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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-18-19 | East Tennessee State +10 v. LSU | 74-63 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on East Tennessee State +10 The Key: East Tennessee State is one of the better teams in the country that not too many bettors know about.  They are 9-2 this year with their only losses coming on the road to Kansas by 12 and North Dakota State by 10.  They returned all 5 starters this year and will take LSU to the wire tonight.  LSU has losses to Utah State and VCU this year and will be tested by ETSU.  The Buccaneers are 10-1 ATS off a home win scoring 85 points or more over the last 3 years.  Take East Tennessee State. |
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12-17-19 | Florida -4.5 v. Providence | Top | 83-51 | Win | 100 | 4 h 52 m | Show |
7* Florida/Providence ESPN 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Florida -4.5 The Key: The Florida Gators have won 4 of their last 5 with their only setback coming at Butler.  The Gators are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games.  The Providence Friars are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall with a ton of ugly performances.  The Friars already have 5 upset losses this year.  They have played an easy schedule as they have been favored in every single game and have come up way short of expectations.  And this number is too short tonight against the best team they’ve played yet in the Gators.  Take Florida. |
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12-15-19 | Purdue v. Nebraska +13 | 56-70 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
6* Sunday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Nebraska +13 The Key: Nebraska is improving and just went on the road and gave Indiana all they wanted as 17-point dogs.  They took the Hoosiers to overtime.  The Huskers will be laying at home now for the first time since November 22nd.  They have a big home court advantage and will give Purdue a run for its money today.  The Boilermakers are getting too much respect from oddsmakers now off 2 straight wins over Virginia and Northwestern.  Purdue is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 road games off a conference win.  Nebraska is 9-1 ATS off a combined score of 165 points or more over the last 3 years.  Take Nebraska. |
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12-14-19 | Utah State v. BYU | 64-68 | Loss | -111 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
6* Saturday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Utah State PK The Key: The Utah State Aggies are loaded this season and among the best teams in the nation.  They are 10-1 with their lone loss coming by 8 on the road to St. Mary’s, which is also among the better teams in the land.  They beat LSU and will take down BYU on a neutral tonight in Salt Lake City.  The Cougars already have 4 losses on the season.  The Aggies want revenge after losing 7 straight in this series to BYU.  This is their year to get it as they finally have the team to beat the Cougars.  BYU is 5-23 ATS in its last 28 neutral site games as an underdog.  The Cougars are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games against a good offensive teams that scores 77 or more points per game.  Take Utah State. |
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12-11-19 | Yale -4 v. Massachusetts | 83-80 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Yale -4 The Key: Yale has been one of the most underrated teams in the country this year.  They are 9-1 ATS in their 10 lined games and 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall.  They hung tough in all 3 of their road losses to San Francisco by 5, Oklahoma State by 7 and Penn State by 2.  UMass comes in 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.  Four of the 5 losses came by double-digits.  It’s a rebuilding year for the Minutemen.  The Bulldogs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games.  Yale is 42-9 ATS in its last 51 games as a road favorite.  Take Yale. |
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12-10-19 | Northern Iowa +9 v. Colorado | Top | 79-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
7* NCAAB Game of the Week on Northern Iowa +9 The Key: The Northern Iowa Panthers are probably the best team in the MVC this year.  They made the MVC title game last year and are off to an 8-1 start this year.  They have covered the spread in 6 of their 7 line games this season.  Their only loss came by 5 points to West Virginia on the road in a game they led almost the entire way.  They will go on the road here and stay within 9 points of Colorado as well.  The Buffaloes are coming off a 14-point loss at Kansas on Saturday and only have 2 days to get ready for the Panthers.  Northern Iowa has had 7 days to get ready for Colorado.  The Buffaloes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.  Take Northern Iowa. |
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12-07-19 | Nebraska +12 v. Creighton | 76-95 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
6* Nebraska/Creighton NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Nebraska +12 The Key: The Nebraska Cornhuskers started slow but are improving rapidly under first-year head coach Fred Hoiberg.  They should be able to hang with their rivals in Creighton, who have not been impressive this year.  They lost to Michigan by 10 and San Diego State by 31.  They caught Texas Tech without their best player in an OT win.  They failed to cover at home against Cal Poly in a 16-point win as 24.5-point favorites, failed to cover at home against North Florida in a 9-point win as 17-point favorites, and also failed to cover at home against Oral Roberts in a 12-point win as 13.5-point favorites.  Nebraska is better than Cal Poly, North Florida and Oral Roberts.  Creighton is 6-18 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 3 years.  The Bluejays are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games off a win.  Take Nebraska. |
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12-06-19 | Iowa v. Michigan -6.5 | 91-103 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
6* Iowa/Michigan Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Michigan -6.5 The Key: This is an awful spot for the Hawkeyes.  They are coming off a huge win at Syracuse on Tuesday and now have to travel to Michigan.  Prior to that game at Syracuse, they were in Las Vegas for a tournament facing Texas Tech and San Diego State.  They are in a bad travel spot, and they won’t have much left in the tank here for Michigan.  The Wolverines got humbled finally with their loss at Louisville on Tuesday.  They’ll return home hungry for a win.  Remember, this team beat Iowa State, UNC and Gonzaga in the Bahamas and is legitimately one of the best teams in the country.  Michigan is 12-1 ATS off a loss over the last 3 years.  The Wolverines are 7-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 years.  Take Michigan. |
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12-04-19 | Texas State +13 v. Houston | 60-68 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Texas State +13 The Key: The Houston Cougars lost almost everyone from last year’s team and aren’t very good this season.  They lost at home to BYU as 11.5-point favorites, failed to cover in a 12-point loss at Oregon, and needed a big finish to beat Rice as 13-point favorites.  Texas State is good enough to hang with this down Houston team.  Texas State is 6-2 this season with its only 2 losses coming on the road at Air Force by 7 and Baylor by 9.  They also upset UNLV on the road and can hang within this spread tonight.  Texas State is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 road games against a team that allows 42% or less shooting.  Take Texas State. |
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12-03-19 | Oral Roberts +15 v. Creighton | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
6* Tuesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Oral Roberts +15 The Key: Oral Roberts has already gone on the road and played some very good teams tough.  They lost by 5 at Oklahoma State, by 7 at Tulsa, by 13 at Iowa and by 9 at Wichita State.  They haven’t lost a game by more than 13 points this season and they won’t start tonight.  Creighton was beating by 31 by San Diego State before coming back and beating Texas Tech the next day.  The Red Raiders aren’t nearly as good as they were last year because they were beaten by Iowa the previous day.  Oral Roberts has had a week off and will be prepared for Creighton.  The Bluejays will be playing their 3rd game in 6 days.  It’s a letdown spot after their tournament in Vegas over Thanksgiving.  Creighton is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games off a win.  Take Oral Roberts. |
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11-29-19 | VCU +3 v. Purdue | 56-59 | Push | 0 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
6* VCU/Purdue NCAAB *CA$H COW* on VCU +3 The Key: VCU is 6-0 and returned 4 starters from last year’s team that won the Atlantic 10.  They should be favored over Purdue today.  This is a Purdue team that lost their stud Edwards from last year that carried them through the NCAA Tournament.  And they just aren’t as good as that Elite 8 team.  They lost at home to Texas by 4 and also lost at Marquette by 10 already this year.  Purdue is 0-6 ATS in road games after committing 8 turnovers or less last game over the last 2 years.  Take VCU. |
