NFL Handicapping Picks – 2018 NFL MVP
NFL bettors are you looking for 2018 NFL MVP Odds and futures predictions & lines today? The NFL, more than ever, is a quarterback’s league. With that in mind, it should surprise no one that the top five favorites for the 2018 MVP award make a living throwing the football.
NFL Handicapping Insight
Our top two favorites at this point in the preseason have a combined four MVPs already between the both of them. And while the next three can’t make that claim, it’s difficult to see a scenario where they play out their careers and don’t match or exceed that mark by the time their playing days are done.
Here’s a look at the top five favorites for 2018 NFL MVP.
2018 NFL MVP Odds: Tom Brady (+400)
Why start anywhere other than two-time MVP Tom Brady, the quarterback with the best odds to win this season’s most prestigious individual award—the same QB who made sure to shut down all haters in the league’s greatest comeback during last year’s Super Bowl.
Despite playing in just 12 games a year ago (see: Deflategate), the New England Patriots superhero threw for 3,554 yards en route to 28 touchdowns and just two interceptions.
He’s shown year after year what he can do in the pocket, but this year he has an added deep threat and legitimate No. 1 option in Brandin Cooks.
The past four MVPs have gone to a quarterback, and if Brady has anything to say about it, we could see it happen a fifth time in a row this season.
2018 NFL MVP Odds: Aaron Rodgers (+700)
We should quickly elaborate on that last stat a bit. Claiming that the past four MVPs have gone to quarterbacks is accurate, but it doesn’t tell the full story.
In the past 11 years, only once has a non-QB taken home the league’s most prestigious individual award. That was Adrian Peterson in 2012—all others have been pigskin tossers.
So with that in mind, even if Brady doesn’t take home the award, you’re still safest putting your money on another quarterback. In this case, Aaron Rodgers is your best bet.
Like Brady, Rodgers also has two MVPs to his name. Also like Brady, he’s ahead of everyone else in preseason odds.
Rodgers has been known for quiet down for stretches, but like last season, he’s also been known to get hot for crucial, lengthy stretches.
If that trend continues this season, fear not. A couple of early-to-midseason losses followed by a hot streak could show just how valuable this QB truly is.
2018 NFL MVP Odds: Derek Carr (+900)
Derek Carr just earned huge recognition for his work behind center. No, he wasn’t named MVP (yet).
He was granted the league’s richest contract at five-years, $125 million.
As we all know, contracts are paid partly based on past production but mostly on future projections. The Raiders are rewarding him for his body of work, yes.
But they’re really banking on how good he’ll be over the next five seasons.
As far as 2017-18 is concerned, landing in the third-best spot among MVP odds isn’t a bad way to kick things off.
In 15 games last season, Carr played in 15 games and threw for nearly 4,000 yards en route to 28 touchdowns and six interceptions.
2018 NFL MVP Odds: Ben Roethlisberger (+1200)
When the 2016-17 season came to an end for the Pittsburgh Steelers, it didn’t take long for people to begin speculating on whether or not Ben Roethlisberger would even return for 2018. The thought of him retiring was reasonable, but as it turned out, it was a bit premature.
Not only is Big Ben making his return to Pittsburgh, he’s fourth in terms of favorites to win MVP.
Roethlisberger likely needs to cut down on his interceptions to garner real interest in the league’s MVP honor (13 last season to 29 touchdowns), but he did finish top 10 in Total QB Rating.
If he can maintain his positive production while cutting back on his negatives, there’s no reason to believe he can’t be top five in voting when the year comes to a close.
2018 NFL MVP Odds: Dak Prescott/Russell Wilson (+1200)
If there’s someone to trust more in this spot between Russell Wilson and Dak Prescott, it’s probably the Seattle Seahawks’ quarterback. The former Super Bowl champion and two-time Super Bowl participant has championship mettle and dual-threat ability like few QBs in this league.
The problem is that there’s reported discontent within the ‘Hawks organization and few offensive lines in the league compare to the one Dak Prescott has protecting him on every down.
Wilson is the safer pick to trust, but Prescott is the higher-ceiling MVP choice as far as these two players are concerned.
Both are tied for fifth in terms of preseason MVP voting, but the Cowboy sophomore gets the slight edge as far as we’re concerned.
Complete 2018 NFL MVP Odds
- Tom Brady +400
- Aaron Rodgers +700
- Derek Carr +900
- Ben Roethlisberger +1200
- Dak Prescott +1200
- Russell Wilson +1200
- Matt Ryan +1600
- Ezekiel Elliott +2000
- Cam Newton +2500
- Andrew Luck +2500
- Drew Brees +2500
- David Johnson +3300
- Marcus Mariota +3300
- Antonio Brown +5000
- Julio Jones +5000
- Carson Palmer +5000
- Sam Bradford +5000
- Matt Stafford +5000
- Eli Manning +5000
- Philip Rivers+5000
- Adrian Peterson +5000
- Kirk Cousins +5000
- Le’Veon Bell +5000
- Alex Smith+6600
- Jameis Winston +6600
- Ryan Tannehill +6600
- Odell Beckham Jr. +6600
- J.J. Watt+6600
- Rob Gronkowski +6600
- Khalil Mack +6600
- T.Y. Hilton +10000
- Von Miller +10000
- Andy Dalton+10000
- Carson Wentz +10000
- Joe Flacco +10000
- Marshawn Lynch +10000
- LeSean McCoy +10000
- Blake Bortles +10000
- DeMarco Murray +10000
What do you think about our 2018 NFL MVP Odds? Please leave us a comment below telling us how you think they’ll do in the 2017-2018 NFL Season!
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