NFL Rushing Yards Handicapping
2025 NFL Most Regular Season Rushing Yards Futures Odds are live, and once again, bettors have no shortage of elite backs to choose from. Between new schemes, fresh legs, and workhorse volume, this race is always wide open — and almost always worth betting early.
Saquon Barkley sits atop the board after a monster 2,000-yard campaign with the Eagles. However, Derrick Henry is right behind him in a new Baltimore system, while a youth movement led by Bijan Robinson, Jahmyr Gibbs, and Ashton Jeanty is gunning for the throne.
Past NFL Rushing Leaders
Before locking in your picks, it’s worth understanding how volatile this prop has been. Although some legends have repeated, others showed up out of nowhere. These past rushing champs prove one thing: opportunity plus durability equals profit.
Back in the ’80s and ’90s, this title meant something. Walter Payton ran through people. Eric Dickerson reset the record books. Then came the ’90s — Barry made defenders look silly, and Emmitt? He just racked up yards and rings. You knew exactly who was getting 25+ touches a game — and they earned every yard.
Nowadays, we’ve got committees and load management. But even with all that, some RB’s still separate. And NFL history keeps proving that if the volume is there, the NFL rushing crown is wide open year to year. Comment below, who do you have your NFL prop money on?
Here’s a look back at the last 10 NFL Most Regular Season Rushing Yards leaders:
- 2024 – Saquon Barkley (2,005 yards)
- 2023 – Christian McCaffrey (1,459 yards)
- 2022 – Josh Jacobs (1,653 yards)
- 2021 – Jonathan Taylor (1,811 yards)
- 2020 – Derrick Henry (2,027 yards)
- 2019 – Derrick Henry (1,540 yards)
- 2018 – Ezekiel Elliott (1,434 yards)
- 2017 – Kareem Hunt (1,327 yards)
- 2016 – Ezekiel Elliott (1,631 yards)
- 2015 – Adrian Peterson (1,485 yards)
2025 NFL Rushing Yards Odds | NFL Futures
With Barkley, Henry, and McCaffrey all in the mix again, the top of the board looks familiar. But don’t overlook breakout candidates like Ashton Jeanty, Kyren Williams, or even Chase Brown — all of whom could thrive with a full workload.
As always, offensive line play and game scripts will be major drivers in this stat race.
- Saquon Barkley +320
- Derrick Henry +550
- Bijan Robinson +850
- Jonathan Taylor +900
- Christian McCaffrey +1100
- Jahmyr Gibbs +1100
- Ashton Jeanty +1700
- Bucky Irving +1800
- Josh Jacobs +2000
- Kyren Williams +2500
- De’Von Achane +2700
- James Cook +2900
- Breece Hall +3100
- Chase Brown +3600
- Kenneth Walker II +4000
- James Conner +4200
- Tyrone Tracy Jr. +4500
- D’Andre Swift +4600
- Tony Pollard +5500
- Omarion Hampton +5500
- David Montgomery +6000
- Joe Mixon +6000
- TreVeyon Henderson +7500
- Isiah Pacheco +9500
- Aaron Jones +9500
- Odds provided by MyBookie
Saquon Barkley Regular Season Rushing Yards Odds – 2025
Barkley’s first year in Philadelphia simply could not have gone better. He posted over 2,000 rushing yards, carried the Eagles back to the top of the NFC, and even won the Super Bowl for good measure. Naturally, the Giants have to be regretting their decision to let him walk.
Still, this year presents a new challenge. Now tasked with following up that historic campaign, Barkley is again one of the top names in the Regular Season Rushing Yards market.
Although the offensive line remains strong, the loss of Mekhi Becton could be felt more than expected. Furthermore, Barkley was incredibly reliant on explosive runs, which typically regress year to year.
His massive workload may also taper off, especially if defenses scheme to slow him down.
Derrick Henry Regular Season Rushing Yards Odds – 2025
Let’s not forget — Barkley’s magical season barely held off a resurgent Derrick Henry, who finished only 84 yards short of the rushing crown. Impressively, Henry averaged 5.9 yards per carry, just ahead of Barkley’s 5.8. Despite the output, both backs come with mileage, and that makes betting them a bit risky.
Even so, Henry remains a compelling name in the Regular Season Rushing Yards conversation.
His physicality and volume give him a high floor, though replicating that 2024 production might be a long shot.
Bijan Robinson Regular Season Rushing Yards Future Odds
Among the new wave of stars, Bijan Robinson has clearly arrived. He broke out last season with 1,456 rushing yards, good for third in the league. Although some of his touches come via the passing game, the setup in Atlanta is tailor-made for his continued dominance.
Therefore, it’s no surprise that Robinson is priced as a strong contender. His youth, explosiveness, and dual-threat capability keep him squarely in the mix.
Jonathan Taylor
Taylor quietly finished fourth in yardage despite playing three fewer games than those ahead of him. That alone makes him an intriguing value bet. If he can stay healthy — and yes, that’s a big if — there’s no reason he can’t challenge for the lead.
Additionally, Taylor is rarely used as a receiver, which works in his favor here. The Colts feed him consistently on the ground, making him a legit threat for the Regular Season Rushing Yards title.
Christian McCaffrey
Sure, McCaffrey is a household name. However, in this market, his receiving workload and injury history make him a tough sell. After all, he missed all of last season and now enters 2025 with more question marks than upside.
Unless he returns to full-time rushing dominance, it’s difficult to justify a wager on him here.
Jahmyr Gibbs
Gibbs cracked the top five in rushing a year ago thanks to an impressive 5.6 yards per carry. That said, he’s heavily featured as a pass-catcher in Detroit’s offense. In fact, early reports suggest he may line up out wide even more often this season.
Because of that role shift, his pure rushing ceiling could be capped.
Ashton Jeanty
Jeanty enters 2025 with a chance to make some noise. The talent is there, and he’ll get every opportunity to be featured in Las Vegas. Nevertheless, game script could be a problem if the Raiders trail often.
Consequently, Jeanty may rack up more receiving stats than ground yards, which hurts his value in this prop.
Bucky Irving
Irving turned heads as a rookie, putting up 1,100 yards at 5.4 per carry. But the absence of Tristan Wirfs to start 2025 is worth noting. The offensive line will need time to gel, and that could delay Irving’s impact early in the year.
Even if he heats up midseason, it might be too late to win this race outright.
Josh Jacobs 2025 NFL Rushing Leader Betting Lines
Jacobs bounced back in a big way last season, finishing sixth with 1,329 rushing yards. He toted the rock 301 times, but his 4.4 yards per carry leaves limited room for upside. Unless he gets even more volume, which is unlikely, that stat line may represent his ceiling.
As a result, there are better options if you’re looking for a breakout candidate.
Kyren Williams 2025 NFL Most Rushing Yards Futures
Williams was just a single yard shy of 1,300 despite sitting out the final game of the year. That’s impressive, but durability remains the big concern. He’s missed time in prior seasons, and the workload may have maxed out already.
Because of that, last season could end up being his statistical peak.
Looking to bet this rushing yards prop?
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NFL Tweet Of The Day
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— Philadelphia Eagles (@Eagles) July 17, 2025
Betting NFL Rushing Yards Props
NFL rushing yard props are one of the most volatile but rewarding categories to bet. Coaches lie in the offseason, but usage doesn’t. Pay attention to offensive line upgrades, early depth chart shifts, and preseason snap counts — they’ll point you to value before the public catches on.
For example, a $300 bet on a +2500 rusher pays $8,100 — that’s $7,800 in profit plus your original bet back.
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