Seahawks vs. Vikings Preview + Free Pick August 8th, 2008
By: NFL Handicapping Staff
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Friday Football with Seattle at Minnesota
BetUS NFL Betting Odds: MINNESOTA -2.5, Total 34
NOTABLE STAT: Vikings were 1st in rushing (164.6 ypg) and rushing defense (74.1 ypg)
KEY NFL FOOTBALL BETTING TREND: Minnesota has won four of its last five at home, straight-up
The Minnesota Vikings (8-8 SU, 7-7-2 ATS in 2007 regular season), who suddenly have a quarterback controversy without even having a quarterback competition, take to the field in their first pre-season game when they play host to the Seattle Seahawks (10-6 SU, 9-6-1 ATS in 2007 regular season) in Friday NFL action that is set to get underway at 8 PM ET at the Metrodome (artificial turf) in Minneapolis. In the Top Sportsbooks NFL pre-season football betting odds, the Vikings are listed as a 2.5-point home favorite, with the total posted at 34 points.
Here are some NFL football betting trends as they relate to this matchup (reflecting numbers going into the 2008 season):
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* SEA is 7-3 ATS in its last ten games
* SEA has played five of its last seven games OVER the total
* SEA has lost five of its last seven road games SU
* SEA is 6-13-1 ATS in its last 20 road games
* MINN has won five of its last seven games SU
* MINN has played eight of its last 13 games OVER the total
* MINN has won four of its last five home games SU
* MINN has played six of its last seven home games OVER the total
* SEA has played seven of its last nine pre-season games OVER the total
* SEA has won and covered four of its last six road pre-season games
* MINN has covered six of its last nine pre-season games
There’s a little bit of a soap opera in Minneapolis, where the Vikings’ interest in Brett Favre was not only a distraction for the team, but a vote of non-confidence in quarterback Tarvaris Jackson. The Vikes would like to have an alternative to Jackson if the third-year player washes out, but Gus Frerotte isn’t going to be the answer, Brooks Bollinger is a journeyman at best and John David Booty is a raw rookie. The running game works, as we all know, but there are a number of receivers trying to stick in camp.
There’s no telling how long Matt Hasselbeck is going to play in this game, but the Seahawks should have some competition going at the other skill positions on offense. There is a lively battle for who will be the #1 running back; if you remember, the Hawks cut Shawn Alexander in the off-season, and you’ve got holdover Maurice Morris, along with new acquisitions like T.J. Duckett and Julius Jones. One of the more impressive players in camp thus far is Ben Obomanu, a third-year receiver out of Auburn who is vying for a spot in what has become a little more wide-open race at that position. Coach mike Holmgren, entering his final season in Seattle, would certainly like to see what prize rookie John Carlson can do at tight end. Reportedly some of the defensive standouts, like Julian Peterson and Lofa Tatupu, were in mid-season form when it was the first time to put on the pads.
Long gone are the days when Dennis Green went after every victory in the pre-season, so Minnesota is not necessarily a percentage play on the basis of trends alone. But even with their middling collection of QB’s, it doesn’t stack up badly for this kind of game, since Frerotte and Bollinger are veterans, they could avoid early rookie jitters and are, after all, both vying for a roster spot. Expect maybe a little more crispness on offense, on both sides. Surprise, surprise – Charlie Frye is still in the league, and he is Hasselbeck’s backup. More comfortable now (that disaster in Cleveland was about 11 months ago), he threw for three touchdowns in a Saturday scrimmage.
Let’s look for more scoring than usual, and go OVER the 34-point total as it is posted in the Top Sportsbooks NFL pre-season football betting odds.
JAY’S PLAY: OVER 34 *
(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)
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