Free MLB Pick: Twins vs. Diamondbacks Odds
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2022 MLB Handicapping
(37-29-0) Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (31-35-0)
Date: Sunday, June 19th
Time: 04:10 ETPM ET
Venue: Chase Field Arizona
Projected Pitchers: Chris Archer vs. Merrill Kelly
MLB Moneyline Odds: Twins -120 Diamondbacks 100
MLB run line Betting Odds: Twins +1.5, Diamondbacks -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9.5
Minnesota Twins
Heading into the game, the Minnesota Twins have an overall record of 37-29-0. When playing on the road, the team has gone 17-15. In the AL Central division, Minnesota currently sits 1st So far, the team has gone 30-36-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 67.0% of their games. The Twins’ over-under record is 30-31-5.
For Minnesota, Chris Archer gets the start with an overall record of 1-2. His current ERA sits at 3.35, similar to the MLB average for starting pitchers. So far, he is lasting an average of 4.01 innings per outing, as well as 6.89 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 4.28 per 9. In total, Archer has given up 6 home runs.
So far, the Twins bullpen has been one of the most used groups in the league. The team’s relievers have a combined ERA of 3.77.
So far, the Minnesota Twins have been scoring runs at a rate similar to the league average, at 4.36 runs per game. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of 21.0. The Twins come into the game with a strong team batting average of 0.251. Minnesota’s batting average on balls in play of 0.261 is ranked 13th. With runners on base, the Twins are averaging just 0.73 stolen bases per game.
In the field, Minnesota averages 0.55 errors per game, placing them near the league average. The team’s defense is turning double plays at a rate below the league average, at 0.73 per contest.
Heading into the game, the Arizona Diamondbacks have an overall record of 31-35-0. When playing at home, the team has gone 16-18. In the NL West division, Arizona currently sits 4th So far, the team has gone 38-28-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 23.0% of their games. The Diamondbacks’ over-under record is 28-36-2.
For Arizona, Merrill Kelly gets the start with an overall record of 5-4. His current ERA sits at 3.68, similar to the MLB average for starting pitchers. So far, he is lasting an average of 5.46 innings per outing. as well as 7.73 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 3.68 per 9. In total, Kelly has given up 4 home runs.
So far, the Diamondbacks bullpen has been one of the most used groups in the league. This group has one of the highest ERA’s among MLB bullpens at 4.37.
So far, the Arizona Diamondbacks have been scoring runs at a rate similar to the league average, at 4.11 runs per game. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of -31.0. The Diamondbacks head into the game ranked just 28th in team batting average. On their balls in play, Arizona has the 7th ranked BABIP of 0.276. On the base paths, the Diamondbacks have put pressure on opposing pitchers, ranked 7th in the MLB in steals.
Arizona has struggled in the field, ranking below average in errors committed, at 0.68 per game. Throughout the season, the team has done a good job turning double plays, averaging 0.88 per contest.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games
- Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
- Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Prediction:
Heading into this game, the pitching matchup favors the Minnesota Twins. In addition to holding the edge in ERA, Chris Archer has the better WHIP of 1.34 compared to Merrill Kelly at 1.35. I expect a strong performance from Chris Archer, as the Diamondbacks’ offense is ranked just 28th. Kelly has a tough matchup against a Twins offense ranked 8th in batting average.
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