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11-27-19 | South Carolina v. Northern Iowa +1 | 72-78 | Win | 100 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
6* South Carolina/Northern Iowa NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Northern Iowa +1 The Key: South Carolina is a train wreck this season after losing Silva and Gravett from last year’s team.  The Gamecocks lost by 8 at home to Boston U as 15.5-point favorites.  They lost by 23 to Wichita State as 4-point dogs.  And now they are taking on a 6-1 Northern Iowa team that may be the best in the MVC this year. The Panthers led by 15 over WVU yesterday but couldn’t hold on and lost 55-60 as 6-point dogs.  They will hold on to their lead against this putrid South Carolina team today.  The Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 against SEC teams.  Take Northern Iowa. |
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11-27-19 | Ole Miss +2.5 v. Penn State | 74-72 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
6* Ole Miss/Penn State NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Ole Miss +2.5 The Key: The Ole Miss Rebels won 20 games last year and made the NCAA Tournament in Kermit Davis’ first season with the team.  He won SEC Coach of the Year and now had 3 starters back from that team and a lot of talent.  The Rebels are 4-1 this year with their only loss coming at Memphis 86-87 as 4.5-point dogs.  Penn State is 5-0, but it has come against an easy schedule.  They were fortunate to win 58-56 as 15-point home favorites over Yale last time out by closing that game on a 12-0 run.  Ole Miss is the better of these teams and should not be dogs.  The Rebels are 27-12 ATS in their last 39 games overall.  The Rebels are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 against Big Ten teams.  The Nittany Lions are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 against SEC teams.  Ole Miss is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 when playing only its 2nd game in 8 days.  Take Ole Miss. |
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11-26-19 | Richmond +9.5 v. Auburn | 65-79 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
6* Tuesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Richmond +9.5 The Key: The Richmond Spiders improved to 5-0 for the first time since 1985-86 with their 62-52 upset win over Wisconsin yesterday.  And now they have their sights set on taking down #18 Auburn tonight.  Richmond returned all 5 starters this year and four of them were double-digit scorers.  They added in Wagner transfer Blake Francis, who leads the team in scoring this year with 18.6 PPG.  Nick Sherod (18.2 PPG), Jacob Gilyard (17.6 PPG), Grant Golden (11.6 PPG, 9.0 RPG) and Nathan Cayo (9.4 PPG) are all returning starters as well.  This team is loaded and should continue to be a good money maker all year.  Take Richmond. |
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11-25-19 | New Mexico +8.5 v. Auburn | 59-84 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
6* New Mexico/Auburn NCAAB *CA$H COW* on New Mexico +8.5 The Key: Auburn lost a ton of talent from last year’s Final Four team.  They have managed to go 5-0 this year, but it has come against a soft schedule, and they only beat South Alabama by 1 in their lone road game.  This will be their toughest game yet.  They’re up against a New Mexico team that returns a ton of talent and also recruited some great talent in the offseason.  The Lobos are 5-1 this season with their only loss coming on the road by 3 points to UTEP.  They beat New Mexico State on the road, and NMSU is great every year.  Take New Mexico. |
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11-23-19 | Florida International -9.5 v. NC-Wilmington | 63-66 | Loss | -111 | 2 h 5 m | Show | |
6* Saturday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Florida International -9.5 The Key: FIU has a common opponent with UNC-Wilmington.  That common opponent is Cleveland State.  FIU beat Cleveland State 107-61 on the road, while UNC-Wilmington just lost to Cleveland State 46-47 yesterday.  That’s a Cleveland State team that replaced all 5 starters and is very bad.  FIU handled Cleveland State like they should, and they’ll handle this UNC-Wilmington team as well.  Take Florida International. |
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11-22-19 | Evansville -6 v. East Carolina | 68-85 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
6* Friday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Evansville -6 The Key: Evansville proved it would be a contender in the MVC this year by going into Kentucky and winning outright as a 24.5-point favorite.  No surprise they followed it up with an upset home loss to SMU as 2.5-point favorites in a 2-point loss in a clear letdown spot.  The Purple Aces will be refocused for this tournament in the Bahamas.  Now they take on a 1-3 ECU team that has a 20-point loss to Liberty at home, a 6-point loss at App State and a 5-point loss at Navy.  Their only win came against Virginia Military at home by 12.  The Pirates are overmatched here.  Evansville is 8-1 ATS in road games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 years.  ECU is 0-6 ATS in road games off 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 years.  ECU is 1-9 ATS after having lost 3 of its last 4 games over the last 2 years.  ECU is 0-7 ATS in road games against teams who make 8 or more 3-point shots per game over the last 3 years.  Take Evansville. |
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11-22-19 | North Texas v. Rhode Island -6 | Top | 47-60 | Win | 100 | 2 h 16 m | Show |
7* NCAAB Game of the Week on Rhode Island -6 The Key: Rhode Island returned all 5 starters this year and is one of the most improved teams in the country.  The Rams are 3-1 this year with their only loss coming at No. 6 Maryland.  They beat Alabama 93-79 at home and will handle North Texas.  UNT is 2-3 this year with its only wins against Oklahoma Christian and UNC A&T.  They lost at home to Eastern Michigan outright as 9-point favorites, were blown out by 23 at Arkansas, and also lost at VCU.  UNT is 0-8 ATS against teams who are called for 17 or fewer fouls per game over the last 2 years.  UNT is 6-15 ATS against a team with a winning record over the last 2 years.  UNT is 1-9 ATS off an ATS win over the last 2 years.  Take Rhode Island. |
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11-21-19 | New Mexico +4 v. New Mexico State | 78-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
6* Thursday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on New Mexico +4 The Key: Last year was a rebuilding year for head coach Paul Weir and New Mexico.  This year he has NBA talent on the roster and the Lobos will be a force in the Mountain West.  New Mexico State had a great season last year, but it’s more of a rebuilding season for them now.  They have losses to UTEP by 15 and Arizona by 30 already.  New Mexico is 4-1 with its only loss coming to UTEP by 3, which gives them a common opponent with New Mexico State.  The Lobos only lost by 3 on the road to UTEP, while the Aggies lost by 15 to them on the road.  I strongly believe the wrong team is favored in this matchup.  Take New Mexico. |
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11-20-19 | Chattanooga +20.5 v. Florida State | 53-89 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Chattanooga +20.5 The Key: Chattanooga is off to a 3-1 start this year with its only loss at Eastern Kentucky int he opener.  Chattanooga has pulled out upset wins in its last 2 games at Troy 74-68 as 3-point dogs and home against South Alabama 90-72 as 3.5-point dogs.  They can hang with Florida State on the road tonight.  The Seminoles are coming off a lackluster 79-74 home win over Western Carolina as 17.5-point favorites.  They were also upset by Pitt in their opener as 4.5-point road favorites.  Chattanooga is 8-0 ATS when playing its 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 years.  Take Chattanooga. |
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11-19-19 | Furman +4.5 v. Alabama | Top | 73-81 | Loss | -111 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
7* NCAAB Game of the Week on Furman +4.5 The Key: Furman is a team in line to make a run at an NCAA Tournament bid.  They are neck and neck with East Tennessee State as the top two teams in the Southern Conference.  Furman went 25-8 last year and returns 4 starters from that squad, all who averaged anywhere from 8.8 PPG to 16.2 PPG.  Furman is 4-0 SU & 3-0 ATS this year with road wins over Gardner Webb as 5-point favorites and Charleston Southern (by 44) as 7-point favorites as well as a blowout home win over Loyola-Chicago (by 24) as 4.5-point favorites.  Those results and margin of victory show that this team in for real.  Alabama is rebuilding under first-year head coach Nate Oats.  The Crimson Tide are 1-2 this season with an upset home loss to Pennsylvania and an upset road loss at Rhode Island by 14.  Wrong team favored here as Furman is probably the best team they will have faced yet.  Furman is 21-5 ATS in its last 26 against a team with a losing record.  Furman is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 road games.  Alabama is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 home games.  Take Furman. |
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11-15-19 | Georgia State v. Duke -28 | 63-74 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
