Free NCAA Football Prediction: Troy vs. South Alabama Odds
Looking for Troy Trojans vs. South Alabama Jaguars free picks? College football betting sees the Trojans taking on the Jags on Thursday, October 20, 2022, at Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, AL. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game predictions like this Trojans Jags free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: Troy Trojans vs. South Alabama Jaguars
Troy Trojans (5-2) vs. South Alabama Jaguars (5-1)
Date: Thursday, October 20, 2022
Time: 7:30 pm EST
Venue: Hancock Whitney Stadium
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: Troy +3 / Jags -3 (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Troy +140 / Jags -160
NCAA Betting Total Odds: O/U 48.5
Week 8 college football sees the Trojans and Jaguars meeting at Hancock Whitney Stadium on Thursday night.
The Jags are favored by -3 points in this Sun Belt Conference matchup, and we have a 48.5 showing on the total.
Troy Trojans
The Trojans are carrying a pair of 4-game winning streaks into this weekend’s affair against the South Alabama Jaguars. Troy is carrying a 4-game win streak into this weekend and they have won the last 4 meetings against the Jags as well.
The Battle of the Belt has Troy listed as underdogs, and depending on your book we are seeing -3 and -3.5 offers being put on the table. The hook will be enticing for those that won’t have to pay extra for it, although most bookmakers are showing the -3 at -110 and the -3.5 at -125 so there will be juice to pay.
Obviously, me no pay no stinkin’ juice for anything not worth it, and I don’t think there is a reason to bother with it. If you are going to pay any juice for a play from this game, move that total down to 47 from the 47.5 because I see most sites only asking -120 for that adjustment. Hell, there will be 47 points here, and it’s because of the fact that the Troy offense will have no problem putting points on the board this weekend.
The Troy passing game ranks 16th in the nation putting 312.7 yards per game, and we have a bunch of positives to take with a handful of negatives to discuss. So, both of the Troy QBs are doing a good job of getting the chains moved, but there is no ground game here and I think that now this team is who we think they are.
Gunnar Watson has 6 TD passes and he only needs 9 more yards to go over the 1,700-yard mark… The Good!
The bad comes in the form of the 7 interceptions and the fact that neither he nor Jarred Doege can do a damn thing with their legs. Doege also has 5 TD passes but he has also been seen throwing the ball to the wrong team twice.
South Alabama Jaguars
How about this South Alabama schedule? So, outside of a 1-point loss to UCLA at the Rose Bowl, the Jags are a perfect 5 – 0 and on the brink of being asked to take part in bowl season. South Alabama hasn’t been to a bowl game since 2016, and Jags Head Coach Kane Wommack fell just a win short in his first year here a season ago. An 0 – 4 finish to the 2021 campaign left the Jags short of the post-season again, and as we look over the remaining schedule it is not going to be all that simple to find another win.
Sure, the Jags are favored by a field goal and they’re home this weekend, so you would think the odds of that 6th win happening on Thursday night are pretty good. The Jags haven’t won the Battle of the Belt since 2017 when they earned a 19 – 8 win as 16-point underdogs.
Carter Bradley is putting up some nice numbers with his new team, as the 4-yaer Toledo transfer brings a good bit of experience to the table. Bradley isn’t going to have many calls to run the ball either, but he can, at least, use his feet enough to escape the pocket and make something out of nothing at times.
With a 13 – 4 TD to INT ratio, Bradley has La’Damian Webb in his backfield who is no stranger to making himself available in the passing game. Webb will topple the 500-yard mark rushing with 30 yards on the ground this weekend, and he’s added 130 yards in the passing game with a scoot to the end zone through the air.
Caullin Lacy and Jalen Wayne have combined to bring in 998 passing yards from 66 grabs, and they have caught 8 of those 13 passing touchdowns out of Bradley’s hand.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
- Road team is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
- Over is 5-2 in Trojans last 7 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 9-2-1 in Jaguars last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
4* Free Troy Trojans vs. South Alabama Jaguars NCAA Betting Final Analysis:
When the score is 24 – 24 and we are headed for overtime, we are going to escape with a win from this total sneaking in. I hope it is not that close obviously, but I suspect we will see enough turnovers and passing touchdowns to topple 48 points regardless. Troy will kick a field goal in overtime and the Jags will score the touchdown to win 30 – 27 and claim that bowl bid. So, let’s see how she unfolds!
4* Free Troy Trojans vs. South Alabama Jaguars NCAA Betting Pick: Over 47.5
If you’re looking for more picks like this Troy Trojans vs. South Alabama Jaguars matchup we’ll be providing 4* free College football game predictions on the blog all season long, and check out our Experts for guaranteed premium & free CFB Football picks!
Register here for a FREE NCAA Football Betting Account Now for Daily Free Picks & More Special Offers!