Free NCAA Pick: Boise State vs. Air Force Odds
Looking for Boise State Broncos vs. Air Force Falcons free NCAA Week 4 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Broncos taking on the Falcons on Saturday, September 20th at the Falcon Stadium (CO). Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Boise State Air Force matchup.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
(1-1) Boise State Broncos vs. Air Force Falcons (1-1)/strong>
Date: Saturday, September 20th
Time: 7:00PM ET
Venue: Falcon Stadium in Air Force Academy, CO
Week 4 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Boise State -10.0 | Air Force +10.0
Week 4 CFB Moneyline Odds: Boise State -375 | Air Force +300
College Football Betting Total: O/U 51.5
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The Broncos head into Colorado for a matchup with the Falcons in the Air Force Academy stadium. The last time these two faced off was almost 2 years ago in November of 2023.
This matchup Boise State entered as a 6.5-point favorite and came away with the straight up win and against the spread with a 27-19 score. And Air force has only won once against the Broncos in their last 7 games.
The last time Air Force had success against Boise was between 2014 and 2016, showing they have a tough task at hand on Saturday night.
Boise State
Unfortunately, Boise State’s season started off terribly, as they lost by 27 points to South Florida while being 4.5-point favorites. However, they bounced back in their next matchup winning 51-14 as 33-point favorites.
Luckily for the Broncos, they play a team they’ve been historically great against, seemingly beating them year in and year out and this may be the turning point they need.
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Boise State Broncos Stats
Boise State will be looking to continue their run game they’ve established last game. For context, they rushed for 5 touchdowns last week, all from different runners, including the QB Maddux Madsen.
Maddux also threw for 307 yards and 2 touchdowns, with no interceptions. To add to this, two different backs ran for it least 98 yards with 98 and 123, respectfully.
Important to note, the opposing teams passing defense is average, and run defense a bit above average, which creates potential holes for the coaches to exploit.
Air Force Falcons
After an explosive start of the year, winning by 36 points in a 49-13 matchup, they followed it up with the loss. Sadly, they were also favorites to beat Utah State in that game and lost by a whopping 19 points.
While this team has struggled to throw the ball, they’re dominate on the ground which makes this matchup interesting. The question is, can they reverse history and start a winning pattern of their own against the Broncos?
Air Force Falcons Stats
One of their only shining stars in this organization is their ability to run the ball. For instance, they rank 6th in the league for rush attempts, and 11th in rush yards per game with an astounding 266.5 yards per outing.
Defensively they also have decent defensive backs to stop the run, as they rank 20th on yards per rush with only 3.9. Furthermore, they rank 18th in the country on pass attempts against and 36th for total yards per play.
With all the aforementioned points, the Falcons may just have the key to winning this game, and that’s running the ball down Boise’s throat, and stopping their juggernaut of a run game of course.
Boise State Broncos vs. Air Force Falcons NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Boise State Broncos are 8-2 SU in their last ten games overall.
- On the flip side, the Air Force Falcons are 5-5 SU in their last ten games overall.
- The Boise State Broncos are 5-5 ATS in their last ten games.
- Oppositely, the Air Force Falcons have also gone 6-4 ATS across their last ten games.
- Over the Boise State Broncos’ last 10 games, the over/under record is 3-7.
- The Air Force Falcons’ have an over/under record of 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- The head-to-head record between these teams is 6-4 straight up.
4* Free 2025 Week 4 NCAA Betting Prediction: Under 51.5
While the books have this line at 10, considering the run defense and offensive run ability of Air Force, it could end up being a lower score.
With that in mind, I’ve decided to go with the under 51.5 as both teams are heavy on the run and have the keys to slow the scoring down.
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Boise State Broncos vs. Air Force Falcons NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Air Force vs. Boise State: Know before you gohttps://t.co/sP80DP7B5r
— Air Force Football (@AF_Football) September 17, 2025
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