Free NBA Pick: Nuggets vs. Pelicans Odds
Looking for Denver Nuggets vs. New Orleans Pelicans free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Nuggets taking on the Pelicans on November 14 at Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, LA. This free NBA basketball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Nuggets Pelicans matchup.
2026 NBA Handicapping – Denver Nuggets vs. New Orleans Pelicans
Nuggets -12.5 | Pelicans +12.5Here’s why I’m backing [CITY NAME OR O/U PICK / BETTING ANGLE] in my Nuggets Pelicans free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
Nuggets vs. Pelicans Gameday
Denver travels to New Orleans on November 14th for an NBA matchup at Smoothie King Center. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 ET, with both teams representing opposite ends of the spectrum.
Per ESPN: Top newcomer: F Trevon Brazile The Nuggets remain in a perpetual search for lineup combinations that can survive in the minutes either Nikola Jokic or the scorching Jamal Murray are off the floor. Through nine games, they’re minus-15 in Jokic’s bench time and minus-29 in Murray’s. But within that, in their latest search for depth pieces after Peyton Watson‘s departure this past summer, they’ve received encouraging contributions from Brazile and Bryce Hopkins — both second-rounders from the 2026 draft. Brazile is a 6-10 wing with a 7-4 wingspan, flashing early as a rebounder and a defensive disruptor in a few of Denver’s wins. He’s averaging 20.3 minutes, a number that might rise as the season progresses. — Slater
The Nuggets are still looking to find their rhythm, but they are winning the games they should while Jamal Murray is putting up consistent production.
New Orleans is see-sawing back and forth between terrible and decent, which resulted in Zion Williamson calling out the team for that inconsistency (see Tweet of the Day).
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Denver Nuggets vs. New Orleans Pelicans Odds & Previous Games
In history, the teams have played 84 times, with the Nuggets owning the 51-33 edge. Last year, the clubs played three times, with Denver sweeping the series.
This year, the teams have played twice already, with the Nuggets winning both matches, including a 141-135 overtime thriller
Denver has been off since Wednesday, when they beat the Grizzlies 123-118. New Orleans also last played on Wednesday, losing to the Brooklyn Nets.
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Nuggets Stats
Denver ranked first offensively (121.2) and 21st defensively (116.0), while they were seventh in net rating (+5.2) and ranked 20th in pace (99.49).
The West’s third seed averaged 122.1 points per game while its opponents averaged 116.9 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Denver averages 29.0 (fourth) and 44.0 (14th), respectively.
Per John Schuhmann: The Nuggets have the league’s 22nd-ranked bench, but they haven’t been so terrible (minus-2.9 per 100 possessions) with Jokić off the floor. They got some added depth on Saturday, when Spencer Jones made his season debut and scored 13 points (on 5-for-6 shooting) in 21 minutes.
Team leaders* in key categories were Nikola Jokic for scoring (27.7), **rebounding (12.9), assists (10.7), and steals (1.4), while Peyton Watson led in blocks (1.1).
As for perimeter efficiency, the Nuggets as a team shot 39.6% (1st in the NBA) with 12 (!!!) players shooting above the league average.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
Pelicans Stats
New Orleans ranked 20th (113.6) on offense and 24th on defense (117.2). Additionally, the Pelicans held the 21st-ranked net rating (-3.6) and also ran the 11th-quickest pace (100.99).
The West’s Pelicans averaged 115.5 points per game while their opponents averaged 119.2 points. In terms of dimes and boards, New Orleans averaged 25.4 (tied for 21st) and 43.9 (14th), respectively.
New Orleans’ team leaders* were Trey Murphy for scoring (21.7), Derik Queen for assists (3.8) and rebounds (6.8), Herb Jones for steals (1.7), and Yves Missi for blocks (1.5).
As for the perimeter, there were three Pelicans who shot the league average or better, while the team averaged 34.8% from deep.
*Minimum 20 games played
Nuggets vs. Pelicans Key Matchup
Nikola Jokic has started the season slowly having some issues with his shooting, but he’s still putting up triple-doubles and is in sight of capturing that all-time stat.
He’s averaging 23.5 points, *9.0 assists, and 10.8 rebounds per game, but shooting an anemic 23.3% from deep.
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Six Pelicans are averaging double-digit scoring, led by Zion Williamson with 21.7 points per game, while Trey Murphy III is averaging 15.6 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 3.6 assists.
Denver Nuggets vs. New Orleans Pelicans bottom line: This is the end of a four-game road trip for the Nuggets, who’ll return home for the next three. They’ve won three of their last four, and the one game they lost occurred when they had travel issues returning from Mexico City.
The question is how seriously Zion’s teammates take his comments and whether we’ll see the version who won four in a row or the one who lost four in a row (twice).
Denver Nuggets vs. New Orleans Pelicans Basketball Betting Trends
- Over is 5-0 in the Pelicans’ last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in the Pelicans’ last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in the Nuggets’ last 4 games playing on 2 days’ rest.
- Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Nuggets Pelicans Free Pick: Nuggets -12.5
Here is my Nuggets Pelicans free pick: I’m playing Denver ATS.
Regardless of which Pelicans team shows up, I’m rolling with the Nuggets to continue to beat the teams they should, and that’s the category New Orleans falls under.
Per John Schuhmann: Aaron Gordon and Nikola Jokić are a combined 18-for-69 (26%) from 3-point range, while Jamal Murray is just 6-for-24 (25%) from mid-range. But the Nuggets outscored the Raptors by 30 points (76-46) in the paint on Wednesday, with Jokić scoring all 32 of his points in the paint (13-for-17) or at the free throw line (6-for-7). His free throw rate (25.2 attempts per 100 shots from the field) would still be the lowest of his career.
Zion and Co. may come out with a fire, but I don’t trust them to maintain that effort over 48 minutes. They rank 26th on defense, and while the Nuggets aren’t rolling offensively (rank 9th), they’ll feast on the Pelicans.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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Zion Williamson calls out the Pelicans for their unacceptable effort.
“Fans don’t deserve this, city doesn’t deserve this” 😬
(h/t @ProPelsTalk) https://t.co/hjU607AetK
— NBACentral (@TheDunkCentral) November 12, 2026
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