6* Friday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Duke -28 The Key: It’s hard to believe, but the Duke Blue Devils have actually been lacking respect to start the season because they lost Zion Williamson and R.J. Barrett.  But their replacements have more than done the job.  The Blue Devils are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS this year covering the spread by an average of 10.7 PPG.  Georgia State will not offer much resistance tonight.  It’s a rebuilding Georgia State team with a first-year head coach in Rob Lanier.  Duke is 8-0 ATS in home games after allowing 65 points or less in 2 straight games over the last 3 years.  Take Duke. |
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11-13-19 | CS Bakersfield v. Northern Iowa -10 | 55-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Northern Iowa -10 The Key: Northern Iowa returned 4 starters this year and will be a factor to win the Missouri Valley this year.  This is the most talented team Ben Jacobson has had in a while.  I believe he’s the best coach in the Missouri Valley.  The Panthers are 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS this year with wins and covers over quality Old Dominion and Northern Illinois teams.  Now they face a CS-Bakersfield team that isn’t nearly as good as the two teams they have already played.  The Panthers should have no problem winning by double-digits.  Bakersfield is picked 6th in the WAC this year.  The went 18-16 last year but lost 3 of their top 4 scorers.  They only return 2 of their worst starters and 2 reserves.  They were upset by South Dakota State at home last time out.  Bakersfield is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games overall.  Northern Iowa is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games overall.  The Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.  Take Northern Iowa. |
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11-12-19 | Valparaiso -6 v. SIU-Edwardsville | 89-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
6* Tuesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Valparaiso -6 The Key: SIU-Edwardsville is 1-1 this season with a lackluster 61-52 home win over Quincy.  They lost 60-87 at Iowa, which was just upset at home by DePaul by 15 as a 9.5-point favorite.  Valparaiso upset Toledo at home and lost on the road to Saint Louis by 11 as a 9.5-point dog.  They have been tested against two good teams, and now they face a cupcake they can beat up on, which is exactly what I expect them to do.  Valpo returned its 2 best players from last year in Javon Freeman and Ryan Fazekas.  They added in good transfers in Iron Gordon from Seton Hall and Nick Robinson from Saint Joe’s as well as Zion Morgan from UNLV.  Morgan teamed with Robinson at Chicago’s Kenwood High School, giving them some chemistry.  Daniel Sackey is also a returning starter who is averaging 14.5 points and 6.0 assists through two games.  Freeman (19 ppg) and Fazekas (13 ppg) are both off to fantastic starts this year as well.  The Crusaders are 8-0 ATS after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 years.  SIU-Edwardsville is 1-8 ATS after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 years.  Take Valparaiso. |
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11-10-19 | UMass Lowell v. Ohio State -23 | 56-76 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
6* Sunday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Ohio State -23 The Key: No analysis Saturday through Monday. On Vacation. |
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11-09-19 | Iowa State +2.5 v. Oregon State | 74-80 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
6* Saturday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Iowa State +2.5 The Key: No analysis this weekend.  On vacation. |
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11-08-19 | Illinois-Chicago v. Memphis -18 | 46-92 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
6* Friday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Memphis -18 The Key: The Memphis Tigers had the top recruiting class in the country this season.  Penny Hardaway is doing big things recruiting his former AAU players when he was a head coach for them, which gives him a huge advantage.  I look for the Tigers to show out tonight against Illinois-Chicago.  Memphis won 97-64 as a 26-point favorite against South Carolina State in their opener to get the cover.  Illinois-Chicago nearly was upset by Olivet Nazarene of all teams, only winning 75-72 after getting an and-one with only a few seconds remaining.  After that result, there’s no way they can hang with Memphis.  Illinois-Chicago is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games as a road dog of 18.5 to 24 points.  Take Memphis. |
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11-06-19 | Notre Dame +10 v. North Carolina | 65-76 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
6* Notre Dame/UNC ACC *CA$H COW* on Notre Dame +10 The Key: Notre Dame returns all 5 starters this year and will be one of the most improved teams in the country.  UNC returns just one starter and lost a ton of talent to the NBA.  The Tar Heels should not be laying double-digits against this veteran Fighting Irish squad that will give them a run for their money tonight.  3 of the last 4 meetings in this series were decided by 7 points or fewer.  The Fighting Irish are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.  Take Notre Dame. |
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11-05-19 | St. Mary's -5 v. Wisconsin | 65-63 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
6* St. Mary’s/Wisconsin NCAAB *CA$H COW* on St. Mary’s -5 The Key: The St. Mary’s Gaels are ranked and one of the best teams in the country coming into the season.  The Gaels return 4 starters from a team that went 22-12 last year.  They have Jordan Ford (21.1 ppg), Tanner Krebs (8.9 ppg), Tommy Kuhse (6.2 ppg) and Malik Fitts (15.2 ppg, 7.6 rpg) back as starters.  Wisconsin loses its best player in Ethan Happ (17.3 ppg, 10.1 rpg) and fellow starter Khalil Iverson (6.9 ppg, 4.5 rpg).  They do have 3 starters back, but they are sure to take a step back this year.  The Badgers are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  Wisconsin is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 neutral site games.  Take St. Mary’s. |
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11-05-19 | Kansas -2 v. Duke | Top | 66-68 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 41 m | Show |
7* Kansas/Duke NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Kansas -2 The Key: The Duke Blue Devils lost Zion, Barrett and Redish to the NBA.  They won’t be as talented as they were last year, and they certainly won’t be hitting on all cylinders to start the season with so many freshmen.  The Kansas Jayhawks are a more veteran team than they normally are.  They have 3 starters back, a healthy Udoka Azubuike, and got the great news that Silvio De Sousa will be eligible.  The Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with Duke.  Take Kansas. |
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04-08-19 | Texas Tech +1.5 v. Virginia | Top | 77-85 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
7* NCAA Tournament Game of the Year on Texas Tech +1.5 The Key: This one is as easy as it gets.  Texas Tech has won 4 of its 5 NCAA Tournament games by double-digits against better completion than Virginia has faced.  And the only exception was beating Gonzaga by 6.  Virginia has trailed in the 2nd half in 4 of their 5 games.  It’s been a minor miracle that they are even here.  Texas Tech is simply too good, too deep and too disciplined to let them off the hook tonight.  The Red Raiders have won 14 of their last 15 games overall while going 13-2 ATS in the process.  Take Texas Tech. |
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04-06-19 | Auburn +6 v. Virginia | Top | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
7* Auburn/Virginia *HEAVY HITTER* on Auburn +6 The Key: I’ve been a lot more impressed with Auburn than Virginia down the stretch.  The Tigers have won 12 straight games, including their three consecutive victories over three blue bloods in Kentucky, UNC and Kansas.  Virginia barely escaped with wins over Purdue and Oregon the last 2 rounds.  And if they win tonight, it won’t be by more than 6 points.  Take Auburn. |
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04-04-19 | Lipscomb v. Texas -1 | 66-81 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
6* Lipscomb/Texas NIT *CA$H COW* on Texas -1 The Key: The Texas Longhorns have beaten Colorado and TCU by a combined 27 points in their last 2 games coming in.  Lipscomb had to have a pair of comeback wins over NC State and Wichita State to get here.  I have no doubt the Longhorns are the better team in this matchup and that will show on the court Thursday night as they take down the NIT title.  Take Texas. |
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04-02-19 | Texas +2 v. TCU | 58-44 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
6* Texas/TCU NIT *CA$H COW* on Texas +2 The Key: You can bet Texas wants to avenge its two regular season losses to TCU.  The Longhorns lost by 4 on the road and by 13 at home.  They will get their revenge and win Game 3 tonight in the NIT semifinals.  I was very impressed with their 68-55 win over Colorado in the quarterfinals in which they led by 20-plus and were in control the entire way.  Shaka Smart is 15-3 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite as the coach of Texas.  The Longhorns are 7-1 ATS after playing 2 consecutive home games this season.  TCU is 6-14 ATS in Big 12 games this season.  Take Texas. |
