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RANKED among TOP CAPPERS in 2017 with $35,270 YTD premium picks profit in all sports combined but Thursday was a tough 3-3-2 split out day with all picks. On Friday, look for the HUGE day we've come to expect from Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach with a MASSIVE card: 3 NBA/2 CBB/2 NHL/2 Free. One of those 2 Free Picks for Friday is in NHL just below this listing of his current runs: 71-43 all NBA; Premiums: 210-169 +$36,820 all sports; 92-70 CBB; 74-61 +$20,570 NHL.
Free Pick - Rickenbach NHL Friday OVER the total in Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Islanders @ 7:05 ET - In home games with a posted total of 6 or more the Penguins are 5-2 this season while the Islanders are 2-1 the last few seasons combined in road games with a posted total of 6 or more. Divisional games are 16-6-1 to the over in Pittsburgh's games this season. The Pens are playing this game with revenge for a 5-3 loss at New York earlier this season. The Penguins are 15-9-1 to the over this season when playing with revenge. Off of a rare poor effort last night (scoring just 1 goal) in a loss at Ottawa, Pittsburgh is likely to be flying all over the ice tonight. There had been 12 prior times this season where the Penguins have been held to 1 goal or less and in their next game there have been only 4 unders in 12 games. Look for that high-scoring trend to continue here as the Pens have scored 15 goals in their last 4 games against the Islanders. The Isles have scored at least 3 goals in 5 straight road games. The Pens have scored 4 goals or more in each of their last 5 home games (including the outdoor win over Flyers last month). Overall, the Pens have been a scoring machine at home where they average an incredible 4 goals per game. That said, and knowing the Penguins are off of a disappointing result on the road last night, I am looking for a 4-3 type game here and that gets us the cash in this one. Free Pick on OVER the total in Pittsburgh. Best of luck, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach
New Orleans +8
This play just missed out on our premium card. The Pelicans head into Houston, which is no easy task, but grabbing the points here has value.
New Orleans went for it and grabbed DeMarcus Cousins at the deadline. However, after struggling to build chemistry, they sit now 4 games out of a playoff spot. Things have turned around for them, no doubt about that though.
The Pelicans matchup well here. Houston can score a lot, but the Pelicans have a lot of weapons here to keep up.
Some betting trends of note. New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games, and 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games. Underdog is 18-8-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings.
This is a lot of points to lay against a team that can score inside and out. Grab the points here.
Back New Orleans ATS.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
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03/24 07:05 PM EST NBA (851) BROOKLYN NETS VS (852) WASHINGTON WIZARDS.
Take: (851) BROOKLYN NETS.
Reason: Your free pick for Friday, March 24, 2017 comes in the NBA as the Brooklyn Nets head to Washington, a short road trip. Brooklyn is playing hard in this lost season, 4-5 SU, 7-2 ATS the last nine games. They come off a 98-96 win over Detroit as a +5.5 dog. The Nets are 4-0 ATS on the road, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Washington is on a 0-6 ATS run, 0-5 ATS at home. The Wizards are 2-13-1 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest. Play Brooklyn.
#NBA Free Pick from Mike Lundin
Play: Philly 76ers
The Philadelphia 76ers took a 122-97 loss at Oklahoma City on Wednesday while the Chicago Bulls are coming off a 117-95 drubbing of the Pistons. I think those two results combined sets up a great spot to back the 76ers here.
The 76ers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss, 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points and a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last eight Friday night games. The Bulls meanwhile are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Friday games and 6-13 ATS in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Mike Lundin is GOING FOR A FOURTH STRAIGHT FREE PICK WIN on Friday, but he's got an even better premium NBA winner locked and loaded. Mike is coming out swinging Friday with his BIGGEST NBA PLAY OF THE YEAR featuring a pair of teams from the Eastern Conference.
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This is a Free #NBA play on the Milwaukee Bucks.
