Free Divisional Round Prediction: Jaguars vs. Chiefs NFL Odds
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NFL Handicapping Analysis: 2023 Divisional Round – Jaguars vs. Chiefs
9-8 Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Kansas City Chiefs 14-3
Date: Saturday, January 21st
Time: 4:30
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium
NFL Divisional Round ATS Betting Lines: Jaguars +8.5 | Chiefs -8.5 (Bet Now!)
Divisional Round Moneyline Odds: Jaguars +334 | Chiefs -440
Today’s NFL Divisional Round NFL Betting Total: O/U 51.5
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Jacksonville Jaguars
On this occasion, heading into this Divisional Round contest vs Kansas City, the Jaguars have an overall record of 9-8. This includes going 8-4 in the AFC.
So far, in the 2022/23 season, Jacksonville has one of the better-scoring margins in the NFL, ranking 7th with an average differential of 3.18 points.
Also, the Jaguars have been favored in 12 of their 17 games. Even though the average point spread in those matchups was 4.
First thing to remember, in their last 5 games away from home, the Jaguars have a straight-up record of 3-2-0 while going 3-2 vs the spread.
4-1 ATS
The team’s offense averaged 23.4 points per game in these contests. Both against the spread and straight up, the Jaguars have played well in their last 5 games as the underdog, going 4-1 ATS and 4-1 SU.
Also, heading into this week’s matchup, the Jaguars have an over-under record of 8-9. For the season, Jacksonville has been one of the top-performing offenses averaging 23.76 points per contest.
On the positive side, the team has been tough on the other side of the ball, ranking 12th in points allowed.
Kansas City Chiefs
As Jacksonville prepares to take on the Chiefs, they have an overall record of 14-3. This includes going 9-3 in the AFC. On the season, Kansas City has one of the better-scoring margins in the NFL, ranking 4th with an average differential of 7.47 points.
So far, the Chiefs have been favored in 15 of their 17 games. The average point spread in these matchups is -8.
In their last 5 home games, Kansas City has averaged 24.8 points per game while allowing 15.6. Not to mention, the team’s record in this stretch was 5-0 while going 2-3.
2-3 ATS
In their last 5 games as the betting favorite, the Chiefs have a strong straight-up record of 5-0. So far, their ATS record was 2-3 in these scenarios.
On the negative side, heading into this week’s matchup, the Chiefs have an over-under record of 8-9.
So far, the Chiefs have put together the 1st ranked scoring offense at 29.18 points per game. However, the team has struggled on defense, giving up 21.71 points per contest.
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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting Trends:
- On the whole, Jacksonville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- So far, Jacksonville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
- Also, Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- Lastly, Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Free Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Kansas Chiefs NFL Betting Prediction: Chiefs ATS
What’s more, the Jaguars will be coming into this Divisional Round matchup with a ton of momentum after an incredible comeback win over the Chargers, I expect their season to come to an end vs Kansas City.
To that end, if Jacksonville falls behind early, I don’t see Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes making the same mistakes an inexperienced Chargers team made.
Additionally, given they are coming off a bye week, I expect Kansas City to have a strong offensive game plan. Look for big games from Travis Kelce and Jerick McKinnon, who has been excellent for the Chiefs down the stretch.
All in all, when it comes down to getting down the bet, I like Kansas City to cover at home.
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