Free CBB Pick: Tigers vs. Razorbacks NCAAB Odds
Looking for LSU Tigers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks NCAA basketball free picks & CBB odds? CBB betting sees the Tigers taking on the Razorbacks on Saturday, March 13th, 2021, at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all college basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily basketball predictions like this LSU Arkansas matchup.
2021 NCAA Basketball Handicapping
(17-8) LSU Tigers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks (22-5)
Date: Saturday, March 13th, 2021
Time: 3:30 PM ET
Venue: Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee
Moneyline Odds: Tigers (+150), Razorbacks (-160)
Betting Odds: Arkansas -3.5
Betting Total: O/U 162.5
The SEC tournament semifinal between LSU and Arkansas is going down on Saturday with the winner advancing to the championship on Sunday to take on the winner of Alabama/Tennessee.
LSU had a thrilling 70-64 victory over Ole Miss on Friday to advance to the semifinal game, while Arkansas dominated Missouri in the second half of their game after trailing at the half to advance to take on the Tigers.
LSU moved on to the next round in the Big 12 Tournament with a 76-73 victory over Mississippi on Friday night. Sophomore Trenton Watford led the team with 24 points while junior leader Darius Days finished with 20 points and 12 rebounds for the Tigers, who squandered a double-digit lead before rallying to come away with the win.
The Tigers are led in scoring by freshman Cameron Thomas who averages 22.9 points per game to lead all freshmen in the country. Yesterday’s game against Ole Miss was the first time since January 23rd that Thomas did not eclipse 20-points in a game (he scored 18). Offensively, LSU has so many weapons it doesn’t matter if their freshman star is having a bad game. They have three-upper classman that averages 12+ points per game starting with point-center Trendon Watford who averages 16.9 points a night for the Tigers.
As a team, LSU averages 82.40 points per game which is ranked 8th in the country amongst D-1 teams. They are shooting 46.78% from the field and 34.54% from beyond the arc.
On defense, the Tigers have given up 99.9 points per 100 possessions for the year (136th in the NCAA). When LSU is facing a conference opponent they are giving up an average of 105.1 points per 100 possessions which is ninth in the SEC.
Arkansas overcame an early 10-point deficit to take down Missouri 70-64 in the quarterfinal round on Friday. JD Notae scored a team-high 27 points and handed out four assists for the Razorbacks. Eric Musselman’s team needs to do a better job of taking care of the ball as they had 20 turnovers against Missouri which ultimately almost cost them a trip to the semifinals. If they turn the ball over 20 times against this high octane LSU offense it could be a long night for the Pigs in Nashville.
The Razorbacks are like the Tigers and are very similar on offense. They are led by a freshman in scoring followed by three-upper classman who average double-figures. Freshman Moses Moody leads the team with 17.0 points per game, followed by dead-eye shooter JD Notae with 13.4 points per game.
Offensively, the Razorbacks average the 7th most points per game in the country at 82.81 points per game. They shoot 45.63% from the floor and 34.35% from behind the three-point line. They have also knocked down a healthy 75.5 percent of their free-throw attempts as a team (second in the SEC), which has boosted their overall offensive rating.
On defense, Arkansas has given up 89.7 points per 100 possessions for the year (16th in the NCAA) and 98.0 points per 100 possessions during conference play (third in the SEC). While the Razorbacks rank eighth in the SEC in effective field goal percentage defense, they have been able to improve their defensive rating by limiting opponents to an offensive rebounding rate of only 28.1 percent (second in the SEC).
- LSU is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 12 of LSU’s last 18 games.
- LSU is 6-2 SU in their last 8 games.
- LSU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Arkansas.
- Arkansas is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas’ last 6 games.
- Arkansas is 9-0 SU in their last 9 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arkansas’ last 7 games against LSU.
- Arkansas is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games this season.
Free LSU Tigers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks NCAAB Prediction:
I lean with the Razorbacks in this game like I did the last time these two teams met. In the first matchup, Arkansas was without their best interior player in Just Smith and LSU’s Trendon Watford dominated the paint putting up 23 points on 9/16 shooting for the Tiger’s. In the second matchup, LSU had a five-point lead at the half then LSU’s point guard (Darius Days) went down to begin the second half and the Razorbacks just took over outscoring the Tiger’s by 13 to finish the game. With two healthy teams, this time around I still give the advantage to Arkansas as their defense has been stellar over their nine-game winning streak. They are holding opponents to 69.78 points over the last nine-games and even held a red-hot Alabama team to just 66 points during that stretch. If Musselman’s team can keep LSU to in the 70’s I think the Razorbacks should cover this game as they should not be troubled scoring against a weak LSU zone.
4* Free NCAA College Basketball Betting Pick: Arkansas -3.5
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