Free Pick: Stars vs. Avalanche Odds
Looking for Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche free NHL predictions? NHL betting sees the Stars taking on the Avalanche on 10/14 at Ball Arena, in Colorado. This free NHL pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Stars Avalanche matchup.
2026 NHL Handicapping – Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche
(2-3) Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche (4-2)
Date: Oct 14, 2026
Time: 8:30 PM ET
Venue: Ball Arena in Colorado, CO
NHL Moneyline Odds: Stars +122 | Avalanche -144 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NHL Puck Line Betting Odds: Stars +1.5 | Avalanche -1.5
NHL Hockey Gambling Total: O/U: 5.5
Here’s why I’m backing a Colorado ML bet below in my Stars Avalanche free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
Stars vs. Avalanche Gameday
The Dallas Stars visit the Colorado Avalanche on Wednesday, October 14, 2026, at Ball Arena in Denver. Puck drop is scheduled for 8:30 PM ET on TNT. It’s the second game of a home-and-home between these Central Division rivals.
Glen Gulutzan’s Stars enter at 2-3-1, while Jared Bednar’s Avalanche are 4-2-0. Both clubs are playing for the second consecutive night.
Apparently, one meeting wasn’t enough punishment.
Colorado took the opener in Dallas, leaving the Stars an immediate opportunity to settle the score.
Martin Necas scored twice in Colorado’s 3-2 victory Tuesday. Nathan MacKinnon contributed two assists as the Avalanche earned the road win.
Tyler Seguin supplied a goal and an assist for Dallas. Roope Hintz also scored, but the Stars couldn’t complete their third-period comeback. Both coaching staffs now have less than a day to make adjustments.
That should make the opening period particularly entertaining.
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Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche Odds & Previous Games
The opening moneyline favors Colorado at -144, with Dallas at +122. The Stars are +1.5 (-211) on the puck line, while the Avalanche are -1.5 (+175). The total is 5.5 goals, with Over -134 and Under +108.
Dallas lost 2-1 in a shootout to Pittsburgh before Tuesday’s defeat. Earlier, the Stars shut out Buffalo 4-0 and San Jose 5-0.
Those defensive performances haven’t produced much breathing room in the standings.
Colorado recently defeated Calgary 7-3 and lost to Toronto 6-3. The Avalanche also dropped a 3-2 decision to Winnipeg. Their opening schedule has produced everything from offensive fireworks to narrow disappointments.
Colorado leads this season’s series 1-0. Dallas eliminated the Avalanche in seven games during the 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs.
These clubs don’t need much encouragement to renew hostilities.
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Avalanche Stats
Colorado has scored 29 goals through six games, averaging nearly five per contest. The Avalanche have recorded 51 assists. Their scoring depth has made them one of the NHL’s most dangerous early-season offenses.
The power play has produced five goals. Colorado’s quick puck movement gives opposing penalty killers very little time to recover.
That’s an unpleasant way to spend two minutes.
Nathan MacKinnon leads the Avalanche with 12 points, including five goals and seven assists. His combination of speed and playmaking drives Colorado’s attack.
Necas has become another dangerous option alongside MacKinnon. Artturi Lehkonen has also contributed important offense. Bednar has plenty of scoring options when his top forwards get rolling.
The Avalanche still need more consistency when defending their own zone.
Stars Stats
Dallas has scored 13 goals through six games, averaging a little more than two per contest. The Stars have recorded 23 assists. Their offense has struggled to produce sustained pressure against quality opponents.
Dallas has allowed only eight goals in regulation through its opening six games. Its defensive structure has helped compensate for inconsistent scoring.
The Stars can defend with anybody, but somebody eventually has to put the puck in the net.
Mikko Rantanen leads Dallas with six points. Roope Hintz and Jason Robertson remain important pieces of an attack capable of producing more.
Miro Heiskanen continues to provide puck movement from the blue line. Seguin has supplied timely offense and valuable veteran experience. Dallas needs those contributions to become a more dependable nightly feature.
The Stars must generate better chances at even strength to improve their results.
Stars vs. Avalanche Goalie Matchup
Colorado started Mackenzie Blackwood in Tuesday’s victory. He stopped 24 of 26 shots and delivered an important response after a difficult outing against Toronto. His work helped the Avalanche protect their lead.
Scott Wedgewood is another option for Wednesday. Colorado’s back-to-back schedule makes a change possible.
Bednar has a decision to make.
Dallas started Jake Oettinger on Tuesday, when he made 22 saves. Casey DeSmith is also available for the Stars. Neither team’s Wednesday starter has been confirmed.
Oettinger has already recorded two shutouts this season. His early work has helped Dallas remain competitive despite its scoring struggles.
That’s a demanding job description.
Colorado can challenge goaltenders with quick passing and traffic near the crease. Dallas prefers to limit dangerous chances and keep opponents to the outside. Establishing that preferred pace will be important for both clubs.
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Both teams face a demanding turnaround after Tuesday’s contest. Their goaltending decisions will influence how each coach manages the opening periods.
Cale Makar missed Tuesday for family reasons, and his availability for the rematch remains uncertain. Dallas was without Wyatt Johnston because of illness, leaving another lineup question entering Wednesday.
Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche bottom line: Colorado brings the stronger scoring attack, while Dallas needs disciplined defensive execution to keep this rematch competitive.
Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche Hockey Betting Trends
- Colorado has won 3 out of their last 5 games in the current season.
- Additionally, Dallas has lost 3 of their last 5 games this season.
- In their last 5 games, the Avalanche have scored 3 or more goals in 4 games.
- The Stars have held opponents to 2 goals or fewer in 3 of their last 5 games.
- Also, Colorado’s games have hit the over in 3 of their last 5 outings.
- Dallas has seen the under hit in 3 of their last 5 games.
Stars Avalanche Free Pick: Avalanche ML -144
Here is my Stars Avalanche free pick: I’m playing Colorado ML -144. Dallas had the first crack at these guys in its own building and still came away empty. Now the Stars have to fly into Denver and solve the same problem all over again.
Colorado doesn’t need another offensive explosion to justify this number. It needs to make Dallas chase the game instead of allowing the Stars to settle into a comfortable defensive rhythm.
That’s where this rematch gets interesting.
I’m laying -144 because Colorado has the better opportunity to dictate the terms of this second meeting.
Dallas has enough talent to respond, and division rivals rarely roll over politely. But the Stars have struggled to finish their chances, leaving precious little margin for another slow offensive night.
My NHL betting system likes a home favorite that can force an opponent away from its preferred style. Colorado fits that angle here, provided it stays out of the penalty box and doesn’t turn the evening into a parade of unnecessary whistles. I’ve seen enough of that circus. The Stars can talk about revenge during the flight. Colorado gets to make the decisions on the ice, and that’s the side of this number I want.
Avs -144 is the play.
Today’s NHL Free Pick
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Colorado Avalanche on X
DUB IN DALLAS ‼️ https://t.co/EMOwgg5sET
— Colorado Avalanche (@Avalanche) October 14, 2026
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