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On Friday the free CFL Totals play is on the under 50 points in the Saskathchewan at Hamilton game at 7:35 eastern. This game fits a powerful totals system that has cashed over 75% long term and involves road teams that lost the turnover battle by -2 or greater in there last game. Saskatchewan has played under in 13 of 20 as a road dog from +7.5 to +10. Hamilton has stayed under in 3 of 3 vs losing teams, 8 of 10 in October games and 6 of 7 at home. In the series these two have gone under in 5 of the last 6. Look for this one to stay under tonight. Football ranked #1 overall last season. Friday power card has a 91% MLB Playoff payoff system and a Double perfect ESPN ACC Power play and NHL. Jump On and cash big as we get Columbus day weekend off to a fast start. For the free play. Take the under tonight. RV
The Michigan State Spartans enter this contest with a 0-5 ATS record. Despite being favored in all five of their games, they have only out-gained the opposition by just 11 yards overall this season. This is a classic look ahead game for Michigan State because they have in state rival Michigan on deck for next week. The Spartans have dealt with overwhelming injuries this season as they come into this one missing a handful of their top players. Rutgers comes in off a bye last week so they will have had two weeks to prepare for this contest. The Scarlet Knights have spent the past couple weeks hearing about how they can't compete with the bigger CFB programs. Rutgers starting quarterback Chris Laviano has completed over 70 percent of his passes overall. The Scarlet Knights will play this game like it's their National Championship and keep this game within the generous number. Free Play Rutgers plus the points.
1* Free Play Packers.
The Rams surprised everyone with their outright SU win over the Cardinals last week, but if this team has shown anything this season, it's been it's unbelievable inconsistency from week to week. After beating division rival Seattle in its opener, St. Louis would then promptly lose to a mediocre Redskins team in Week 2 and now has to face Aaron Rodgers and the 4-0 SU/ATS Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field. There's no question that this sets up as a classic letdown spot for the Rams after another tough divisional win and note that from a trend based standpoint, this play is about as strong as you could possibly ask for as St. Louis is just 1-5 SU its last six vs. the Pack and only 4-9 SU its last 13 on the road (also just 2-5 ATS its last seven overall), while Green Bay is 5-0 SU its last five at home and 7-2 SU its last nine vs. the Rams at Lambeau. We're going to lay the points as we expect the visitors to get caught "looking ahead" to their bye the following week, followed by back-to-back "cream puffs" at home vs. the Browns and 49'ers respectively; consider a second look at GREEN BAY in this one.
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #371 Take Miami Hurricanes over Florida State Seminoles (Saturday 8 pm ABC) Doc’s Sports is coming off a free pick winner in Week 5 of the college football season and expect more of the same this weekend. We full feature top plays on Saturday and Sunday and you can get all of the action right here. Just do not believe Florida State is that good this season. Miami is coming off a disappointing loss to Cincinnati last Thursday but despite that I am still a big fan of Brad Kaaya and the offense of Miami. The visitor is 7-2 straight-up in this series over the last 9 game. 11 of the last 14 meetings have been decided by a touchdown of less and if that holds true again we will win no matter who comes out on top. The Seminoles have yet to be tested this season and they are just not as explosive without Jameis Winston who bailed them out of numerous games last season. Take the points in this rivalry game.
SATURDAY BIG 10 FREE PLAY
Courtesy of Tony George Sports
Wisconsin at Nebraska
Well low and behold when my odds tracker lit up with this week’s opening lines late Sunday, I feel out of my chair damn near it when I saw the Huskers were favored against Wisconsin. I must admit I am partial to Nebraska, I went there, they are my Alma mater, and both my children within 25 minutes of birth in Lincoln Nebraska, had Husker stocking caps on in the hospital nursery. You see in the land of Husker Nation, you are born a Husker, you have no choice. Well it is not the 1990’s anymore where Nebraska dominated the college landscape and Tom Osborne is gone, Frank Solich is winning MAC Divisions titles, Bill Callahan is coaching Offensive Lines in the NFL and Bo Pelini is in Youngstown Ohio wondering if Husker Nation Misses him now! Did I mention both Solich and Pelini were fired after 9 win seasons? Being a spoiled Husker Nation has caught up with Nebraska fans and now they have a lame duck coach and have to live with a bad hire and one of the worst defenses in college football.
Nebraska’s love affair with Mike Riley is over. The Huskers lost to Big 10 bottom dweller Illinois last week, again late in the game, and again more of a coaching debacle than anything else. They say rain hampered the Husker’s offensive attack. No, the coaching hampered Nebraska’s attack. You come up against a team who was allowing 6 yards per carry, and you open up the game throwing it with a QB that is very inconsistent throwing, and did I mention this was Nebraska, home of the running back and they have 2 good ones in the fold. So if coaching and the rain hampered Nebraska last week, it will be the Badgers 11th ranked defense that will hamper them this week.
