Free Week 5 Prediction: Aggies vs Lobos Odds
Week 5 College football betting sees the New Mexico State Aggies taking on the New Mexico Lobos Saturday, October 3rd at University Stadium, Albuquerque, New Mexico. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions.
New Mexico State (0-3) vs. New Mexico Lobos (2-2)
Date: Saturday, October 3rd, 2015
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: University Stadium, Albuquerque, New Mexico
NCAA Football Spread: New Mexico -13
NCAA Betting Total: 67
Updated Sportsbook Bonuses For Today
New Mexico State
Junior quarterback Tyler Rogers has been efficient enough for the Aggies. Rogers is completing 54% of his passes, is averaging 7.8 yards a pass and he has thrown seven touchdowns against just two interceptions.
Rogers has been a solid enough facilitator. Short little passes and letting his explosive receivers do the rest. Junior wide receivers Tyrian Taylor and Teldrick Morgan have caught 14 and 13 receptions, respectively and have gained just under 20 yards a pop.
Sophomore halfback Larry Rose III has been the primary back for the Aggies. Rose III has rushed for three touchdowns and is averaging 6.3 yards a pop. The Aggies should look to get Rose more involved in the game plan and control the game.
Overall, the Aggies are offensively pretty good. They are offensively explosive enough against the opposition they face. However, their defense is beyond pitiful.
The Aggies are allowing just under 50 points per game. They gave up 61 points versus Florida, 34 versus Georgia State at home, and 50 versus UTEP at home.
Against a New Mexico offensive attack that is very explosive, the Aggies will have their hands full with the Lobos option attack.
I can’t stand the way New Mexico switches out their quarterbacks. If they let sophomore quarterback Lamar Jordan run the show, the Lobos would be even better. Jordan is the perfect quarterback for the Lobos to run their offense and I don’t see why junior quarterback Austin Apodaca spells Jordan so often.
The Lobos have four rushers have rushed for over 100 yards and six Lobos have scored a touchdown. Senior half back Jhurell Pressley is more of the leading back as he has carried the ball 38 times. Jordan is second on the team with 20 rushes, while junior halfback Teriyon Gipson has carried the ball 19 times for 106 yards.
Overall, New Mexico has a really explosive offense that has scored 30 points per game which includes a 10 point performance versus Arizona State. I don’t see New Mexico State stopping the Lobos offensive running attack.
On the defensive side, the Lobos aren’t actually too bad. They aren’t nearly as bad as the Aggies, that’s for sure.
The Lobos gave up 40 points to Tulsa, but only 34 points to Arizona State on the road and they held Wyoming in check to 28 points.
I don’t think the Lobos will be completely shutting down the Aggies, but I do think they will stop them a couple of times in order to cover the spread.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- New Mexico is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games
- New Mexico State is 4-17 ATS on the road
- New Mexico is 7-3 ATS in last 10 games in October
- Over is 7-3 in last 10 NMSU-UNM matchups
Free Week 5 NCAA Football Prediction
New Mexico beat New Mexico State last year, but it was an ugly win in Las Cruces. The Lobos will have a chip on their shoulder at home this year and really look to put a hurting on the Aggies and I believe they will.
The Aggies won’t have an answer for the Lobos offensive attack and at less than two touchdowns I like the Lobos to make a couple of stops.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: New Mexico ATS -13
That should be enough for the Lobos to win and cover the spread.
Week 5 Free Score Prediction: New Mexico State: 30 – New Mexico: 48
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