Free MLB Pick: Astros vs Red Sox Odds
Looking for Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox free playoff predictions? MLB betting sees the Astros taking on the Red Sox on Monday, October 9, 2017 at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts in the AL Divisional Series Game 4. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all playoffs long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Astros Red Sox free pick.
2017 ALDS Game 4: (2-1) Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox (1-2)
Date: Monday, October 9, 2017
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA.
Projected Pitchers: Rick Porcello vs. Charlie Morton
MLB Moneyline Odds: Houston -115 / Boston +105
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Houston +130 / Boston -150
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 10.5 (Over -100 / Under -120)
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The first thing to know about Monday’s Game 4 is that it may not happen. It’s supposed to rain in Boston all afternoon, the aftereffects of the latest hurricane down south.
It also could be at 1 pm or 7, depending on whether or not there is another ALDS game in New York. If the Yankees lose on Sunday night, the game at Fenway will be in the evening. As I write tonight, it’s 0–0 in the Bronx and Andrew Miller is just entering the game.
It sure looked like Houston was going to sweep after the first inning in Game 3. The ‘Stros hit Doug Fister for three runs in the first.
But Mookie Betts stole a three-run homer that would have made it 6–0 and that ignited the Red Sox. They scored 10 unanswered and won 10–3.
Houston will come back with Charlie Morton in Game 4. There aren’t a lot of Boston fans who know who he is but I suspect he will give the Red Sox problems when he finally gets his chance to pitch in this series. He’s been so solid, whenever he has been healthy, this season.
Boston Red Sox
The Sox had to really stress themselves to just avoid a sweep on Sunday. David Price was phenomenal in four full innings of relief and Boston broke it open with six runs in the seventh to solidify its win.
Price won’t be available on Monday; Chris Sale might but John Farrell will be reluctant to use him. Craig Kimbrel hasn’t pitched in this series but Farrell only seems keen to use him in a save situation. That leaves Rick Porcello to start the game after a brief mop-up appearance in Game 1.
I can’t imagine that going well. Porcello gives up a ton of homers and the Astros are locked and loaded. Farrell may have a short leash with his reigning Cy Young but it may not matter if the ‘Stros put up three or four before he’s out of the game.
And if Porcello does get yanked early, who goes for Boston? It could be Drew Pomeranz on short rest or it could be Eduardo Rodriguez. Neither option sounds particularly appealing to me. A lot of times the team that gets down early in a series will burn through all their options just to get back into a series, only to lose in the decisive game. It feels like Boston might have done everything it could just to avoid a sweep. And that Game 4 may not be close.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- HOU are 7-1 in their last 8 road games.
- Over is 8-2 in HOU last 10 overall.
- Over is 8-2 in HOU last 10 on grass.
- Over is 7-2 in BOS last 9 overall.
- Over is 7-2 in BOS last 9 on grass.
- Over is 8-3-2 in BOS last 13 playoff home games.
- Head to Head: Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Boston.
- Head to Head: Over is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings.
Free Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros MLB Prediction: the Astros finish the Sox.
Mookie Betts looks hurt to me. He’ll play and he’ll give an all-out effort; his defense will be spectacular in right field; but his power is nonexistent. Boston already has enough slugging issues when Betts is a 20+ homer presence.
Scoring is that much more difficult when all their cleanup hitter can do is ground a single through the infield every three or four at-bats.
Meanwhile, Houston looks confident against every pitcher Boston has to offer, minus David Price. He won’t be available on Monday and I expect Houston to tee off. Chris Sale has had no luck, nor has Drew Pomeranz or Doug Fister. I can’t imagine Rick Porcello tames the Astros.
Charlie Morton will do a job; the offense will escort Porcello from the ballgame rather early; and Houston will take care of the Red Sox before Game 5 back in Texas.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Houston -1.5 (+130)
And they will do it by a wide margin of victory.
MLB Free Score Prediction: Houston 7 – Boston 3
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