Free NBA Pick: Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Odds
Looking for Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Mavericks taking on the Timberwolves on November 12th at Target Center in Minnesota, MN. This free NBA basketball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Mavericks Timberwolves matchup.
2026 NBA Handicapping – Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
Mavericks +5.5 | Wolves -5.5Here’s why I’m backing Minnesota ATS in my Mavericks Timberwolves free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Gameday
Dallas travels to Minnesota on November 12th for an NBA matchup at Target Center. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 ET, with both teams placed near the top of the Western Conference.
If there is a surprise, it’s the play of the Mavericks, which has pundits thinking they’ll make a trade to bolster the roster instead of trading Kyrie Irving (which was the thinking preseason).
Per John Schuhmann: The Wolves lost two of their first three games without Anthony Edwards, but they’ve since won four straight. They handed the Rockets their first home loss (and worst defensive game) of the season on Wednesday and then ended the Pelicans’ four-game winning streak two nights later.
As for the Wolves, they continue to win in spite of Anthony Edwards missing time due to injury. Ayo Dosunmu has stepped up in the superstars’ absence, and the team is playing rock-solid defense.
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Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds & Previous Games
In history, the teams have played 143 in the regular season, with the Mavericks holding the 78-65 edge. Last year, the clubs played four times, with Minnesota sweeping the series.
Dallas last played on Monday, outlasting the Indiana Pacers 15-122.
Minnesota has been off since Sunday when they beat the Jazz 115-100.
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Mavericks Stats
Dallas ranked 27th offensively (110.2), tied for 13th defensively (113.5), and was tied for 23rd in net rating (-3.3), while running a pace of 102.47, which ranked fourth overall.
The West’s 12th-place Mavericks averaged 25.1 assists (22nd) and 44.7 rebounds (tied for 11th). Dallas scored 113.9 points per game while their opponents averaged 117.4 points.
Per John Schuhmann: The Mavs had some modest success with P.J. Washington as the lone big in their loss to the Spurs on Wednesday, when Victor Wembanyama scored 52 points. But for the season, they’ve been outscored by 29 points (allowing 137 per 100) in 57 total minutes with Washington as the only big on the floor. The good news in that regard is that Santi Aldama made his season debut on Friday and totaled 20 points and 11 rebounds in less than 28 minutes against Utah and Brooklyn.
Dallas’ team leaders* were Cooper Flagg for scoring (20.4) and steals (1.2), P.J. Washington for rebounds (7.0), while Ryan Nembhard led for assists (4.9) and Daniel Gafford for blocks (1.3).
Perimeter shooting was a weakness for the Mavericks, with five players averaging over 36.8% from deep while the team averaged 34.2%.
*Minimum 20 games played
**Leads the NBA
Timberwolves Stats
Minnesota ranked 13th offensively (115.6), eighth defensively (112.5), and 10th in net rating (+3.1), running a pace of 101.50, which also ranked 10th overall.
The West’s sixth-place Wolves averaged 26.1 assists (16th) and 44.1 rebounds (tied for 12th). Minny scored 118.0 points per game while their opponents averaged 114.6 points.
The Wolves’ team leaders* were Anthony Edwards for scoring (28.8 points) and steals (1.4), Rudy Gobert for rebounding (11.5) and blocks (1.6), and Julius Randle for assists (5.0).
As for the perimeter, it was a strength for the Wolves, who averaged 37.0% from deep with eight players shooting above the league average.
*Minimum 20 games played
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Key Matchup
Flagg is playing like a grizzled vet instead of a 19-year-old. He’s leading his club, averaging 25.9 points, 6.9 rebounds, and 6.9 assists.
Kyrie Irving is ramping up his play slowly, given that he’s returning from a serious injury, but is still outputting 22.9 points and 4.3 assists per game.
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Without Edwards, LaMelo becomes the key Wolf to center on for opposing teams.
He’s the main playmaker (6.0 assists) and prides himself on keeping everyone involved. To wit, five players average double-digit scoring (six with Edwards).
Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves bottom line: Minnesota boasts the top-ranked defense in the Association and has strung together impressive wins against the upper echelon with that prowess.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Basketball Betting Trends
- Timberwolves are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Timberwolves are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
- Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Timberwolves are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Mavericks last 8 overall.
Mavericks Timberwolves Free Pick: Timberwolves -5.5
Here is my Mavericks Timberwolves free pick: I’m playing Minnesota ATS. With a few days’ rest, the Wolves will be fresh and ready to push the pace behind Ball’s leadership.
Dallas has also been playing well, ranking 12th offensively, but against the top defense, they’ll be in tough.
Per John Schuhmann: All three of the Wolves’ losses came on their first stretch of five games in seven days, with two of them being rest-disadvantage games on the road. The other one (vs. Golden State) doesn’t look as bad now that the Warriors have won seven straight games as it did at the time, and the three losses have come by a total of just 17 points.
Take the Wolves to continue their winning streak and to cover.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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COOPER FLAGG JUST PUT UP A HISTORIC STATLINE!
43 PTS (16-25 FGM)
10 REB
6 AST
3 STL
3 3PM
MAVS WHe joins Kevin Durant (2008) as the only players in NBA history to record 40+ PTS, 10+ REB, and 5+ AST in a single game as a teenager 🤯 https://t.co/MldSotO1pl
— NBA (@NBA) November 10, 2026
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