Free NBA Pick: Warriors vs. Suns Odds
Looking for Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Warriors taking on the Suns on October 24th at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ. This free NBA basketball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Warriors Suns matchup.
2026 NBA Handicapping – Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns
(0-2) Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns (0-1)
Date: October 24, 2026
Time: 10:00 ET
Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
NBA Moneyline Odds: Warriors +300 | Suns -380 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Warriors +9.5 | Suns -9.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 224.5
Here’s why I’m backing Golden State ATS in my Warriors Suns free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
Warriors vs. Suns Gameday
Golden State travels to Phoenix on October 24th for an NBA matchup at Mortgage Matchup Center. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 ET, with both teams mired in what will be the middle to bottom of the Western Conference.
Both clubs are seeking to get in the win column after an opening night loss that perhaps offered insight into how long of a season it will be for them.
Stephen Curry must be frustrated knowing his squad isn’t in the playoff picture. A sad commentary for one of the league’s most dynamic players.
Golden State is dealing with injuries to core players like Jimmy Butler and Moses Moody, but news that Kristaps Porzingis is considering retirement given his autoimmune health issues was a bit of a shock.
Phoenix has designs on making the playoffs, but after their first game it sure looks like that will be a tough objective to meet.
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Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns Odds & Previous Games
Golden State got absolutely manhandled in their 105-127 loss to the Lakers. What stood out was just how much they are missing a rim protector and viable depth at the center position.
Phoenix had perhaps the most embarrassing opening day loss when they fell 83-124 to the guard-heavy Portland Trail Blazers. Last season the Suns overachieved, finishing in the eighth spot, which resulted in a sweep to the Thunder.
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Warriors Stats
Golden State ranked 19th (113.8) on offense and tied for 16th on defense (114.4). Additionally, the Dubs were 20th in net rating (-0.5) and ran the 18th quickest pace (100.05).
The West’s 10th seed averaged 114.6 points per game while its opponents averaged 115.2 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Golden State averaged 28.9 (fifth) and 42.3 (tied for 22nd), respectively.
True to their identity the Warriors took the most 3-point attempts last season (44.1 pg) and scored the second most (15.7), although they ranked 20th in efficiency (35.6%).
Team leaders* for key categories were Stephen Curry for scoring (26.6), Draymond Green for rebounding (5.5) and assists (5.5), De’Anthony Melton for steals (1.6), and Kristaps Porzingis for blocks (1.1).
As for the perimeter, the Dubs shot 35.6% from deep as a team, with five players shooting above league average.
*Minimum 20 games played
**Leads the NBA
Suns Stats
Phoenix ranked 17th offensively (114.2) and tied for ninth defensively (112.9) while they were 15th in net rating (+1.4) and ranked 24th in pace (98.14).
The West’s seventh seed averaged 112.6 points per game while its opponents averaged 111.1 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Phoenix averaged 24.6 (27th) and 43.1 (20th), respectively.
Phoenix’s team leaders* were Devin Booker for scoring (26.1 points) and assists (6.0), Mark Williams for rebounds (8.0) and blocks (0.9), and Jordan Goodwin for steals (1.5).
Perimeter shooting was a strength for the Suns, who shot 36.1 percent from deep with six players shooting above the league average.
*Minimum 20 games played
**Leads the NBA
Warriors vs. Suns Key Matchup
Despite the lack of talent and depth on both clubs, each side has a superstar that will draw the main attention from the opposing side.
Steph Curry showed in the opener he still has the ability to shoot lights out and will keep the Warriors in some games they have no business being in.
Several guards will draw the assignment to slow Curry, and there could even be a Dillon Brooks sighting on the sniper.
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Like Curry, Devin Booker remains one of the league’s top talents, and he’ll be the key focus for Steve Kerr.
Like his counterpart, he’ll be someone the Dubs apply a multi-player defensive plan to slow.
As a side note, keep an eye on rookie Yaxel Lendeborg, who has impressed and made headlines for calling out Luka Doncic for his constant whining.
Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns bottom line: The Warriors limp into this match with the noted injured players listed above, plus potentially Brandon Podziemski and Charles Bassey also questionable.
That doesn’t afford the Warriors any depth on an already depleted roster, so look for Phoenix to attack the paint and challenge the rim.
Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns Basketball Betting Trends
- Over is 4-0 in Suns’ last 4 games following a straight-up loss of more than 10 points.
- Over is 5-1 in Suns’ last 6 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in Warriors’ last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Suns’ last 6 games playing on 2 days’ rest.
- Over is 4-1 in Suns’ last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Warriors’ last 6 games playing on 0 days’ rest.
Warriors Suns Free Pick: Warriors +9.5
Here is my Warriors Suns free pick: I’m playing the points and taking the Golden State Warriors to keep the score closer than 9.5 points.
In the category of it’s only one game but… the Suns struggled from deep, attempting 32 deep balls and connecting on just six for an 18.8% efficiency, which places them 29th (second only to the Bulls).
The addition of Miles Bridges offers another player who can be the Robin to Booker’s batman.
Golden State didn’t fare much better, shooting 22.2% on 36 attempts and eight makes, of which Curry hit two.
Ultimately, this could be an ugly watch, but each team will be motivated to have a better outing after they each got spanked in their opener.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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“This is definitely a wakeup call for us. I’m glad it happened early.”
Devin Booker after Suns 124-83 loss to Blazers as they trailed by 31 at the end of one.
“Everything went wrong. We have a lot to learn from the tape offensively and defensively. I think they were killing us with their pace, forcing us into tough shots. Playing the deep drop. We knew it coming, but I think their guards did a good job of being active on the ball handler and forcing us into just being hesitant.”
Booker 23 points, didn’t attempt a 3 (minus-43): “You can always do everything better in a loss like that. Trying to find the flow. We have some work to do and we have some things to learn from.” #Suns #RipCity
— Duane Rankin (@DuaneRankin) October 22, 2026
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