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03-31-19 | Michigan State v. Duke -2 | Top | 68-67 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
7* Michigan State/Duke Elite 8 *HEAVY HITTER* on Duke -2 The Key: I think we’re getting Duke at a great price today because they’ve failed to cover the spread in each of their first 3 NCAA Tournament games, and 7 of their last 8 games overall.  They basically just have to win to cover now.  Duke has won 11 of its last 12 meetings with Michigan State.  Take Duke. |
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03-30-19 | Texas Tech v. Gonzaga -4 | Top | 75-69 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
7* Texas Tech/Gonzaga *HEAVY HITTER* on Gonzaga -4 The Key: This feels like the year of the Gonzaga Bulldogs.  They have their most talented team yet and average nearly 90 PPG.  Not even Texas Tech’s vaunted defense will be able to slow them down much.  And the problem for the Red Raiders is that they won’t be able to score with the Zags.  There’s just not much firepower to their offense outside Culver, and they will be exposed by Gonzaga’s balance.  The Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games and 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 against the Big 12.  Take Gonzaga. |
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03-29-19 | Auburn v. North Carolina -5.5 | 97-80 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
6* Auburn/UNC *CA$H COW* on North Carolina -5.5 The Key: Auburn relies too much on the 3 ball.  They are hit or miss.  North Carolina can run with them, or they can slow it down if they want to.  But the difference in this game is going to be rebounding.  The Tar Heels are the single-best rebounding team in the country.  Auburn struggles to rebound at times.  The Tar Heels will get several second chance opportunities that will be the difference, and they’ll limit Auburn to one shot.  They should also get several easy transition opportunities on long rebounds from missed Auburn 3-pointers.  Look for the Tar Heels to run away with this one.  Auburn is 1-9 ATS against dominant rebounding teams that average 7 or more boards than their opponents per game over the last 2 seasons.  UNC is 20-8-2 ATS in its last 30 against SEC teams, while Auburn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 against ACC teams.  Take UNC. |
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03-29-19 | LSU +6.5 v. Michigan State | 63-80 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
6* LSU/Michigan State *CA$H COW* on LSU +6.5 The Key: Michigan State almost never faces a team as athletic as LSU.  That athleticism will be a shock to the system for the Spartans, who are getting too much respect from the books tonight.  They’ve had a very easy schedule getting Bradley and Minnesota in the first 2 round.  LSU will be a different animal.  This is an LSU team that knocked off another Big Ten team in Maryland last round.  LSU is 28-6 this season with 5 of its 6 losses coming by 6 points or less.  So, the Tigers are basically 33-1 ATS if all of their games were lined at +6.5 this season.  Take LSU. |
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03-28-19 | Purdue v. Tennessee -1 | 99-94 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
6* Purdue/Tennessee Sweet 16 *CA$H COW* on Tennessee -1 The Key: The Tennessee Vols are 31-5 this season.  They would be bigger favorites today had they covered their first two games against Colgate and Iowa.  They had Iowa down by 25.  After letting them come back, look for them to keep the foot on the gas for 40 minutes tonight against Purdue.  They know they need to and they are clearly the more talented team in this matchup if both teams play to their potential.  All 5 starters for the Vols average more than 10 PPG.  They are the definition of team basketball.  Purdue needs Carsen Edwards to go off every night to win.  And while he has the first two games of this tournament, the Vols will come up with a game plan to try and make someone else beat them.  He won’t be going off against Tennessee like he did against Old Dominion and Villanova.  The Vols are 14-3 ATS in road games off 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.  Take Tennessee. |
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03-24-19 | Liberty v. Virginia Tech -8.5 | Top | 58-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
7* Liberty/VA Tech East Region *HEAVY HITTER* on Virginia Tech -8.5 The Key: The Virginia Tech Hokies are a dangerous team now that starting PG and floor general Justin Robinson has returning from injury to join this team in the NCAA Tournament.  It showed how much they missed him in the first half against Saint Louis as the Hokies stormed out to a 22-point lead by the break and simply coasted to the finish line.  Liberty needed a big comeback from double-digits down in the 2nd half to beat Mississippi State in their opener.  That will have taken a lot out of them.  I’ll back the fresher, more talented team tonight in what should be a double-digit blowout in the Hokies’ favor.  The Hokies are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 12 points, and they’re winning by 17 PPG in this spot.  Take Virginia Tech. |
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03-23-19 | Villanova +3.5 v. Purdue | Top | 61-87 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
7* Villanova/Purdue South Region *HEAVY HITTER* on Villanova +3.5 The Key: It’s rare that you’ll see a higher seed have home-court advantage over a lower seed.  But that’s the case here when Villanova meets Purdue in Hartford, Connecticut Saturday night in the round of 32.  And the Wildcats have all the momentum, winning the Big East regular season title, and then winning the Big East Tournament.  They have gone 6-1 in their last 7 games overall coming in.  And they were more dominant in their 61-57 win over St Mary’s than the final score would indicate.  They don’t mind grinding it out, which is exactly what the Big Ten is all about, so they’’ll make up well with the Boilermakers.  Purdue has lost twice to Minnesota in its last 4 games and is vulnerable.  The Wildcats are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 NCAA Tournament games.  Villanova is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 against Big Ten teams.  Purdue is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 against Big East teams.  Take Villanova. |
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03-23-19 | Wofford +5.5 v. Kentucky | 56-62 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
6* Wofford/Kentucky Midwest Region *CA$H COW* on Wofford +5.5 The Key: The Wofford Terriers showed why they were a Top 25 team coming into the tournament and why they were deserving of a good seed.  They destroyed Seton Hall 84-68, cooling off what had previously been a red hot Pirates team.  And now I look for them to upset Kentucky, which is still missing leading scorer PJ Washington and is very vulnerable without him.  Washington averages 14.8 PPG & 7.6 RPG while shooting 52% from the field and 42% from 3-point range.  Wofford is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games overall.  Kentucky is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games off an ATS win.  Take Wofford. |
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03-22-19 | Iona v. North Carolina -22 | 73-88 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
6* Iona/UNC *CA$H COW* on UNC -22 The Key: No analysis Friday. |
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03-22-19 | Colgate v. Tennessee -17.5 | Top | 70-77 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
7* Colgate/Tennessee NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tennessee -17.5 The Key: No analysis Friday. |
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03-22-19 | Cal-Irvine +4.5 v. Kansas State | 70-64 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
6* UC-Irvine/K-State *CA$H COW* on UC-Irvine +4.5 The Key: No analysis Friday. |
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03-21-19 | Seton Hall v. Wofford -2.5 | Top | 68-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
7* Seton Hall/Wofford Midwest Region *HEAVY HITTER* on Wofford -2.5 The Key: The Wofford Terriers are 29-4 this season and one of the best teams in the country that you haven’t heard about.  They’ll put their names on the map with a win and cover over Seton Hall Thursday.  The Terriers are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall, and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.  Take Wofford. |
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03-21-19 | Fairleigh Dickinson v. Gonzaga -28 | 49-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
6* Fairleigh Dickinson/Gonzaga West Region *CA$H COW* on Gonzaga -28 The Key: The loss to St. Mary’s in the WCC Championship will have awoken the sleeping giant Gonzaga Bulldogs.  They’ll keep their foot on the gas from start to finish here against Farleigh Dickinson, which is one of the worst teams in the NCAA Tournament field.  Farleigh Dickinson lost by 35 at Rutgers in non-conference, which is basically all you need to know about this team and what Gonzaga is capable of.  Take Gonzaga. |
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03-21-19 | Florida v. Nevada -2.5 | 70-61 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
