Louisiana Derby Handicapping Picks
Horse racing gamblers are you looking for 2023 Lousiana Derby Free Pick & Handicapping Odds…plus some predictions? Need some advice on who to take? The 2023 Louisiana Derby is set for March 25 at Fair Grounds Race Course in New Orleans, Louisiana. Here’s a preview of our top contenders.
Louisiana Derby Preview
- Race: Louisiana Derby
- Purse: $1 million
- Track: Fair Grounds
- Date: March 25
- Post Time: 6:42 PM (ET)
- Live: Louisiana Derby Odds: Click Here
2023 Louisiana Derby Racebooks / Betting Apps We Like!
Before we can give you our expert 2023 Louisiana Derby free pick, we have to break down the entries! In fact, we’d love to hear from you after you’ve given this post a read to see if you see an angle that we don’t!
2023 Louisiana Derby Handicapping
The feature event of the Fair Grounds Race Course winter meet is on tap this Saturday with the running of the (G2) Louisiana Derby.
In addition to the $1 million overall purse, the field will be chasing Kentucky Derby qualifying points to be awarded to the top five finishers on a 100-40-30-20-10 scale. In general it takes 40 points to make the Derby field, so as can be seen both the winner and runner-up could be punching their ticket to the big race.
While the LA Derby has not produced a Kentucky Derby winner since 1996, each of the past two winners have gone on to run second at Churchill on the first Saturday of May.
The race has drawn a field of 11 to race 1 3/16 miles on the Fair Grounds dirt track.
Odds listed here are provided by the Fair Grounds track oddsmaker.
2023 Louisiana Derby Free Pick & Handicapping: Instant Coffee Race Odds: 2-1
With three wins so far in four lifetime starts, Instant Coffee gets the nod as the ML favourite for the LA Derby and will try to win his second of three Fair Grounds derby preps.
He was last seen winning the (G3) Lecomte Stakes over the same track back in January. Prior to that he won the (G2) Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes at Churchill and at this time sits ninth on the Derby leaderboard with 32 points.
He’s one of three in the race for trainer Brad Cox who won the race in 2020. The jockey is Luis Saez.
2023 Louisiana Derby Stakes Free Pick & Handicapping: Kingsbarns Race Odds: 6-1
The lightly raced Kingsbarns will be making just his third lifetime start and is presently two-for-two in his racing career.
He broke his maiden at first asking going one mile at Gulfstream Park and then popped off a big 100 Equibase speed rating next out while winning by more than seven lengths again going one mile at Tampa Bay Downs. This will be his first start at the stakes level.
Trainer Todd Pletcher has won the LA Derby a record four times. Flavian Prat will ride.
Tapit’s Conquest Race Odds: 10-1
Although he was a somewhat disappointing fourth place finisher as the second favourite in last month’s Risen Star Stakes at the Fair Grounds, Tapit’s Conquest had previously showed lots of promise with a pair of runner-up finishes to go with a maiden win.
Regardless of the results, he has shown consistently good speed in both of his last two and a repeat of those efforts should be enough to get him in the mix here.
He’s another Brad Cox entry, while Manny Franco will be in the irons.
Jace’s Road Race Odds: 12-1
Already with five starts to his name – the last four of those at the stakes level – Jace’s Road has had somewhat erratic results, with two wins and a third to go along with fifth-place and eighth-place finishes, the former of those last out in the (G3) Southwest Stakes.
However, it’s important to realize both of his poor finishes came over sloppy tracks, and given a dry surface to work with he very well could outrun his odds, although he will have to overcome a tough outside post draw.
He’s the third of the Brad Cox trained trio, and two-time race winner Florent Geroux will ride.
Here’s My 2023 Louisiana Derby Free Pick.
There are two ways to look at the LA Derby – either you like Instant Coffee and you take him with the hope the odds remain in the 2-1 range, or you try to find value somewhere in the field.
While certainly a deserving favourite here, I’m simply not overwhelmed with his races so far and thus I’m in the latter camp. I think this is a pretty wide-open race, and a small move forward by any of them could produce the win.
I liked Tapit’s Conquest in the Risen Star and am willing to use him somewhere here again, although I do have concerns about the distance. That being the case, I’ll take a bit of a shot and put Kingsbarns on top.
Full Field: 2023 Lousiana Derby Odds
By post position
- #1 – Shopper’s Revenge 12-1
- #2 – Instant Coffee 2-1
- #3 – Curly Jack 12-1
- #4 – Sun Thunder 5-1
- #5 – Disarm 10-1
- #6 – Kingsbarns 6-1
- #7 – Cagliostro 12-1
- #8 – Single Ruler 15-1
- #9 – Tapit’s Conquest 10-1
- #10 – Denington 12-1
- #11 – Jace’s Road 12-1
- #12 – Baseline Beater 20-1
Louisiana Derby Tweet Of The Day
Louisiana Derby Spotlight on Cagliostro: Bananas, Alchemy, and the Three Women of the DeVaux Barn https://t.co/UPfP54Xrjn @Abd_xoxo
🖊️ @TrustYourLuck 📸 @hodgesphoto pic.twitter.com/kH24I7waKD— Fair Grounds (@fairgroundsnola) March 23, 2023
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