Free MLB Pick: Dodgers vs. Padres Odds
Looking for Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Dodgers taking on the Padres on Wednesday, March 20th, 2024 at Gocheok Sky Dome, in San Diego, None. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Dodgers Padres free pick.
2023 MLB Handicapping – Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres
(0-0) Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres (0-0)
Date: Wednesday, March 20th
Time: 6:05 ET
Venue: Gocheok Sky Dome Seoul, None
Projected Starting Pitchers: Tyler Glasnow vs. Yu Darvish
MLB Moneyline Odds: Dodgers -194 | Padres +161 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Dodgers -1.5 | Padres +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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It’s a late-night NL West matchup in Seoul, South Korea, as the Los Angeles Dodgers take on the San Diego Padres. First pitch is set for 6:05 pm ET, and you can catch the action on ESPN. Tyler Glasnow gets the start for the Dodgers, while Yu Darvish will be on the mound for the Padres.
Oddsmakers have the Dodgers as the favorite in this one, with a money line of -194 compared to the Padres at +161. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, with the over paying out at -123 compared to the under at +101.
Los Angeles Dodgers
Despite their impressive regular season, the Dodgers were bounced from the playoffs by the Diamondbacks in a three-game sweep in the NLDS. Today, they are heavy favorites on the road against the Padres, as they are listed at -194 on the money line.
Last season, the Dodgers were 100-62, which was good for the top spot in the NL West and the second-best record in the National League. In the postseason, they went 88-50 as the favorite and 12-12 as the underdog.
At home, the Dodgers were 53-28 compared to 47-34 on the road. In night games, they were an impressive 74-40 but just 26-22 in day games.
Los Angeles’ series record last season was 33-16-2, and their overall record against NL West opponents was 34-18.
Today’s game between the Dodgers and Padres is a night game.
As the road favorite last season, the Dodgers went 35-27, while they were 12-7 as the road underdog.
Last season, the Dodgers had an average run differential of +1.3 runs per game and went 91-71 vs. the run line. Their run line record at home was 42-39 compared to 49-32 on the road. In games they covered the run line, their average scoring margin was +4.7 runs per game compared to -3.1 runs per game in games they didn’t cover. Overall, they were favored in 85.2% of their games, going 74-64 in those contests.
When it comes to the Dodgers, their games averaged a combined 9.9 runs per game last season, and their over/under record for the year was 88-66. On average, their games had an over/under line of 8.9 runs, and 51.2% of their games had higher O/U lines than today’s 8.5-run total.
Dodgers Stats
Despite finishing 6th in the league in home runs, the Dodgers were the 2nd highest-scoring team in the league last season, averaging 5.5 runs per game. On the road, they were the top-scoring team in the league at 5.9 runs per game. Their power numbers were also impressive, as they finished 2nd in both slugging percentage and isolated power (ISO). At home, they were 3rd in ISO and hit .245 as a team.
The Dodgers will be led by Mookie Betts and Max Muncy, who combined for 75 home runs and 212 runs batted in last season. Betts hit .307 and slugged .579, while Muncy hit .212 and slugged .475. Freddie Freeman led the team in hits last season and hit .331, while Shohei Ohtani hit .304 and slugged .654 for the Angels last season.
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San Diego Padres
Despite finishing with a winning record last season, the Padres missed out on the playoffs. San Diego’s overall record was 82-80, which placed them 9th in the National League and 3rd in the NL West.
At home, the Padres went 44-37 compared to 38-43 on the road. In night games, San Diego was 56-50, but just 26-30 in day games. As the favorite, the Padres went 69-55 but were just 13-25 as the underdog.
Today, the Padres are listed as the underdog against the Dodgers at +161 on the money line. Last season, San Diego went 13-25 as the underdog and 2-6 as the home underdog.
At home last season, the Padres had a run line record of 41-40 compared to 39-42 on the road. Overall, their average scoring margin was +0.6 runs per game. In games they won, their scoring margin was +4.3 runs per game, compared to -3.1 runs per game in losses. For the season, San Diego’s run line record was 80-82. They were the favorite in 76.5% of their games, going 61-63 in those contests.
Last season, the Padres’ games had an average over/under line of 8.8 runs, and their O/U record for the season was 66-86. Their games averaged a combined 8.6 runs per game, and 53.7% of their games finished with fewer than 8.5 runs. When their over/under line was 8.5 runs, the O/U record was 20-30.
Padres Stats
San Diego’s offense was 13th in runs per game last season, averaging 4.6 runs per contest. They were one of the best teams in the league at drawing walks, ranking 1st in that category. On the road, the Padres averaged 4.8 runs per game compared to 4.5 at home. In terms of strikeouts, they were 8th in the MLB, and their .244 team batting average was 13th. Overall, their WOBA was 11th in the league.
San Diego’s top returning home run hitter from last season was Manny Machado, who hit 30 home runs and drove in 91 runs. Machado finished the season with a slugging percentage of .462 and a batting average of .258. Fernando Tatis Jr. also had a strong season for the Padres last year, hitting 25 home runs and driving in 78 runs. Xander Bogaerts led the team in hits last season, finishing the year with a batting average of .285 and a slugging percentage of .440. The Padres also added Kyle Higashioka to their roster this offseason. Higashioka hit 10 home runs and drove in 34 runs last season for the Yankees.
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Starting Pitcher Matchup
Coming off a season in which he made 21 starts, Tyler Glasnow is set to take the mound for the Dodgers. Last year, he went 10-7 with an ERA of 3.52. In terms of WHIP, Glasnow finished the season at 1.08. When it came to batting average allowed, the right-hander held opponents to a .199 mark. Glasnow’s FIP for the season was 2.91, and he finished the year with nine quality starts. Last season, Glasnow averaged 12.15 strikeouts per nine innings and 2.78 walks per nine innings. Overall, he allowed 13 home runs and finished the season with a strikeouts-to-walks ratio of 4.4.
Yu Darvish is coming off a season in which he made 24 starts and finished with a record of 8-10. His ERA for the season was 4.55, and he made 10 quality starts. Last season, Darvish made two appearances against the Dodgers, going 1-0 with an ERA of 1.31. For the season, Darvish allowed a total of 18 home runs and finished with a strikeouts-per-nine rate of 9.31. His walks-per-nine rate for the season was 2.84, and he finished with a strikeouts-to-walk ratio of 3.3.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Dodgers head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Dodgers they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Padres are 9-1 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Padres have a 7-3 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Dodgers are 0-3 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Padres have a record of 3-0 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our model has the Dodgers winning this game 5-4. We like the over in this game, as we have both teams projected to score at least four runs. The over/under is set at 8.5, but we have the teams combining for nine runs.
As for the starting pitchers, we have Yu Darvish giving up five earned runs in five innings, while Tyler Glasnow is projected to allow three earned runs in four innings. We also have Glasnow striking out six batters, compared to seven for Darvish.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
It all starts in Seoul. pic.twitter.com/jWtWah12nI
— San Diego Padres (@Padres) March 20, 2024
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