Free Week 13 Prediction: Beavers vs. Ducks Odds
Looking for Oregon State Beavers vs. Oregon Ducks free picks? Week 13 betting sees the Beavers taking on the Ducks on Saturday, November 25 at Autzen Stadium in Eugene, Ore. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Beavers Ducks free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 13
(1-10) Oregon State Beavers vs. Oregon Ducks (6-5)
Date: Saturday, November 25
Time: 7:00 pm EST
Venue: Autzen Stadium, Eugene, Oregon
NCAA Football Spread: Oregon -25
NCAA Betting Total: 62.5
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The Oregon State Beavers took this game last year for the first time since 2007, and while it was a huge win for the state of the program, that victory failed to turn into any momentum.
The Ducks open as huge 25-point favorites in this one after going 6-5 thus far to Oregon State’s 1-10.
Oregon State Beavers
The Beavers opened their season with a bad loss to Colorado State and then slim victory over FCS Portland State thanks to a botched field-goal attempt in the final seconds of the contest.
It was an important win to keep momentum going from the year before, but it was also an ominous sign considering the level of the competition.
(The Vikings ultimately finished 0-11 this season.)
After that game, it was all downhill. Not only did the Beavs go 0-9, but they also finished the year 125th in the nation in average point margin at a terrible -21.2.
Only Kent State, Texas El Paso, Ball State, Kansas and San Jose State finished worse in that category.
Against Oregon, there are a few things that need to happen to keep the game close.
For starters, the Beavers need to force turnovers. As good as Royce Freeman has been both between the tackles and on the outside, the more likely scenario is that they get quarterback Justin Herbert to throw the ball to the wrong team.
This isn’t an overly ambitious plan. As good as Herbert is, he’s only one game removed from a broken collarbone.
The other game plan the Beavers need to put into effect is keeping Herbert in the pocket.
As much as they’d love to stop Royce Freeman, you can count on the big back getting at least two touchdowns and 100 yards (realistically even in the first half if Oregon State hasn’t come to play). But keeping Herbert from running and becoming a double threat is doable.
Oregon is a different team with Herbert behind center.
When he went down against Cal in the squad’s fifth game (4-1 at the time), it fell to 5-5 including an atrocious 38-3 loss to the Washington Huskies.
When Herbert returned last week, the Ducks looked like they were back in business.
They took down the Arizona Wildcats at home 48-28 and gained the momentum they needed entering the Civil War.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Road team is 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
- ORE are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 conference games.
- ORE are 7-17-1 ATS in their last 25 games overall.
Free Week 13 NCAA Football Pick
There’s little question that the Ducks should win this game, so what this really comes down to is can they cover the massive 25.5-point spread.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Oregon State ATS
If Herbert can play a clean game, odds are that the Ducks get this one by a solid 30 points. That’s how good the team has been with him, and that’s how bad Oregon State has been overall.
That said, we’re assuming Herbert throws at least one pick and puts his receivers in bad spots here and there.
If Freeman puts together another beastly game, it could make up the difference. But while we’re confident in the Ducks winning, we’re giving Oregon State the victory against the spread.
Week 13 Free Score Prediction: Oregon Ducks 45 – Oregon State 35
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