The surging Milwaukee Bucks have won 10 of their last 12 overall, climbing all the way to sixth in the Eastern Conference standings. They have been playing great defense during that stretch, holding opponents under 100 points in eight of those 10 wins. They host the 5th place Atlanta Hawks tonight, and they only trail the Hawks by one game. This game is key for both teams, and with massive playoff implications, expect both teams to bring it. The Hawks have lost five straight, and haven't scored more than 100 points in any of those games. Leading scorer Paul Millsap has missed the last three games with a knee injury, and will not play in Milwaukee. Atlanta has failed to cover in seven of their last nine when playing on one day of rest, while the Bucks have covered in five straight home games.
The NBA 3* Comp play is on Sacramento at 10:35 eastern. We may have to hold out nose with this one but 18 points looks good here as we have the system below that long term has cashed 18 of 20 times for rested road dogs taking 10 or more like the Kings if the total is 200 or higher in conference games where the dog is coming off a spread loss as a home dog and taking on a team that comes off a road favored win and cover like the Warriors. The Kings have covered 11 of 15 off 3 or more losses and the Warriors have taken their foot off the gas pedal 9 of the last 13 times vs losing teams and 7 of the last 9 vs opponents that allow 105 or more points per game. The Warriors are 1-7 ats at home on Friday and the Kings are 5-1 ats on the road on Fridays, Look for the Kings to hang around for the cover. See the system below. On Friday we have a Rare 6* Tournament double perfect side and a 5* 100% Perfect system side. Both have multiple 100% systems and angles. NCAAB on a 47-19 run. In the NBA a Big 5* is up and backed with a 68-4 angle and undefeated system. Jump on to put this industry leading data on your side, Below is the 18-2 system that the Kings qualify in. RV
ATS:18-2-0 (4.80, 90.0%) avg line: 13.7
Pistons worth a look here after dropping two in a row. They are still fighting for a playoff spot as they are only one game back. The Magic have tossed it in for the season now as they are going no where. Also with Aaron Gordon and Jeff Green questionable it only adds more to he value here with Detroit. Lay the short number!
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We dropped this play off our card at the last minute as there was some unusual line activity. We found out John Wall is deadline with migrane issues and is questionable for this game. We still think the Wizards will win and cover. Wait to bet this until Wall’s status is certain. If he is out this line will probably drop around 8. If he plays then the line will be around 11, which we were going to release the pick at for our members. The Wizards started to become overvalued and as a result they have dropped six straight ATS. But they have had a pretty tough schedule lately and this is the first cupcake game they have had in quite awhile. We thought 13+ was a more appropriate line for this game and we think there is nice value in the home team at this low price. The Nets have won two straight but those were against the Suns and Pistons. They come in on a back-to-back tonight and we just don’t see this team playing all out in the second stanza as they are probably happy with their recent results and we think this is a big letdown spot while the Wizards need a big win.
1* Free Play on Nets +11½ -110
Jack's Free Pick Friday: South Carolina/Baylor UNDER 135
Both Baylor and South Carolina are 2-0 to the OVER in their two NCAA Tournament Games. I think that has inflated this total a bit in the Sweet 16, and they're going to cash in the UNDER for us tonight as a result.
South Carolina struggles offensively, ranking 121st in the country in offensive efficiency. It shoots just 41.9% from the floor on the season. After scoring 23 points against Duke in the first half, the Gamecocks exploded for 65 points in the second half, which was a complete aberration.
These are two of the best defensive teams in the land. South Carolina ranks 4th in defensive efficiency, while Baylor ranks 13th. The Gamecocks give up 40% shooting and the Bears allow 40.4% on the season. This game will be played at a snail's pace due to the zone defense that forces offenses to work the ball for longer periods each possession. And both teams are very stout defensively in the paint, so there won't be many easy buckets to go around.
South Carolina is 6-0 UNDER in neutral court games with a total from 130 to 139.5 over the last three seasons. The Gamecocks are 11-4 UNDER when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season. South Carolina is 8-0 UNDER in road games versus teams who average 6 or fewer steals per game over the last two seasons. The UNDER is 53-23-2 in Gamecocks last 78 games following a straight up win. Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.
