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NBA  |  Nov 25, 2014
Atlanta Hawks vs. Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards
-4-110
  at  BMAKER
in 10m

Jack’s Free Pick Tuesday: Washington Wizards -4

The Washington Wizards are showing excellent value as a small home favorite to the Atlanta Hawks tonight.  We’ll take advantage and back them as they continue their run toward the top of the Eastern Conference with another victory Tuesday.

The Wizards have opened 9-3 this season and find themselves in second place in the Eastern Conference.  They have even been battling through injuries during this start, but now are getting healthy with the recent return of Bradley Beal.  The addition of Paul Pierce this offseason to provide leadership has certainly helped this young, talented squad.

I have been very impressed with the Wizards of late as they have won five of their last six with their only loss coming by a mere three points to Dallas.  They beat Cleveland 91-78 in their last home game, then avoided a letdown in a 111-100 win at Milwaukee last time out on Saturday.  They have had two days of rest since and should be well-rested and ready to go.

Atlanta is 6-5 this season, but it has done most of its damage at home, where it is 5-1.  It has been another story on the road as the Hawks are 1-4 away from home, getting outscored by an average of 7.8 points per game.  Their defense is yielding a whopping 107.4 points per game on the road this season.

Washington has had Atlanta’s number over the past two years.  It is 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last five meetings with Atlanta with its only loss coming on the road last year by a final of 99-101 in overtime.  All four victories came by four points or more, including two by double-digits.

The Hawks are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS win.  Atlanta is 0-4 ATS in its last four vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The Wizards are 6-2 ATS in their last eight following a win by more than 10 points.  Washington is 6-1-2 ATS in its last nine meetings with Atlanta.  Bet the Wizards Tuesday.

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NBA  |  Nov 25, 2014
Detroit Pistons vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Detroit Pistons
+3-109
  at  5DIMES
in 1h

FREE PLAY for 11/25

Detroit Pistons +3

The Key: The Pistons won the season’s first meeting 98-93 at home. It was their second consecutive win over the Bucks and fifth in six games (the lone loss came by only three points). While some will be looking to play the revenge angle with Milwaukee, there is plenty of evidence saying that’s the wrong move. Milwaukee is on a 25-43 ATS slide at home when seeking revenge for a loss of three points or less. In addition, when the line is +3 to -3, you want to fade home teams that are looking for revenge for a loss to an opponent if that opponent checks in off a road loss. Doing so has produced a 129-78 ATS mark the last five seasons. The Bucks have won four of six at home, but the Pistons are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games versus a team with a winning home record. The road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Take the points.

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NBA  |  Nov 25, 2014
Atlanta Hawks vs. Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards
-6½-110
  at  BOVADA
in 10m

  The NBA Free play is on the Washington Wizards. Game 502 at 7:05 eastern. The Wizards have covered 6 of the last 7 in the series. The Hawks are in a tough spot as road dogs with 3 or more days rest that are off a home favored win and cover have covered just once the last 19 seasons vs an opponent off a road favored win and cover at -4 or less like the Wizards losing by an average 12 points. The Hawks are an up and down team and have failed to cover 14 of 18 on Tuesdays. Look for the Wizards to win and cover. On Tuesday the NBA Total of the Month leads the Tuesday card that has an NCAAB Blowout and a Live dog power angle plays. Jump on and cash out with the finest data available. For the free play take The Washington Wizards. RV

NCAA-B  |  Nov 25, 2014
Cal State Fullerton vs. USC
USC
-5-105
  at  5DIMES
in 4h

Free Pick on USC Trojans -

The books have missed the mark on this one. USC should be a much bigger favorite at home against Cal State Fullerton. These two teams played last year at USC and the Trojans won convincingly 76-62 as a 6-point favorite. While both of these teams lost a good sized amount of talent from their teams a year ago, USC is in a much better shape to rebound, as they just brought in the No. 18 ranked recruiting class this season.

Fullerton is just 1-2 on the season with the only win come at home against San Jose State 70-66, who is 1-3 to start the year. The Trojans are simply being undervalued after losing a two of their last three, but both defeats came against quality opponents in Akron and Penn State. USC is going to be looking to take out that frustration on Cal State and I see any reason why they don’t win here by double-digits.

USC is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 against the Big West Conference and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 against teams who have won 40% or less of their games. Fullerton is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games, 2-9-1 in their last 12 following a SU win and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. These trends combine to form a % (35-9) system in favor of the Trojans. Take USC!

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NCAA-B  |  Nov 25, 2014
Miami (OH) vs. Northwestern
Miami (OH)
+8½-110
  at  BMAKER
in 2h

This game has the 2-1 Miami Ohio at the 4-0 Northwestern. Northwestern despite being 4-0 hasn’t really had much competition early on as they barely got by North Florida 69-67 and Elon 68-67. This game should be close through out and this is a real gift from Vegas. Public is backing Miami Ohio and so will we for a 10* winner take them plus the points. (CHECK OUT MY CBB ULTIMATE LOCK LATER TONIGHT Chase Diamond is 792-629 56% last 1421 selections)

NFL  |  Nov 30, 2014
Washington Redskins vs. Indianapolis Colts
Washington Redskins
+10½-130
  at  5DIMES
in 4d

1* Free Play Washington Redskins.