6* Florida/Nevada West Region *CA$H COW* on Nevada -2.5 The Key: Nevada has been going through the motions in the regular season while still posting a 29-4 record.  Now that the tournament is upon us, expect their ‘A Game’ starting with this showdown with Florida.  And their ‘A Game’ is good enough to beat anyone in the country.  This is a team that made a deep run in the NCAA Tournament last year and brought almost everyone back.  Nevada is 17-2 ATS in its lsat 19 games off a conference loss as a favorite of 6 points or more.  Florida is 0-7 ATS against teams who outscore their opponents by 12 or more points per game this season.  Take Nevada. |
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03-19-19 | Dayton v. Colorado -4 | Top | 73-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
7* Dayton/Colorado ESPN 2 *BAILOUT* on Colorado -4 The Key: The Colorado Buffaloes are 13-3 SU & 11-5 ATS at home this season.  This is a long travel spot for the Dayton Flyers.  And the Buffaloes have been even better at home down the stretch, going 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games.  Dayton is 1-8 ATS against good shooting teams that make 45% or better after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.  The Flyers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.  Take Colorado. |
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03-19-19 | Wright State +14 v. Clemson | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
6* Wright State/Clemson NIT *CA$H COW* on Wright State +14 The Key: Clemson thought they’d be going to the NCAA Tournament this season.  As a result, they’re disappointed to be playing in the NIT.  And I don’t think they should be laying 14 points to a game Wright State team that is happy to be here.  Wright State is 6-0 ATS off a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.  The Raiders are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  The Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against the Horizon League.  Take Wright State. |
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03-17-19 | Michigan +1 v. Michigan State | Top | 60-65 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
7* Michigan/MSU Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Michigan +1 The Key: No analysis due to being on vacation Wednesday through Sunday. |
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03-16-19 | Iowa State +2 v. Kansas | Top | 78-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
7* Iowa State/Kansas Big 12 *HEAVY HITTER* on Iowa State +2 The Key: No analysis due to being on vacation Wednesday through Sunday. |
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03-16-19 | San Diego State +6.5 v. Utah State | 57-64 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
6* SDSU/Utah State MWC *CA$H COW* on San Diego State +6.5 The Key: No analysis due to being on vacation Wednesday through Sunday. |
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03-15-19 | San Diego State +11 v. Nevada | 65-56 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
6* San Diego State/Nevada MWC *CA$H COW* on San Diego State +11 The Key: No analysis due to being on vacation Wednesday through Sunday. |
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03-15-19 | Auburn v. South Carolina +8 | 73-64 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
6* Auburn/South Carolina SEC *CA$H COW* on South Carolina +8 The Key: No analysis due to being on vacation Wednesday through Sunday. |
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03-15-19 | Nebraska v. Wisconsin -8 | Top | 62-66 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 57 m | Show |
7* Nebraska/Wisconsin Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Wisconsin -8 The Key: No analysis due to being on vacation Wednesday through Sunday. |
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03-14-19 | Alabama v. Ole Miss -3.5 | 62-57 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
6* Alabama/Ole Miss SEC *CA$H COW* on Ole Miss -3.5 The Key: No analysis due to being on vacation from Wednesday through Sunday. |
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03-14-19 | Connecticut v. South Florida +2 | 80-73 | Loss | -109 | 1 h 6 m | Show | |
6* UConn/South Florida AAC *CA$H COW* on South Florida +2 The Key: No analysis due to being on vacation from Wednesday through Sunday. |
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03-14-19 | Arkansas v. Florida -3 | Top | 50-66 | Win | 100 | 1 h 6 m | Show |
7* Arkansas/Florida SEC *HEAVY HITTER* on Florida -3 The Key: No analysis due to being on vacation from Wednesday through Sunday. |
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03-13-19 | Coppin State v. North Carolina A&T -5.5 | Top | 79-82 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
7* MEAC Game of the Year on NC A&T -5.5 The Key: No analysis due to being on vacation Wednesday through Sunday. |
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03-13-19 | Oklahoma State v. TCU -4 | 70-73 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
6* Oklahoma State/TCU Big 12 *CA$H COW* on TCU -4 The Key: No analysis due to being on vacation Wednesday through Sunday.  |
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03-11-19 | Pepperdine v. Gonzaga -23.5 | Top | 74-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
7* Pepperdine/Gonzaga WCC *HEAVY HITTER* on Gonzaga -23.5 The Key: The Gonzaga Bulldogs just don’t have any let up in them.  And they won’t tonight as they’ve been off since March 2nd and will be hungry to hit the court for the WCC semifinals.  The Pepperdine Waves have been a great story, winning 3 games in 3 days, but their run comes to an end tonight in blowout fashion.  They already lost to the Bulldogs by 28 win their first meeting.  And now they’ll be playing their 4th game in 5 days, making this already difficult matchup that much more difficult.  Take Gonzaga. |
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03-10-19 | SMU v. South Florida -2 | Top | 77-71 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
7* SMU/South Florida AAC *HEAVY HITTER* on South Florida -2 The Key: The South Florida Bulls are 14-4 at home this season.  It’s Senior Day and they will win this game against SMU, which just hasn’t played well at all here down the stretch in going 1-9 in their last 10 games overall.  The Mustangs are also just 2-7 on the road this season.  Take South Florida. |
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03-09-19 | Pepperdine v. San Francisco -7.5 | Top | 89-72 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
7* WCC Tournament Game of the Year on San Francisco -7.5 The Key: No analysis for Saturday. |
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03-09-19 | St. John's v. Xavier -2.5 | 68-81 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
6* Big East Game of the Day on Xavier -2.5 The Key: No Analysis for Saturday. |
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03-09-19 | Arizona State v. Arizona -1.5 | 72-64 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
6* Pac-12 Game fo the Day on Arizona -1.5 The Key: No Analysis for Saturday. |
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03-08-19 | Illinois State v. Drake -2.5 | 62-78 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Drake -2.5 The Key: The Drake Bulldogs (23-8) have been the single-most underrated team in college basketball this season.  They have the best ATS record (21-6-2) of any team in the country.  And now they’re only laying 2.5 points to Illinois State in the 2nd round of the MVC Tournament.  The Bulldogs got a bye yesterday, while Illinois State won a 5-point game over Evansville.  That extra rest the Bulldogs have will certainly work in their favor tonight.  Drake is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 neutral site games.  Take Drake. |
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03-07-19 | Cincinnati v. UCF -2 | Top | 55-58 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
7* Cincinnati/UCF AAC *HEAVY HITTER* on UCF -2 The Key: The UCF Knights are coming on strong to close the season as they try to punch their tickets into the big dance.  They have gone 6-1 SU & 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall.  Their only loss? A 55-60 setback at Cincinnati as 7.5-point dogs.  Well, they now get their chance to avenge that defeat tonight at home on Senior Night.  That’s why I’m not concerned about a possible letdown off their huge 69-64 upset win at Houston as 7-point dogs over the weekend.  They’ll get up for Cincinnati tonight.  The Bearcats are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall, loving on the edge with 4 wins by 5 points or less.  Their luck runs out tonight against a UCF team that simply wants it more.  The Knights are 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.  UCF is 8-0 ATS after forcing 8 or fewer turnovers in its last game over the last 2 seasons.  The Knights are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record.  Take UCF Thursday. |
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03-06-19 | Oregon -6.5 v. Washington State | 72-61 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
