NASCAR 2025 Handicapping Odds
Gamblers… ready for a 2025 NASCAR Xfinity 500 prediction, Free Picks & Odds betting breakdown? The Cup Series continues its 2025 season Sunday with the Xfinity 500 from Indianapolis Motor Speedway. As always, check back all season long for free picks on every NASCAR race to make the season a profitable one.
NASCAR 2025 Xfinity 500 Preview and Prediction
Founded: 1949 Race: 2025 NASCAR Xfinity 500 Track: Martinsville Speedway Location: Martinsville, Virginia Date: Sunday, October 26, 2026 Time: 2:00pm ET Broadcast: NBC
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NASCAR Handicapping
The NASCAR Cup Series playoffs continue on in Martinsville, Virginia this weekend with the Xfinity 500. Notably, this race is the final test of the Round of 8 — and therefore, the last shot for playoff drivers to grab a ticket into the Championship 4 at Phoenix Raceway.
Last weekend, Chase Briscoe capitalized on a Joey Logano slip to snag the win in the YellaWood 500. Impressively, it marked his eighth top-10 finish in the last nine races. Meanwhile, Christopher Bell finished eighth, closing the gap atop the standings and logging top-eight results in each of the last seven playoff events.
In last year’s race, Ryan Blaney powered Team Penske to victory with a late surge that saw him pass Chase Elliott with 15 laps to go. That move punched his ticket into the Championship 4 and fueled his run toward a second straight Cup title. For bettors seeking a reliable NASCAR Xfinity 500 prediction, Blaney’s dominance here is worth remembering.
Past Winners – Xfinity 500 (Last 10 Races)
Before locking in your bets, it’s wise to know who’s historically controlled this track. After all, while history may not repeat itself exactly, it often rhymes — particularly at Martinsville. Consequently, for anyone hunting for angles or team dominance patterns, this list offers valuable context.
So, with that in mind, let’s look at the past winners of the Xfinity 500.
- 2024 – #12 Ryan Blaney – Team Penske
- 2023 – #12 Ryan Blaney – Team Penske
- 2022 – #20 Christopher Bell – Joe Gibbs Racing
- 2021 – #48 Alex Bowman – Hendrick Motorsports
- 2020 – #9 Chase Elliott – Hendrick Motorsports
- 2019 – #19 Martin Truex Jr. – Joe Gibbs Racing
- 2018 – #22 Joey Logano – Team Penske
- 2017 – #18 Kyle Busch – Joe Gibbs Racing
- 2016 – #48 Jimmie Johnson – Hendrick Motorsports
- 2015 – #24 Jeff Gordon – Hendrick Motorsports
Complete NASCAR Xfinity 500 Betting Odds
Alright, you’ve seen the main contenders — now let’s dig deeper into the full odds board. As always, this is where the sharp bettors find edges. Occasionally, you’ll see mid-tier drivers mispriced, and that’s where opportunity knocks.
Accordingly, keep your eyes peeled because this is where true betting value often hides.
- Ryan Blaney +400
- Denny Hamlin +500
- Christopher Bell +600
- Kyle Larson +600
- Chase Elliott +650
- William Byron +750
- Joey Logano +800
- Chase Briscoe +2000
- Bubba Wallace +3000
- Josh Berry +3500
- Ross Chastain +4000
- Alex Bowman +4500
- Ty Gibbs +5000
- Brad Keselowski +6000
- Tyler Reddick +6500
- Austin Cindric +8000
- Ryan Preece +8000
- Carson Hocevar +8000
- Kyle Busch +8000
- Chris Buescher +8000
- Austin Dillon +20000
- Todd Gilliland +25000
- Noah Gragson +25000
- AJ Allmendinger +25000
- Daniel Suarez +25000
- Erik Jones +35000
- Zane Smith +35000
- Michael McDowell +35000
- Casey Mears +50000
- Ty Dillon +50000
- Shane van Gisbergen +50000
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +50000
- John Hunter Nemechek +50000
- Justin Haley +50000
- Cole Custer +50000
- Cody Ware +50000
- Riley Herbst +50000
Xfinity 500 Free Picks
2025 NASCAR Xfinity 500 Race Odds: Ryan Blaney +400
Blaney remains a go-to name for bettors whenever NASCAR rolls into Martinsville. Although he faded to P23 last week at Talladega, this track is his wheelhouse. He’s won here twice, and both came in playoff races. Therefore, for a solid NASCAR Xfinity 500 prediction, he’s hard to fade.
Oddsmakers agree, making him the betting favorite. Sometimes, the chalk play is the sharpest move.
2025 NASCAR Xfinity 500 Race Odds: Christopher Bell +600
Bell continues to hover near the top of the standings. Importantly, he’s 37 points above the cutoff and looking to clinch another Championship 4 berth. After all, he’s already proven he can win here — most notably in 2022’s playoff showdown.
Additionally, he’s riding consistent form, with a top-10 finish at Talladega and a P2 finish to Hamlin earlier this year at Martinsville. Hence, when crafting your NASCAR Xfinity 500 prediction, Bell checks nearly every statistical and situational box.
2025 NASCAR Xfinity 500 Race Odds: Chase Elliott +650
Elliott’s trip to Talladega last week was forgettable, ending in a wreck and P40. However, he’s 62 points below the cutline and needs a win to survive. Consequently, desperation could fuel a big performance.
Notably, the last time he won this race — back in 2020 — it sparked his Cup Series championship run. Don’t overlook him entirely when making your NASCAR Xfinity 500 prediction.
NASCAR Odds: William Byron +750
Byron finds himself sitting fifth in the playoff standings, meaning he’s outside looking in. Because of that, expect aggression from the jump. He’s already captured two wins here, though both came in spring races.
This time, cooler temps and playoff pressure could play to his advantage. Still, for your NASCAR Xfinity 500 prediction, balance form with risk — Byron’s ceiling is massive, but his floor is equally volatile.
NASCAR Odds: Joey Logano +800
Logano’s recent results have been underwhelming, with a P16 at Talladega following a slow Vegas run. Even so, he’s dangerous when cornered — and he knows how to race Martinsville. While it’s been years since his last win here (2018), he’s a consistent top-10 threat.
Before hammering any bets, evaluate track history, current form, and motivation. For another solid NASCAR Xfinity 500 prediction, Logano remains a legitimate sleeper.
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NASCAR Xfinity 500 Twitter Blast
This is the chance.
It’s now or never to make the #Championship4. pic.twitter.com/ExmKkukH8I — NASCAR (@NASCAR) October 21, 2025
Xfinity 500 Race Prediction: Final Thoughts & Best Bets
As always, there’s no shortage of ways to bet the 2025 Xfinity 500. You can hit outright winners, target top-5 or top-10 finishes, or lean into head-to-head matchups. Also, NASCAR futures betting is in play — for example, a $300 bet on a +1000 longshot pays $3,300 if they take the checkered flag.
In other words, there’s real profit potential if you time it right. Moreover, watch for qualifying results and practice speeds — they can shift lines fast, especially on race day. For bettors looking for a sharp edge, tracking those late changes could make all the difference in your NASCAR Xfinity 500 predictions.
To wrap up, we welcome your feedback on this NASCAR Xfinity 500 prediction and our weekly NASCAR free picks at Cappers Picks.
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