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1* Free Sharp Play on Royals +116
The Royals (+116) are worth a look as a small home dog against the Blue Jays in Friday's MLB action. No way should KC be a dog at home in this one. Royals are scoring 6.7 runs/game and hitting .287 as a team at home this season. They put up 7 runs in a 7-5 win on Thursday over Toronto. Steven Matz has been sharp in his first 2 starts for Toronto, but there's going to be some regression sooner than later. I believe it starts tonight. Play the Royals +116!
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LA Dodgers @ San Diego (10:10 PM EST)
Play On: LA Dodgers -153 (Buehler/Weathers) Listed
The Los Angeles Dodgers travel to San Diego to take on the Padres on Friday night. LA Dodgers are 11-2 SU overall this year while San Diego comes in with a 9-5 SU overall record on the season. LA Dodgers are 8-0 when playing at night this year. LA Dodgers are 50-16 last 3 years after a win by 2 runs or less. Walker Buehler is 4-0 with a 1.46 ERA in his 6 career starts vs San Diego. Buehler is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA overall this year. Buehler is 18-3 last 3 years when starting against division opponents. Ryan Weathers will be making his first start of the season. We'll recommend a small play on the LA Dodgers tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
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Diamondbacks vs Nationals Free Pick April 16, 2021
Premium pick subscribers cashed in with the Arizona Diamondbacks as a nice priced underdog on Thursday, but I expect the Nats to vindicate themselves with a convincing win Friday night.
Arizona right-hander Taylor Widener (1-0, 2.45 ERA) surrendered four runs (three earned) on seven hits in five innings of a 6-5 extra-inning D'Backs loss to Cincinnati last time out. He never faced the Nats in any of his 12 appearances as a reliever in his rookie season last year.
Washington hands the ball to Max Scherzer (0-1, 3.75 ERA) who held the dangerous LA Dodgers to one run on three hits through six innings in his last start. Scherzer has this D'Backs roster limited to a combined .217 AVG over 125 at bats.
Free pick on Washington Nationals -1.5.
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My free play is on Hou Astros at 10:10 ET.
The Houston Astros won 100-plus each season from 2017-2019 (311-175, .649), going to two World Series and winning one (2017). However, the Astros were exposed before the start of the 2020 season with a "sign-stealing" scandal that cost the team's GM and manager their jobs. Of course, COVID delayed the start of last season until late July and with a shortened 60-game schedule and no fans, the scandal seemed to fade into the background behind greater concern. The Astros fell to 21-39 in 2020 but made the expanded postseason and went on a run. The Astros eliminated the Twins 2-0 in the wild card run, beat the A's 3-1 in the ALDS and then took the Rays to Game 7 in the ALCS, after losing the first three games of that series. Seattle went 89-73 in 2018 but followed by falling to 68-94 in 2019 and then went 27-33 in last season's 60-game schedule. However, Seattle entered 2021 with expectations that it could make a run at this year's postseason.
The Houston Astros and Seattle Mariners meet Friday at T-Mobile Park for the first of a three-game series. Houston opened the season 4-0 and 6-1 but 'limp' into Seattle on a FIVE-game losing streak that has them back at .500 (6-6). Seattle went 3-3 on a six-game homestand to begin the 2021 season but returns home off what was expected to be a nine-game road trip. Seattle lost the first game of the trip but while two games were postponed, the Mariners won FIVE of their last six games on the trip! Jose Urquidy will get the ball for Houston, while Yusei Kikuchi starts for Seattle.
Urquidy has made 14 appearances (12 starts) for Houston the last two seasons, posting a 3.44 ERA. However, he's allowed six ERs over 10.1 innings (5.23 ERA) in his first two starts of 2021. Kikuchi has had two decent starts in 2021 but in his 43 career starts, owns an 8-15 record with a 5.30 ERA and 1.54 WHIP. In five career starts vs Houston, he's 0-2 (team is 1-4) with a 6.46 ERA and 1.69 WHIP. The Astros are 35-16 in their last 51 meetings in Seattle and 40-14 in their last 54 overall meetings with the Mariners. The Houston bats are due to explode and why not here vs Kikuchi?
901 Atlanta at Chicago Cubs
Listed Wright & Davies
Pitching change from the overnight puts this in range for a free play. Both these pitchers have been league average their last seven starts. The Cubs are 2-7 on the year facing right handed starters. We want no part of this weak Cubs lineup when facing a team that can bash like the Braves. It's also the first game home for the Cubs after two series away.
FREE PICK - Oakland A's 1.5 (+114)
We cashed the A's on the -1.5 run line in Thursday's 8-4 win. It was Oakland's fifth straight win, all of which have come by at least 2 runs. I see no reason not to fire right back with the A's on the -1.5 run line Friday.
Teams that have won 5 or more games in a row with a marginal losing record are 46-17 (73%) on the money line since 1997, so there's a high probability that Oakland will come out on top. With the way they are swinging the bats (6 or more runs in 5 straight games), you have to think they win here by 2 or more.
Detroit will have Jose Urena on the mound, who hasn't exactly pitched great early on. Urena has a 8.21 ERA and 2.086 WHIP in 2 starts. He's given up 8 runs with 9 walks in just 7 2/3 innings of work.
Oakland will have Frankie Montas on the mound. While he has similar poor numbers as Urenas with a 8.30 ERA and 1.961 WHIP, we can pinpoint that on one of his starts coming against maybe the best lineup in baseball in the Dodgers. In his second outing at Houston he only gave up 1 run in 6 innings. Last time he faced the Tigers he went 8 2/3 innings allowing just 2 runs with 10 Ks. Give me the A's -1.5 (+114)!
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