Arkansas State -3.5 v. South Alabama | Top | 49-31 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
7* Arkansas State/South Alabama Sun Belt *HEAVY HITTER* on Arkansas State -3.5 |
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10-10-15 | Northwestern +10 v. Michigan | Top | 0-38 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
7* Big Ten GAME OF THE YEAR on Northwestern +10 |
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10-09-15 | NC State v. Virginia Tech -2 | Top | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
7* NC State/VA Tech ESPN Friday Night Lights on Virginia Tech -2 |
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10-03-15 | Boston College +7 v. Duke | Top | 7-9 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
7* ACC Game of the Month on Boston College +7 |
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10-02-15 | Connecticut +14.5 v. BYU | Top | 13-30 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
7* UConn/BYU ESPN 2 Friday Night Lights on Connecticut +14.5 |
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09-26-15 | Missouri v. Kentucky -2.5 | Top | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 40 h 16 m | Show |
7* SEC East GAME OF THE YEAR on Kentucky -2.5 |
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09-25-15 | Boise State v. Virginia +3 | Top | 56-14 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 46 m | Show |
7* Boise State/Virginia ESPN Friday Night Lights on Virginia +3 |
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09-19-15 | Ole Miss +7 v. Alabama | Top | 43-37 | Win | 100 | 27 h 16 m | Show |
7* Ole Miss/Alabama SEC West GAME OF THE YEAR on Ole Miss +7 |
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09-18-15 | Florida State -7 v. Boston College | Top | 14-0 | Win | 100 | 42 h 5 m | Show |
7* FSU/BC ESPN Friday Night Lights on Florida State -7 |
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09-12-15 | Oregon v. Michigan State -3.5 | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 22 m | Show |
7* Oregon/MSU NCAAF Top 10 GAME OF THE YEAR on Michigan State -3.5 |
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09-11-15 | Utah State v. Utah -12 | Top | 14-24 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
7* Utah State/Utah NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Utah -12 |
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09-07-15 | Ohio State v. Virginia Tech +14 | Top | 42-24 | Loss | -106 | 100 h 53 m | Show |
7* Ohio State/VA Tech ESPN Monday *REMATCH* on Virginia Tech +14 |
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09-05-15 | Penn State -7 v. Temple | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -105 | 47 h 19 m | Show |
7* NCAAF GAME OF THE WEEK on Penn State -7 |
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09-03-15 | TCU -16.5 v. Minnesota | Top | 23-17 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Thursday Night *HEAVY HITTER* on TCU -16.5 |
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01-12-15 | Ohio State v. Oregon -6 | Top | 42-20 | Loss | -101 | 79 h 48 m | Show |
7* National Championship *HEAVY HITTER* on Oregon -6 The Key: Oregon is a runaway freight train that I'm not about to step in front of here. The Ducks are 9-0 SU and ATS in their last nine games with these wins coming by an average of 26.3 points. The smallest margin of victory during this span was still 12 points. The Ducks have several impressive trends going under coach Helfrich. They are 10-0 ATS after scoring 50 points or more, 7-0 ATS after a win of 35 points or more, 6-0 ATS after two straight wins of 28 points or more and 6-0 ATS in games played away from home following four or more consecutive wins. It is also worth noting that the Ducks are 4-0 ATS in their last four bowl games and 5-0 ATS in their last five neutral site games. Ohio State has pulled off back-to-back improbable victories in impressive fashion since losing J.T. Barrett, but they are up against a different animal here. Ohio State actually trailed Alabama 21-6 and another slow start against the Ducks will likely mean its doom. Oregon never takes its foot off the gas pedal, and that will put a lot of pressure on the Ohio State defense as well as an inexperience signal caller (Cardale Jones). Ohio State has been a great story with all that it's been able to overcome at the QB position, but I think it finally runs out of magic against Marcus Mariota and the Ducks. |
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01-02-15 | Iowa +4 v. Tennessee | Top | 28-45 | Loss | -115 | 51 h 39 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Bowl GAME OF THE YEAR on Iowa +4 The Key: Iowa underachieved this season, and the coaching staff is taking plenty of heat from the fan base as a result. If Iowa loses to Tennessee, head coach Kirk Ferentz will enter next season on the hot seat. I expect him to have his team fully prepared and motivated to make sure that doesn't happen. Ferentz typically does a good job in bowl prep and is an impressive 4-2 in bowls versus current SEC teams. Iowa blew a big lead and lost to Nebraska in OT in its regular-season finale, but it has been terrific in bounce-back spots at 41-19-1 ATS in its last 61 games following a loss. The Hawkeyes are 6-0 ATS the last two seasons when playing away from home following a loss and have won these games by an average of 10.2 points. They are 5-1 ATS in their last six bowl games and 4-1 ATS in their last five versus SEC foes. Take the points. |