RG III and company kept it close in San Francisco last weekend and I think the offensive unit will have a much easier time moving the ball against the Colts; while I won’t go so far as to call for an outright upset, I do believe this is too many points to be giving up to this hungry visiting side. Washington is just 3-8, but its overall stats simply aren’t that horrible. 7th overall in passing, 16th in rushing yards, 10th in opponent passing yards and 11th in opponent rushing yards. How about the Colts? Indianapolis is No. 1 in the league in passing, but just 17th in rushing yards. It’s also dismal defensively, 27th in opponent passing yards and 17th in opponent rushing yards. Washington will have its opportunities on offense today. The Colts are on the road in Cleveland the following week, so this doesn’t set up as a “look ahead” spot, but note Andrew Luck and the Indinapolis offensive line looked pretty shaky vs. the Jaguars, Luck finished 21 of 32 for just 253 yards with one TD pass and ran eight times for 49 yards; but note that he was sacked five times, fumbled three times and lost two, all in the first half. As a situational handicapper, these are the types of suspect lines I always keep my eyes open for, consider a second look at WASHINGTON in this one.

AAA Sports

NCAA-B  |  Nov 25, 2014
Michigan vs. Villanova
Villanova
-4½-106
  at  PINNACLE
in 3h

Ryan is riding a 8-1 ATS run with his 25* NFL Titans and has hit 66% ATS spanning 69 releases over the past 2 seasons. Now, he has released his College Basketball Game of the Month and it is backed by a ton of confidence building research that features a game situation posting an 11-1 ATS mark for 92% ATS winners.

10* graded play on the Villanova Wildcats as they take on Michigan in the final of the Legends Classic taking place at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY. Villanova essentially muscled their way into the final with a strong win over VCU 77-53 and easily covered the two points favorite spread. The Wildctas had been struggling mightily from beyond the arc hitting on just 26% of those shots. However, against No. 14 VCU they connected at a high rate. The Wildcats shot 58.6 percent from the field in the second half and knocked down six of 10 three-point tries. Things really heated up after the Rams (3-1) scored the first six points of the period to lead, 36-32, and prompt coach Jay Wright to call a timeout.  They added a bit more motion and made increased ball movement speed and had several wide open perimeter shots. This more aggressive play led to a 16-0 run and the game was essentially over at that point. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 100-54 ATS mark for 65% winners since 1997. Play on neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (VILLANOVA) after two straight games committing 11 or less turnovers and is now facing an opponent after a game committing eight or less turnovers. Take Villanova. 

NCAA-F  |  Nov 28, 2014
Houston vs. SMU
Houston
-22-106
  at  PINNACLE
in 2d

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #331 Take Houston Cougars -22 over SMU Mustangs (Friday 12 pm CBSSN) The Mustangs are just to games away from completing a perfect 0-12 season. They will have trouble moving the football and scoring points against Houston, as they Cougars are allowing just 18.7 points per game (13th in FBS). SMU has played a little better of late but reality is starting to set in and the coaches know that most of them will be replaced in two weeks. Houston needs another victory to ensure they go bowling and they will get this one in a big way. Houston is 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games against teams with a losing record. Do not miss Doc’s Sports Weekend Football Card highlighted by a pair of top play winners in college and NFL football. 

NFL  |  Nov 27, 2014
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys
-3-114
  at  PINNACLE
in 1d

 

 

FREE Thanksgiving NFL Play

Philly @ Dallas  – 3

There is where Sanchez meets his match at QB in my opinion, against an aggressive Dallas defense that played terrible on Monday Night Football. Sanchez’s 2 wins came against Carolina and Tennessee (hardly impressive)  and I cannot trust him to win a meaningful game against a team like Dallas on the road, and Dallas has found ways to win all season, versus last year when they found ways to lose. Dallas was down double digits on Monday on the road and pulled out a win.  Look for Dallas to balance the attack and pass more than usual because Philly cannot stop the pass and Bryant and Witten will have a big day, and thankfully Romo has NOT been a turnover machine like years past.  Dallas ranked 13th against the run so Sproles and McCoy should be contained somewhat in what should be a high scoring game. Dallas home field on a national TV game is worth 2 points here and I think Dallas is 3-6 points better anyway.  It won’t come easy.

One thing is the fact here that Dallas looked very sloppy on defense against a the paltry New York Giants team and they traveled, and now have a short week and that usually is go against spot and oddsmakers reflect that, and yet Dallas installed as a 3 point favorite here.  Dallas has not covered a Thanksgiving Day football game which is annually for them in the past 3 years and I think this is the year they get it done. 

As of Tuesday 90% of the action on this game was on the Over, which is now 54.5 but oddsmaker sources say this line will be at 56 by game time and that might be worth a look as well, but get on it early.  No doubt both teams will trade some punches on the scoreboard.  The Over trends here are unreal. 

Free Pro Pick on Dallas on Turkey Day   

 

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