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NCAA-F  |  Oct 02, 2014
Central Florida vs. Houston
  at  BOVADA
in 6h

Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Houston Cougars -3

A 14-19 loss at UCF last year cost Houston a chance to win the American Athletic. That was the same UCF team that won the AAC and went on to beat Baylor 52-42 in the BCS Fiesta Bowl. The Cougars were only outgained 367-398 by the Knights as a 13.5-point road underdog in that contest. The Knights are nowhere near as good as they were last year with the loss of Blake Bortles, while the Cougars should be just as good if not better this season with a whopping 17 starters back.

Sure, the season-opening loss to UTSA is concerning, but the Cougars simply beat themselves in that game by committing six turnovers. They have three impressive performances since that defeat with blowout wins over Grambling (47-0) and UNLV (47-14), as well as a 25-33 loss to unbeaten BYU as a 17-point road underdog. This Houston defense is playing very well this season, allowing just 18.5 points and 335.0 yards per game.

Obviously, the Knights weren’t going to be as effective on offense with the loss of Bortles, but they have been simply atrocious on this side of the ball in 2014. They are only averaging 298.7 yards per game offensively to rank 120th out of 128 FBS teams. They managed just 246 yards against Penn State in a game that was a bigger blowout than the 24-26 score would indicate as they were outgained by 265 yards. They were also held to 299 yards in a 10-38 loss to Missouri. Perhaps the most concerning effort was the 351 yards they put up against FCS opponent Bethune Cookman.

Simply put, Houston is tired of losing to UCF and will be out for blood in this one. The Knights have won three straight meetings in this series, but all three victories came by a touchdown or less. I believe this Houston team is finally the better squad and has the talent to put an end to the losing streak in this series. I really like the way that the Cougars have played in the last three games, and their defense should be able to shut down a very weak UCF offense.

UCF is 6-17 ATS in its last 23 vs. teams who force 2.5 or more turnovers per game. The Knights are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following a home win. Houston is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games off a cover as a double-digit favorite. The Cougars are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games after gaining 6.25 or more yards per game in their previous game. The Knights are 0-5 ATS in their last five games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Houston is 20-7 ATS in its last 27 vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the Cougars Thursday.

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NFL  |  Oct 05, 2014
Houston Texans vs. Dallas Cowboys
Houston Texans
in 3d

1* Free Play Houston Texans.

Dallas has been a spread covering machine the past three weeks but I think the value will be with Houston in this rivalry game. The visiting Texans (3-1) showed their defensive might again in Week 4 with a 23-17 win at home over Buffalo. J.J. Watt had five tackles and six hits on the opposing QB to go with an interception that he ran in for a touchdown. The Texans won without getting a lot of production from star running back Arian Foster who suited up but rushed for just six yards. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick has been solid but not spectacular in the 3-1 start for a Houston team that was the worst in the NFL last season. The Dallas Cowboys (3-1) impressed everyone with a 38-17 win at home over New Orleans on prime time Sunday last week, RB DeMarco Murray continued his massive rushing season with 146 yards and two TD’s to help pace the well balanced offense. Tony Romo was 22-of-29 for 262 yards without an interception. With all due respect to the Cowboy’s three game winning streak though, a matchup with this defensively solid Texans team is going to be a stern wake up call in my opinion. Dallas struggled in Week 1 against a very good defense in San Francisco and it will be facing something similar here. Remember that the Cowboys are a much better team as the underdog in recent years, they are just 6-12 ATS as a favorite the past three seasons and only 2-5 ATS in their last seven as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range. Houston has been impressive under the guidance of defensive coordinator Romeo Crennel, the unit has become a master at disguising blitzing and rushing opposing QB’s with small fronts. With a far healthier Foster this week, the Texans offense will be much more dynamic. Expect this big contest in the heart of Texas to be a very competitive game where taking the points would seem to be the sound wager.

