2/17/20 Free Sports Picks & Betting Plays
Hi there and welcome to CappersPicks.com and our daily free sports picks for Monday February 17th 2020.
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The Free Sports Picks For Monday February 17th 2020 on this page are the lowest rated selections from each capper for today.
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Below are our Free Sports Picks For Monday February 17th 2020.
Dave’s Saturday Free Play:
1* on Texas State +17.5
The Key: Coastal Carolina is in a big letdown spot after improving to 8-0 after beating the defending Sun Belt champion Appalachian State Mountaineers last week. And they have a huge game on deck next week against Liberty. They will be flat this week against Texas State. The Bobcats are just 2-9 this season but they are fighting hard. They have gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. They covered in losses to Louisiana, Appalachian State and Georgia Southern which are 3 of the better teams in the Sun Belt and were competitive in all 3 games. Then they upset Arkansas State 47-45 last week and were finally rewarded for their hard play. That win will give them the confidence they need this week to compete with Coastal Carolina. They only lost 21-24 as 7-point dogs to Coastal Carolina last year. And this is their final game of the season so they should be all in against the unbeaten Chanticleers here. The Bobcats are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games after yielding 575 or more total yards last game. The Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as home underdogs. Take Texas State.
**2X Top 10 NCAAF Handicapper!** Dave was the #6 NCAAF Capper in 2011 and the #7 NCAAF Capper in 2008 as well! He is on a 63-34 NCAAF Run overall while also being ranked as the #1 NCAAF Capper in 2020! He is also the #3 Ranked Overall Capper in 2020 and riding a HOT 309-218 All Sports Run since December 28th! Give your man the beating he deserves on the college gridiron this weekend and hop on board for Dave's Saturday NCAA Football 5-Pack for $49.95! By doing so you'll earn access to his 7* NCAAF Game of the Year along with four 6* plays! Dave guarantees you'll cash in a profit or you get Sunday's NFL picks for FREE!
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #192 Over in Maryland Terrapins @ Indiana Hoosiers (12p.m., Saturday, November 28 ESPN2) Indiana’s dream season came down to earth last week with a 7-point loss to Ohio State. They now cannot make the Big 10 Championship Game but still have an explosive offensive that will score close to 40 points in this game. Maryland is back on the field after two weeks off for COVID-19 issues. They have scored 40 points per game over their last two and if they hit the high twenties int his game it should easily go over the posted total. These two teams have played over the posted total in 5 straight games. Indiana has gone over the posted total in 20 of their last 28 Big 10 games. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card highlighted by a top play winner on Saturday.
Rocketman Sports FREE CFB play Saturday 11-28-20
Vanderbilt @ Missouri (12:00 PM EST)
Play On: Vanderbilt +14 +100
Nebraska cashes on Friday afternoon! Two TOP 8* CFB BEST BETS and two 6* CFB plays for Saturday!
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Vanderbilt +14.5
The Vanderbilt Commodores have been impressive offensively the last several weeks. They had 421 yards against Ole Miss, 478 yards against Mississippi State, 35 points and 407 yards against Kentucky and 406 yards in a cover against Florida last week. Derek Mason has not lost his players as they continue to show up and go to work every week despite being 0-7 SU this season. The Commodores are 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall. And now they are catching too many points again this week against Missouri. The Tigers are 3-3 this season with all 3 wins coming by 10 points or fewer. Now they’re being asked to win by more than two touchdowns to cover this spread and it’s simply too much. Especially for a team with a suspect offense that averages only 21.7 points per game. The Commodores are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 road games off three straight conference losses. Vanderbilt is 4-0 ATS in its last four road games. The Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as favorites. Give me Vanderbilt.
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Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Buffalo -7
The Buffalo Bulls are the best team in the MAC this year. They went 8-5 last season and while they didn’t win the MAC, I would have had them favored over every team in the conference in the title game. They were 2nd in the MAC with a +138.0 yards per game differential and they only got better as the season went on.
Now head coach Lance Leipold has his best team yet with 15 returning starters, making the Bulls the 16th-most experienced team in the country. They also got in nine spring practices, which was the second-most in the MAC. That was a huge advantage heading into this shortened MAC season.
The Bulls are loaded everywhere on offense with eight returning starters. They have two 1,000-yard rushers in Jaret Patterson (1,799 yards, 19 TD, 5.8/carry last year) and Kevin Marks (1,035, 8 TD, 4.6/carry). Each of their top three receivers are back as are their top two quarterbacks. They return seven starters defensively from a unit that gave up just 21.3 points per game last year. They are great at getting after opposing quarterbacks, recording 43 sacks last year.
