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NFL Football Betting: Green Bay Packers at Denver Broncos
NOTABLE STAT: Green Bay’s pass-run ratio is 2-to-1 (247-121)
KEY NFL FOOTBALL BETTING TREND: Denver has played 10 of its last 11 over the total
BetUS NFL betting odds: Denver -3, Total: 42
The Green Bay Packers (5-1 SU, 4-1-1 ATS) come back from a week of rest and travel to Invesco Field in Denver (grass) to take on the Denver Broncos (3-3 SU, 1-5 ATS) in the Monday night matchup, beginning at 8:30 PM ET. In the Top Sportsbooks NFL football betting odds, Denver is listed at -3, with the betting total set at 42 points.
Jay Cutler, the quarterback for the Broncos, showed some progress last Sunday night, completing 22 of 27 passes for three touchdowns. The Broncos beat the Steelers 31-28, covering as a 4.5-point home underdog. Unfortunately he will be without one of his best receivers again as Jevon Walker, the former Packer, is out with an injury. Denver’s defense hasn’t been very strong this season, as the team has allowed 27.3 ppg. Oddly, though, the Broncos have outgained opponents by 17.5 yards a contest. The running attack, especially if Travis Henry (549 yards) can play (rib injury) should move against the Green Bay defense. The Broncos are 51% on third downs this season. And Denver won’t miss many scoring opportunities at home with placekicker Jason Elam (10 of 13), who makes a lot of clutch field goals.
Let’s take a quick look at some NFL football betting trends that are relative to this matchup:
* GREEN BAY is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
* GREEN BAY is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games
* GREEN BAY has covered six of its last nine games as a road dog
* GREEN BAY is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six road games
* GREEN BAY has played four of its last five games over the total
* DENVER is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 as a home favorite
* DENVER is 15-4 ATS in Game 7
* DENVER is 1-9 ATS at home before playing back-to-back road games
* DENVER has played 10 of its last 11 games over the total
Green Bay is averaging 23.7 points a game, even though it has very little running game to speak of. Anchored almost completely by rookies, the Packer backfield has gained less than 66 yards a game on 3.3 yards a carry. So even though Denver has been giving up over five yards a rushing attempt, the run game probably won’t do much more than provide a bit of balance for the offense. All this means more footballs flying through the air from Brett Favre, who has thrown 247 passes for 1715 yards.
Both defenses have a little bit of “give,” and they will. Denver has now played 10 overs in its last 11 games, and a Favre-led Green Bay is always a candidate for a donnybrook. So we are looking “over” 42 points (the posted betting total at BetUS) in this one.
JAY’S PLAY: OVER 42 ** (Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)
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