2017 PGA US Open Golf Prediction and Picks
Ready to bet on this week’s 2017 US Open betting odds? The 2017 PGA US Open comes our way this week from a brand-new venue – Erin Hills in Erin, Wisconsin. Golf’s best have assembled to take on the second-longest course in major history – longest in US Open history. As always, the US Open promises to be the toughest test on TOUR.
2017 US Open Championship
When: June 15-18, 2017
Where: Erin Hills, Erin, WI
Format: 72 holes – Stroke Play
Defending Champion: Dustin Johnson
TV Coverage: FS1, FOX
Updated Sportsbook Bonuses For Today
Erin Hills can play up to 7,800 yards with a closing hole that can sit nearly 700.
Natural landscape, perfectly-manicured greens and fairways await the contenders on what looks an awful lot like a links-style track.
Rolling mounds similar to ones you may find in Scotland should ensure that there is plenty of roll – assuming that you hit it in the right spot and get some favorable bounces along the way.
Obviously, distance will be an asset this week but placement is equally crucial on this track. All four par-5s at Erin Hills will play in excess of 600 yards.
Wide fairways will be inviting for sure but thick fescue and typically unfair rough are there to penalize those errand shots. Some insane bunkers will also be in play for most of the long hitters.
Once on the greens, uber-slick conditions will persist as they do in all US Opens. Oh ya – wind is always a factor here as if conditions aren’t tricky enough!
The stats that I focussed on this week are Driving Accuracy first and foremost, with Driving Distance coming in a close second, GIR stats and Scrambling stats and Putting ability.
2017 US Open Odds: Championship Favorites:
Dustin Johnson +750
Defending champion (at Oakmont) also had a T2 in the 2015 US Open and a T4 in 2014 – he raises his game for this event!
He leads the PGA TOUR in strokes gained: off-the-tee among other important categories, is second in pat-5 scoring, third in bogey avoidance and sixth in strokes gained: approach-the-green – pretty competitive everywhere on the course.
He enters off an almost unfathomable missed cut at the Memorial but there is absolutely no denying DJ’s class ahead of this weekend.
He is healthy, he is confident and he is arguably the most adaptable player on TOUR right now. Johnson is the favorite for a reason – he’s DARN GOOD!
Jordan Spieth +1200
Not quite sure what to make of Spieth this week. He will enter this week on the heels of back-to-back top 15 finishes, including a T2 at last month’s Dean and DeLuca Invitational.
He remains one of the premier ball strikers on TOUR – he is tops in strokes gained: approach-the-green and is fourth in greens in regulation which should come in awfully handy this week.
He won this event in 2015 when it was held at Chambers Bay which is very similar to Erin Hills but has finished outside the top 10 in all other US Open appearances.
We can expect Spieth to be dangerous as always off the tee and with an iron in his hand – the X-factor for him, as always is that putter that hasn’t been its scorching self lately.
Rory McIlroy +1200
Will tee it up for he first time in a month this week – ribs, wrist and a host of nagging injuries have slowed him this year.
That said, if he had enough rounds to qualify, Rory would rank fifth in driving distance, second in strokes gained off the tee and second in strokes gained tee to green.
Simply put McIlroy remains one of, if not the best tee-to-green player on the planet. He, like many will be reliant on a putter that has been average this year.
Hopes are that his lack of love for this style course, his distain for wind and the fact that he will be playing Taylor Made balls for the first time in competition won’t be too much – my guess is that a rested Rory shows up this week and makes things awfully interesting.
2017 US Open Odds: Championship Contenders:
Jason Day +1400
Frustrating season for Day for sure but he has shown some form the last month or so – a playoff loss at the Byron Nelson and a T15 at Muirfield Village included.
He currently sits second on the PGA TOUR in strokes gained: around-the-green which is a nice compliment to his strong tee-to-green game.
He has finished inside the top 10 in five of his six US Open starts (three top 5s) – he always seems to bring his best at this time of year.
Day is always a contender at the US Open and has been ramping up indeed for another long run here.
Jon Rahm +2000
Rahm deserves mention every time he tees it up.
The rookie has been terrific – a win at the Farmers, a finals loss to Dustin Johnson in the WGC-Dell Match Play and third at the WGC-Mexico City included.
All-around game, consistency and current form are all on Rahm’s side this week – there are simply no holes in this kid’s game – his putter may be the only thing in his way of a career-defining win here.
Rickie Fowler +2000
Arrives in career-best form.
He has become one of the more well-rounded guys on TOUR this year – second on the PGA TOUR in total strokes gained and third in birdie average. Fowler has finally found a way to marry his superb ball-striking with some skill on the greens.
