Free NBA Pick: Spurs vs. Mavericks Odds
Looking for San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Mavericks taking on the Suns on October 24th at American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX. This free NBA basketball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Spurs Mavericks matchup.
2026 NBA Handicapping – San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks
(0-2) San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks (1-1)
Date: October 24, 2026
Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
NBA Moneyline Odds: Spurs -535 | Mavericks +400 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Spurs -11.5 | Mavericks +11.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 230.5
Here’s why I’m backing San Antonio in my Spurs Mavericks free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
Spurs vs. Mavericks Gameday
San Antonio travels to Dallas on October 24th for an NBA matchup at American Airlines Center. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 ET, with both teams getting off to an uneven start to the season.
While the Spurs are projected to be in the mix of title contenders, the Mavericks are a team growing around superstar Cooper Flagg. The Mavericks are eager to see how Flagg and Kyrie Irving fit, and depending on the results of that question, it could determine whether the point guard stays in Dallas.
Several teams would line up for Irving’s services if he does become available (I’m looking at you, Toronto and Orlando).
This match will be a measuring stick for the Mavericks who are eager to be in the running for a play-in position.
Opening night for the Spurs didn’t go as expected, but it’s important to note they are still gelling with the three point guard starting lineup, and Mitch Johnson is still tinkering with who is in that lineup. The assumption is Tobias Harris will be inserted when he returns from injury.
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San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks Odds & Previous Games
Victor Wembanyama had a horrific opening night on offense, shooting 1 of 13 from the field. He was still good defensively but simply couldn’t find a rhythm on the opposite end of the court. Things got more depressing for the big man when he was blocked in the closing seconds of the match versus the Rockets on Friday.
The trio of guards experiment is still a work in progress, but it did highlight the need for more size, at least against teams like the Thunder and Rockets.
Both clubs played on Friday night on the front side of their back-to-back sets. San Antonio lost 110-114 to the Rockets while the Mavericks collected an impressive 121-105 victory over the Pacers but lost something much more important in the process.
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Spurs Stats
San Antonio ranked fifth offensively (118.6) and third defensively (110.2), while it was second in net rating (+8.5) and 12th in pace (100.72).
The West’s second seed averaged 119.7 points per game while its opponents averaged 111.3 points. In terms of dimes and boards, San Antonio averaged 28.1 (ninth) and 47.1 (second), respectively.
With Dylan Harper excelling in the postseason, the Spurs were forced to reexamine their starting lineup, and as the season begins, he’ll join Stephon Castle and De’Aaron Fox in the starting rotation.
San Antonio’s team leaders* were Victor Wembanyama, who topped the Spurs in scoring (24.8 points), rebounding (11.5), and **blocks (3.1), while Stephon Castle led in assists (7.4) and in steals (1.1).
As for perimeter shooting, the Spurs had five players shooting above the league average, but as a team, they shot 35.9%.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
Mavericks Stats
Dallas ranked 27th offensively (110.2), tied for 13th defensively (113.5), and was tied for 23rd in net rating (-3.3), while running a pace of 102.47, which ranked fourth overall.
The West’s 12th-place Mavericks averaged 25.1 assists (22nd) and 44.7 rebounds (tied for 11th). Dallas scored 113.9 points per game while their opponents averaged 117.4 points.
Dallas’ team leaders* were Cooper Flagg for scoring (20.4) and steals (1.2), P.J. Washington for rebounds (7.0), while Ryan Nembhard led for assists (4.9) and Daniel Gafford for blocks (1.3).
Perimeter shooting was a weakness for the Mavericks, with five players averaging over 36.8% from deep while the team averaged 34.2%.
*Minimum 20 games played
**Leads the NBA
Spurs vs. Mavericks Key Matchup
Clearly, the lessons learned from OKC are to have a very specific game plan in place for Wemby. I’m not sure if Daniel Gafford is up for the challenge, but he’ll get the assignment on him from the tip.
The trio of guards is also an issue for most teams to come up with counterparts who can slow down their drives and keep them out of the paint.
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As for the Mavericks, they’ll have to battle without the services of their superstar Cooper Flagg, who suffered a shoulder injury in the game on Friday.
That leaves all the pressure on Kyrie Irving to carry the load, and it’s anticipated Mitch Johnson will have all three guards spend some time on the veteran sniper to wear him out.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks bottom line: Although the Spurs are a solid defensive squad, it’s surprising they finished so low in points scored off turnovers last season (21st). You have to believe the triumvirate of starting guards will change that dynamic this season.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks Basketball Betting Trends
- Over is 7-0 in Spurs’ last 7 road games.
- Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight-up win of more than 10 points.
- Over is 7-1 in the Mavericks last 8 home games.
- Over is 6-1 in Spurs last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Spurs’ last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight-up record.
- Over is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 games as a home favorite.
Spurs Mavericks Free Pick: Spurs -11.5
Here is my Spurs Mavericks free pick: I’m playing San Antonio to take the win and do so in convincing fashion. With Flagg sidelined, Dallas will be missing their primary option, and while Irving will do his best, it won’t be enough against a motivated Spurs squad.
Watch for the Spurs to push pace and get out in the fast break where they finished top 10 last season.
Bottom line: the Mavericks simply don’t have the depth or talent to deal with Wemby and the trio of point guards. Combining that with the loss of Flagg and Wemby arriving with a chip on his shoulder after two straight losses and this could be a massive blow-out early.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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Tempers flared after Aaron Nesmith hit Cooper Flagg with a hard foul on the break, sparking a scuffle between the Pacers and Mavs.
Look at the score. Dallas was dominating them and this type of physicality is what we’re seeing early in this young season. Fox vs Holmgren was another example. https://t.co/DAkD0FqUW1
— SpursRΞPORTΞR (@SpursReporter) October 24, 2026
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