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Posted on 12/20/2007 1:55 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping Staff
NFL Football Betting Trends – Kansas City at Detroit
NOTABLE STAT: Kansas City has scored 12 points per game on the road
KEY NFL FOOTBALL BETTING TREND: Detroit has played six of its last eight home games “over” the total
Two teams with extended losing streaks will take the field on Sunday, when the Detroit Lions (6-8 SU, 6-7-1 ATS), losers of six in a row, play host to the Kansas City Chiefs (4-10 SU, 5-8-1 ATS), who have lost seven straight games, at Ford Field in Detroit (artificial turf). Kickoff is set for 1 PM ET.
In the Top Sportsbooks NFL football betting odds, the Lions are listed at -4.5, with the total posted at 43.5 points.
Here are some of the NFL football betting trends and stats relative to this matchup:
* KC has covered one of its last seven games
* KC has played five of its last seven games OVER the total
* KC has covered four of its last five road games
* KC has won three of its last 11 road games SU
* KC has played seven of its last nine road games UNDER the total
* DET is 1-5 ATS in its last six games
* DET has played six of its last seven games OVER the total
* DET has covered four of its last six home games
* DET has won six of its last 18 home games SU
* DET has played six of its last eight home games OVER the total
* KC has won and covered five of the last six meetings
* Five of the last six meetings have gone OVER the total
The Lions are out of the playoff race, which has to be a major disappointment to Jon Kitna, who predicted ten wins at the season’s outset. He seems perpetually angry at his team, but still has managed to produce some decent numbers. At home he’s far less error-prone, throwing five interceptions as opposed to 12 on the road. And speaking of the road, that’s a very dangerous place for the Lions, who have seen a 50-spot hung on them twice this season. At Ford Field it’s been a little more fortunate story for them, where they have beaten Chicago, Tampa Bay and Denver – all by at least a touchdown – and very nearly defeated Dallas.
Here they’re both at home and facing a weak team that is getting weaker. The Chiefs have now lost seven games in a row, and they’re losing some of their wherewithal on defense, allowing Vince Young, who’s been as ineffective a passer as there is in the league this year, to complete 16 of 26 for 191 yards and two TD’s last weekend. We still don’t really know if he’s going to be a long-run asset or liability, but the Chiefs are sticking with Brodie Croyle, for better or worse. Croyle throws a lot (43 passes last week, for example) for very little yardage (217). that’s five yards a pop, and even the Detroit defense can handle that kind of “firepower.” Kolby Smith, who rushed for 82 yards last week against Tennessee but only 12 (on 13 carries) the week before against Denver, is up-and-down, as one might expect from an undrafted free agent.
Remember, the Lions have not quit; it’s just that they are just put together in such a way that they are going to take their beatings from well-rounded teams when in unfriendly environs. But we like the conditions in this one. Kansas City has scored 12 points per contest on the road this season, and 30 of those points were in one game at San Diego.
Both teams are fading, but Kansas City is fading faster, and without as much offensive weaponry. So we’ll lay the points with Detroit, the 4.5-point favorite in the Sportsbook NFL odds.
NFL betting odds: DETROIT -4.5, Total: 43.5
NFL Free Pick: JAY’S PLAY: DETROIT
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