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With Gay out for the season and with the team having lost three straight, many won't give the Kings much of a chance tonight. This has actually been one of their better roles though. In fact, they're 3-1 ATS as road underdogs in the 6.5 to 9 range this season and 13-4-2 ATS (10-9 SU!) their last 19 in that situation. Also, they're 5-1 ATS the last six times that they were off three or more consecutive victories, most recently knocking off Detroit.
The Grizzlies have dropped two in a row and three of their last four. The lone win came by only five points. They're only 3-5 overall in 2017 and all three victories came by single-digits. While the Grizzlies outscore teams by an average of only three points at home, the Kings only get outscored by an average of 3.9 on the road. Consider grabbing the points.
Ben Burns has ALWAYS dominated the pro hardwood & he's off to a SENSATIONAL start once again this year. In fact, w/ yesterday's G.O.W. winner on Miami, part of a 4-2 Thursday, Burns' NBA is now an AMAZING 24-5 ATS in '17. That includes a 10-2 mark his L12 & an 18-3 RECORD the past two weeks. Don't wait any longer. Get down on Friday's top-rated "PERSONAL FAVORITE" right away!
This is a Free #NBA play on [email protected] to go UNDER the total.
All eyes will be on Houston Friday, when MVP favorite James Harden and the Houston Rockets host the Golden State Warriors. There are plenty of interesting storylines here.. a revenge spot for the Warriors who lost to the Rockets in OT at home earlier this year. Or if could be a let down spot for the Dubs, coming off a blowout win over the Thunder, with KD scoring a whopping 40 points against his former team. I'm not interested in picking a winner here, as I've got my eyes on the total. The over/under is set at an enormous 236.5 points, and I simply can't resist betting the under with such an inflated number. The last time these teams met, the final score was 132-127 for Houston. Only 228 of those points were scored in regulation though, and only once in the last 10 meetings have these teams combined for more than 228 points. That was a 123-110 home win for the Warriors, and those 233 points still fall short of tonight's total. The Warriors have now gone under 10 of their last 11 road games. Even for those who think this game is going to be a shootout, there's just no value betting over with such an inflated total.
Rocketman Sports FREE NHL play Friday 1-20-17
This is a 1* Free Pick on the Orlando Magic
I like the time to buy in on the Magic tonight. Things can’t get much worse for them. They just played a dreaded 6 game road trip on the West Coast. The good news is they are back home and have had 1 day of rest. The Magic’s next game is at home Sunday vs the Warriors. Having lost 3 straight and 7 of their last 8, the Magic know this is an important game because their last home win was before Christmas. They need to give the fans some hope and reason to come fill the gym Sunday against the Warriors. Orlando knows that game vs the Warriors is more than likely a loss and the need to win is now.
Players have spoken. Nikola Vucevic summed it up nicely here and I would think that would get the players attention….“I don’t think anybody is happy with where we are at,” Nikola Vucevic said. “We have to show up mad. But then show up mad. Be mad on the court. Mad doesn’t mean go out there and do dumb stuff. It’s playing the right way. Bring the effort, play mad, show some passion. You are supposed to do that if you play basketball. If you enjoy the game, it’s automatic. It’s never a question to do it.” Jeff Green, another veteran, was vocal about the lack of effort. I expect a fully motivated Magic team here.
There is reason for excitement after a 6 game road trip. There is also motivation playing with same season double revenge against the Bucks. Home Dogs coming off a 6 game road trip are 60-45-2 ATS (57.1%). When our home dog lost the last 3 road games on their road trip, they improve to 24-13 ATS (64.9%). When we add in the home dog playing with double revenge, like the Magic, these home dogs are 14-6-1 ATS (70%) since 1996.
The Bucks are on a 3 game skid having lost the 3 games by 9, 13, and 19 points. They have won 8 road games this year. This will be only their 3rd time as a road favorite this season. Their last two road wins have been by 1 and 2 points.
While the Magic are on a losing streak, they have not given up in the 4th quarter. They have either won the 4th quarter or played to close over their last 5 road games. For the Bucks, they got outscored in the 4th quarter of their last 4 games.
This game is more important to Orlando I think than meets the eye. They are facing a team on a skid also, and the Magic have played better 4th quarters lately. In January, the Bucks rank 28th in offensive rating in the 4th. The Magic rank 20th.
Orlando is 19-9-1 ATS as a homedog of 5 or less points, playing with revenge and off 3 losses. This is a rare spot for the Bucks to have lost 3 straight and still be a road favorite here that the public is in love with. Take the Magic at home to get the cover.