AAA Sports

NCAA-F  |  Oct 04, 2014
Hawaii vs. Rice
in 2d

Rice is coming off a big win last week at Southern Mississippi which put a halt to its three-game losing skid to open the season. The Owls lost against Notre Dame and Texas A&M, which are a combined 9-0, away from home and then dropped a tough three-point setback against a very good Old Dominion team at home. This continues an important five-game stretch against mediocre opposition as Rice needs to take care of business if it wants to have a chance at a third straight bowl game as the back end of the schedule is loaded. Hawaii is coming off a bye week following a loss at Colorado two weeks ago which was the Warriors first road game of the season. The road and Hawaii mix like oil and vinegar as it has lost 14 consecutive games off the island and while it has covered half of those games, the number makes the difference. Hawaii is 2-4 ATS in those games when getting only single digits and this lines matches what the Owls were giving to Old Dominion in their only other home game. Coming off a bye week has hurt Hawaii even more as it is 4-18 AYS in its last 22 road games following a week off. Rice meanwhile is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games coming off a double-digit road win while going 23-5 ATS in its last 28 games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game. Play (362) Rice Owls

Matt rolls into Saturday as he looks to add to his GREAT start to the season! He is already a SOLID +$2,391 in CFB YTD and he extends it Saturday with SEVEN Big Winners! He follows up his PROFITABLE +$6,082 CFB season from 2013 while adding to his INSANE +$35,515 overall football run! How about a PERFECT 7-0 CFB Saturday SWEEP!

NCAA-F  |  Oct 04, 2014
Utah vs. UCLA
in 2d

Free Play from Doc’s Sports (4-0 Run the last 4 Weeks on College Football Free Plays). #387 Take Utah Utes +13 over UCLA Bruins (Saturday 10:30 pm ESPN) The Bruins finally started to flex their muscles last Thursday against Arizona State putting up 62 points against a vastly overrated Sun Devil team without their starting quarterback. The Bruins will have a much harder time moving the football against an aggressive Utes defense. Utah is coming off a puzzling loss to Washington State at home last week but despite that setback they still have a ton of talent on both sides of the football. I just do not see them getting blown out in in this game. UCLA is 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games played during the month of October. Do not miss Doc’s Sports weekend football card. Doc’s is coming off a Game of the Year winner last Saturday and you can expect more of the same this week. Jump on board now and let 43 years of handicapping experience work for you. 

NCAA-F  |  Oct 02, 2014
Arizona vs. Oregon
  at  BMAKER
in 9h

Free Pick on Oregon Ducks -

The Ducks come into this contest having covered the spread just once in their first four games and are coming off a less than impressive 38-31 win at Washington State. It’s got the public thinking twice about taking Oregon as a 23-point favorite, but after a closer look I think the Ducks are poised to win here easily.

This is a big statement game for Oregon after suffering one of their worst losses in recent memory last year in a 16-42 defeat at Arizona. The Ducks weren’t motivated at all for that game, as they had just had their national title hopes crushed a couple weeks earlier in a loss to Stanford. With this game being played on ESPN, I look for Oregon to come out on a mission to show everyone they are the real deal.

As for the Wildcats, I don’t think this team is anywhere close to as good as their 4-0 record would indicate. Arizona has barely squeaked by with wins in each of their last 3 games against UTSA, Nevada and Cal. They scored 36-points in the 4th quarter to beat Cal 49-45 on a last second Hail Mary. The defense for Arizona is not good at all and I don’t see them digging out of a big hole against the Ducks.

One of the key differences from last year’s team that beat Oregon and the one that will take the field on Thursday is the Wildcats no longer have star running back Ka’Deem Carey, who rushed 48 times for 206 yards and 4 touchdowns. Arizona’s ground attack allowed them to dominate the time of possession (35:29 to 24:31) and keep the Ducks’ offense out of rhythm. I just don’t see that being the case against a motivated Oregon defense at home.

Home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points who are averaging 6.4 or more yards/play after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in each of their last two games are 30-4 ATS over the last 10 seasons. That’s a 88% system in favor of the Ducks. Take Oregon!

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NCAA-F  |  Oct 04, 2014
Navy vs. Air Force
Air Force
in 2d

My free play on Saturday is Air Force plus the points.  Full analysis posted by Thursday night.

Scott Spreitzer is a PERFECT 4-0, 100% with Thursday CFB in 2014 after last week’s win with Texas Tech! Scott’s on a long term run of 125-92, 58% with his last 217 CFB Thurs/Friday releases. Grab the CFB THURS NIGHT KNOCKOUT and extend the perfect mark to 5-0, 100%! 