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01-01-15 | Wisconsin +7 v. Auburn | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 23 h 14 m | Show |
7* New Year's Day *HEAVY HITTER* on Wisconsin +7 The Key: Wisconsin will be lacking no motivation after being brutally embarrassed in the Big Ten Championship. The Badgers will draw added motivation from head coach Gary Anderson leaving for Oregon State. They will be out to show Anderson he made the wrong move. Auburn won't be that excited about this game after playing for a national title last year. The Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games versus teams that have a winning record and 0-6 ATS in their last six games on grass. Wisconsin wasn't able to run the football on Ohio State as it was held to just 71 yards on the ground, but Auburn isn't as physical as Ohio State up front. Besides, the Badgers take pride in their running attack and are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Take the points. |
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12-31-14 | Georgia Tech v. Mississippi State -6.5 | Top | 49-34 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 17 m | Show |
7* Orange Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Mississippi State -6.5 The Key: Mississippi State has done an excellent job stuffing the run this season. It ended the regular season ranked 25th in the nation against the run with 126.5 yards per game allowed. With a month to prepare for Georgia Tech's run-heavy attack, the Bulldogs should take care of business. They are 11-3 ATS versus excellent running teams that average 5.25 yards per carry or more under coach Mullen. The Yellow Jackets are 1-6 ATS in their last seven bowl games and 1-4 ATS in their last five versus SEC opponents. Lay the points. |
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12-30-14 | Notre Dame +7.5 v. LSU | Top | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 23 h 49 m | Show |
7* Pre-New Year's Bowl Game of the Year on Notre Dame +7.5 The Key: Notre Dame is being undervalued because of a 0-4 finish that ended with a 49-14 loss at USC. I'll gladly take the points as the Fighting Irish won or lost by four points or less in all but two games this season. This is too many points for LSU to be laying considering how much it has struggled offensively this season. The Tigers rank 83rd in the country in total offense and have no passing game. The Fighting Irish will make LSU beat them through the air, and I don't see it happening. While LSU is stout defensively, Notre Dame has an offense capable of giving the Tigers problems. The Irish boast the 34th-best offense in the nation overall and the 16th-best passing attack. In addition, LSU is 1-8 ATS the last three seasons in games played away from home that following a win. It has lost these contests by an average score of 24.5 to 19.6. Take the points. |
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12-29-14 | West Virginia v. Texas A&M +2.5 | Top | 37-45 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
7* Liberty Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Texas A&M +2.5 The Key: West Virginia has struggled against strong passing teams like Texas A&M. In fact, the Mountaineers are 0-6 ATS the last three seasons in games played away from home versus teams that average 275.0 yards per game through the air or more. They have lost these contests by an average score of 47.7 to 23.5. It is also worth noting that West Virginia hasn't performed well when getting extra time off in recent seasons. It is 0-7 ATS the last three seasons when getting more than a typical week of preparation time. In addition, the Mountaineers are on a 0-8 ATS slide when laying points on a neutral field and have lost these games by an average score of 30.4 to 24.5. Sumlin does an excellent job preparing his kids and has won his first two bowls at A&M. Take the Aggies. |
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12-27-14 | Miami (Fla) -3.5 v. South Carolina | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
7* Independence Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami -3.5 The Key: The South Carolina defense took a big step back this season, and it's this side of the football that will cost them against the Hurricanes. The Gamecocks rank 93rd nationally in both total and scoring defense and have been especially bad against the run, ranking 108th with 214.4 yards per game allowed. That doesn't bode well for them as they get set to face Duke Johnson, who has 1,520 yards and 10 touchdowns on the season. Miami has been exceptional defensively, ranking 14th in the country in total defense. It has been especially strong against the pass, ranking 10th in the nation with 184.1 yards per game allowed. The Hurricanes should have success slowing down a South Carolina offense that likes to throw the football. The Hurricanes are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. The Gamecocks are 2-6 ATS in their last eight neutral site games. Lay the points. |