Play - Patriots-Steelers OVER.
Edges - Patriots: 10-3-1 OVER last 14 home playoff games… Steelers: 16-6-1 OVER last 23 playoff games; and 8-4 OVER last 12 games in this series. With NFL Championship round games having gone 10-5-1 OVER in games with a posted total of more than 46 points, we recommend a 1* play on the OVER total in this game.
> Like last week’s winning call on the Pittsburgh Steelers, Marc’s Top Rated 10* NFL Playoff Game Of The Year kicks off Sunday and its loaded with a pair of NEVER LOST playoff angles inside the game. Go and get it now - don’t miss it!
1* Free Play UNDER Steelers/Patriots.
What more can be said about these two teams which hasn’t literally been said a million times at this point. The Steelers and Patriots are both very familiar to the postseason over the last ten years. New England is led by QB Tom Brady and Pittsburgh is led by Ben Roethlisberger. These are two of the most capable QB’s in NFL history. Last week the Steelers held on for an 18-16 road win in Kansas City. Roethlisberger had 224 yards and zero TD’s. RB Le’Veon Bell had 170 rushing yards. Note that Pittsburgh scored an average of 24.9 PPG in the regular season to rank the team 11th overall. Pittsburgh looked great defensively in the win over the Chiefs, holding them to just 227 total yards. The Patriots pulled away for a 34-16 win over the Texans last weekend. While New England was third overall on offense with an average of 27.6 PPG, it was its defense which was the difference maker this year, finishing No. 1 in allowing 15.6 PPG. The bottom line is, we’re expecting more of a “chess match,” where field position ends up playing a big part in the final outcome. The Steelers had a difficult time against the Chiefs on the road, but now face the top defense in the league. This number is just a little bit high in our opinion, consider a second look at the UNDER in the AFC Championship game.
Jack's Free Pick Friday: Utah Jazz -6
The Dallas Mavericks are in a very tough spot here. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after playing in Chicago on Tuesday and in Miami on Thursday. That's a lot of travel in such a short time frame, and they won't be ready for the Jazz tonight.
Making matters worse for the Mavericks is the fact that the Jazz come in well-rested and ready to go. They last played on Monday, giving them three days' rest coming in. It has allowed them to get healthier as George Hill is expected to play tonight after previously nursing an ankle injury.
Hill averages 18.1 points and 4.3 assists per game this season and the Jazz have been much better with him than without. He has missed 24 games this year, and they will be dangerous going forward if he can stay healthy. He does a great job of running the offense while also playing suffocating defense on opposing point guards.
Utah is 18-8 ATS as a road favorite over the last two seasons. The Jazz are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road games vs. a team with a losing record in the second half of the season. Dallas is 1-9 ATS in home games vs. teams who make 46% of their shots or better in the second half of the season over the last two seasons. The Mavericks are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Bet the Jazz Friday.
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The Pacers head into the Staples Center Friday night and given how bad the Lakers have played lately, it's time to start fading this team on a regular basis. Los Angeles has dropped 5 straight and and continue to struggle when it comes to covering the number.
The Lakers are just 19-26 ATS and are now only 10-13 at home. Digging themselves too big of holes has been the biggest factor, as they consistently find themselves down double digits early on.
Some trends to note. Lakers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Lakers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss. The Lakers are just a mess right now.
This isn't a good matchup for them against Indiana, as the Pacers are solid following a win.
Back Indiana ATS.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
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Free Pick on Jazz -
Utah comes into this game having won 4 straight and 9 of 12 overall. I look for the Jazz to carry over that momentum with a comfortable win on the road against the Mavericks. This is not a great spot for Dallas, who will be playing on no rest after last night's 95-99 loss at Miami. Not only are the Mavs in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, but this is also their 3rd game in 4 nights with the last two both on the road.
Dallas simply doesn't have the talent to hang with a top-level team like the Jazz on tired legs, especially one like Utah, who is so dominant on the defensive end and playing with a full 3 days of rest. The Jazz are 2nd in the NBA in defensive efficiency and allowing just 94.9 ppg. Dallas is 25th in offensive efficiency and are scoring just 95.7 ppg. Utah isn't an elite offensive team, but are moving the ball well right now, as they have scored 100+ in each of their last 4 games. I just don't see the Mavericks being able to keep pace offensively with Utah and that should allow the Jazz to win here by double-digits.
The Jazz are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 as a road favorite and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games against a team with a losing home record. Dallas is 2-11 ATS in their last 13 home games against a team with a winning road record and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 when their starters combined for 160 or more minutes in their previous game. Take Utah!
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