Free NCAA Hoops Pick: Bears vs. Sooners CBB Odds
Looking for Kansas Jayhawks vs. Baylor Bears NCAA basketball free picks & CBB odds? CBB betting sees the Jayhawks taking on the Bears on Saturday February 22 at the Ferrell Center. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all college basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily basketball predictions like this Jayhawks Bears matchup.
2019-2020 NCAA Basketball
(23-3) Kansas Jayhawks vs. Baylor Bears (24-1)
Date: Saturday February 22
Time: 12:00 PM ET
Venue: Ferrell Center, Waco, TX
CBB Moneyline Odds: Baylor -130 | Kansas +110
CBB Betting Odds: Baylor -2
CBB Betting Total: 129.5
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THIS IS THE GAME OF THE YEAR. LET’S GO NUTS.
The last time the Jayhawks lost was a Jan. 11th home game against…. the Baylor Bears.
Since then, the Jayhawks have ripped off an 11-game win streak, are firmly placed behind Gonzaga in the AP Top-25 poll, and are now a projected 1-seed.
They’ve won and covered in their last five games, winning by an average margin of 15 points. Their best win in that span being a road game against ranked West Virginia, who’s ranked 7th in KenPom ADJEM.
The Jayhawks, on the other hand, are ranked first in KenPom ADJEM. Their adjusted defense is 2nd and their adjusted offense is 11th, and it’s worth noting that their strength of schedule is first in the nation (14th in adjusted offense and 1st in adjusted defense).
The Jayhawks are ruthlessly efficient on both sides of the court. Their effective FG% is 54.3 (18th in the country) and their effective FG% against is 43.3 (4th in the country), wherein they’re shooting 55.1% from 2pt range and 35.1% from 3pt range.
Kansas has a great all-around roster, but the team revolves around their two best players: Devon Dotson and Udoka Azubuike.
Dotson is having a great season and is probably the best guard in the nation. He’s posting numbers of 18/4/4 on shooting splits of 47/31/81. Also, he’s coming off of a 29-point performance vs. Iowa State, where he shot 6-8 from deep and added 3 steals.
Azubuike has been a staple of this Kansas offense now for four straight years. However, this year might be his Mona Lisa. He’s posting numbers of 13/10 while shooting 73% from the field and adding 2.5 blocks.
Kansas is great and all, Gonzaga is disgusting offensively, and San Diego State has plowed their way to an undefeated record.
However, Baylor is the best team in the nation.
After dominating Oklahoma down the stretch at Lloyd Noble, the Bears are now on a 23-game win streak. They’re 16-7 ATS in that span, and have even covered their last four in a row.
There are two key things to know about Baylor’s success: They have four excellent guards, and they have an elite defense.
Between Jared Butler, MaCio Teague, Davion Mitchell and Devonte Bandoo, the Baylor Bears get combined per-game totals of: 47.6 points, 10.2 assists, and 4.7 steals. Plus, they all shoot over 40% from the field and over 32% from three.
They are elite bucket-getters and it can create devastating matchup issues for the defense, especially in crunch time.
On the other side of the ball, the Bears no-middle defense is dominating opposing offenses from the paint to the perimeter. The Bears only allow 58.4 points/game, and are really impressive across the board statistically.
For example, they are third in KenPom adjusted defense, fourth in DRtg, seventh in effective FG% against, and hold their opponents to below 30% from outside the arc while also holding them to only 42% from inside the the arc.
A large part of that defensive success is because of Freddie Gillespie. The 6’9″ Senior plays the majority of his minutes at Center, but his ability to switch on to anyone, 1 through 5, and still guard at a high level has made the Baylor scheme that much better.
Oh, and did I mention he puts up 9/8 per game on 55% from the field with a team-high PER of 25? Despite how good Baylor’s guards are, it is Gillespie that has the highest win share on the #1 team in the country.
Free Kansas Jayhawks vs. Baylor Bears NCAAB Prediction: Baylor is just so damn good, man.
The last time these teams played, Baylor handed Kansas a 12-point loss on their own court, holding them to a season-low 55 points. It’s the worst home loss of the Bill Self era.
And, now, the Jayhawks are traveling to Waco as just 1.5-point underdogs.
That’s an interesting line. This Baylor team has been so dominant, and while the dynamic duo of Dotson and Azubuike are special, I don’t see how they could win IN Waco. Especially after losing so badly back in Lawrence.
Azubuike could potentially rake underneath, especially with his size-advantage on Gillespie and the other Baylor bigs (no one on the roster goes over 6-10). However, back in early January, Azubuike went for just SIX points on 3-6 from the field.
In fact, back in early January, the Baylor Bears went on the road to Lawrence and held the dynamic duo of Devon Dotson and Udoka Azubuike to just 15 POINTS on 6-12 from 2pt range and 1-4 from 3pt range.
Meanwhile, Baylor’s trio of Butler, Teague, and Mitchell put up 48 points on 11-21 from inside the arc and 8-17 from outside the arc. Oh, and Gillespie added 13 points and 5 boards.
The Bears can very easily outplay the Jayhawks offensively and the Bears defense seems to match-up well with the Jayhawks defensively. This is a no-brainer:
Baylor wins and covers, like they always do.
4* Free CBB Betting Pick: Baylor -1.5
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