He has missed the cut in the last two US Opens and he arrives off a missed cut at TPC Southwind but he also has two top 10s in his career at this event. Expect Fowler to be a fixture on leaderboards this week.
Justin Rose +2200
Won this event at Marion in 2013 and has been tin terrific form in 2017 so far – a playoff loss at the Masters, a T2 at he Sony and T4s at the Farmers and Genesis included.
He ranks eighth on the PGA TOUR in strokes gained: off-the-tee and 10th in strokes gained: around-the-green – he is a threat everywhere on the course.
He’s played just twice in the last two months so he should be fresh – his strong all-around game all-but assures that he will be in the mix this week.
Sergio Garcia +2200
Now that Sergio got his Major drought overwith, he could be a contender this week as well thanks to a newfound confidence and obvious skill.
He hasn’t missed a cut in nearly a year – finishing in the top 30 in all but one. He ranks second on TOUR in strokes gained: off-the-tee and total driving and is tops in adjusted scoring.
Sergio is a different guy right now – I’m expecting big things again this week.
Adam Scott +3000
Will shoot for just his second Major – surprisingly. He ranks 17th on the PGA TOUR in driving distance and 15th in strokes gained: approach-the-green which should benefit him this week.
The wind and the fact that he contended at Chambers Bay a couple years ago also has him on my radar this week.
Scott has three top 10s in his last five starts overall including a T9 at the Masters and a T6 at THE PLAYERS, arrives with some quiet confidence and looks poised to make a run at his first win this year.
2017 US Open Odds: Championship Sleepers (+5000 or higher):
Alex Noren +5000
May be the best player nobody’s heard of in the US. He enters off a superb win in the BMW PGA Championship at Wentworth – an event he shot an incredible 62.
His ball striking is at an elite level, his scrambling ability is world-class and his iron play has certainly improved as of late. Noren arrives as confident as he’s been, ready to parlay his terrific all-around game into his first Major.
Charl Schwartzel +5000
Had been a tad off the radar before a T2 in the FedEx St. Jude Classic last week – he shot three rounds in the 60s in that tournament but fell apart on Sunday.
He also had a third-place finish at the Masters to boast about and presently ranks ninth on the PGA TOUR in strokes gained: putting. With five top 25s in prior US Opens we can expect to see Schwartzel contend again this week.
Jason Dufner +6600
Duf has always shown up for his event – he has finished inside the top 10 three times and posted another top 20 in his last five US Opens including T4s in 2012 and 2013.
He enters this year as confident as he has been in a while – a comeback win at Muirfield Village last time out has him trending upward ahead of this weekend. Always a superb ball striker, Dufner is steady Majors performer – expect more of the same this week.
Kevin Kisner +6600
Kisner at +6600 is enticing for sure. He enters on the heels of back-to-back top 10s including a win at the Dean and DeLuca Invitational and a T6 at the Memorial.
He currently sits ninth on the PGA TOUR in strokes gained: approach-the-green and ranks top 40 in every strokes-gained category. Translation – Kisner has the all-around game to make some noise here – he may be worth a shot at this price!
2017 US Open Odds: Championship Picks:
Most love Dustin Johnson this week and rightfully so. But I’m going with a little value here – Justin Rose at +2200 is my pick. He has the pedigree, the experience and most of all the skill to contest what looks like course that could have been in his back yard growing up.
Rose is due for another Major – I think he gets it this week.
My Sleeper is Charl Schwartzel at +5000. He always seems to show up on the biggest stage and has been trending upward ahead of this week.
Golf handicapper DAVE B weighs in each week with his top selections. Including top picks and sleepers!
Check back each week for your PGA golf gambling, handicapping info & free golf picks.
ODDS TO WIN 2017 U.S. Open
- Dustin Johnson 29/4
- Jordan Spieth 9/1
- Jason Day 11/1
- Rory McIlroy 12/1
- Jon Rahm 18/1
- Rickie Fowler 18/1
- Justin Rose 20/1
- Hideki Matsuyama 28/1
- Sergio Garcia 28/1
- Adam Scott 30/1
- Henrik Stenson 35/1
- Justin Thomas 38/1
- Brooks Koepka 40/1
- Thomas Pieters 40/1
- Branden Grace 50/1
- Jason Dufner 50/1
- Matt Kuchar 50/1
- Paul Casey 50/1
- Louis Oosthuizen 55/1
- Alex Noren 60/1
- Patrick Reed 60/1
- Charl Schwartzel 62/1
- Kevin Kisner 63/1
- Bubba Watson 65/1
- Daniel Berger 65/1
- Lee Westwood 65/1
- Martin Kaymer 65/1
- Shane Lowry 75/1
- Odds courtesy Bovada.lv