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12-20-14 | Western Michigan v. Air Force | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 56 m | Show |
7* Potato Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Western Michigan -110 The Key: Western Michigan is the more complete team on both sides of the football. The Broncos match up very well with Air Force's one-dimensional offense. They ranked a respectable 37th nationally against the run this season, and having had a month to prepare, I like their chances or slowing down Air Force's ground game. Western Mich is balanced and explosive offensively, and that doesn't bode well for the Falcons, who are 0-6 ATS the last three seasons when playing away from home versus teams that average 31.0 ppg or more. They have lost these six games by an average score of 40.0 to 16.3. Air Force's best shot is too force turnovers, which is something it hasn't done very well this season. The Falcons are 0-9 ATS the last three seasons away from home after two consecutive games of forcing one turnover or none. The Broncos had cover the spread in 10 straight games before losing to Northern Illinois Nov. 28. They are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a loss. Take Western Mich. |
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12-06-14 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State UNDER 52.5 | Top | 0-59 | Loss | -105 | 54 h 29 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Total of the Year on Ohio State/Wisconsin Under 52.5 The Key: Ohio State has finished over the total in 10 of its last 11 games. Wisconsin has finished over the number in five of its last seven. As a result, we are getting a great number. The Ohio State offense struggled in its first game without Braxton Miller, and I expect to see similar offensive struggles in Cardale Jones' first extensive action. Wisconsin is one of the best defensive teams in the entire nation, ranking 2nd in total defense (260.3 ypg) and 4th in scoring defense (16.9 ppg). Urban Meyer knows he must take a conservative approach to give his team the best opportunity to win against the stout Wisconsin defense. Ohio State also boasts an elite defense, one that ranks 19th in total "D" (333.5 ypg) and 29th in scoring "D" (22.9 ppg). Ohio State will be able to sell out on the run because it has athletes in the secondary who can more than hold their own. With both teams very likely to stick to their ground attacks, the clock will keep moving. The under is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings between these teams. It is also 6-2 in the Buckeyes' last eight neutral site games. Take the under. |
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11-29-14 | Cincinnati v. Temple +7 | Top | 14-6 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 9 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Game of the Year on Temple +7 The Key: I love Temple in this spot. The Owls are at home on Senior Day needing a win to become bowl eligible and seeking revenge for last season's 18-point loss at Cincinnati. Needless to say, they will be extremely motivated. Temple has been tough at home where it defeated East Carolina by double digits and played Memphis to a three-point game. Under coach Rhule, Temple is 6-0 ATS versus teams that average 31.0 ppg or more. It is also 6-0 ATS under Rhule versus teams that average 425.0 ypg or more. The Bearcats are 0-6 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game and 0-6 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Take the points. |
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11-28-14 | Navy v. South Alabama +10 | Top | 42-40 | Win | 100 | 48 h 9 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Black Friday *HEAVY HITTER* on South Alabama +10 The Key: This line is inflated due to South Alabama's 0-6 ATS slide. The Jaguars have won their last three home games, and they'll be lacking no motivation on senior day. They were smashed 42-14 at Navy last season, and that embarrassing loss will be the driving force behind a strong effort on Senior Day. Navy hasn't played a true road games since Oct. 4 so it will be out of its comfort zone. You want to fade road favorites that average 440.0 ypg or more when they are up against a team that averages 330.0 to 390.0 ypg if the fade team allowed 6.25 yards per play or more in its last game. Doing so has produced a 27-6 ATS mark the last five seasons. These teams have been favored by 11.1 points on average but have won by only 4.3 points on average. Take the points. |
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11-22-14 | Miami (Fla) v. Virginia +6 | Top | 13-30 | Win | 100 | 99 h 48 m | Show |
