Free MLB Pick: Phillies vs. Marlins Odds
Looking for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Phillies taking on the Marlins on at LoanDepot park, Miami Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Phillies Marlins free pick.
2022 MLB Handicapping
(47-43-0) Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins (43-46-0)
Date: Sunday, July 17th
Time: 01:40 ETPM ET
Venue: LoanDepot park Miami
Projected Pitchers: Aaron Nola vs. Trevor Rogers
MLB Moneyline Odds: Phillies -155 Marlins 130
MLB run line Betting Odds: Phillies +1.5, Marlins -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.0
Philadelphia Phillies
Heading into the game, the Philadelphia Phillies have an overall record of 47-43-0. When playing on the road, the team has gone 24-22. In the NL East division, Philadelphia currently sits 3rd So far, the team has gone 48-43-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 66.0% of their games. The Phillies’ over-under record is 47-42-2.
For Philadelphia, Aaron Nola gets the start with an overall record of 5-7. His current ERA sits at 3.35, similar to the MLB average for starting pitchers. So far, he is lasting an average of 6.56 innings per outing, as well as 9.66 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 1.14 per 9. In total, Nola has given up 13 home runs.
Throughout the season, the Phillies have not had to turn to their bullpen for major innings. The team’s relievers have a combined ERA of 3.72.
During the season, the Philadelphia Phillies have performed well on offense, averaging 4.63 runs per game. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of 48.0. On offense, the Phillies have a team batting average of 0.244, placing them 13th in the league. On their balls in play, Philadelphia has the 7th ranked BABIP of 0.275. In terms of stolen bases, the Phillies are doing so near the league average, at 0.77 per game.
Philadelphia has been strong on defense, ranking 8th in fewest errors at 0.47 per game. Currently, the team is ranked 0.77 in double plays turned.
Heading into the game, the Miami Marlins have an overall record of 43-46-0. When playing at home, the team has gone 22-21. In the NL East division, Miami currently sits 4th So far, the team has gone 44-46-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 54.0% of their games. The Marlinss’ over-under record is 42-43-5.
For Miami, Trevor Rogers gets the start with an overall record of 4-8. He comes into the game with an elevated ERA of 5.42. So far, he is lasting an average of 4.59 innings per outing. as well as 8.54 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 4.5 per 9. In total, Rogers has given up 10 home runs.
Throughout the season, the Marlins have not had to turn to their bullpen for major innings. This group has one of the highest ERA’s among MLB bullpens at 3.98.
So far, the Miami Marlins have been scoring runs at a rate similar to the league average, at 4.17 runs per game. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of 2.0. On offense, the Marlins have a team batting average of 0.239, placing them 21st in the league. Miami’s batting average on balls in play of 0.25 is ranked average. In terms of stolen bases, the Marlins are doing so near the league average, at 0.83 per game.
In the field, Miami averages 0.54 errors per game, placing them near the league average. During the season, the team is averaging 0.83 double plays per game.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia’s last 9 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia’s last 7 games on the road
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami’s last 6 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games at home
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins MLB Prediction:
Heading into this game, the pitching matchup favors the Philadelphia Phillies. In addition to holding the edge in ERA, Aaron Nola he has the better WHIP of 0.92 compared to Trevor Rogers at 1.58. Nola will be facing a Marlins offense with a team batting average of 0.239 (21st). Rogers faces a Phillies offense that has a batting average of 0.244 (13th).
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