Free NCAA Pick: South Florida vs. UTSA Odds
Looking for South Florida Bulls vs. UTSA Roadrunners free NCAA Week 12 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Bulls taking on the Roadrunners on Friday, November 17th at the Alamodome. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this South Florida UTSA matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
(5-5) South Florida Bulls vs. UTSA Roadrunners (7-3)
Date: Friday, November 17th
Time: 9:00 ET
Venue: Alamodome, San Antonio, TX
NCAA Week 12 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) South Florida +16.5 | UTSA -16.5
Week 12 CFB Moneyline Odds: South Florida +540 | UTSA -834
College Football Betting Total: O/U 67.5
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There wasn’t a head-to-head matchup between South Florida and UTSA last season. But looking back across their previous three head-to-head games, South Florida is 3-0.
Despite their straight-up record, UTSA went 2-1 vs. the spread.
Together, the team’s averaged 70 points leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
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South Florida Bulls
South Florida is coming off a 27-23 win over Temple and were able to hold on despite Temple cutting into their 27-27 lead going into the 4th quarter.
So far, South Florida has been favored three times and the underdog in six games.
This has led to an ATS record of 5-4 and an average scoring differential of -5.5.
The average point total in South Florida’s 10 games is currently 65.7 points per game. This has led to an over/under record of 5-4 for the Bulls.
South Florida Bulls Stats
South Florida comes into the game with an offense averaging 30.1, which places them at 42nd in the NCAA rankings.
Their passing game has them ranked 37th nationally, with an average of 264.6 passing yards. In the rushing department, they’re 26th in the nation, with 457 rushing attempts per game for the season.
The Bulls defense will take the field with 19 sacks and are 1st QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re at 35.6 points per game (141st).
Against the pass, the team is 174th in the NCAA, allowing 303.1 passing yards per game. Additionally, South Florida’s run defense has 150.1 rushing yards per contest.
Through the air, the Bulls’ attempted 28 passes against Temple, gaining 316 yards and securing one score. On the ground, they maintained an average of 2.9 yards per carry, resulting in one rushing touchdown.
UTSA Roadrunners
In their most recent game, UTSA matched up with Rice and came out on top with a 34-14 win. Heading into the 4th quarter of the game, UTSA held a 21-point lead.
UTSA has gone into nine games as the favorite this season and one game as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 4-5-1.
This season, UTSA has an over/under record of 3-7. Their games have, on average, produced a combined total of 56.1 points, with the typical over/under line being 58.4 points.
UTSA Roadrunners Stats
In the rushing game, the Roadrunners are currently 30th in college football with 383 attempts per game.
This has resulted in an average of 170.6 rushing yards per game, putting them 51st nationally. Their passing game has averaged 32.8 passes and 238 yards per game. When it comes to scoring, they are 36th, averaging 31.5 points per game.
The Roadrunners’ finished with 27 pass attempts vs. Rice, accumulating 182 yards and one score. In the rushing game, they averaged 4.9 yards per carry and notched two rushing touchdowns.
The Roadrunners defense faces off against South Florida with 37 sacks and are 1st in QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re giving up 24.6 points per game which is 93rd in the nation. Against the pass, they’re 110th in the NCAA, allowing 236.7 passing yards per game. UTSA’s run defense is yielding 128.6 rushing yards per contest.
South Florida Bulls vs. UTSA Roadrunners NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Bulls are 5-0 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Roadrunners are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Bulls are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Roadrunners have gone 5-4-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Bulls’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Roadrunners’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
South Florida vs. UTSA Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Bulls | +450 | +540 | +16.5 | +16.5 |
Roadrunners | -670 | -834 | -16.5 | -16.5 |
4* Free Week 12 NCAA Betting Prediction: South Florida +16.5
For a moneyline bet, I like UTSA to pick up the win. However, my recommendation is to stick to the moneyline, as our model gives South Florida a decent chance at covering.
After struggling to move the ball in the passing game against Temple, I’m not expecting much from UTSA this week. This is why I’m leaning towards South Florida as 16.5-point underdogs.
For this matchup, I’m going to be hammering the under, as our model has South Florida and UTSA combining for 60 points.
Right now the over/under line is sitting at 67.5, so I’d recommend getting some action on the under.
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South Florida Bulls vs. UTSA Roadrunners NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
𝙋𝙤𝙪𝙣𝙙 𝙏𝙝𝙚 𝙁𝙞𝙨𝙩! 👊#210TriangleOfToughness#LetsGo210 | #BirdsUp 🤙 pic.twitter.com/hiLL4g4TFS
— UTSA Football 🏈 (@UTSAFTBL) November 13, 2023
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