7* ACC Game of the Week on Virginia +6 The Key: This is a major letdown spot for Miami, which put everything into last week's showdown against Florida State only to come up short after blowing a 16-0 lead. I don't see the Hurricanes being able to recover from that blow on the road where they are 1-3. Virginia is better than its 4-6 record leads you to believe, and it has had the benefit of a bye week to prepare. Plus, the Cavaliers need to win their last two to become bowl eligible, and they will be driven by that. They are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games following a cover, 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a bye week and 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven home games. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings. Take the points. |
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11-22-14 | Minnesota v. Nebraska -10 | Top | 28-24 | Loss | -115 | 92 h 18 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Blowout Game of the Month on Nebraska -10 The Key: Odds makers appear to be begging for money on Minnesota, which is tied with Nebraska for second place in the Big Ten West. After destroying Iowa 51-14, the Golden Gophers held their own against Ohio State last Saturday. Yet, they're catching double digits? Something smells fishy. It's Senior Day in Lincoln, and the Huskers will be lacking no motivation. They were completely embarrassed in Madison, WI last week, and they were upset at Minnesota last season. They'll be out to save face and exact revenge here. Nebraska is 6-0 at home this season where it has won by an average of 22.5 points. The Cornhuskers are also 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games following a spread loss and 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games following a loss of more than 20 points. Lay the points. |
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11-15-14 | Arizona State v. Oregon State +9.5 | Top | 27-35 | Win | 100 | 55 h 17 m | Show |
7* Pac-12 Game of the Year on Oregon State +9.5 The Key: Motivated by back-to-back upset losses to Cal and Washington State and further fueled by last season's loss at Arizona State, the Beavers will give the Sun Devils a game. Since 1992, Oregon State is an impressive 30-14 ATS when it checks in off two straight losses to conference opponents. It's 22-9 ATS during this span off a loss of seven points or less in conference play. It is also on a 9-2 ATS run when checking in off an upset loss at home to conference foe. The defensive side of the football has really let the Beavers down the past two weeks. However, they are 6-0 ATS all-time after allowing 450 yards or more in two consecutive games under coach Riley and have won by an average score of 32.5 to 24.7 in this spot. The home team has had a huge advantage in this series as it has won 12 of the last 14 meetings. The Sun Devils are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five meetings. Take the points. |
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11-15-14 | Virginia Tech +5.5 v. Duke | Top | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 45 h 32 m | Show |
7* ACC Game of the Month on Virginia Tech +5.5 The Key: The Hokies are in the midst of a rare losing streak, but having had a bye week to regroup, I expect them to right the ship. As if their current three-game slide isn't enough motivation, they saw a nine-game win streak over Duke come to an end with last season's 13-10 loss to the Blue Devils. They'll be out for payback and to keeps their bowl hopes alive. The Hokies are 17-8 ATS following two of more consecutive losses under coach Beamer. They are also 13-4 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7.0 points under his watch. Take the points. |
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11-08-14 | UTEP v. Western Kentucky -7 | Top | 27-35 | Win | 100 | 51 h 45 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Favorite of the Week on Western Kentucky -7 The Key: Western Kentucky's 3-5 record is deceiving. The Hilltoppers have played five of their first eight games on the road and have three single-possession losses on the season. The schedule now turns in their favor as they play their next three at home, and I expect them to take advantage. UTEP has been a bad investment as an underdog, going 3-11 ATS in the role going back to the start of last season. The Miners have been a good bet this season, covering the number in six of eight games and each of their last three. However, now's the time to fade away as they are 1-10 ATS since 1992 when checking in with covers in six or seven games during an eight-game span. The Miners rolled against So. Miss last week, but the score was a little deceiving as they were outgained 402-234. Performances like that have been telling as they are 0-6 ATS the last three seasons in road games after being outgained by 125 or more total yards last game. You want to back home favorites of 3.5 to 10.0 points that allow 440.0 ypg or more when they are matched up against a team that gives up 390.0 to 440.0 ypg. Doing so has produced a 44-18 ATS mark since 1992. Lay the points. |
