Free NCAA Football Prediction: Wildcats vs. Cowboys Odds
Looking for Kansas State Wildcats vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys free picks? College football betting sees the Wildcats taking on the Cowboys on Saturday, September 25, 2021, at Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater, OK. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game Week 4 predictions like this Wildcats Cowboys free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
Kansas State Wildcats (3-0) vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-0)
Date: Saturday, September 25, 2021
Time: 7:00 pm EST
Venue: Boone Pickens Stadium
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: K State +6 / OK State -6
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Wildcats +210 / Cowboys -230
NCAA Betting Total Odds: O/U 46
Week 4 college football sees the Wildcats and Cowboys meet at Boone Pickens Stadium.
The 25th ranked Kansas State Wildcats will again be without Skylar Thompson, but it hasn’t slowed down the rushing attack in the least. The ground game was instrumental in changing a tie game in the 4th quarter into a 21-point win over the Wolfpack. The Wildcats ran for 269 total yards and through 3 games you see this team ranked 19th putting up 225.7 rushing yards per game.
Will Howard will get the start again, but he will need to do more than 7 of 10 this weekend if the Cowboys start stacking the line. This is not Nevada anymore, Toto, so the game plan cannot simply exist to run the ball and expect to win Big 12 Conference games.
The Cowboys have their own 3 – 0 record to work with, and the home crowd will be expecting another win favored by nearly a TD. The Cowboys season hasn’t been filled with big wins, as they haven’t scored more than 28 points in either of the 2 opening games of 2021. With a 1-point win over Boise State last weekend, 21 – 20, the Cowboys have played 3 games decided by one possession.
The Cowboys are favored by -6 points in this Big 12 matchup.
Kansas State Wildcats
It is obvious that the loss of Skylar Thompson is a big one for the Wildcats, but he might be back sooner than expected. That won’t be this weekend, however, so Will Howard will be expected to likely do a bit more this weekend than what he was asked to do against Nevada. When you only attempt 10 passes, the plan is certainly going to strongly involve the ground game.
Howard does have dual-threat ability and he showed as much last weekend. Howard ended up with 56 yards while finding pay dirt twice with his feet in the 38 – 17 win over the Wolfpack.
Tight End Daniel Imatorbhebhe caught one pass and scored the only TD through the air for the Wildcats last weekend. As you can see, he was tied with four other dudes for second on the team with ONE RECEPTION! Only Phillip Brooks caught more than 1 pass as he brought in 5 overall but for only 28 yards.
Expect more of Deuce Vaughn out of the back-field as he will be building on 62 carries for 371 yards and 5 scoots in the end zone.
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Being favored again means we have to be concerned again. The Cowboys have been involved with 3 straight games that came down to the final possession and now conference play is underway.
We all know that when you start your conference schedule that the pressure is two-fold now because every loss is a dagger in the chest. Even with the Cowboys at 3 – 0 early, there is still much room for concern in Stillwater. In what was a wild 1st half that saw the Cowboys up 21 – 20 at half, the score remained the same until the final whistle against the Broncos last weekend. How many 40+-point opening stanzas’ do you remember getting absolutely stuffed for nada in the entire second frame? Can I say I had that Under posted here at CP on the site and was pretty much convinced I blew that call when it was 21 – 20 HT? LoL
We cashed that ticket amazingly, and now the expectations are on a Cowboys home win according to the line setters. At least, the Cowboys know that Kansas State might as well be a Military school with how often they might run the ball this weekend.
That does, however, bring a sense of predictability and now it is just coaching and placement with execution left to fulfill. The Cowboys rank 29th against the run game but we are talking Missouri State, Tulane, and that Boise State program’s offenses.
There is little surprise that any Big 12 program would be ranked in the top 30 facing those 3 programs, so that’s ‘grain of salt’ stuff to me. This team almost lost to that Missouri State team to open the year, and that still rings a concern for me even more with 3 straight close games. Now, the Cowboys will be expected to start conference play winning by 7 or more?
That remains to be seen, but it is our job here to get the play out there, and I think Oklahoma State and Kansas State are headed for another close game.
The other concern is health for this OK State squad, as the receiving staff is decimated with injuries.
Jaden Bray? Missed the last game and we have no idea if he will be in there this weekend. Tay Martin? Missed the last game is also questionable to go this weekend. Brayden Johnson caught 2 balls and has yet to be seen since, so there is a concern on offense for sure.
Brennan Presley will possibly be seeing double-digit balls coming his way, and that means Green and Owens will have to step into the spotlight and perform this weekend.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Over is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings.
- Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Oklahoma State.
- Wildcats are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 conference games.
- Wildcats are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games.
- Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite
- Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Free Week 4 NCAA Football Pick
We should expect another tight game but this total is too low for me to let it sit there without my attention. Mistakes, bad football, and some big runs should lead to enough points to hit the 46 total.
4* Free Week 4 NCAA Betting Pick:
We are on this Over 46
4* Free Week 4 NCAA Betting Pick: Over 46
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