Free MLB Pick: Brewers vs. Red Sox Odds
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2022 MLB Handicapping
(56-44-0) Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox (50-51-0)
Date: Sunday, July 31st
Time: 01:35 ETPM ET
Venue: Fenway Park Boston
Projected Pitchers: Aaron Ashby vs. Josh Winckowski
MLB Moneyline Odds: Brewers -125 Red Sox 105
MLB run line Betting Odds: Brewers +1.5, Red Sox -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9.5
Milwaukee Brewers
Heading into the game, the Milwaukee Brewers have an overall record of 56-44-0. When playing on the road, the team has gone 30-24. In the NL Central division, Milwaukee currently sits 1st So far, the team has gone 44-57-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 84.0% of their games. The Brewers’ over-under record is 51-45-5.
For Milwaukee, Aaron Ashby gets the start with an overall record of 2-8. He comes into the game with an elevated ERA of 4.38. So far, he is lasting an average of 4.0 innings per outing, as well as 10.89 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 3.91 per 9. In total, Ashby has given up 10 home runs.
Throughout the season, the Brewers have not had to turn to their bullpen for major innings. The team’s relievers have a combined ERA of 3.89.
During the season, the Milwaukee Brewers have performed well on offense, averaging 4.63 runs per game. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of 40.0. On offense, the Brewers have a team batting average of 0.238, placing them 22nd in the league. Milwaukee combined batting average on balls in play is just 0.186. Placing them 30th. In terms of stolen bases, the Brewers are doing so near the league average, at 0.77 per game.
In the field, Milwaukee averages 0.55 errors per game, placing them near the league average. Currently, the team is ranked 0.77 in double plays turned.
Heading into the game, the Boston Red Sox have an overall record of 50-51-0. When playing at home, the team has gone 25-26. In the AL East division, Boston currently sits 5th. So far, the team has gone 52-50-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 55% of their games. The Red Sox’s over-under record is 47-48-7.
For Boston, Josh Winckowski gets the start with an overall record of 3-5. He comes into the game with an elevated ERA of 5.17. So far, he is lasting an average of 5.0 innings per outing. as well as 6.08 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 3.38 per 9. In total, Winckowski has given up 6 home runs.
So far, the Red Sox bullpen has been one of the most used groups in the league. This group has one of the highest ERA’s among MLB bullpens at 4.25.
So far, the Boston Red Sox have been scoring runs at a rate similar to the league average, at 4.52 runs per game. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of -17.0. The Red Sox come into the game with a strong team batting average of 0.254. On their balls in play, Boston has the 10th ranked BABIP of 0.267. On the base paths, the Red Sox have put pressure on opposing pitchers, ranked 11th in the MLB in steals.
Boston has been strong on defense, ranking 7th in fewest errors at 0.46 per game. Throughout the season, the team has done a good job turning double plays, averaging 0.82 per contest.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
- Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
- The total has gone OVER in 13 of Boston’s last 19 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston’s last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Prediction:
Heading into this game, the pitching matchup favors the Milwaukee Brewers. In addition to holding the edge in ERA, Aaron Ashby he has the better WHIP of 1.42 compared to Josh Winckowski at 1.5. Ashby will be facing a Red Sox offense ranked 5th in batting average. Winckowski faces a Brewers offense that has a batting average of 0.238 (22nd).
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