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Free Pick on Cavaliers -
I really like the value here with Cleveland as a short road favorite against the Hornets. Charlotte comes in having won 3 straight, but it's not as impressive as you might think. They caught a tired Wizards team in the 2nd game of a back-to-back, an injury depleted Hawks team and had to rally to be a horrible Magic team on the road. With Cleveland coming off an upset loss at Denver this might seem like a good spot to go against the Cavs, but that Nuggets team is the real deal. I don't see the Cavs taking this one lightly, as they are now just 1-game ahead of Boston for the No. 1 seed in the east. Cleveland might say they don't want the top spot, but I'm not buying it. The Cavs have owned the Hornets, going 9-1 over the last 3 seasons, including a perfect 3-0 record this season. I look for them to finish off the sweep and easily cover this number. Take Cleveland!
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The Algorithm Power Ratings have generated a 57% chance that this covers.
I have an "APR" 200* on the Wisc/Fla and an "APR" 300* on the UCLA/KY match up!
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1* Free Play Gonzaga.
Gonzaga looks to punch its ticket to the Final Four and make it to the Championship game for the first time in school history. The Bulldogs haven’t been steam-rolling opponents like many predicted that they would, but they’ve been methodical in their attack and their defense has been “on point.” Xavier looks poised for a letdown here though after its big upset of Arizona in the Sweet 16, somehow managing a way to victory despite losing the rebounding battle 35-27 and missing 5 of its 16 free throw attempts. Gonzaga held WVU to just 26.7 percent from the floor and only 5 of 23 from range. Nigel Williams-Goss also had an “off” night, finishing with only ten points and seven boards (normally averages 16.8 and 5.8 respectively). Suffice it to say, we’re expecting Goss and the BULLDOGS to get back on track offensively, to continue their dominant defensive play and to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Consider laying the points in this one.
This free premium winner has the 25-8 Butler Bulldogs taking on the 29-7 UNC. North Carolina is a very young team but is the most talented team in the tournament. Butler has had a easy road up until this game playing teams like Winthrop and Middle Tennessee. You will see the difference in NBA talent versus a college player tonight as I see this as a wire to wire cover by UNC. Public is 50/50 on this game and IMO that is strictly on the high line here but no worries and a easy cover for the Tar Heels. 15* North Carolina minus the points. ***MLB IS ALMOST HERE IN 2014 AND 2015 SEASON COMBINED Chase Diamond went 674-538 56% winners +63,010 dollars. Grab the best MLB handicapper over the last 5 years get his season pass onsale until 4/1***
Since 3/2 Ben Burns has released 15 top-rated CBB plays. He's cashed 12 of those 15 tickets, an 80% ATS RECORD over a 3-week span. After nailing his biggest play of the 2nd round (South Carolina over Duke) Burns is now releasing an EVEN BIGGER PLAY. In '17, Ben has already nailed his NFL GAME OF THE YEAR & his NFL PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR, both winners coming in BLOWOUT FASHION. He's also already cashed his NHL GAME OF THE YEAR & his NBA GAME OF THE YEAR. The college hoops version goes TODAY!
Both these teams played excellent defense last time out. The Badgers held the defending champs to only 62 points, on 41.2% shooting. Not bad considering that Villanova entered that game averaging 77.6 points, while hitting 49.8% of its field goals. Florida's defensive performance was even more impressive. Indeed, the Gators limited Virginia to a mere 39 points. The Cavs connected only less than 30% (29.6%) of their field goals, while hitting a paltry 7.6% from beyond the arc. The Badgers, who are slight underdogs here, have been "getting points" four times this season. All four of those games fell below the total. Those four games had combined scores of 127, 122, 121 and 127. This one has all the makings of another relatively low-scoring affair. Consider the Under.