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11-08-14 | Texas-San Antonio +10 v. Rice | Top | 7-17 | Push | 0 | 47 h 44 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Underdog of the Week on Texas-San Antonio +10 The Key: UTSA's bye week couldn't have come at a better time. The Roadrunners lost 34-0 at home to UTEP as a 14-point favorite last time out. I expect the extra time off to do them some good and for them to regroup here. Consider that road underdogs of 3.5 to 10.0 points that are off an upset loss at home as a double-digit favorite are 41-11 ATS in conference play since 1992. The Roadrunners have been a sweet play on the road where they are 12-4 ATS in their last 16. They are 6-0 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10.0 points over the last 3 seasons. Rice has won five in a row by 14 points or more and odds makers are only asking it to lay 10 here? Perhaps they're thinking what I'm thinking. The Owls will be peeking ahead to next week's matchup at Marshall. Take the points. |
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11-01-14 | Oklahoma State +14.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 14-48 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 28 m | Show |
7* Big 12 Game of the Week on Oklahoma State +14.5 The Key: I missed with Oklahoma State last week but will come right back with the Cowboys here as they are showing tremendous value as a double-digit underdog. They are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games following an ATS loss, 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit loss at home, 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game and 7-0 ATS in their last seven games in November. You want to fade favorites of 10.5 to 21.0 points that allowed nine points or less last game when they are matched up against a team that's off two straight losses of 17 points or more. Doing so has produced a 29-7 ATS mark since 1992. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings, and the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Take the points. |
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11-01-14 | Rice v. Florida International +6 | Top | 31-17 | Loss | -105 | 70 h 14 m | Show |
7* C-USA Game of the Year on Florida International +6 The Key: Motivated by back-to-back defeats and well-prepared following a bye week, FIU will give Rice all it wants and more. You want to fade teams like Rice with a +/- 0.6 yards per play differential when they are on the road after giving up 225 total yards or less in their previous game when they are matched up against a team that is being outgained by 0.6 to 1.2 yards per play. Doing so has produced a 35-8 (81%) ATS mark since 1992. The Golden Panthers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last five conference games. Take the points. |
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10-25-14 | Nevada v. Hawaii +3 | Top | 26-18 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 30 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Bailout on Hawaii +3 The Key: This is a letdown spot for Nevada as it makes the long trip to Hawaii following a huge upset win at BYU. Not only is this a bounce-back spot for the Warriors following a loss at San Diego State, but it is a revenge spot following three consecutive double-digit defeats to the Wolf Pack. The Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last six following a loss while the Wolf Pack are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games following a win. The Warriors have been a terrific investment at home where they are on a 5-0 ATS run. The home team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings, and the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings. Take the points. |
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10-25-14 | Arizona State v. Washington +3.5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 14 m | Show |
7* Pac-12 Game of the Month on Washington +3.5 The Key: Expect a letdown from Arizona State following a big blowout win over Stanford. ASU has had its way with Washington in recent years, which means the Huskies will be lacking no motivation. It also means the Sun Devils will be susceptible - their tendency will be to look ahead to Utah. Washington is 3-1 at home, and the Sun Devils are a weak 15-33-3 ATS in their last 51 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Huskies are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 home games, 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a loss of more than 20 points. Take the points. |
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10-25-14 | West Virginia v. Oklahoma State | Top | 34-10 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 21 m | Show |
7* Big 12 Game of the Year on Oklahoma State pk The Key: Motivated by last week's brutally embarrassing 42-9 loss at TCU, and further fueled by last season's 30-21 defeat at West Virginia, Oklahoma State will take care of business Saturday. The Cowboys are an impressive 13-4 ATS in their last 17 home games. They are 17-3 ATS at home since 1992 following a loss of 21 points or more. They have bounced back to win by an average score of 33.5 to 24.1 in this spot. The Mountaineers are in a letdown spot following a huge win over Baylor. You want to fade road teams in weeks 5-9 that check in off an upset win at home. Doing so has produced a 20-2 ATS mark the last five seasons. Take the Cowboys. |
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