Free MLB Pick: Orioles vs. Rays Odds
Looking for Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Orioles taking on the Rays on 7/18 at George M. Steinbrenner Field, in Tampa Bay. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Orioles Rays free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays
(43-52) Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays (50-47)
Date: Jul 18, 2025
Time: 7:35 PM ET
Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa Bay, FL
Projected Starting Pitchers: Charlie Morton vs. Taj Bradley
MLB Moneyline Odds: Orioles +104 | Rays -124 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Orioles +1.5 | Rays -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9.0
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Orioles vs. Rays Gameday
The Baltimore Orioles are hitting the road to face the Tampa Bay Rays at George M. Steinbrenner Field. This game is set for Friday, July 18, 2025, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:35 PM. Fans can catch the game on MASN.
For Baltimore, interim manager Tony Mansolino leads the team. The Orioles have a record of 43-52 this season. They find themselves 11 games behind in the AL East division standings. They have struggled on the road with a 21-27 record.
Tampa Bay, under the guidance of manager Kevin Cash, holds a season record of 50-47. The Rays sit 5 games back in the AL East race. At home, they have a slightly better performance with a 28-25 record.
As the game approaches, the weather forecast predicts a very hot day with a light breeze. Light rain is also expected, which might affect play. Fans should prepare for possible weather delays.
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Orioles vs. Rays Odds & Last 5
The odds for this game show the Rays as slight favorites at -123 on the moneyline. Meanwhile, the Orioles are set at +104. On the runline, the Orioles are given +1.5 at -193, while the Rays have -1.5 at +164. The total runs are set at 9.0, with the over at -107 and the under at -113.
The Orioles are coming off a rough patch, having lost their last two games against the Marlins. They managed only one run in their last game, a 1-11 loss. However, they did secure a win against the Mets earlier, scoring five runs in that contest.
The Rays have also had a challenging stretch, losing their last four games against the Red Sox. They scored only one run in their most recent outing. Their last victory came against the Tigers, where they put up seven runs.
Rays Stats
The Tampa Bay Rays lead the league with a .258 batting average this season. Their ability to get on base ranks ninth with an on-base percentage of .318. However, they sit at 12th in slugging percentage with .405, showing room for improvement in power hitting.
Junior Caminero is a standout player for the Rays. He leads the team with 23 home runs, ranking eighth in the league. His slugging percentage of .499 shows his ability to hit for power.
On the mound, the Rays have an earned run average of 3.78, which ranks ninth. Their pitchers have held opponents to a .236 batting average, placing them sixth in the league. They are second in quality starts with 48, showing consistent performances from their starters.
Recently, the Rays have struggled, losing four out of their last five games. Despite this, they had a strong showing against the Detroit Tigers, winning 7-3 with 16 hits. The team will look to regain momentum in their upcoming games.
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Orioles Stats
The Baltimore Orioles are having a season with mixed results at the plate. They hold a batting average of .239, which ranks 15th in the league. Their on-base percentage is .304, placing them 16th. They have hit 111 home runs, ranking 11th, and have 150 doubles, ranking 14th. However, they struggle with drawing walks, ranking 25th with 264, and have struck out 831 times, placing them 21st.
On the mound, the Orioles have an earned run average of 4.93, ranking 25th in the league. Opponents are batting .268 against them, which ranks 18th. They have given up 132 home runs, placing them 22nd. The team has managed 28 quality starts, ranking 13th, and have blown 12 saves, ranking 3rd. They have recorded 784 strikeouts, putting them 16th in the league.
In recent games, the Orioles have shown inconsistency. They suffered two losses against the Miami Marlins, with scores of 1-11 and 0-6. However, they secured a win against the Marlins with a 5-2 score. Prior to that, they won two games against the New York Mets, with scores of 7-3 and 3-1. This pattern indicates a struggle to maintain momentum.
Gunnar Henderson leads the Orioles with a .280 batting average and 49 runs. Jackson Holliday follows with a .259 average and 39 runs. Ryan O’Hearn has a .286 average and 38 runs. These players are key to the team’s success. Adley Rutschman and Ramón Urías contribute with their performances, but the team needs more consistency to improve their standing.
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Orioles vs. Rays Pitching Matchup
Charlie Morton takes the mound for the Baltimore Orioles. He has an ERA of 5.18 and a WHIP of 1.52. Morton’s win-loss record stands at 5-7, and he has shown inconsistency this season.
On the other side, Taj Bradley will start for the Tampa Bay Rays. His ERA is 4.60, with a WHIP of 1.27. Bradley’s record is 5-6, and he has been more reliable in recent games.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Baseball Betting Trends
- The Rays have lost four of their last five games straight-up.
- Also, the Rays have hit the under in four of their last five games.
- The Orioles have lost two of their last three games straight-up.
- The Orioles have hit the over in three of their last five games.
- The Rays have covered the run line once in their last five games.
- Additionally, the Orioles have covered the run line twice in their last five games.
Orioles vs Rays Prediction: Under 9
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit a rough patch, dropping four of their last five straight-up. Even more telling? They’ve stayed under the total in four of those five games. That’s a strong signal that scoring has been down — and it may stay that way.
Meanwhile, the Baltimore Orioles have been a bit livelier at the plate. They’ve cashed the over in three of their last five contests. But let’s not overreact. The bigger picture — including the Rays’ under-heavy trend — still leans toward a lower-scoring affair.
Tampa’s pitching hasn’t exactly been dominant, yet it has managed to limit damage enough to support these under trends. Add in the fact that both lineups have been inconsistent, and it sets up for another grinder.
What’s more, the forecast calls for light rain, which often dampens offense. Slick conditions tend to favor pitchers and fielders, not big bats.
Taking all this into account, the Under 9 stands out as the smart bet. It aligns with the recent trends, weather outlook, and both teams’ current form.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
So proud of our guys #AllStarGame | #HRDerby | #RaysUp pic.twitter.com/JdlNzTkKAw
— Tampa Bay Rays (@RaysBaseball) July 16, 2025
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