Burns CLEANED UP on Thursday including a BLOWOUT WINNER on Portland in the pros. That was part of a PERFECT 3-0 SWEEP with his top rated releases and it extended an AWESOME 48-29/62.3% TOP PLAY HEATER. If you enjoyed that LAUGHER, you're going to LOVE Burns' NBA GAME OF THE WEEK. It goes Friday and its an ABSOLUTE BEAUTY. You know what to do!
It takes a lot of zigging and zagging to beat a don't-make-sense league such as the NBA. We have a perfect example today: Take Atlanta plus the points at Milwaukee. The Hawks have lost five in a row. The Bucks are returning from a 4-2 road trip, marking the first time since the 1988-'89 season Milwaukee won four games during a single road trip. Logic says lay the points with the Bucks. Logic, though, doesn't work too often in the NBA. If it did the sport would be easy to win at instead of being what many pro gamblers consider the most difficult sport to beat. Still, why get involved with the cold Hawks? We go back a little more than two weeks ago to help get the answer. Atlanta was riding a three-game winning streak from March 8-12 defeating the Nets, Raptors and Grizzlies in Memphis. Then the Hawks lost to the Spurs. No shame in that. The Grizzlies got their revenge against the Hawks following that game. Again, no shame in losing to Memphis. But then in their next game - home against Portland this past Saturday - the Hawks lost by 16 points. Paul Millsap injured his knee during warmups prior to that game and the Hawks had trouble adjusting without their best player. Millsap, a four-time All-Star, leads Atlanta in scoring and is second in rebounding, assists and steals. Coupled with the loss of underrated Kent Bazemore, the Hawks proceeded to drop their next game, 105-90, to the Hornets in Charlotte. That was the Hawks' fourth straight loss with the defeats coming by an average of 12.8 points per game. These are the short windows of opportunity that come and go in the NBA. They don't stay open long as team and oddsmaker adjust. The Hawks covered as 7 1/2-point road 'dogs to the Wizards in losing, 104-100, two days ago in their last game. Atlanta is not going to have Millsap nor Bazemore against the Bucks. But the team has made the proper adjustments. The Hawks showed progress against the Wizards and are now less depended on Millsap. The Hawks have a strong track record against the Bucks and draw Milwaukee in a vulnerable situational spot. The Bucks are a bit fat and happy following their successful six-game, 11-day road journey that concluded with a blowout victory against the Kings in Sacramento this past Wednesday night. Giannis Antetokounmpo is an absolute monster on pace to join Oscar Robertson and Magic Johnson as the only player to average more than 20 points, eight rebounds and five assists under the age of 22. If my Rotisserie fantasy basketball draft were being held now I would rank Antetokounmpo as the fourth overall player behind Russell Westbrook, James Harden and Anthony Davis. The Bucks are a young team whose maturity is under question. The Bucks have their long-time arch rivals, the Bulls, on deck Sunday at home. I wouln't trust the Bucks to bring their "A" game here considering the circumstanes. They still could be getting used to the time change having been on the West Coast the past week. It should be noted the Bucks may be without backup center John Henson. He missed Milwauke's last game with a thumb injury. If Henson can't play that would be one less big man to hack Dwight Howard. The Hawks need point guard Dennis Schroder to return to his earlier solid form. He's been terrible during the Hawks' losing streak. Point guard is not one of the Bucks' strengths. Veteran forward Ersan Ilyasova also needs to step up. He's a former Buck so he should be psyched for this matchup. The Hawlks are in stop-the-pain mode. They have just a one-game lead on the Bucks and Pacers for fifth place in the Eastern Conference. Atlanta has a winning straight-up and spread record on the road. They have defeated the Bucks in seven of the past nine meetings, including all three this season winning by an average of eight points. The Hawks have covered in seven of their last eight visits to Milwaukee. (Editor's note: Long-time NBA guru Stephen Nover is enjoying another big season going 34-23 on his last 57 premium/free NBA plays for 60 percent and just cashed his NCAA Tournament Game of the Year last night with Kansas, a 32-point winner against Purdue. Don't miss any of Stephen's plays!)
