Free NBA Pick: Mavericks vs. Cavaliers Odds
Looking for Dallas Mavericks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Mavericks taking on the Cavaliers on November 14th at Rocket Arena in Cleveland, OH. This free NBA basketball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Mavericks Cavaliers matchup.
2026 NBA Handicapping – Dallas Mavericks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
Mavericks -1.5| Cavaliers +1.5Here’s why I’m backing Dallas in my Mavericks Cavaliers free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers Gameday
Dallas travels to Cleveland on November 14th for an NBA matchup at Rocket Arena. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 ET, with both teams vying to sit atop the standings.
Cooper Flagg has arrived! Despite being 19, he’s putting up statistics that, if he gains consistency, are in the All-NBA realm. Kyrie Irving is back and looking good even playing in back-to-back sets.
Many pundits assumed Irving would be trade fodder, but the way the Mavericks have come out of the gate, Masai Ujiri may be shopping instead of selling.
Per John Schuhmann: When you take the drop-off in league-wide efficiency into account, the Cavs’ drop-off has been about even on both ends of the floor. They haven’t finished well in the paint (where James Harden has shot just 35%) and they’ve seen the league’s biggest drop in opponent turnover rate, from 14.9 per 100 possessions (10th) last season to just 13.0 (29th) this season. Their defense ranks last (by a healthy margin) in average pick-up distance, according to tracking data.
Meanwhile, Cleveland continues to confound, one day playing as they belong in the upper echelon and the next looking like a team that isn’t prepared for the season or even happy playing alongside each other.
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Dallas Mavericks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Odds & Previous Games
In history, the teams have played 89 times, with the Cavaliers owning the 48-41 edge. Last year, the clubs split the two-game regular-season series.
Dallas last played on Thursday, getting blown out 94-133 by the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Cleveland is completing a back-to-back set, having lost 133-121 to the Miami Heat on Friday.
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Mavericks Stats
Dallas ranked 27th offensively (110.2), tied for 13th defensively (113.5), and was tied for 23rd in net rating (-3.3), while running a pace of 102.47, which ranked fourth overall.
The West’s 12th-place Mavericks averaged 25.1 assists (22nd) and 44.7 rebounds (tied for 11th). Dallas scored 113.9 points per game while their opponents averaged 117.4 points.
Per ESPN: Top newcomer: G Zaccharie Risacher The Mavericks took a flier on Risacher when they acquired him in the three-way trade that sent Luguentz Dort to Atlanta, hoping they could develop the former No. 1 pick into a quality role player. The 6-9 Risacher has impressed with his defensive activity as a reserve, averaging 1.3 steals and 1.1 blocks per game. Coach Dusty May is comfortable giving Risacher the assignment of guarding elite scorers across multiple positions. His defense on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Kevin Durant helped the Mavs pull off wins over the Thunder and Rockets. — MacMahon
Dallas’ team leaders* were Cooper Flagg for scoring (20.4) and steals (1.2), P.J. Washington for rebounds (7.0), while Ryan Nembhard led for assists (4.9) and Daniel Gafford for blocks (1.3).
Perimeter shooting was a weakness for the Mavericks, with five players averaging over 36.8% from deep while the team averaged 34.2%.
*Minimum 20 games played
**Leads the NBA
Cavaliers Stats
Cleveland ranked sixth (118.3) on offense and 15th on defense (114.1). Additionally, the Cavs ranked ninth in net rating (+4.1) and ran the 13th-fastest pace (100.70).
The East’s fourth-place Cavaliers averaged 28.5 assists (seventh) and 44.4 rebounds (11th). Cleveland scored 119.5 points per game while their opponents averaged 115.4 points.
Team leaders* for the Cavs were Donovan Mitchell for points (27.9) and steals (1.5), James Harden for assists (7.7), while Evan Mobley was tops for rebounds (9.0) and blocks (1.7).
As a team, the Cavaliers shot 36.0% from the perimeter with six players shooting above the league average.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers Key Matchup
Flagg is playing like a grizzled vet instead of a 19-year-old. He’s leading his club, averaging 25.9 points, 6.9 rebounds, and 6.9 assists.
Kyrie Irving is ramping up his play slowly, given that he’s returning from a serious injury, but is still outputting 22.9 points and 4.3 assists per game.
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Donovan Mitchell will be the top name on the defensive assignment chalkboard as he averages 22.8 points, 5.0 rebounds, and 5.5 assists.
James Harden runs the offense and occasionally serves up the hot tub time machine, producing scoring too. He’s averaging 16.7 points and 5.6 assists.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers bottom line: In my opinion, it’s time to break up Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley. Both are solid players, but they don’t excel playing beside each other, plus Donovan Mitchell and James Harden seem to refuse to stick with them for the full 48, electing to run iso plays instead.
Keep an eye on the number of field goals the two big men get in the first half and then compare it to the second half. If the game is close, odds are Mitchell and Harden will go to iso ball.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Basketball Betting Trends
- Mavericks are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 day’s rest.
- Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
- Under is 4-0 in the Cavaliers’ last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in the Mavericks last 4 games following a straight up loss.
- Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
- Mavericks are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Cleveland.
Mavericks Cavaliers Free Pick: Mavericks -1.5
Here is my Mavericks Cavaliers free pick: I’m playing Dallas ATS. Cleveland comes in off a loss on Friday, once again struggling to showcase their consistency. Dallas will take advantage with their two superstars and size up front against the Cavs, who seem to ignore their bigs when the going gets tight.
Per John Schuhmann: The Mavs had some modest success with P.J. Washington as the lone big in their loss to the Spurs on Wednesday, when Victor Wembanyama scored 52 points. But for the season, they’ve been outscored by 29 points (allowing 137 per 100) in 57 total minutes with Washington as the only big on the floor. The good news in that regard is that Santi Aldama made his season debut on Friday and totaled 20 points and 11 rebounds in less than 28 minutes against Utah and Brooklyn.
Take Dallas to win and cover.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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How is Cooper Flagg 19 years old and doing this to grown men in the league?
Somebody check his birth certificate asap, this kid is not real. Best teenager we have seen in forever, league is officially on notice.
Game stats in Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers
– 43 Points
– 10 Rebounds
– 6 Assists
– 3 Steals
– 1 Block
– 16/25 Field goals (64%)
– 8/8 Free throws made
– 39 Minutes played https://t.co/cKshCtjJ5c— Pulse Edge Sports (@PulseEdgeSports) November 10, 2026
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