6* Oregon/Washington State Pac-12 *BAILOUT* on Oregon -6.5 The Key: The Oregon Ducks are coming off two straight blowout wins by 28 over Arizona State and by 26 over Arizona.  They should be able to go on the road and handle Washington State, which is 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in its last 3 games overall losing by 13 at home to Utah, by 48 at Stanford and by 7 at lowly Cal.  Oregon already beat Washington State by 20 at home, which is another reason they should be able to cover 6.5 on the road.  The Ducks are 17-3 ATS in their last 20 games off a conference home win.  The Cougars are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games off a loss.  Take Oregon. |
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03-05-19 | North Carolina v. Boston College +10.5 | Top | 79-66 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
7* ACC Game of the Month on Boston College +10.5 The Key: The Boston College Eagles have gone 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.  They have won 3 straight home games, including an upset win over Louisville.  And they haven’t lost any of their last 6 home games by more than 6 points.  Now they’re catching 10.5 points at home against a UNC team that is primed for a letdown.  They will be looking ahead to their huge showdown against Duke this weekend.  Boston College is 7-0 ATS off a road game where both teams scored 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.  The Eagles are 6-0 ATS off a close loss by 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.  The Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.  Take Boston College. |
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03-03-19 | Northwestern v. Illinois -5 | Top | 76-81 | Push | 0 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
7* Northwestern/Illinois Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Illinois -5 The Key: Brad Underwood has done a tremendous job of keeping his team focused and playing hard here down the stretch trying to improve as a young squad.  The Fighting Illini had a lot of breaks not go their way in the first half of the season, but they’ve stuck with it and have now gone 5-4 SU & 5-4 ATS in their last nine games overall in Big Ten play.  That includes wins over NCAA Tournament teams in Maryland, Michigan State and Ohio State with two of those three on the road even.  Now they want to avenge their 66-68 loss at Northwestern in their first meeting this season.  They should be able to against a Wildcats team that is just ready for the season to be over.  They are 0-9 SU & 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games overall.  They are coming off a 12-point home loss to Minnesota on Thursday.  The Wildcats are 0-7 ATS off 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.  Northwestern is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games off a double-digit home loss.  The Fighting Illini are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.  Take Illinois. |
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03-02-19 | North Carolina v. Clemson +4.5 | 81-79 | Win | 100 | 16 h 42 m | Show | |
6* UNC/Clemson ACC *CA$H COW* on Clemson +4.5 The Key: The Clemson Tigers are squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament sitting at 17-11 this season.  They could really use a signature win at home here against No. 5 North Carolina.  Clemson is 12-3 SU at home this season and has played UNC very tough in recent meetings.  They pulled the 82-78 upset at home last year, only lost by 8 on the road, and lost by 3 at home in OT in their last 3 meetings with the Tar Heels.  Clemson is 11-2 ATS in home games off a win over the last 2 seasons.  The Tigers are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 home games against a team with a winning road record.  Take Clemson. |
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03-02-19 | LSU v. Alabama +2 | Top | 74-69 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
7* LSU/Alabama SEC *HEAVY HITTER* on Alabama +2 The Key: Alabama is squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament at 17-11 on the season.  They picked up a big road win at South Carolina last time out, and now they could really use an upset victory over No. 13 LSU to really cement their place in the big dance.  That’s why I know we’re going to get a big effort from the Crimson Tide at home Saturday.  And they have been great at home this year, going 10-3 SU in their 13 home games.  Alabama is also 17-3 SU in its last 20 home meetings with LSU.  The Tigers are 1-9 ATS off a win by 10 points or more against a conference opponent over the last 3 seasons.  The Crimson Tide are 6-0 ATS when revenging a loss this season.  The Crimson Tide are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings with LSU.  Take Alabama. |
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02-28-19 | Arizona v. Oregon State -4 | Top | 74-72 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
7* Pac-12 Game of the Week on Oregon State -4 The Key: The Oregon State Beavers have an outside shot to make the tournament at 17-9 on the season and 9-5 in Pac-12 play.  The Arizona Wildcats are playing for nothing but pride.  Arizona has gone just 2-7 SU & 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games overall with its two wins both coming at home against lowly Cal and Stanford.  Oregon State is 10-3 at home this season.  The Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.  The Beavers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games against a team with a losing road record.  The home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.  Arizona is 1-8 ATS as an underdog this season.  Take Oregon State. |
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02-27-19 | Marquette v. Villanova -5 | Top | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
7* Big East Game of the Year on Villanova -5 The Key: Villanova has won 10 straight home games all by 5 points or more.  The Wildcats have won 6 straight home games against Marquette with 5 of those by 10 points or more.  I think the Wildcats get their revenge from a 1-point road loss at Marquette earlier this season.  Take Villanova. |
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02-27-19 | Maryland v. Penn State +2 | 61-78 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
6* Maryland/Penn State Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Penn State +2 The Key: Penn State is a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games overall.  The Nittany Lions beat Nebraska by 24 at home, upset Illinois on the road, upset Michigan at home, and upset Northwestern on the road.  The home team is 5-0 SU in the last 5 meetings between Maryland and Penn State.  Take Penn State. |
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02-26-19 | Texas A&M +12 v. LSU | Top | 55-66 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
7* SEC Game of the Year on Texas A&M +12 The Key: LSU is coming off a massive 82-80 upset victory over Tennessee on Saturday.  It’s now a letdown spot for them, and they could be without starting PG Tremont Waters again.  Texas A&M has been far from an easy out.  The Aggies are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.  They only lost by 4 at Ole Miss and by 7 at South Carolina.  They upset Missouri on the road, Arkansas on the road, Alabama at home and also beat Georgia by 17 at home.  They are playing well enough to stay within this 12-point spread, especially given the letdown spot for the Tigers.  They Aggies also want to avenge a 15-point home loss to LSU back when they weren’t playing well on January 30th.  LSU is 0-6 ATS as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons.  Texas A&M is 8-2 ATS in road games against a team with a winning record this season.  The Aggies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.  Take Texas A&M. |
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02-24-19 | Stanford v. Arizona -5 | Top | 54-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
7* Stanford/Arizona Pac-12 *BAILOUT* on Arizona -5 The Key: The price is right to back the Arizona Wildcats tonight after losing 7 of their last 8 both straight up and against the spread.  Now they’re laying a short number at home against a Stanford team they already beat 75-70 on the road.  They should be able to win by more than 5 at home in the rematch.  Stanford’s last two road games have been very ugly as they lost by 18 at Arizona State and by 23 at Oregon.  The Cardinal are 2-10 ATS in road games when revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points over the last 3 seasons.  The Wildcats are 18-0 SU in their last 18 meetings with Stanford.  Take Arizona. |
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02-23-19 | Indiana State v. Missouri State -6.5 | 61-67 | Loss | -106 | 2 h 10 m | Show | |
6* Missouri Valley Game of the Day on Missouri State -6.5 The Key: Missouri State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games overall.  Its only two losses both came to Northern Iowa. They have beaten the best the MVC has to offer during this stretch with road wins over Loyola and Valparaiso, as well as home wins over Illinois State and Southern Illinois.  They already beat Indiana State by 15 on the road this season and now are only laying 6.5 points at home.  Indiana State has recent road losses to Illinois State by 14, Southern Illinois by 15 and Bradley by 29.  The Sycamores are 0-6 ATS in road games off a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.  Indiana State is 3-10 ATS when revenging a loss this season.  The Sycamores are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a win.  The Bears are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games off a double-digit home loss.  Take Missouri State. |
