Free NBA Pick: Kings vs. Pelicans Odds
Looking for Sacramento Kings vs. New Orleans Pelicans free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Kings taking on the Pelicans on October 29th at Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, LA. This free NBA basketball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Kings Pelicans matchup.
2026 NBA Handicapping – Sacramento Kings vs. New Orleans Pelicans
Kings +180 | Pelicans -218Here’s why I’m backing New Orleans ATS in my Kings Pelicans free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
Kings vs. Pelicans Gameday
Sacramento travels to New Orleans on October 29th for an NBA matchup at Smoothie King Center. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 ET, with both teams still seeking their first win of the season.
While both teams are winless, the Pelicans had the tougher schedule playing each opponent close, repeating last season’s problem of closing in the clutch.
It’s not that surprising that these two clubs are nestled in the basement of the West. While each squad has talent on their roster, they are more likely targets for trades when the deadline approaches.
With so many early injuries to key players, keep an eye on these squads, especially the Pelicans, who have several talents contending teams would desire.
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Sacramento Kings vs. New Orleans Pelicans Odds & Previous Games
The Kings’ four losses have come against the Clippers (96-121), Blazers (120-128), Grizzlies (112-1230, and the Spurs (103-130).
The Pelicans’ three losses have occurred versus the Pacers (120-123), Jazz (119-120), and the Nuggets (135-140 in overtime). This is the second game of a back-to-back for New Orleans who lost 91-104 to the Nuggets on Wednesday.
All-time, the Pelicans own the better record (47-37), including winning the three game series 2-1 last season.
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Kings Stats
Sacramento ranked 27th offensively (110.0) and 28th defensively (120.1) while holding the 29th net rating (-10.1) and ranked 15th in pace (100.39).
The West’s 15th seed averaged 110.8 points per game while their opponents averaged 121.2 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Sacramento averaged 25.6 (18th) and 42.1 (25th), respectively.
Per John Schuhmann: the Kings still rank fifth in the percentage of their shots (13%) that have come from the mid-range, with both Zach LaVine (9-for-14) and Darius Acuff Jr. (6-for-14) having more mid-range attempts than the Blazers (seven) or Hawks (13).
Sacramento’s team leaders* were DeMar DeRozan for scoring (18.2), Dylan Cardwell for rebounds (7.7), Keegan Murray for blocks (1.6), and Russell Westbrook for assists (6.7) and steals (1.3)
Perimeter shooting was a weakness for the Kings, with four players shooting above league average, while the team shot 33.9% from deep.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
Pelicans Stats
New Orleans ranked 20th (113.6) on offense and 24th on defense (117.2). Additionally, the Pelicans held the 21st-ranked net rating (-3.6) and also ran the 11th-quickest pace (100.99).
The West’s Pelicans averaged 115.5 points per game while their opponents averaged 119.2 points. In terms of dimes and boards, New Orleans averaged 25.4 (tied for 21st) and 43.9 (14th), respectively.
New Orleans’ team leaders* were Trey Murphy for scoring (21.7), Derik Queen for assists (3.8) and rebounds (6.8), Herb Jones for steals (1.7), and Yves Missi for blocks (1.5).
As for the perimeter, there were three Pelicans who shot the league average or better, while the team averaged 34.8% from deep.
*Minimum 20 games played
**Leads the NBA
Kings vs. Pelicans Key Matchup
Zach LaVine is the leading scorer for the Kings, offering 27.3 points per game, while rookie Darius Acuff Jr. is feasting with 21.5 points per game, although he’s averaging 23.3 field goal attempts per contest.
Domantas Sabonis is averaging a double-double of 19 points and 11.8 rebounds (leading the league) with 7.3 assists per game. The problem, of course, is that he is a defensive liability.
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Five Pelicans are averaging double-digit scoring, led by Zion Williamson with 20.7 points per game, while Dejounte Murray is averaging 20 points and five assists.
Sacramento Kings vs. New Orleans Pelicans bottom line: For as solid as Williamson has looked so far, he’s also been a problem in clutch time. He missed a layup versus the Pacers, then took an offensive foul against the Jazz when they were looking to take the lead, plus had three turnovers in clutch time at Denver. (Credit: John Schuhmann).
Sacramento Kings vs. New Orleans Pelicans Basketball Betting Trends
- Pelicans are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-0 in Kings’ last 4 games playing on 1 day’s rest.
- Over is 6-1 in Kings’ last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 5-1 in the Pelicans’ last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in the Kings’ last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in the Kings’ last 6 games as an underdog.
Kings Pelicans Free Pick: Pelicans -5.5
Here is my Kings Pelicans free pick: I’m playing New Orleans to finally get into the win column and not require clutch time to collect the win.
Prior to the blowout loss to the Nuggets, the Pelicans had lost their three matches by a combined total of 10 points.
New Orleans has played a tough schedule facing at least three teams expected to vie for playoff seeding, so getting a chance to face a lower-tier club will be a welcome change.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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WDSU video from Pelicans practice Monday, Oct. 26
NOLA Executive Vice President Joe Dumars and forward Herb Jones after the workout.
Herb is not starting or closing games and through the first three games (0-3) he’s averaging a career low 17 minutes per game. https://t.co/u8ak2q9RBh
— Fletcher Mackel (@FletcherWDSU) October 26, 2026
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