Free NBA Pick: Warriors vs. Spurs Odds
Looking for Golden State Warriors vs. San Antonio Spurs free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Warriors taking on the Spurs on November 13th at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, TX. This free NBA basketball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Warriors Spurs matchup.
2026 NBA Handicapping – Golden State Warriors vs. San Antonio Spurs
Warriors +11.5 | Spurs -11.5Here’s why I’m backing Golden State in my Warriors Spurs free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
Warriors vs. Spurs Gameday
Golden State travels to San Antonio on November 13th for an NBA matchup at Frost Bank Center. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 ET, with both teams vying to be atop the Western Conference.
Unfortunately, the Warriors’ eight-game winning streak came to an end at a great cost as Steph Curry got injured, suffering an oblique abdominal tear. He’ll miss at least two to four weeks.
San Antonio are on their own 10-game winning streak.
Per John Schuhmann: The Spurs’ winning streak is at eight games, over which they’ve ranked in the top three on both ends of the floor. They’re 8-2 for the second straight season, though they have a better point differential than they had through 10 games last year.
Unfortunately, fans won’t get the best of both squads, and it makes this match a bit of a cakewalk, but let’s dive into the details.
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Golden State Warriors vs. San Antonio Spurs Odds & Previous Games
In history, the teams have played 193 in the regular season, with the Spurs holding the 119-74 edge. Last year, the clubs played four times and split the games with two wins apiece.
Golden State last played on Wednesday, losing 108-115 to the Rockets.
San Antonio also played on Wednesday, collecting their 10th straight victory when they beat the Bulls 124-119.
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Warriors Stats
Golden State ranked 19th (113.8) on offense and tied for 16th on defense (114.4). Additionally, the Dubs were 20th in net rating (-0.5) and ran the 18th quickest pace (100.05).
The West’s 10th seed averaged 114.6 points per game while its opponents averaged 115.2 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Golden State averaged 28.9 (fifth) and 42.3 (tied for 22nd), respectively.
Per John Schuhmann: Curry has averaged 33.8 points on a true shooting percentage of 73.3% over the streak, and he had 17 of the Warriors’ 29 clutch points in their overtime win over Orlando on Saturday. His season-long true shooting percentage of 70.8% would be the highest in NBA history for a player who averaged at least 30 points, topping his own mark of 66.9% in 2015-16.
Team leaders* for key categories were Stephen Curry for scoring (26.6), Draymond Green for rebounding (5.5) and assists (5.5), De’Anthony Melton for steals (1.6), and Kristaps Porzingis for blocks (1.1).
As for the perimeter, the Dubs shot 35.6% from deep as a team, with five players shooting above league average.
*Minimum 20 games played
**Leads the NBA
Spurs Stats
San Antonio ranked fifth offensively (118.6) and third defensively (110.2), while it was second in net rating (+8.5) and 12th in pace (100.72).
The West’s second seed averaged 119.7 points per game while its opponents averaged 111.3 points. In terms of dimes and boards, San Antonio averaged 28.1 (ninth) and 47.1 (second), respectively.
San Antonio’s team leaders* were Victor Wembanyama, who topped the Spurs in scoring (24.8 points), rebounding (11.5), and **blocks (3.1), while Stephon Castle led in assists (7.4) and in steals (1.1).
As for perimeter shooting, the Spurs had five players shooting above the league average, but as a team, they shot 35.9%.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
Warriors vs. Spurs Key Matchup
Steph Curry remains the showtime sniper and leads the Dubs with 29.9 points, 3.7 rebounds, and 4.4 assists while shooting 44.0% from 3-point range.
With him out injured, the number one option becomes Yaxel Lendeborg, who continues to impress. Golden State runs much of the offense through him as he’s averaging 21 points, 7.1 rebounds, and 4.1 assists while shooting 39.6% from deep.
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Presumably, Draymond Green will be tasked with the ugly assignment of defending Wemby, and Lendeberg may also spend some time on him.
The trio of guards is also an issue for most teams to come up with counterparts who can slow down their drives and keep them out of the paint.
Golden State Warriors vs. San Antonio Spurs bottom line: San Antonio features the second-best offense in the NBA, which will be a problem for the Warriors to address, particularly with Steph out.
Golden State Warriors vs. San Antonio Spurs Basketball Betting Trends
- Over is 4-0 in the Warriors’ last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in the Warriors’ last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Spurs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Warriors are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Antonio.
Warriors Spurs Free Pick: Warriors +11.5
Here is my Warriors Spurs free pick: I’m playing Golden State ATS.
The fact that the Spurs are still trying to gel offensively is frightening given their winning streak and second-ranked offense. They’ll face the Warriors’ 11th-ranked defense.
Factor in how Wemby is playing with a +30 net efficiency on the court while the Spurs have an -18.4 net efficiency when he sits.
Per John Schuhmann: The Spurs’ starting lineup still doesn’t play a ton of minutes; at 10.5 minutes per game, it ranks 13th among lineups that have played at least five games together. It was also outscored by the Kings on Friday. But it’s allowed just 85.8 points per 100 possessions, the best mark among the 22 lineups that have played at least 50 total minutes, and it’s been much better offensively (114.9 scored per 100) than the Spurs were when De’Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper and Stephon Castle shared the floor last season.
Ultimately, I expect the Spurs to win, but I like the Warriors to come out and try to compete featuring Yaxel, so I’ll take the points.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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Golden State’s Stephen Curry has an oblique abdominal tear and will be re-evaluated in two weeks. https://t.co/ihiO0kSlqb
— Shams Charania (@ShamsCharania) November 12, 2026
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