Free NBA Pick: Lakers vs. Suns Odds
Looking for LA Lakers vs. Phoenix Suns free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Lakers taking on the Suns on November 15 at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ. This free NBA basketball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Lakers Suns matchup.
2026 NBA Handicapping – LA Lakers vs. Phoenix Suns
Lakers -3.5 | Suns +3.5Here’s why I’m backing Los Angeles in my Lakers Suns free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
Lakers vs. Suns Gameday
LA travels to Phoenix on November 15th for an NBA matchup at Mortgage Matchup Center. Tipoff is scheduled for 4:00 ET, with both teams eager to improve their seeding in the standings.
The Lakers bring a seven-game winning streak into this contest, while the Suns have won two in a row.
Per John Schuhmann: The defense has been bad unless Ryan Dunn has been on the floor, and the starting lineup has also struggled offensively, scoring 96 points on 96 possessions. It’s a limited sample size, but the offense has been efficient (104 points on 86 possessions, 121 per 100) when Collin Gillespie has been on the floor with Devin Booker and Dillon Brooks, but without Jalen Green.
Injuries could be a factor for LA as Doncic left the last game after tweaking an ankle while Austin Reaves remains day-to-day due to a heel injury.
Phoenix has the benefit of health with just Mark Williams out following shoulder surgery.
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LA Lakers vs. Phoenix Suns Odds & Previous Games
In history, the teams have played 277 times, with the Lakers owning the 155-122 edge. Last year, the teams played five times due to the NBA Cup, with the Suns taking three games.
LA last played on Wednesday, defeating the Bucks and extending their winning streak to seven games in a row.
Phoenix last played on Thursday, winning 101-96 versus the Charlotte Hornets.
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Lakers Stats
LA ranked tenth offensively (117.0) and tied for 20th defensively (115.5), with the 14th-best net rating (1.5), running a pace of 99.22, which ranked tied for 21st in the association.
The West’s fourth seed averaged 116.3 points per game while its opponents averaged 114.6 points. In terms of dimes and boards, the Lakers averaged 25.9 (17th) and 41.0 (27th), respectively.
The Lakers rank first offensively and that’s not a surprise given how hot Luka Doncic has been. In his last five games he’s scored 53, 40, 42, 45 and 37 points!
Team leaders* for key categories were Luka Doncic for scoring **33.5 points, assists (8.3), and steals (1.6), Deandre Ayton for rebounding (8.0), and for blocks (1.0).
LA shot the deep ball at an average of 35.9%, with eight players shooting above league average.
*Minimum 20 games played
Suns Stats
Phoenix ranked 17th offensively (114.2) and tied for ninth defensively (112.9), while they were 15th in net rating (+1.4) and ranked 24th in pace (98.14).
The West’s seventh seed averaged 112.6 points per game while its opponents averaged 111.1 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Phoenix averaged 24.6 (27th) and 43.1 (20th), respectively.
Phoenix’s team leaders* were Devin Booker for scoring (26.1 points) and assists (6.0), Mark Williams for rebounds (8.0) and blocks (0.9), and Jordan Goodwin for steals (1.5).
Perimeter shooting was a strength for the Suns, who shot 36.1 percent from deep with six players shooting above the league average.
Lakers vs. Suns Key Matchup
Clearly, Doncic is the straw that stirs the Lakers’ offense. He’s been exceptional out of the gate, averaging a league-best 38.6 points per game along with 7.5 rebounds and 7.6 assists.
The Robin to Doncic’s Batman is Austin Reaves, who is averaging 24.7 points.
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The Suns remain Devin Booker’s team, but even he hasn’t looked up to his typical par. Still, he’s primary scoring option as he’s averaging 25.5 points, 2.5 rebounds, and 5.0 assists.
Miles Bridges, Dillon Brooks, and Jalen Green are all averaging double-digit scoring, so they’ll draw the secondary defensive emphasis.
LA Lakers vs. Phoenix Suns bottom line: LA’s offense is ranked first in the association, and even without Reeves, they would be a problem. It’s not expected that Luka will be out, so there shouldn’t be a dip in the offensive output facing the Suns 26th ranked defense.
LA Lakers vs. Phoenix Suns Basketball Betting Trends
- Under is 6-0 in the Lakers’ last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Lakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.
- Over is 4-0 in the Lakers’ last 4 overall.
- Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in the Suns’ last 4 games playing on 2 days’ rest.
- Under is 4-0 in the Suns’ last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Lakers Suns Free Pick: Lakers -3.5
Here is my Lakers Suns free pick: I’m playing LA ATS. Luka Doncic looks the most fit as he has in any of his seasons playing in the NBA. The scoring comes easy to the youngster, but it’s his improved play on the defensive side of the floor that has pundits sitting up and taking notice.
Per ESPN: It’s hard to imagine a better start to the season for the Slovenian sharpshooter, leading the league in scoring with 38.3 points per game on percentage splits of 49.7/42.7/88.7. After he scored 42 in a rout of the Heat on Monday, Giannis Antetokounmpo wondered aloud whether Doncic wasn’t just establishing himself as the best scorer in today’s game, but rather the best to ever put the ball in the basket in the history of the game. — Dave McMenamin
Phoenix may be healthy, but they don’t have anyone who can stop Luka, so expect the Lakers to take this one and cover the spread.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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JJ Redick said he used the three-day break in the schedule to “audit” the Lakers’ season thus far. He presented a 21-page analytics breakdown to the team, backing up their tenants: “Offensively: organized, unselfish, advantage based – then we went through the stats on that” https://t.co/TBOMm5U77J
— Dave McMenamin (@mcten) November 13, 2026
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