– Last Updated on November 21, 2022 4:13 pm
Free Week 11 Prediction: Hurricanes vs Tar Heels Odds
Week 11 College football betting sees the Miami Hurricanes taking on the North Carolina Tar Heels Saturday November 7th at Kenan Stadium in Chapel Hill, North Carolina. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions.
Week 11
Miami (FL) Hurricanes (6-3) vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (8-1)
Date: Saturday, November 14th
Time: 3:30 PM
Venue: Kenan Stadium in Chapel Hill, North Carolina
NCAA Football Spread: North Carolina -12.0
NCAA Betting Total: 64.5
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The history of the Miami football program is beginning to mean less and less. Yes, they have one of the richest histories in all of college football.
But they don’t instill the same fear on their opponents anymore. Ask Clemson. They went to Miami and beat them 58-0. They made their lack of fear of the program clear when they didn’t even bother entering the locker room at halftime nursing a 42-0 lead.
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The Tar Heels on the other hand clearly felt they weren’t getting the respect they deserved. They sniffed their way into the rankings this week following a 66-31 blowout of Duke.
The “tradition” of Miami will put the Tar Heels to the test this Saturday afternoon.
Miami (FL)
When looking at Miami’s 6-3 record, nothing really stands out. They have two road wins – one at Florida Atlantic and the other at Duke.
The win at Duke by nature of the rule book should have been a loss – but at least it was only one rule ignored by the referees.
The point is that the Miami football program is struggling. Sure, they will find themselves in a bowl game this year.
They’ll probably get invited to a bigger game based off their tradition and the brand attached to “The U.”
But, the success expected by the alumni and fans of Miami is not there. Their stretch of last three games could change that opinion but it won’t be easy starting out this Saturday at North Carolina.
Miami won their last two since the blowout loss at home to Clemson followed by the firing of Al Gorden shortly after. Their win at Duke does have a triple asterisk next to it but still, they were competitive.
Their six point win at home against Virginia was pretty unimpressive considering Virginia’s struggles this season.
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But, it isn’t all bad for Miami. They are 6-3 with three meaningful and winnable games on the schedule. A lot of teams would kill to be in that position.
They just don’t impose the fear that they used to. Until they get that swagger back, teams will not be afraid of playing Miami.
One thing they could be afraid of is quarterback Brad Kaaya. Take out the game against Clemson and Kaaya has been excellent. Even in their other losses to Cincinnati and Florida State, Kaaya was very impressive.
The problem for Miami has been their defense. And, that could be exploited on Saturday as the Tar Heel offense is rolling.
Golden is out, changes have been made, and Miami is winning. But is that just temporary or are the Hurricanes on a path to returning to their historical dominance? This game against North Carolina will help answer that.
North Carolina
North Carolina felt that they were being disrespected by the rankings and the committee and let that frustration out by dominating in-state rival Duke. The Tar Heels dominated the Blue Devils in every aspect of the game accumulating over 700 yards on the way to a 66-31 victory.
The committee responded, sorta. The Tar Heels slipped into this week’s ranking at 23 and will look to keep their eight game winning streak going.
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Since losing the opener to South Carolina, the Tar Heels have taken care of business week after week. Eight straight wins including wins at Pittsburgh and last week against Duke have the Tar Heels in the driver’s seat toward a berth in the ACC Championship game.
At 5-0 in the conference, the Tar Heels lead Pittsburgh by just one game and Miami by two. A loss this week would put them in jeopardy of losing grip on the ACC Coastal Division as games at Virginia Tech and NC State are looming.
Quarterback Marquise Williams is doing everything he can to help UNC earn some respect. Since throwing three interceptions in the opening loss to South Carolina, Williams has thrown 14 touchdowns and four interceptions in the subsequent eight games.
He leads an offensive attack that averages over 40 points per contest.
The defense has been equally impressive allowing just 18.6 points per game. If Williams and the Tar Heels run the table and face off with Clemson in the ACC Championship game, they will be difficult to ignore. A convincing win against Miami will certainly get people’s attention.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
• The Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS this season following a win.
• The Tar Heels are 13-8 ATS in conference games since the start of the 2013 season.
• The Hurricanes are 4-7 ATS since the start of the 2014 season following a win.
• The Hurricanes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as the underdog.
Free Week 11 NCAA Football Prediction
The Tar Heel defense will be tested more than they have recently by a Miami passing attack that has been playing well. But, they will force a couple turnovers and Miami won’t be able to slow down Williams and the Tar Heel offense.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: North Carolina -12.0
The Tar Heels will inch one step closer to an ACC Coastal Division Title and a shot at the Clemson Tigers. Miami’s tradition will be left to be restored.
Week 11 Free Score Prediction: North Carolina 45 – Miami 24
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