Free NCAA Pick: San Diego State vs. Boise State Odds
Looking for San Diego State Aztecs vs. Boise State Broncos free NCAA Week 10 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Aztecs taking on the Broncos on Friday, November 1st at the Albertsons Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 10 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this San Diego State Boise State matchup.
2024 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 10
(3-4) San Diego State Aztecs vs. Boise State Broncos (6-1)
Date: Friday, November 1st
Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
Week 10 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) San Diego State +23.5 | Boise State -23.5
Week 10 CFB Moneyline Odds: San Diego State +1095 | Boise State -2442
College Football Betting Total: O/U 56.5
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Boise State enters this week 10 matchup vs. San Diego State as the heavy favorite with the point spread sitting at -23.5 points. The game is set for 8:00 ET at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, and you can catch the action on FS1.
The over/under line is at 56.5 points.
The Broncos have just one loss this season, while the Aztecs are 3-4 overall.
San Diego State Aztecs
San Diego State enters Week 10 with a 3-4 record, facing Boise State on the road. They rank 109th in our power rankings and have a 33.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Aztecs are 1-2 at home and 1-2 on the road this season.
Against the spread, San Diego State is 4-2, with a 2-1 record both at home and on the road. They’ve only been favored in one game this season, and their average scoring margin is -1.3 points per game.
This week’s over/under line is set at 56.5 points, higher than any of their previous games. The Aztecs’ average over/under line has been 49.4 points, and their over/under record is 2-4, with games averaging 45.9 points.
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San Diego State Aztecs Stats
San Diego State’s offense has been underwhelming, averaging just 22.3 points per game, placing them 122nd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10. They are also struggling on third downs, converting only 33.7% of their attempts. Their rushing game is producing 127 yards per game.
Quarterback Danny O’Neil has thrown for 1,240 yards, completing 62.6% of his passes with six touchdowns and two interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 90. San Diego State ranks 99th in passing yards per game. Marquez Cooper leads the ground attack with 748 rushing yards and eight touchdowns.
San Diego State’s defense has allowed 23.6 points per game this season, ranking 34th nationally. In their recent game against Washington State, they gave up 29 points, allowing 375 total yards, including 257 passing yards and two passing touchdowns.
Opponents have averaged 216.6 passing yards per game against San Diego State, completing 61.6% of their passes. The Aztecs have also allowed 164 rushing yards per game, facing an average of 39.6 rushing attempts per game, which ranks 108th in the country.
Boise State Broncos
Boise State enters Week 10 with a 6-1 record, ranked 20th in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 71.1% chance of winning the Mountain West. The Broncos also have the 9th best odds to make the CFB playoff, with a 60.4% chance.
Boise State is 5-0 as the favorite this season and 2-0 at home. Their average scoring margin is +18.4 points per game, and they have a 4-1-1 record against the spread.
This week’s over/under line is 56.5 points, lower than any of their previous games. Boise State’s average over/under line is 62.5 points, and their games have averaged 70.1 points, with a 4-2 over/under record.
Boise State Broncos Stats
Boise State’s offense has been dominant on the ground, ranking 4th nationally with 277.6 rushing yards per game. Ashton Jeanty leads the way with 1,376 rushing yards, 18 touchdowns, and an impressive 8 yards per carry. The Broncos are 3rd in scoring, averaging 44.3 points per game, and we have them ranked 7th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 10.
Quarterback Maddux Madsen has thrown for 1,482 yards with 13 touchdowns and just two interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 104. Boise State is converting 48.9% of their third downs, which ranks 10th in the nation. Cameron Camper leads the receiving corps with 477 yards and four touchdowns.
Boise State’s defense has allowed an average of 25.9 points per game this season, including 24 points in their recent win against UNLV. The Broncos gave up 368 total yards, with 189 rushing yards on 35 attempts and 179 passing yards, while also forcing one interception.
Opponents have averaged 262.4 passing yards per game against Boise State, completing 65.1% of their passes. On the ground, the Broncos have allowed 117.7 rushing yards per game, ranking 37th nationally.
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Boise State Broncos NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The San Diego State Aztecs are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Boise State Broncos are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the San Diego State Aztecs are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Boise State Broncos have gone 4-4-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the San Diego State Aztecs’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Boise State Broncos’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
4* Free 2024 Week 10 NCAA Betting Prediction: Boise State -23.5
Our projection for this week ten matchup between Boise State and San Diego State is a final score of 43-17 in favor of Boise State. With the Broncos being -23.5 point favorites, we expect them to cover the spread.
For the over/under, with the line set at 56.5 points, our model suggests taking the over, as we have the two teams combining for 58 points.
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San Diego State Aztecs vs. Boise State Broncos NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
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Find your section and plan accordingly for our next game!#BleedBlue | #BuiltDifferent pic.twitter.com/Xa1dngPUcY
— Boise State Football (@BroncoSportsFB) October 26, 2024
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