Buffalo got off to a nice start this season with a 49-30 win as a closing 14.5-point favorite at Northern Illinois. Buffalo led 49-16 with five minutes left in the 4th quarter. Northern Illinois tacked on two garbage touchdowns in the final five minutes to make the score appear closer than it was. The Bulls averaged 7.0 yards per play offensively while giving up just 5.0 yards per play to the Huskies.
They then crushed Miami Ohio 42-10 as a 7-point favorite. They outgained the Redhawks 558 to 258 for the game. That’s a Miami Ohio team that was the defending MAC champions. And last week Buffalo made easy work of Bowling Green 42-17, but they did fail to cover as 31.5-point favorites after taking their foot off the gas in the 4th quarter.
Now Buffalo comes in highly motivated this week to avenge a fluky 27-30 loss to Kent State last year. The Bulls blew a 27-6 lead in the 4th quarter as the Golden Flashes outscored them 24-0 over the final eight minutes of that game. That is not going to happen again, and the Bulls have not forgotten. They are the more complete team here and should be more than 7-point favorites.
But Kent State is getting respect from oddsmakers after starting 3-0 against three of the worst teams in the MAC. Two of the wins came against Akron and Bowling Green, which are easily the two worst teams in the conference. And the other was a 27-23 win over Eastern Michigan as 5.5-point favorites. This is a big step up in class here for the Golden Flashes.
The Bulls are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 conference games. Buffalo is 7-1 ATS in its last eight home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a home favorite. It’s revenge time for the Bulls here. Bet Buffalo Saturday.
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The comp play is an advance totals play for Saturday on the Under in the Troy St vs Appalachian St game in college football. This game fits a powerful totals system. The last 2 years these 2 have gone under. App St has a powerful defense and has gone under in 4 of the last 5 games. Troy has stayed under in 10 straight games. Look for this game to be lower scoring. Play Troy and Appalachian ST Under the total. Rob V- GC Sports.
Play - New York Jets (Game 266).
Edges - Jets: 4-1 ATS at home versus winning foes … Dolphins: 2-11 ATS as division road favorites of more than three points … We recommend a 1* play on the NY Jets. Thank you and good luck as always.
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Penn State vs Michigan
3:30 PM EST, Saturday, November 27, 2020
The better bet to post just might be which coach gets a pink slip first. Harbaugh must be down to his final days in Ann Arbor, but I do think James Franklin will be given a pass in light of his monster recruiting efforts and success. Nevertheless, it has been an extraordinarily difficult year for both teams and no one saw Penn State going 0-5 SU and ATS. My free pick last week, though, was on Iowa, who has risen to the upper tier of the Big-12 power ratings.
The betting flows so far show that 65% of the tickets are on Michigan, BUT 63% of the money bet is on Penn State. The current line in the market is offered with Michigan as a 2-point favorite. This betting trend can push the line to pick-em by game time.
No one saw Penn State, who was preseason Top-10 team and a dark horse in the futures market to win the Big Ten, getting off to an imperfect 0-5 SU and ATS start. However, road dogs, who have lost four or more consecutive games SU and ATS have earned a money-making 16-10 ATS record good for 62% winning bets since 2006. The ‘UNDER’ is also appealing I this matchup noting that road dogs that are winless in their first five conference games and have lost five or more consecutive games to the spread have seen the ‘UNDER’ produce a 15-6 record good for 71% winning bets.
By the way, Michigan is 1-12 ATS for 8% winning bets that failed to cover the spread by an average of 11 points in games played since 2006.
One more thing. The following betting system has earned a profitable ATS record over the last 15 seasons and underscores how cheap Penn State has become in the market. The requirements are to be on road teams that have failed to cover the spread by a total of 35 or more points over their last three games and is facing a team that has seen the total go ‘OVER’ by 28 or more points in their last three games.
The Cowboys have under performed this season, but Im betting on a big bounce effort here after their embarrassing effort last week vs their long time rivals Oklahoma last week.
Red Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Red Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Red Raiders are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.Cowboys are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss.Cowboys are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.Cowboys are 30-12 ATS in their last 42 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Oklahoma State is 14-0 ATS/SU covering by an average of 13.4 ppg as a home favorite coming off a loss by more than 10 points. Ok St 47.9 opp 20.8 ppg.
Play on Oklahoma State to cover
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