Free Pick: Suns vs. Thunder Odds
Looking for Phoenix Suns vs. OKC Thunder Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Suns taking on the Thunder on 12/10 at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Suns Thunder free pick.
2025 NBA Handicapping – Phoenix Suns vs. OKC Thunder
(13-10) Phoenix Suns vs. OKC Thunder (23-1)
Date: Dec 10, 2025
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: The Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
NBA Moneyline Odds: Suns +950 | Thunder -1500 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Suns +15.5 | Thunder -15.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 224.5
Here’s why I’m backing the underdog visiting Phoenix in my Suns Thunder free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Suns vs. Thunder Gameday
The Emirates NBA Cup quarter-finals continue on Wednesday with the Western Conference taking center stage, including the opening match featuring the Phoenix Suns facing the OKC Thunder.s
Of the eight teams participating in the quarter finals, only two played on Monday – – the Suns and Spurs, giving the Thunder and Lakers the rest advantage.
Given how the NBA front-loaded December’s schedule, that’s a real advantage, not like the Thunder needs any extra help.
Phoenix defeated the Wolves 108-105 with six players scoring in double figures, led by Mark Williams 22-points.
OKC last played on Sunday against the Jazz and proved that even when MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander sits, the team is just as dominant, as they won 131-101. To wit, six players scored in double-digits with Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams leading the way (25 points apiece).
It also didn’t hurt that OKC shot 50% from the perimeter (21 of 42).
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Phoenix Suns vs. OKC Thunder Odds & Last 5
Last year, the Thunder rarely lost more than once versus any team, and the Suns were one of many teams they swept. OKC has a current seven-game winning streak versus Phoenix, following them taking a 1-0 lead on the season series in this campaign.
As I noted in prior previews, the Suns have hit a hellish section of their schedule, and their 2-3 record in the last five matches is indicative of just how difficult it’s been. Factor in Devin Booker’s injury and questionable availability, and it’s easy to see why the spread is so large.
Things won’t get any easier as the Suns will play eight of their next 12 matches on the road.
Meanwhile, OKC just keeps rolling along, having won 15 in a row and still sits with just a single loss on the season.
To that end, the Thunder have the best record in basketball (23-1) while the Suns hold the seventh seed with a 14-10 record.
The Thunder are favored by 15.5 points with an over/under of 224.5 points.
Suns Stats
Phoenix ranks 12th offensively (115.5) and 11th defensively (113.4) while sitting 13th in net rating (+2.1) and ranks 25th in pace (99.78).
The West’s seventh seed averages 115.9 points per game while their opponents average 113.5 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Phoenix averages 25.4 (tied for 20th) and 42.5 (22nd), respectively.
Phoenix’s team leaders* are Devin Booker for scoring (25.0 points) and assists (6.7), Mark Williams for rebounds (8.7) and blocks (0.8), and Grayson Allen/Dillon Brooks for steals (1.6).
Perimeter shooting is an area of weakness for the Suns, with just three players who shoot above the league average – – Royce O’Neal (40.8%), Grayson Allen (42.2%), and Collin Gillespie (42.9%).
Notably, Jalen Green and Jamaree Bouyea are also shooting above the average but haven’t played a minimum of 10 games.
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Thunder Stats
OKC ranks fifth (120.0) on offense and first on defense (104.1). Additionally, the Thunder hold the top-ranked net rating (+15.9) and run the 15th-ranked pace (100.87).
The NBA’s top team averages 123.0 points per game while its opponents average 106.9 points. In terms of dimes and boards, OKC averages 26.5 (12th) and 44.7 (13th), respectively.
OKC’s team leaders* are Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for scoring (32.8 points) as well as for assists (6.5), Isaiah Hartenstein for rebounds (10.7), Cason Wallace for steals (2.3.2), and Chet Holmgren for blocks (1.5).
As for the perimeter, seven Thunder players shoot at least 36.4% with the team shooting 37.4 overall (tied for 6th).
*minimum 10 games
Phoenix Suns vs. OKC Thunder bottom line: Regardless of who is in the lineup, the Thunder just keep beasting through matches, begging the question of whether this club has any weaknesses.
Still, the typical starting five will need to get some time together, but if the small sample of how OKC has looked since Jalen Williams returned, I’d say there are 29 other teams with GMs questioning if they should just throw in the towel for this season.
Phoenix Suns vs. OKC Thunder Basketball Betting Trends
- Phoenix is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix’s last 9 games.
- The Suns are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing in OKC.
- Also, Oklahoma City is 15-0 SU in its last 15 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City’s last 5 games.
- Additionally, OKC is 14-0 SU in its last 14 games at home.
Suns Thunder Free Pick: Suns +15.5
Here is my Suns Thunder free pick. The OKC Thunder are the class of the field, proving they can dominate any team regardless of who dresses, which should be a concern for all the teams left in the NBA Cup. Ultimately, the only question is how much the Thunder will win by.
Austin Rivers opened a can of worms by suggesting Shai Gilgeous-Alexander would be the biggest star in the NBA (by a landslide) if only he were American and played in a bigger market. (see tweet of the day)
Diving into that thought further, the next question is how hampered will the Suns be? Certainly, Phoenix will be more competitive if its franchise player can go, but Devin Booker (groin) is listed as a game-time decision.
I had my doubts about how good this Suns team was, but one needs only to watch them play to realize just how hard this team plays. They don’t give up, are aggressive on both ends of the court, and have a certain swagger.
This match could be over in the first quarter if OKC decides to take no prisoners, but I’ll bank on the Suns’ grit to keep this match competitive enough to stop the Thunder from a 20-point plus blowout.
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Austin Rivers believes SGA would be the biggest star in the NBA if he weren’t Canadian
“If he were more active on social media, born in America, and played in a hot market, he’d be the biggest star in the league by a landslide”
(h/t @NBA__Courtside)
— NBACentral (@TheDunkCentral) December 9, 2025
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