Play - Philadelphia 76ers (Game 865).
Edges - 76ers: 16-4 ATS last twenty overall games… Bulls: 8-15 ATS in this series following a win of more than ten points. With the Sixers seeking double revenge from losses this season and off a 26-point loss, and Chicago off a 22-point win, we recommend a 1* play on Philadelphia. Thank you and good luck as always.
> Wow. Marc has isolated a 10* Never Lost Sweet 16 Killer Play in a DOUBLE PERFECT winning situation on Friday night’s NCAA Sweet 16 card. Make sure you put this beauty right at the top of your ticket now - don’t miss out!
If Florida can turn it up to even another notch, which I think Coach Michael White can get them to do, this Florida team can be really, really dangerous. Some forget this big SEC team still hasn't fully clicked on all cylinders this year yet, ranking 2nd in their conference. They just finally are hitting their stride. They will keep the momentum going vs Wisconsin.
A tired Wisconsin team, currently riding on massive self-confidence, a very low level of miscommunication, proven through their huge win vs Villanova. But, this will be the letdown game - I don't think there's going to be any semblance of an upset here- much to the hope of all those thinking about it.
Florida is getting a balanced attack and playing great team defense. With the extra time to prepare I like the Gators here on Friday night as your free pick winner.
Take Kentucky – UCLA UNDER (#875-876)
When Kentucky and UCLA met in non-conference play back in December, the game was an instant classic; a 97-92 Bruins victory in a high octane shootout. Both teams played fast – a frenetic tempo from a pair of teams that were struggling mightily on defense at the time. And both teams shot the ball well, combining for 47% shooting from the floor, including 18 made three pointers. No surprise, then, that the rematch is the single highest totaled game in the NCAA Tournament so far.
But there’s little reason to expect the high stakes rematch to be played in similar fashion. That was then. This is now.
John Calipari spent the back half of the season coaching up the Kentucky defense. It’s worked! The lengthy, athletic Wildcats are wreaking havoc on the defensive end of the court in recent weeks. Only one of their last nine opponents has scored more than 70 points against them, with Kentucky holding foes under 40% from the floor during that span. No surprise, then, that the Wildcats are 8-1 to the Under in those last nine ballgames, including a ‘snail’s pace’ Round of 32 game against Wichita State. And this is the highest total – by far – that Kentucky has seen during this span.
UCLA’s offense is similar to that of the Golden State Warriors in one key regard – it’s speed of ball movement. When teams face UCLA for the first time, they’re often overwhelmed, like Kentucky was in the first meeting. The rematch, however, isn’t as much of a basketball ‘culture shock’, because they’ve seen it before. That’s how teams like USC and Arizona slowed UCLA down in rematch situations down the stretch of the PAC-12 campaign. And, as Kentucky already knows that getting into a track meet with the Bruins is a losing proposition. Expect a very different ‘pace mentality’ from the Wildcats this time around!
Last, but not least, UCLA’s defense has improved by leaps and bounds from where they were a few months ago. This WAS a bad defensive team for the better part of the first three months of the season. But in PAC-12 play, the Bruins were actually #2 in the entire conference in two point shooting percentage allowed. The Bruins don’t force many turnovers, leading to easy fast break buckets on the other end. But they’ve been fundamentally sound for the better part of the last two months now and Kentucky is not a ‘let it rain 3’s’ type of team, averaging fewer than seven makes per game. Expect this rematch to be a much lower scoring affair than the first meeting, staying Under the total with room to spare. Take the Under.
Teddy is SCORCHING HOT right now. He’s riding a 36-15 (71%) college hoops run into the Sweet 16, part of his 55-31 (64%) all sports hot streak dating back to mid-February. Plus, Teddy nailed all three of his strongest releases – his Big Ticket Reports – in the NCAA tourney, part of his moneymaking 70% opening weekend. Don’t miss a single cash from this streaking ‘capper!
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