Wisconsin destroyed Nebraska last year and Melvin Gordon ran wild for 408 yards in that game and was pulled early to call off the embarrassment. Wisconsin has issues of their own as Iowa beat them last week with some defense and quite frankly a better team, but there is no way Nebraska should be laying points to anyone right now in the Big 10, the play calling is deplorable, the coaching is iffy at best, and while Husker Nation will be strong in Lincoln on Saturday and I will personally be in the crowd, but at days end I prefer a fat wallet and deflated ego versus betting the same ol Husker Tradition at home and losing money. Bottom line is Wisconsin lost to a good Big 10 team who is undefeated and ranked and Nebraska lost to unranked bottom feeder from the Big 10. Nothing more, nothing less.
Wisconsin has beaten Nebraska 129-55 the last 2 times they played and they are catching points? Did I mention you may see Wisconsin throwing the ball around a bit more than usual in this game as the Huskers rank 128th in college football in passing yards allowed and 102nd overall on defense, and again they are laying points?
Give me the Badgers +1
Tony George is on a 16-4-1 run in all football plays and is locked and loaded with GUARANTEED Plays for this weekend action in NCAA and NFL action.
Play on Game #362 Tennessee Vols (Saturday,3:30 PM EST )
Georgia comes into this game beat up physically and demoralized after losing to Alabama last week. That was a game that the school really wanted to win. Now, they have to travel to Knoxville to face a Tennessee Vols team that is in dire need of a win and with a bye week on deck, they will be fully focused on this game.
The Vols come into this game only 2-3 on the season. They have had a double digit lead in all three of their losses (vs. Oklahoma, Florida, and Arkansas). So this is a team that is VERY close to being 5-0, but instead is 2-3. If they were 5-0, then the Vols would be at least a 3 point favorite here. But instead, we are catching them getting points at home getting great value. Butch Jones is 3-1 ATS as a homedog with the Vols.
Looking at last year's game, the Vols almost upset Georgia on the road losing 35-32. This is a much improved Vols team this season from when that game was played last year in Week 4. Worley was the QB for the Vols at the time. Joshua Dobbs gives the Vols much more flexibility and chances to make explosive plays with his legs. Also the Vols offensive line is a lot better. Through 5 games, the Vols have only allowed 10 sacks. At this time last year, the quarterback was getting clobbered at a record pace.
Georgia was +16 in turnover margin last year. It is hard to duplicate such success 2 years in a row. This season they are -even- in turnover margin.
The Georgia quarterback Grayson Lambert is making only his 2nd career road start in the SEC. His first was @ Vandy a few weeks ago and Georgia won 31-14, but Lambert was only 11-for-21 for 116 yards. Against Alabama last week, Lambert was 10-for-24 for 86 yards only. He best games this season were vs. Southern, Louisiana Monroe, and South Carolina. Point being Lambert is not ready to step up vs. stiffer competition. Nick Chubb can't do it all himself either.
In Georgia's only road game this season, they beat Vanderbilt, 31-14, but needed a pick 6 and a punt return for a touchdown to beat them. The offense only scored 17 points. Also a terrible Vandy pass offense had 295 yards passing against the Bulldogs defense which is another red flag.
Special teams: The Bulldogs special teams is way down this season. They rank last in the nation in kickoff returns (14 yards per return). They rank 119th in punting at only 32 yards per punt and they also rank 87th and 85th in punt and kickoff coverage. Tennessee is ranked #1 in kickoffs returns and #6 in punting. Big Special Teams advantage for the Vols.
Look for a motivated Tennessee team to come out of town with a cover this Saturday vs. a Georgia team that is beat up and still trying to get over their embarrassing loss to Alabama last week.
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I'm recommending a play on Ga Tech on Saturday afternoon. Big win for the Tigers last week, holding on for a 24-22 victory over previously unbeaten Notre Dame. Time to make the adjustment for Ga Tech's option attack. The Yellow Jackets have had little trouble piling up yards against the Clemson defense over the last few meetings and will be in an ornery mood after dropping three straight games, falling out of the rankings. Tech squashed the Tigers, 28-6 last season, so Clemson will have the revenge angle, but they're off back-to-back high intensity, close wins over Louisville and the Irish. The Tigers gave up over 430 yards to Notre Dame in the win last weekend. Ga Tech's ground game has been below par during their losing skid, but again, they're not only catching Clemson at the right time, but have the confidence knowing they have moved the ball against this stop unit in recent meetings. Ga Tech is on a 9-3 ATS run, overall, while the Tigers have failed to cover six straight ACC contests. I'm recommending a play on Georgia Tech plus the points. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
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Last week was an almost unprecedented week where the under came in 45 of 57 lined games in college football and that has affected the totals for many of this week's games, especially for those teams that are on under runs. We will be using both of these to our advantage for this game. Duke is off to a 3-2 start this season as the offense has been inconsistent but the defense has picked up the slack by allowing just 269.8 ypg and 10.6 ppg, good for 9th and 5th in the country respectively. Because of the stop unit, the Blue Devils have stayed below the total in all five of their games this season. This is not a particularly good matchup however for another low scoring game as the offense should have no problem scoring a bunch here. The offense was held to 10 points three games back against Northwestern and nine points against Boston College last time out and those are two of the top three scoring defenses in the country. In comparison, Army is ranked 82nd in scoring defense so Duke can get back to normal here. The Black Knights have had a tough luck season as they are 1-4 with the four losses coming by 2, 5, 3 and 6 points with the last coming against Penn St. Even though the schedule has been pretty difficult, they are averaging a solid 27.6 ppg so even coming close to that here will push this one way over as we can expect Duke to get its fair share of points. The over is 7-2-1 in the Blue Devils last 10 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game while the over is 11-5 in the Black Knights last 16 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Play Over (321) Duke Blue Devils/(322) Army Black Knights
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10/09 06:45 PM EST MLB (905) CHICAGO CUBS VS (906) ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.
