Free MLB Pick: Reds vs. Diamondbacks Odds
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2022 MLB Handicapping
(21-39-0) Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (29-33-0)
Date: Tuesday, June 14th
Time: 09:40 ETPM ET
Venue: Chase Field Arizona
Projected Pitchers: Tyler Mahle vs. Zach Davies
MLB Moneyline Odds: Reds 105 Diamondbacks -125
MLB run line Betting Odds: Reds +1.5, Diamondbacks -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9.0
Cincinnati Reds
Heading into the game, the Cincinnati Reds have an overall record of 21-39-0. When playing on the road, the team has gone 9-22. In the NL Central division, Cincinnati currently sits 5th So far, the team has gone 27-33-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 30.0% of their games. The Reds’ over-under record is 32-27-1.
For Cincinnati, Tyler Mahle gets the start with an overall record of 2-5. He comes into the game with an elevated ERA of 4.66. So far, he is lasting an average of 5.02 innings per outing, as well as 10.14 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 4.11 per 9. In total, Mahle has given up 7 home runs.
During the season, the Reds bullpen has received a workload similar to the league average. This group has one of the highest ERA’s among MLB bullpens at 5.14.
So far, the Cincinnati Reds have been scoring runs at a rate similar to the league average, at 4.38 runs per game. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of -56.0. On offense, the Reds have a team batting average of 0.239, placing them 20th in the league. Cincinnati’s batting average on balls in play of 0.243 is ranked 21st. With runners on base, the Reds are averaging just 0.58 stolen bases per game.
In the field, Cincinnati averages 0.55 errors per game, placing them near the league average. The team’s defense is turning double plays at a rate below the league average, at 0.58 per contest.
Heading into the game, the Arizona Diamondbacks have an overall record of 29-33-0. When playing at home, the team has gone 14-16. In the NL West division, Arizona currently sits 4th So far, the team has gone 36-26-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 19.0% of their games. The Diamondbackss’ over-under record is 26-35-1.
For Arizona, Zach Davies gets the start with an overall record of 2-3. He comes into the game with an elevated ERA of 4.21. So far, he is lasting an average of 5.17 innings per outing. as well as 7.26 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 3.19 per 9. In total, Davies has given up 8 home runs.
So far, the Diamondbacks bullpen has been one of the most used groups in the league. This group has one of the highest ERA’s among MLB bullpens at 4.46.
Throughout the season, runs have been hard to come by for the Arizona Diamondbacks, as they are averaging just 4.03 per contest. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of -36.0. The Diamondbacks head into the game ranked just 29th in team batting average. On their balls in play, Arizona has the 6th ranked BABIP of 0.28. On the base paths, the Diamondbacks have put pressure on opposing pitchers, ranked 11th in the MLB in steals.
Arizona has struggled in the field, ranking below average in errors committed, at 0.69 per game. Throughout the season, the team has done a good job turning double plays, averaging 0.84 per contest.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Reds are 15-36 in their last 51 road games.
- Reds are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Diamondbacks are 9-4 in their last 13 games as a favorite.
- Diamondbacks are 2-5 in their last 7 home games.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Prediction:
Heading into this game, the pitching matchup heavily favors the Arizona Diamondbacks. In addition to holding the edge in ERA, Zach Davies has a better WHIP of 1.24 compared to Tyler Mahle at 1.34. I expect a strong performance from Tyler Mahle, as the Diamondback’s offense is ranked just 29th. Davies faces a Reds offense that has a batting average of 0.239 (20th).
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