Free NHL Hockey Prediction: Maple Leafs vs. Lightning NHL Odds
Looking for Toronto Maple Leafs Vs. Tampa Bay Lightning free hockey plays & NHL Odds? NHL betting sees the Maple Leafs taking on the Lightning on Saturday April 29th at Amalie Arena Arena in Tampa Bay. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NHL Hockey games all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NHL hockey predictions like this Maple Leafs Lightning matchup.
NHL Hockey Handicapping – Maple Leafs vs. Dallas
(52-23-11) Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (48-31-8)
Date: April 29 2023
Time: TBD
Venue: Amalie Arena Arena
Hockey NHL Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -105 Lightning -105 (Bet Now!)
NHL Hockey Puck Line Odds: Maple Leafs +1.5 -275 Lightning -1.5 +225
Today’s NHL Betting Total: O/U 6.5
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Well, the Leafs are officially on choke watch. And there are some real reasons to be concerned if you’re a fan or have a bet slip for them to win the series like I do.
First of all and what is most concerning to me, is that the Lightning have in large part looked to be the better team in certainly the two games in Tampa but also for most of the series.
It is only a couple of periods that we can point to that the Maple Leafs have comeback and/or shown signs of life that has allowed them to acquire the stranglehold with the exception of game 2 where they held control for the entire score clock.
Now with that being said, it is an encouraging sign of maturity that when things aren’t going your way in a game you still find a way to get the win for any team and so it’s only fair to point that out.
But secondly is that after seeming pedestrian for games 1 through 4, Vasilevskiy has appeared to have arrived in the series which is horrifying news for Maple Leafs players, fans and bettors.
So, with all that out of the way let’s dig a little deeper here.
Tampa Bay Lightning
Even though the Leafs got the first goal in game 5, I still felt that to my eye the Bolts controlled play from the opening puck drop until the final buzzer.
It’s an awful cliche but this team just really understands what it takes to win when it matters most and it’s a skill you either have or you don’t.
The Lightning have it, the Leafs don’t until proven otherwise.
Offense
Offensively they capitalize on their opportunities better than anyone. This offence is so good at making something out of nothing because of their blend of toughness and work ethic with sheer skill and raw talent.
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They really do encapsulate all the cliches, “built for playoffs” comes to mind here.
Defense
Hedman despite battling an injury has been beast in the 5 games that he’s played. Cernak missing is huge and keep an eye on his status for this game.
Goaltending
Vasilevskiy’s number’s are not good throughout the playoffs, but boy were they good in game 5. And this guy is second to none in elimination games so my advice to Matthews, don’t have 0 shot attempts in the second period, pepper the dude.
Toronto Maple Leafs
The Leafs fans have been an insufferable bunch already which is disappointing as someone who has finally come around to wanting them to get over the hump.
It would be an unbelievable turn of events if they lost this series. And despite my wallet taking a hit I think I would laugh, honestly.
Offense
There’s no doubt this team is super gifted on this side of the puck, and the O’Reilly pickup has paid the most dividends.
But what I do like as well is the dynamic of Acciari and Lafferty in this lineup. The add some sandpaper that they lacked in previous runs.
Defense
Reilly is playing a man possessed right now and scored one of the two goals in the last game. Look for him to stay hot.
Goaltending
Samsonov is an interesting tendy because his sv% is pretty decent but he seems very hectic and frantic with his positional play. Some are calling for Wahl to come in but we’ll see.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto’s last 5 games.
- Toronto are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games.
- Toronto are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Tampa Bay.
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay’s last 10 games.
- Tampa Bay are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay’s last 6 games against Toronto.
Free Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Prediction
I think I have to go with the value here and take the Bolts puckline at home. The price is too good to pass up for me.
Given the history as well, I just don’t see another way here. Gimme the Bolts!
4* Free Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Betting Pick: Lightning PL -1.5 +225
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