NASCAR 2023 Handicapping Odds
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NASCAR 2023 Bass Pro Shops Night Race Preview and Prediction
Founded: 19613
Race: 2023 Bass Pro Shops Night Race
Track: Bristol Motor Speedway
Location: Bristol, Tennessee
Date: Saturday, September 16, 2023
Time: 7:30pmET
Broadcast: USA
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NASCAR Handicapping
The Round of 16 wraps up Saturday with some short-track excitement under the lights at Bristol Motor Speedway – the season’s second race at Bristol. Only two drivers have clinched their spots in the Round of 12 – Kyle Larson and Tyler Reddick. Martin Truex Jr. is seven points out after losing a tire early at Kansas on Sunday, putting some pressure on him on Saturday.
Bristol Motor Speedway is only a half-mile in length, but is one of the more technically challenging tracks on the drivers’ schedule. Losing a tire or getting into a wreck puts you out of contention, and a mistake on pit road can sink a driver.
There were only a dozen drivers who finished on the lead lap last year.
NASCAR 2023 Bass Pro Shops Night Race Odds: Kyle Larson +550
Larson may have his spot in the Round of 16 locked up, but he’s tough to look past on the betting board any week. He’s won 16 times in 100 races for Hendrick Motorsports. He won at Bristol in 2021, and has led 850 laps on this track – the only place he’s led more laps is Dover.
With that, we know he’s comfortable here and that’s going to go a long way considering the surgical precision needed to come out on top here. He won Darlington and finished fourth at Kansas last week after leading 99 laps.
When he won here in 2021, he led 75 laps. Last year, he finished in the top five after leading 34 laps.
NASCAR 2023 Bass Pro Shops Night Race Odds: Brad Keselowski +850
Keselowski feels close to a win, and this could be the week he finally breaks through. In his last 10 races, he has seven top 10 finishes. Last week he led 23 laps and claimed another top 10 finish. His teammate won this race last year, so we know the car can win on this track.
He has three wins in 24 career races at Bristol.
Bet Now On Brad Keselowski +850!
NASCAR Odds: Kyle Busch +1200
Last week’s performance has to be considered a success for Busch who started P35 and navigated his way through the field to finish seventh. That followed a tough practice where he tagged the wall and couldn’t qualify.
He won on this track in 2022 in the Dirt race in his final year with Joe Gibbs racing before engine failure led to a 34th place finish in this race.
Bristol’s historically been a great place for Busch, who has eight wins in 33 races here, though it’s worth noting the last win came four years ago. In his career he’s led nearly 2,600 laps on this track.
NASCAR Odds: Ken Harvick +1400
Harvick feels like a near lock to finish inside the top 10, but wins have been harder to come by with the Ford driver of late. Last week he finished 11th at Kansas.
This week, his extensive experience at Bristol could come into play and push him over the top.
Harvick’s raced on this track 42 times, winning three times. In that time, he’s led nearly 1,200 laps on this track, and there could be some magic in his final race here.
NASCAR Odds: Erik Jones +6000
Jones hopes for a repeat of last year’s playoffs. While he wasn’t eligible for the playoffs last year, and isn’t again this year, that didn’t keep him from winning at Darlington.
This year, he followed up a 10th place finish at Darlington with a third place finish at Kansas.
He has finishes inside the top eight in three of the last four years, and led 260 laps en route to a runner-up finish in 2017.
Complete NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race Betting Odds
By the time this race is over, we should see the winner emerge from this pack.
2023 Bass Pro Shops Night Race Favorites
- Kyle Larson +550
- William Byron +750
- Denny Hamlin +750
- Christopher Bell +800
- Brad Keselowski +850
- Chase Elliott +1000
- Kyle Busch +1200
- Chris Buescher +1200
2023 Bass Pro Shops Night Race Value Bets
Overall, these guys chances to win aren’t that bad. Do you like one of them? Hit us back!
- Ross Chastain +1400
- Martin Truex Jr. +1400
- Kevin Harvick +1400
- Joey Logano +1400
- Tyler Reddick +1600
- Ryan Blaney +1600
- Bubba Wallace +2800
- Ty Gibbs +3500
2023 Bass Pro Shops Night Race Longshots
At this time, we’re not sure we love these guys chances this week!
- Alex Bowman +5500
- Erik Jones +6000
- Daniel Suarez +9000
- Aric Almirola +9000
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +10000
- Michael McDowell +10000
- Chase Briscoe +10000
- A.J. Allmendinger +15000
- Ryan Preece +25000
- Justin Haley +25000
- Carson Hocevar +25000
- Austin Dillon +25000
- Harrison Burton +40000
- Austin Cindric +40000
- Corey Lajoie +50000
- Ty Dillon +100000
- Todd Gilliland +100000
- JJ Yeley +100000
- Cole Custer +100000
- B.J. McLeod +100000
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