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The NBA comp play is on Washington plus the 9-10 points at 8:35 eastern. The Wizards have home loss revenge on the Spurs from last weeks game and fit a solid database system that plays on rested road dogs off a road dog spread loss if they scored and allowed 110 or more in that loss and are taking on a team like the Spurs that scored 90 or more on the road in their last game. These road dogs have covered 14 of 17 times the past few years. The Spurs have failed to cover in 8 of 10. The points look like the play here. On Friday the card is led by a rare 6* Total in NBA Action backed with a solid undefeated system. There is also a big system in the PAC 12 Championship game on Fox sports tonight. We continue to rank #1 on top leader boards. Jump on now and put this exclusive data on your side. For the NBA Free pick. Play on Washington plus the points. RV
Dave's Friday Free Play:
1* on Chicago Bulls +2.5
The Key: The Cleveland Cavaliers are coming off their first 2-game losing streak of the season and are ripe for the picking now. They have lost back-to-back games to the Bucks (by 17) and Clippers (by 19) and simply aren't playing well right now. They're not going to have a lot to give tonight as this will be the 2nd of a back-to-back for them after losing at home to the Clippers last night. The Bulls are fresh and ready to go as this will be just their 2nd game in 7 days and their 3rd game in 10 days. They have had this game circled all season and should be primed for a big effort here. The Cavaliers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. The Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss. The Bulls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The underdog is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Take Chicago.
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12/02 08:05 PM EST NBA (511) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS VS (512) CHICAGO BULLS.
Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.
Reason: Your free pick for Friday, December 2, 2016 comes in the NBA as the Cavaliers head to Chicago to face the Bulls. A rivalry game in the Eastern conference between a pair of strong defensive teams. Chicago is seventh in the NBA in points allowed and eighth in field goal shooting allowed. Cleveland had to play last night against the Clippers and the Under is 7-2-1 in the Cavaliers last 10 road games. Chicago is 14-6 under against the Eastern Conference and the Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play Cleveland/Chicago Under the total.
315 UL Lafayette at UL Monroe
Big rivalry game in the state of Louisiana with the Ragin' Cajuns winning 7 of the last 8 meetings. We really feel this Lafayette team has been under the radar all season long. While 6-4 ATS is a solid number it's how this team has been able to win that has us excited. It's rare when a team is so good that it can lose the turnover battle and still cover the spread. The best team in the country in doing that is the Ragin' Cajuns. This team is a perfect 4-0 on the year ATS when losing the turnover battle, second best in the country is Alabama at 4-1. Even more amazing is in those four games the turnover deficit was -7. Covers by 3 1/2. 1, 13 1/2 and 7 1/2 show that this team is under the radar.
Looking at explosive plays on the season ULL is -0.4 per game while ULM is 2/4 per contest. Over the last four weeks the Ragin' Cajuns are +23 over the Warhawks. History suggests this will be a tight contest, but we strongly differ. ULL in a blowout.
PLAY UL LAFAYETTE
Totals Expert Ben Burns takes a look at the Sooners/Cowboys game.
With all due respect to the offenses, which are obviously both very capable, this number is awfully high. To give some perspective, last season's meeting had an O/U line of 62.5. The previous year, the O/U line for a game between these teams had an O/U line of 57.5. Granted, both those lines turned out to be too low, as each game finished above the total.
The Cowboys limited TCU to a mere six points last time out, a dominant defensive effort. The Sooners weren't as stingy but weren't terrible defensively either; they held WVU to 28 points. Not bad considering that the Mountaineers came in averaging 32.6 ppg and 506.8 ypg at home.
Even including the 12/6/14 meeting between these teams here, which produced 71 points, the Sooners have seen the "under" go 16-4 their last 20 games played in the month of December. A look at some more recent history reveals that the Cowboys were underdogs of greater than a field goal three times this season. All three of those games (at TCU, vs. WVU and at Baylor) fell below the number by double-digits. Consider the Under.
