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Betting On NFL Football – Rams vs. Bengals – Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio
RAMS (3-9) VS. BENGALS (4-8)
Sunday, December 9, 2007
Amazing, really that a team playing as poorly as the Bengals can be favored in any game by a touchdown on the NFL betting lines. This is especially true for this game, because although the Rams have just a 3-9 record, they are 3-1 in their last four games and their offensive line is gelling right now. That, plus the fact that he is mostly healed now, makes things much easier for star running back Steven Jackson to play like everyone expected him to play every game this season.
It bears noting that the East Coast has had some pretty bad weather as of late, and things are not looking good in Cincinnati over the weekend. If the weather is bad, the Rams will feed the rock to Jackson all day long. Considering the Bengals struggles against the run this year, he could have a monster day. His punishing style will wear down Cincy’s front seven early and keep Carson Palmer and the dangerous receivers he has at his disposal on the sidelines.
Even in the passing game, the Rams have the advantage coming into this game, no matter the starting QB. As far as starting NFL betting corners go, Cincinnati’s duo of Joseph and Hall strike fear into the heart of absolutely no one. Meanwhile, Rams receivers Holt and Bruce are better than average at worst and Holt is definitely near the top of the heap on a good day.
Even the Bengals offensive numbers actually point to an easy cover of this seven-point football betting spread. Their passing numbers are falsely inflated as they have been racked up in blowout games. In close games, the passing game has struggled mightily. The running game has been shaky with Rudi Johnson playing, but he is getting the bulk of the snaps back from Kenny Watson now that he is healthy again. While Rudi was down, Watson was actually playing better football.
If the weather report does not change, this game is the gimme of the week, as the Rams are no longer as bad as their record would indicate, while the Cincy pass attack will be rendered ineffective, as Jackson will wear down the clock as well as the defense. The NFL betting total for this game is 47.5 points in the Our best Sportsbooks, and the under is a best bet, as is a cover by St. Louis.
Some NFL Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis’s last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of St. Louis’s last 12 games
St. Louis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati’s last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
ST LOUIS is 3-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1992
ST LOUIS is 3-1 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
All games played at CINCINNATI since 1992
CINCINNATI is 1-1 against the spread versus ST LOUIS since 1992
CINCINNATI is 1-1 straight up against ST LOUIS since 1992
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring CINCINNATI in this game. As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring The UNDER in this game
Cappers NFL Free Pick
This is a tough one to predict, but I’m going to have to give the Edge to the Bengals ONLY because they’re the home team. They’ll want to end the season on a positive note and will put on a good show for the home crowd. Moneyline Pick = Bengals, however ATS Pick I’m taking the Rams to beat the spread. Close game in Cinci.
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