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02-23-19 | Purdue -6 v. Nebraska | Top | 75-72 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 10 m | Show |
7* Big Ten Game of the Month on Purdue -6 The Key: The Nebraska Cornhuskers have been broken since losing their most important player in Isaac Copeland to injury.  They already had no bench, so it puts even more pressure on the starters.  The Huskers are just 2-8 SU & 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  Their only wins came at home against Minnesota by 1 and Northwestern by 9.  They were just blown out by 24 at Penn State, which 5 of their last 6 losses have now come by double-digits.  Purdue is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games overall and should blow Nebraska out of the building tonight.  They already beat Nebraska by 19 at home this season, so asking them to cover this short number on the road isn’t asking too much.  The Huskers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home gams.  The Huskers are 1-10-1 ATS in this last 12 games following a loss.  Take Purdue. |
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02-21-19 | Oregon State +2 v. UCLA | 67-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
6* Oregon State/UCLA NCAAB *BAILOUT* on Oregon State +2 The Key: The Oregon State Beavers are 16-8 now with a chance to make the NCAA Tournament.  They have won 4 of their last 5 games coming in.  The UCLA Bruins are 13-13 on the season with not much to play for.  And that showed as they lost by 24 in their last game to Stanford and are just 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.  Their only win in cover came in overtime at California, the worst team in the Pac-12.  Oregon State is 6-0 ATS off 2 consecutive home games this season.  UCLA is 0-7 ATS after playing a road game this season.  The Beavers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.  Take Oregon State. |
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02-21-19 | UCF +8 v. Cincinnati | Top | 55-60 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
7* UCF/Cincinnati ESPN 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on UCF +8 The Key: Cincinnati’s 21-4 record has it laying way too many points too often.  That’s why the Bearcats are just 4-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.  And they are laying too many points to UCF tonight.  This is a UCF team on the bubble and looking for another signature win tonight.  The Knights are playing well having gone 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games overall.  The Bearcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.  Cincinnati is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games against a team with a winning record.  Take UCF. |
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02-20-19 | Louisville v. Syracuse -2 | Top | 49-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
7* Louisville/Syracuse ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Syracuse -2 The Key: The Syracuse Orange are coming off a bad loss at NC State.  They’ve had a full week to correct their mistakes having last played on February 13th.  They’ll be fresh and ready to go tonight as they host the Louisville Cardinals, who last played on February 16th in a narrow 1-point home win over Clemson.  The Orange are 12-4 at home this season and holding foes to just 59.4 PPG and 38.4% shooting.  Syracuse is 11-2 ATS off a loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons.  The Orange are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss.  The Orange are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall.  Take Syracuse. |
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02-19-19 | Kentucky v. Missouri +12 | Top | 66-58 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
7* Kentucky/Missouri ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Missouri +12 The Key: The Kentucky Wildcats are coming off their biggest win of the season over No. 1 Tennessee over the weekend.  Now that sets them up for a big letdown spot tonight at Missouri.  The Tigers have gone a respectable 9-5 at home this season.  They have only lost once in 14 home games by more than 10 points.  The Wildcats played LSU before Tennessee and now have Auburn on deck, so this is clearly a sandwich game for them.  The home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.  Take Missouri. |
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02-17-19 | Houston v. Tulane +18.5 | 85-50 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 17 m | Show | |
7* AAC Game of the Week on Tulane +18.5 The Key: This is a big potential flat spot for the Houston Cougars.  They are coming off a brutal stretch of 5 straight tough games in the AAC.  They won at Tulsa, UCF and UConn, while also beating Temple and Cincinnati at home.  They have basically wrapped up the AAC title already thanks to those wins.  And now they must face the team in last place in the conference in Tulane.  They probably feel like they can just show up and win.  And while that may be the case, just showing up won’t allow them to cover this ridiculous 18.5-point spread.  Tulane has been playing much more competitively of late with 3 covers in their last 5 games.  And they are looking at this game as their championship game with Houston coming to town. Last year, Tulane upset Houston 81-72 as 7-point home dogs.  The Green Wave are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games off a double-digit home loss.  Take Tulane. |
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02-16-19 | UCLA v. Stanford | 80-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
6* Pac-12 Game of the Day on Stanford PK The Key: Stanford wants to avenge its ugly 70-92 road loss at UCLA.  The Cardinal have been playing well since that defeat.  They have won 4 of their last 5 games and have home wins over ASU, Colorado and USC since that defeat, as well as road wins at Oregon State, Cal and Washington State.  The Bruins are just 3-6 SU & 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games overall.  The Cardinal are simply the better team right now as they’ve managed to improve throughout the season, while the Bruins have back tracked.  UCLA is 0-6 ATS after playing a road game this season.  Stanford is 6-0 ATS off a close win by 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.  Take Stanford. |
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02-16-19 | Gonzaga v. San Diego +16.5 | Top | 79-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
7* Gonzaga/San Diego WCC *BAILOUT* on San Diego +16.5 The Key: The San Diego Toreros only lost by 16 at Gonzaga as 23-point dogs in their first meeting this season.  Now they are getting 16.5 points here at home in their 2nd meeting.  I believe it’s too much.  San Diego has played Gonzaga as tough as anyone in the conference here of late.  The Toreros only lost by 5 as 11.5-point home dogs last year and by 10 as 19.5-point road dogs.  So they have a track record of playing the Zags tough.  Gonzaga is 1-9 ATS after a game where it forced 8 or fewer turnovers over the last 2 seasons.  Take San Diego. |
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02-16-19 | Baylor +7.5 v. Texas Tech | 61-86 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
6* Big 12 Game of the Day on Baylor +7.5 The Key: I think the price is right to back the Baylor Bears today.  They are getting no respect after losing 2 of their last 3, while Texas Tech is getting a lot of respect after winning and covering each of their last 3.  Baylor beat Texas Tech by 11 at home in their first meeting this year.  And Baylor’s recent struggles can be attributed to an injury to Makai Mason more than anything.  But now the Bears are back to being healthy and one of the best teams in the Big 12.  Baylor is 6-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.  The Bears are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 road games against good defensive teams that allow 57 or fewer points per game.  The Bears are 8-1 ATS against good shooting teams that make 45% or more of their shots this season.  Take Baylor. |
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02-15-19 | Harvard v. Princeton -1.5 | Top | 78-69 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
7* Ivy League Game of the Year on Princeton -1.5 The Key: Princeton has been on the road all month.  The Tigers have played their last 4 games on the road, losing their last two.  They come into this game hungry for a victory as they will be playing just their 7th home game of the season, which makes their 12-7 record that much more impressive.  Now they host a rival in Harvard that they have owned at home.  Princeton has won 18 of its last 21 home meetings with Harvard.  Harvard is 5-20 ATS in its last 25 games as a road dog of 3 points or less or PK.  The Crimson are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.  Harvard has played 5 straight home games and will now be on the road for the first time since January 21st.  Take Princeton. |
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02-14-19 | Houston v. Connecticut +9 | 71-63 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