NCAA-F  |  Oct 03, 2014
San Diego State vs. Fresno State
San Diego State
in 1d

Play – San Diego State.

Edges – Aztecs: 5-1 ATS away off SU home win; and head coach Rocky Long 18-7 ATS away in games versus conference foes off a SU win.  Bulldogs: 4-11-1 ATS at home versus avenging conference opponents.  

With SDSU owning an overpowering rush advantage in this contest (+2.1 net YPR versus Fresno’s -1.1 net YPR), we’ll back the better team as the dog here tonight.  We recommend a 1-unit play n San Diego State.  Thank you and good lucks as always.

• Check this out: Marc’s Super Pick Play on Friday night’s college football card is supported with a trio spectacular winning angles inside the play that are 25-0 ATS combined.  Put it on your ticket now and win good again with Marc Friday night! 

NCAA-F  |  Oct 04, 2014
Kansas vs. West Virginia
West Virginia
in 2d

Kansas @ West Virginia 4:00 PM ET
Game# 335-336
Play On: West Virginia -26.0

The Kansas football program is currently in dire straits. They’ve gone 11-47 in their last 58-games overall, and 0-26 in their last 26 road games. The Jayhawks have also gone a pathetic 2-40 in their last 42 conference games, and have lost 23 in a row on the road versus conference opponents. As a matter of fact, their last conference road win came at Iowa St. on 10/4/2008. The head coach for the Jayhawks at that time was Mark Mangino. Ironically, Mangino is the current offensive coordinator at Iowa St. Following their loss to Texas last Saturday, head coach Charlie Weiss was fired. Weiss went a miserable 6-22 as the head coach at Kansas.

Although West Virginia has gone just 2-2 to start the season, they’re performance level has been encouraging, and bordering on impressive. Their two losses came at the hands of a pair of opponents that could possibly be playing in the season ending 4-team playoff that will determine the national champion of college football. The Mountaineers accounted themselves quite well in both a 33-23 loss to Alabama, and 45-33 defeat at the hands of Oklahoma. They will also be out to avenge a humiliating 31-19 loss at Kansas last season, which was just 1 of the 2 conference wins by the Jayhawks since October of 2009. The Mountaineers come into this game following a bye week.

Any home favorite of 21.5 to 30.0 playing with rest, coming off a game versus a conference opponent, and they’ve won 18 or less of their last 22-games, has gone 33-4 ATS (89.2%) since 2005. Play on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the big number.

NFL  |  Oct 05, 2014
Houston Texans vs. Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys
in 3d




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NCAA-F  |  Oct 02, 2014
Florida Atlantic vs. Florida International
Florida Atlantic
in 6h

On Thursday the free NCAAF Play is on Florida Atlantic. Game 303 at 7:00 eastern. Florida International comes home off a big road dog win as a 14 point dog. That win sets them up in a system that plays against home teams that are now an underdog and are playing an opponent off a win with a win percentage of .600 or less. Florida Atlantic has played a tougher schedule and has some gaudy trends on their side. FAU has covered 8 of 10 on Turf, the last 4 on the road if the total is 42 to 49, 8 of the last 9 in weeks 5-9 and 15 of the last 18 on 6 or less days rest. Florida International has lost straight up and ats the last 2 times as a home dog in this range. We will back the better team in Florida Atlantic/ On Thursday night there are 3 Big Top plays up, including the MLB 100% Playoff Game of the Week, the Triple system NFL Play and a Huge Double Perfect College Football system winner. Football combined is 73 games over. 500 the last 6+ seasons after cashing big on the Over in the Dallas game and KC on Monday. Jump on now and put the power of this industry leading data on your side. For the free play. Take Florida Atlantic. RV

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A couple of the league’s best pitchers square off in Game of the NLDS, the Cards’ Adam Wainwright goes up against the Dodgers’ Clayton Kershaw! Is this going to be a CLASSIC pitchers duel, or can these offenses put some runs on the board?! Get on board to find out ALL the details, you’ll be glad you did! BE THERE!

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