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Posted on 10/27/2007 9:50 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping Staff
NFL Betting Trends – Houston Texans vs. San Diego Chargers
The San Diego Chargers (-9½) will look for their third consecutive victory SU (straight up) and ATS (against the spread) when they meet the Houston Texans (+9½) on Sunday and we have NFL betting enthusiasts winning selection kicking off at 4:05pm EST.
Because of the wild fires raging across California, San Diego’s Qualcomm Stadium is being used as an evacuation center but should be ready on game day. If the NFL decides otherwise, it’s likely the contest will be played in Arizona where the Chargers practiced this week.
A San Diego win would put them atop the .500 mark for the first time since starting the campaign 1-3. The Chargers are coming off a bye week and haven’t played since a 28-14 victory over Oakland on Oct. 14 at home as the 9-point favorites. The money-making win put them at 3-3 SU and ATS.
The Chargers have scored 69 points in their last two contests after scoring 68 in their first four. They are averaging 22.8 points per game offensively while posting 334.5 yards on the year.
San Diego’s ground game is rushing for 125.8 yards per contest led by reigning MVP LaDainian Tomlinson, who needs one rushing score to pass Jim Brown for fourth place on the all-time list with 107. Tomlinson rushed for 329 yards and two touchdowns in his first five games.
Defensively, the Chargers allowed 17 points in their last two wins after giving up 99 in three straight losses. On the year, they are surrendering 19.8 points per game and giving up 324.2 yards.
– Chargers are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games in October.
– Chargers are 0-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
– Chargers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Houston, which has lost four of five since starting 2-0 SU, will try to avoid a third straight defeat as it looks to reach the .500 mark through eight games for the first time in franchise history. The Texans are 0-2 SU all-time versus San Diego.
Offensively, the Texans are scoring 24.1 points per game and posting 265.6 yards. They rely on a passing game that averages 265.6 yards, as the ground game collects just 75.6.
Defensively, the Texans are surrendering 24.9 points per game and 343.1 yards.
Last week, Houston was beaten by Tennessee 38-36 in a money-dropping loss as the 2-point favorites at home. The defeat put them at 3-4 SU and ATS. They have now failed to cover the number in four straight games.
– Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
– Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 8.
– Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
NFL odds list San Diego the 9½-point favorites with a total of 45.
Analyst: It’s never a good thing to capitalize on other’s misfortunes, but the opportunity presents itself in this game. About 40 people in the San Diego organization, including as many as 18 players, had to evacuate their homes because of the fires. It’s hard to imagine the Chargers being totally focused on this game which makes them vulnerable.
NFL Free Picks: Houston 27 San Diego 21
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