John Ryan's proven algorithm a 50* TITAN, which is the strongest possible grade any game can possess. He is 4-1 ATS this season w/50* Titans. Currently 84-57 (60%) over his last 145 CFB picks! $1,000/game bettors have made $23,090 since September 12, 2015 by following his advice!
10* graded play on Florida(327) as they take on Alabama(328) in SEC action set to start at 4:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Florida will lose this game by less than 21 points.
Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Florida is a solid 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game; 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games; 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss. Alabama is only 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Fundamental Discussion PointsFlorida takes on Alabama in the SEC Championship Game getting a big number for a reason. The Gator Defense has been solid all year giving up only 14.6 points per game and we expect the Defense to play well enough to keep them hanging around in this one. The key will be to keep Alabama QB Jalen Hurts from beating them with his legs. Austin Appleby is a below average QB but he does not make many plays or mistakes and that will be a big part in keeping this one within the large spread listed in this one. We look for the Gators to be chomping for a little while in this one.
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #308 Take West Virginia Mountaineers over Baylor Bears (Saturday 3:30 pm FS1) The Jim Grobe Era is concluding and expect Baylor to clean house and hire a new coach and staff for 2017. This team has lost five straight games and they have been blown out in their last four Big 12 games. West Virginia is better than four of the five teams Baylor has lost too and this game will be ugly early. Baylor is without QB Seth Russell and this will be the best defense they have faced all season. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football and basketball card. Our College Basketball Nonconference Game of the Year will go on Saturday, December 3rd, 2016. This selection has won six of the last seven years and it one of the most sought out games in the entire country. Check out our long-term packages now and sign-up with a handicapping veteran of 45 years.
Jack's Free Pick Friday: Boston Celtics -6.5
The Boston Celtics have lost three straight home games for the first time this season. The losses have come against the Warriors, Spurs and Pistons, so it has been a tough schedule. But they'll be highly motivated to end this skid and crush the Sacramento Kings tonight.
Now they'll be up against one of the league's worst teams in the Sacramento Kings, who are 7-11 overall and 3-6 on the road this season. The Kings have lost 10 of their last 15 games overall. Two of their three road wins have come against the Suns and Nets, but this is a huge step up in class for them.
The Celtics have certainly had the Kings' number in recent meetings. Indeed, they are 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. They won both meetings last year in blowout fashion, prevailing 114-97 in Sacramento and 128-119 at home.
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last six games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. The home team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings in this series. The Kings are 0-5 ATS in their last five trips to Boston. Bet the Celtics Friday.
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Free Pick on Hawks -
I think we are getting some great value here with Atlanta as a small home favorite against the Pistons. I know the Hawks haven't been all that impressive of late, as they are just 1-7 in their last 8 games, but a lot of that has to do with a tough schedule during this stretch. Of those 8 games, 7 came on the road, where Atlanta is just 4-7. Now they return home where they are 6-2 both SU and ATS and are going to come out with a chip on their shoulder, as they desperately need a win to get back on track.
Detroit is certainly getting a lot of love right now, as the Pistons enter winners of 4 of their last 5, including back-to-back road wins over the Hornets (112-89) and Celtics (121-114). The key here is that the Pistons are in prime position for a letdown. This is the final game of a short 4-game road trip, so they could be looking ahead to getting home for the weekend. On top of that, they can't have a whole lot left in the tank. This will be the Pistons 3rd road game in the last 4 days and have had to travel from Charlotte to Boston to Atlanta. It's also their 5th game in the last 8 days overall.
Even with the outright road wins over Charlotte and Boston as dogs, Detroit is still just 3-8 SU and 3-8 ATS on the road this season. Adding to this is a great system backing a fade of the Pistons given their current spot. Teams off back-to-back upset wins as a road dog, who are playing at least their 6th game in the last 10 days are just 7-28 (20%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Atlanta!
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