Reason: Your free play for Friday, October 9, 2015 is in the MLB contest between the Cubs and the Cardinals. A pair of strong arms on the mound in St. Louis, the latter a terrific defensive team in the field. St. Louis is 5-1 under the total in playoff home games and 9-4-2 under the total following an off day. The Cardinals offense is bottom 10 and they face Chicago ace lefty Jon Lester. The Under is 11-1-1 in Lester's last 13 starts vs. a team with a winning record, plus 11-4 under the total in the Cubs last 15 games following an off day. They face a strong veteran arm in John Lackey and the under is 9-1-1 in the Cubs last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. And when these foes clash the Under is 4-0 in Lackey's last 4 starts vs. the Cubs, while Lester is 3-1-1 under against the Cards. Play Cubs/Cards under the total.
Play - Tennessee Vols.
Edges - Volunteers: 7-2 ATS in this series, including 3-0 the last three. Bulldogs: 0-6 ATS in SEC games off a loss. With Georgia head coach Mark Richt a rotten 3-14 ATS in his career in games off a double-digit loss, we recommend a 1* play on Tennessee. Thank you and good luck as always.
> Marc has been on fire this football season, 29-11-1, and if you enjoyed his 10* College Game of the Week winner last Saturday with Arkansas over Tennessee, you’ll love his 10* College Football Game of the Week winner Saturday night. It’s lock and loaded - don’t miss it!
The Los Angeles Dodgers host the New York Mets in Game 1 of the NLDS on Friday, and they will be a heavy favorite. The Dodgers ace comes into this game on top form, and I don't like the Mets chances here in the series opener. I'll take the Dodgers on the runline in Game 1.
Here are my keys to the game:
1. Pitching - Clayton Kershaw struck out 20 batters through 12.2 innings in his final two starts of the season. He was 11-3 with a 1.67 ERA in 17 starts at Dodger Stadium this season. The Mets will counter with Jacob deGrom, who's numbers are far better at home than they are on the road, and far better during the day than they are at night.
2. Home Cookin' - The Dodgers finished with a major league best 55 home wins, and they have won six of their last eight home games during the post-season.
3. X-Factor - The Dodgers are 8-1 in Kershaw's last nine home starts versus the New York Mets.
Selection: This is a play on the LAD -1.5 on the Run Line (1* Free Pick)
Take NC State +2 1.1* Play
Anytime NC State stepped up in competition last year they lost and they particularly struggled vs. solid defenses. NC State lost last week against Louisville in their own building and now travel on the short week to play against Virginia Tech who lost at home to Pittsburgh. On paper it looks like a nice night for Frank Beamer and the Hokies to get a nice win, but I'm actually going to lean towards NC State in this one as I have definitely talked myself out of backing the Hokies.
First of all the Hokies defense is not as good as they were supposed to be ranking 109th in yards per carry, and 102nd overall in yards per play. Not a very good sign going up against NC State which features a very good duo at QB in Jacoby Brisset and Matthew Dayes at RB. Virginia Tech will have it's hand full with an offense that is dangerous in the red zone scoring TD's on 21 of their 24 possessions. Granted it those have been against lesser defenses, but Virginia Tech has not shown enough this year to make me believe and the fact that they mustered just 100 yards of total offense last week against Pitt leads me to believe that NC State should win this game.
Virginia Tech has not been able to run the ball, NC State has been better at stopping it. Virginia Tech probably gets Brewer back at QB, but he'll struggle against this secondary, and NC State still has a very under rated defense that should keep them in this game. Actually NC State also rarely gets penalized making it much easier for an offense that converts 47% of their 3rd downs compared to 25% allowed. Virginia Tech comes in at 39% and 30% allowed and has averaged 5 more penalties per game. NC state must take care of the ball and not make the mistake sand they've been able to do that all year and that will be enough for them to come out of here with a win.
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