Free MLB Pick: Yankees vs Astros Odds
Looking for New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros free playoff predictions? MLB betting sees the Yankees taking on the Astros on Saturday, October 21, 2017 at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas in Game 7 of the AL Championship Series. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all playoffs long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Yankees Astros free pick.
2017 ALCS Game 7: (6-5) New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros (6-4)
Date: Saturday, October 21, 2017
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX.
Projected Pitchers: CC Sabathia vs. Charlie Morton
MLB Moneyline Odds: New York +116 / Houston -126
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: New York -185 / Houston +1650
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 8.0 (Over -110 / Under -110)
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New York Yankees
If you believe momentum is a thing in playoff baseball, the Yankees squandered three games worth of it in Game 6. Luis Severino couldn’t quite hang with Justin Verlander, blinking first in the fourth inning, and the Astros lived to play a Game 7 with a 7–1 win at home.
There’s no denying the Yankees’ greatness at their home stadium in this postseason, just as there’s no denying their struggles to win away from it. New York is 1–5 on the road in the playoffs, and winless in three games at Minute Maid Park.
That’s where they have to win tonight. CC Sabathia makes his fourth start of the postseason and he’s been money in the first three.
He had the Yankees in position to beat Corey Kluber in Game 2 before the bullpen let him down in a game Cleveland eventually won, 9–8. Then of course he came back to start the Yankees’ Game 5 win.
His six shutout innings were as big as any in Game 3 to get the Yankees back in the series.
He may not produce the regular season consistency he once did as a Cy Young, but Sabathia clearly still has that sort of ability somewhere inside of him that he can tap when needed the most.
He has four days of rest in the tank and he will empty it tonight. Expect CC to be at his best.
Charlie Morton is the bigger question of the two starting pitchers. He had a fine regular season But he was iffy in a bend-but-don’t-break Game 3 start in the ALDS and got torched at Yankee Stadium in the game that Sabathia turned in a gem.
He was a victim of some bad luck in that game, highlighted by Todd Frazier’s excuse me, one-handed home run to right field. But Morton’s confidence is the biggest concern for Houston ahead of Game 7.
If it isn’t steady going into the game, or doesn’t solidify with a good first inning, the Astros will have to play from behind against Sabathia.
Of course, that’s not nearly as big of an issue for this offense at Minute Maid Park as it was at Yankee Stadium. Houston is a different team playing in front of its home crowd and that crowd will be even more overwhelming tonight in a series that’s become one between the home crowds almost as much as the players themselves.
Houston must feel fortunate to have the decider; and that is why the regular season matters so much (sometimes), folks.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- NYY are 1-8 in their last 9 playoff road games.
- Under is 7-1 in NYY last 8 Sat. games.
- NYY are 7-1 in their last 8 Sat. games.
- Over is 9-3 in HOU last 12 games following a win.
- HOU are 20-7 in their last 27 overall.
- HOU are 20-7 in their last 27 games on grass.
- Head to Head: Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
- Head to Head: Under is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings in Houston.
Free New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros MLB Prediction: the Astros’ crowd propels them to the World Series.
This game comes down to the first two innings of Charlie Morton. I expect Sabathia will be tough and that the Astros will have to win this game with four runs or fewer. If the Yankees will get to Morton, it will be early.
But if he can keep them off the board the first time through the lineup, he will have enough confidence to bridge things to the bullpen, where Musgrove and McCullers and waiting, along with the usual names.
The difference for Morton will be the environment. He hasn’t been good in the playoffs so far, but he’s been on the road in both starts. He will be a different pitcher this time around.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Under 8.0 (-110)
But more so than a home win, I suspect this game to be low-scoring. I believe in Sabathia and do not feel the same way about the Yankees’ offense away from home. This will be a man’s game and that means quiet nights for Judge and Sanchez.
MLB Free Score Prediction: New York 2 – Houston 4
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