6* Houston/UConn AAC *CA$H COW* on Connecticut +9 The Key: It’s a great situation to fade the Houston Cougars tonight.  They are coming off their biggest win of the season with a 65-58 home victory over Cincinnati that gives them the inside track to winning the AAC.  The Huskies have been playing a lot of teams tough here of late, which is why they are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.  They only lost by 2 at Cincinnati, by 6 at Tulsa, by 6 at UCF and by 7 at Memphis.  At home, they beat ECU by 24, Tulane by 16, Wichita State by 20 and SMU by 12 in their last 4 home games, going 4-0 ATS.  Don’t be surprised to see them pull off the upset Thursday night in a clear letdown spot for Houston.  The Huskies are 12-2 SU & 10-4 ATS at home this season.  Take UConn. |
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02-13-19 | Arizona State v. Colorado -1 | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
6* ASU/Colorado Pac-12 *BAILOUT* on Colorado -1 The Key: The Colorado Buffalos are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games overall.  They beat Oregon by 22 at home, and then upset both UCLA by 11 and USC by 4 on the road.  They are playing well right now and catch Arizona State in a tough spot.  The Sun Devils are coming off a big win over first-place Washington and are primed for a letdown now.  They have lost 2 of their last 3 road games, including a 14-point loss at Stanford.  And Colorado is 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in its last 5 home meetings with Arizona State.  The Buffaloes want to avenge their road loss at ASU in their first meeting this season as well.  Colorado is 6-0 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.  The Sun Devils are 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 road games.  The home team is 11-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.  Take Colorado. |
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02-13-19 | Wake Forest +18 v. Florida State | Top | 66-88 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
7* ACC Game of the Month on Wake Forest +18 The Key: Florida State is in a big letdown spot tonight after their overtime victory over Louisville over the weekend.  The Seminoles are laying too many points because they are a hot team right now have won 5 straight and covered 4 of those.  Wake Forest is good enough to stay within 18 points today.  And the Demon Deacons have a big hidden edge here as they have had a full week off since their last game on February 5th.  They will be hungry to hit the floor against the Seminoles tonight.  FSU is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 Wednesday games.  The Seminoles are 0-6 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.  Take Wake Forest. |
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02-12-19 | St Bonaventure v. St. Joe's -1 | 76-51 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Game of the Day on St. Joe’s -1 The Key: St. Joe’s wants to avenge its worse loss of the season in a 47-73 loss at St. Bonaventure on January 9th.  But the Hawks have been playing their best basketball of the season of late, especially at home.  They are coming off a 30-point home win over Saint Louis and are 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games while also beating Davidson, which may be the best team in the Atlantic 10.  St. Bonaventure is coming off a 30-point home loss to VCU.  The Bonnies are 1-9 ATS off a game with 9 or less assists over the last 2 seasons.  The Bonnies are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 road games and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 road games against at team with a winning home record.  The Hawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game, and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games off a win by more than 20 points.  Take St. Joe’s. |
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02-11-19 | Virginia v. North Carolina +1 | Top | 69-61 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
7* Virginia/UNC ACC *HEAVY HITTER* on North Carolina +1 The Key: Virginia lost at Duke and needed OT to beat NC State in its two toughest road games thus far this season.  And the Cavaliers will now face another stiff road test here at UNC.  The Tar Heels are 11-1 SU & 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall.  And I think they aren’t getting the respect they deserve as home dogs here to Virginia.  It’s partly because they needed OT to beat Miami last game, but they were clearly looking ahead to this game against Virginia.  The Tar Heels are 6-0 ATS in home games when playing with one or less days’ rest over the last 3 seasons.  The Cavaliers are 11-26 ATS in their last 37 road games with a total set of 140 to 149.5.  The Cavaliers couldn’t keep up with Duke’s firepower on Saturday, and now they have to deal with a potent UNC offense that averages 91.6 PPG at home this season.  The Tar Heels are 9-0 ATS in home games against a team that wins more than 80% of its games on the season over the last 3 years.  Take North Carolina. |
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02-10-19 | Cincinnati v. Houston -3.5 | 58-65 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
6* Cincinnati/Houston ESPN *CA$H COW* on Houston -3.5 The Key: The Houston Cougars are a remarkable 31-0 SU in their last 31 home games.  They put the nation’s longest home winning streak on the line today against Cincinnati.  The AAC title is also up for grabs as both teams come in at 9-1 in conference play.  Houston is 16-0 at home this season with an average margin of victory of 17.5 PPG.  The Cougars are 8-0 ATS against teams that outscore teams by 8 or more points per game this season.  They are beating these teams by 9.5 PPG.  Take Houston. |
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02-09-19 | Nebraska v. Purdue -12 | Top | 62-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
7* Big Ten Game of the Month on Purdue -12 The Key: The Purdue Boilermakers are 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.  They should make easy work of Nebraska, which is 0-6 SU & 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.  The Huskers lost their second-best player in Isaac Copeland Jr. and their best big man to a season-ending knee injury and haven’t recovered.  Take Purdue. |
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02-09-19 | Evansville v. Southern Illinois -7.5 | 73-78 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
6* Missouri Valley Game of the Day on Southern Illinois -7.5 The Key: Evansville is just 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games overall.  All 5 losses have come by 7 points or more as they’ve rarely even been competitive.  And they won’t be competitive against Southern Illinois, which is hungry for a win off a tough loss at Missouri State.  Evansville is 1-10 SU in all road games this season while losing by 10.8 PPG.  Take Southern Illinois. |
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02-07-19 | Pacific +15 v. St. Mary's | 66-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
6* Pacific/St. Mary’s WCC *CA$H COW* on Pacific +15 The Key: St. Mary’s has Gonzaga on deck Saturday and will be looking ahead to that huge WCC showdown.  The Gaels won’t be giving Pacific their full attention, which will make it extremely difficult for them to cover this 15-point spread.  Pacific is 9-2 ATS off a conference win over the last 2 seasons.  The Tigers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Gaels.  The Tigers are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 Thursday games.  Take Pacific. |
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02-07-19 | Marshall +6 v. North Texas | 51-78 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
6* Conference USA Game of the Day on Marshall +6 The Key: The Marshall Thundering Herd have gone 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall and are just 7-16 ATS on the season.  Expectations were high for this team that returned 4 starters, but they have failed to meet them.  That’s why there could be a lot of value with them moving forward since they’ve underachieved, and I think that’s the case tonight.  North Texas hasn’t been much better of late, only covering the spread in 2 of their last 9 games overall.  They’ve only won one game by more than 7 points in their last 9 games.  North Texas is 0-6 ATS in home games off a conference win over the last 2 seasons.  The Mean Green are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games.  North Texas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games against a team with a winning record.  The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.  Take Marshall. |
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02-06-19 | Texas A&M v. Ole Miss -9 | Top | 71-75 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
7* SEC Game of the Month on Ole Miss -9 The Key: The Ole Miss Rebels are hungry for a victory to save their season.  They have lost 4 straight and 5 of 6 to likely 5 tournament teams in LSU, Alabama, Iowa State, Florida and Mississippi State.  Now they sit at 14-7 and in jeopardy of missing the big dance themselves.  But they have a get right game here against Texas A&M, which is arguably the worst team in the SEC.  The Aggies are 1-7 in SEC play this season and getting outscoring by 11.9 PPG.  Ole Miss is 8-3 SU & 8-3 ATS at home this year and winning by 11.3 PPG.  The Rebels are 9-1 ATS after playing a home game this season.  The Rebels are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games overall.  The Aggies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a double-digit home loss.  The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.  Take Ole Miss. |
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